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Texas A&M vs Penn State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 89-77
39-32 50-45
Position#139
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game61.0
vs
Position#216
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game53.5
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Texas A&M v Penn State
23 Nov 2023
TEXA89
PENN77
16 Mar 2023
TEXA59
PENN76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas A&M winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penn State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Texas A&MUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ole Miss
#292
W
69-61
69
61
+8
A01/03
NCAA
Alabama
#11
W
67-61
67
61
+6
H04/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
W
67-61
67
61
+6
H11/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
W
87-75
87
75
+12
H11/03
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
63-82
63
82
-19
A12/03
NCAA
Penn State
#105
L
59-76
59
76
-17
H17/03
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#290
W
78-46
78
46
+32
H07/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
W
73-66
73
66
+7
A11/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#99
W
79-66
79
66
+13
A15/11
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#294
W
74-66
74
66
+8
H18/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-28
35-33
32-22
35-39
25-38
42-23
49-25
38-50
23-34
40-48
22-38
37-38
42-27
36-19
34-33
39-33
39-32
40-34
38-31
36-35
137.6Avg total
71.6Scored
66.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.061.0137.0+15.0100%
Season at home (2)76.056.0132.0+20.0100%
Season away (2)76.066.0142.0+10.0100%
Last 10 (10)71.666.0137.6+5.680%
Last 5 (5)72.664.0136.6+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)69.268.0137.2+1.275%
vs Similar ◀ (15)69.166.7135.7+2.467%
vs Weaker (11)77.061.4138.4+15.691%
This opponent (Penn State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois
#114
W
79-76
79
76
+3
A09/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
W
67-65 OT
67
65
+2
A10/03
NCAA
Indiana
#76
W
77-73
77
73
+4
A11/03
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A12/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
W
76-59
76
59
+17
A17/03
NCAA
Texas
#34
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A18/03
NCAA
Delaware State
#248
W
79-45
79
45
+34
H07/11
NCAA
Lehigh
#257
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H11/11
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#344
W
83-53
83
53
+30
H15/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#34
W
74-51
74
51
+23
H18/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-30
48-46
25-26
31-30
34-26
43-47
27-35
38-32
38-22
38-37
23-31
43-40
39-18
40-27
38-38
36-27
46-18
37-35
37-26
37-25
136.5Avg total
74.0Scored
62.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)77.553.5131.0+24.0100%
Season at home (4)77.553.5131.0+24.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.062.5136.5+11.580%
Last 5 (5)75.257.0132.2+18.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)65.669.0134.6-3.420%
vs Similar ◀ (20)72.767.8140.5+4.870%
vs Weaker (5)71.661.0132.6+10.680%
This opponent (Texas A&M) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +3.0+3.01st half: +6.8+6.82nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: +4.5+4.5
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +3.0+3.01st half: +6.8+6.82nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: +4.5+4.5
Texas A&MPenn State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Texas A&MLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ole Miss
#292
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A01/03
NCAA
Alabama
#11
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H04/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
L
25-38
25
38
-13
H11/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
W
49-25
49
25
+24
H11/03
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A12/03
NCAA
Penn State
#105
L
22-38
22
38
-16
H17/03
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#290
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H07/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A11/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#99
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A15/11
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#294
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H18/11
NCAA
64.6Avg total
33.8Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.929.164.0+5.867%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.128.762.8+5.465%-
Last 30 away (13)36.029.765.7+6.369%-
Last 10 (10)33.830.864.6+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)35.032.267.2+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.229.861.0+1.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)32.231.563.7+0.753%-
vs Weaker (11)39.925.765.6+14.291%-
This opponent (Penn State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois
#114
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A09/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
L
25-26
25
26
-1
A10/03
NCAA
Indiana
#76
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A11/03
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A12/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
W
38-22
38
22
+16
A17/03
NCAA
Texas
#34
L
23-31
23
31
-8
A18/03
NCAA
Delaware State
#248
W
39-18
39
18
+21
H07/11
NCAA
Lehigh
#257
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H11/11
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#344
W
46-18
46
18
+28
H15/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#34
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H18/11
NCAA
60.8Avg total
33.8Scored
27.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.829.763.5+4.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.727.664.3+9.180%-
Last 30 away (15)30.931.862.7-0.933%-
Last 10 (10)33.827.060.8+6.860%-
Last 5 (5)36.626.262.8+10.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)30.631.662.2-1.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)34.329.964.2+4.455%-
vs Weaker (5)35.027.062.0+8.080%-
This opponent (Texas A&M) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Texas A&M wins
1
Penn State wins
DateGameScore
17/03/23Texas A&M v Penn State59-76
Texas A&Mlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/23HOral Roberts74-66
15/11/23ASMU Mustangs79-66
11/11/23AOhio State73-66
07/11/23HTX A&M Commerce78-46
17/03/23HPenn State59-76
12/03/23AAlabama63-82
11/03/23HVanderbilt87-75
11/03/23HArkansas67-61
04/03/23HAlabama67-61
01/03/23AOle Miss69-61
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/23HMorehead State74-51
15/11/23HSt. Francis (PA)83-53
11/11/23HLehigh74-65
07/11/23HDelaware State79-45
18/03/23ATexas66-71
17/03/23ATexas A&M76-59
12/03/23APurdue65-67
11/03/23AIndiana77-73
10/03/23ANorthwestern67-65 OT
09/03/23AIllinois79-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas A&M
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game76.076.076.0
Allowed / game61.056.066.0
Point differential+15.0+20.0+10.0
Avg total137.0132.0142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Penn State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game77.577.5-
Allowed / game53.553.5-
Point differential+24.0+24.0-
Avg total131.0131.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alabama440100%101.866.5+35.2
2 Oklahoma440100%88.555.5+33.0
3 Mississippi St.550100%76.258.8+17.4
4 Texas A&M440100%76.061.0+15.0
5 South Carolina550100%76.666.0+10.6
6 Ole Miss550100%72.267.0+5.2
7 Kentucky54180%89.670.2+19.4
8 Auburn54180%82.466.4+16.0
9 Florida54180%85.470.6+14.8
10 Texas54180%81.268.0+13.2
11 Arkansas54180%82.871.2+11.6
12 Vanderbilt43175%71.269.0+2.2
13 Tennessee64267%73.761.5+12.2
14 Missouri64267%74.766.5+8.2
15 LSU53260%78.268.0+10.2
16 Georgia52340%69.472.6-3.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penn State440100%77.553.5+24.0
2 Nebraska660100%81.060.2+20.8
3 Purdue660100%81.763.0+18.7
4 Oregon440100%79.063.2+15.8
5 Illinois54180%76.660.0+16.6
6 Minnesota54180%80.665.2+15.4
7 Rutgers54180%70.458.6+11.8
8 Northwestern54180%67.062.6+4.4
9 Indiana54180%72.270.0+2.2
10 Iowa43175%95.075.2+19.8
11 Ohio State43175%73.563.5+10.0
12 USC43175%77.067.0+10.0
13 UCLA64267%71.856.7+15.2
14 Wisconsin64267%74.366.3+8.0
15 Michigan State53260%74.061.4+12.6
16 Michigan53260%86.674.8+11.8
17 Washington53260%82.675.6+7.0
18 Maryland52340%64.861.6+3.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Texas A&M395089
Penn State324577
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