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Texas State vs Lamar Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 67-47
31-18 36-29
Position#40
Record7-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game65.2
vs
Position#365
Record2-8
FormLLLWL
Points / game64.6
Allowed / game73.4
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Texas State v Lamar
15 Dec 2021
TEXA67
LAMA47
16 Mar 2017
TEXA70
LAMA60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lamar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Appalachian State
#130
L
73-76 OT
73
76
-3
H07/03
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#344
W
75-57
75
57
+18
A10/11
NCAA
LSU
#93
L
59-84
59
84
-25
A13/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#191
L
60-79
60
79
-19
A15/11
NCAA
Utah Tech
#258
W
85-65
85
65
+20
A19/11
NCAA
East. Washington
#175
W
81-74
81
74
+7
A21/11
NCAA
LeTourneau
#573
W
92-47
92
47
+45
H25/11
NCAA
Rice
#197
W
80-69
80
69
+11
A01/12
NCAA
Denver
#300
W
71-58
71
58
+13
H05/12
NCAA
Southwestern Pirates
#608
W
101-54
101
54
+47
H12/12
NCAA
1H
2H
26-20
39-45
43-24
32-33
37-32
22-52
27-32
33-47
47-29
38-36
25-33
56-41
47-27
45-20
26-38
54-31
35-28
36-30
59-22
42-32
144.0Avg total
77.7Scored
66.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)78.265.2143.4+13.078%
Season at home (3)88.053.0141.0+35.0100%
Season away (6)73.371.3144.7+2.067%
Last 10 (10)77.766.3144.0+11.470%
Last 5 (5)85.060.4145.4+24.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)66.568.8135.3-2.340%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)70.259.4129.6+10.890%
This opponent (Lamar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LamarUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wiley
#416
W
67-50
67
50
+17
H10/11
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#240
L
75-104
75
104
-29
A13/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
L
66-75
66
75
-9
A16/11
NCAA
Stetson
#284
L
59-60
59
60
-1
H20/11
NCAA
Southern Miss
#346
L
75-82
75
82
-7
A21/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#312
L
73-79
73
79
-6
A24/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#46
L
57-89
57
89
-32
A27/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#171
L
60-75
60
75
-15
A03/12
NCAA
Our Lady Of The Lake
#396
W
67-64
67
64
+3
H05/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A11/12
NCAA
1H
2H
34-22
33-28
32-58
43-46
22-39
44-36
28-19
31-41
36-33
39-49
28-35
45-44
33-52
24-37
30-38
30-37
35-32
32-32
12-31
35-25
138.0Avg total
64.6Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)64.673.4138.0-8.820%
Season at home (3)64.358.0122.3+6.367%
Season away (7)64.780.0144.7-15.30%
Last 10 (10)64.673.4138.0-8.820%
Last 5 (5)60.872.6133.4-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)66.977.7144.6-10.821%
vs Similar (10)68.364.3132.6+4.060%
vs Weaker (1)67.050.0117.0+17.0100%
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +8.7+8.71st half: -6.9-6.92nd half2nd half: +3.0+3.02nd half: -1.9-1.9
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +8.7+8.71st half: -6.9-6.92nd half2nd half: +3.0+3.02nd half: -1.9-1.9
Texas StateLamar
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Appalachian State
#130
W
26-20
26
20
+6
H07/03
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#344
W
43-24
43
24
+19
A10/11
NCAA
LSU
#93
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A13/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#191
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A15/11
NCAA
Utah Tech
#258
W
47-29
47
29
+18
A19/11
NCAA
East. Washington
#175
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A21/11
NCAA
LeTourneau
#573
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H25/11
NCAA
Rice
#197
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A01/12
NCAA
Denver
#300
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H05/12
NCAA
Southwestern Pirates
#608
W
59-22
59
22
+37
H12/12
NCAA
65.7Avg total
37.2Scored
28.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.828.661.4+4.263%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.526.861.3+7.669%-
Last 30 away (17)31.529.961.4+1.659%-
Last 10 (10)37.228.565.7+8.770%-
Last 5 (5)38.429.668.0+8.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)30.129.359.4+0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)34.128.262.3+5.970%-
This opponent (Lamar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LamarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wiley
#416
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H10/11
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#240
L
32-58
32
58
-26
A13/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A16/11
NCAA
Stetson
#284
W
28-19
28
19
+9
H20/11
NCAA
Southern Miss
#346
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A21/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#312
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A24/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#46
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A27/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#171
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A03/12
NCAA
Our Lady Of The Lake
#396
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H05/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
L
12-31
12
31
-19
A11/12
NCAA
64.9Avg total
29.0Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.534.766.2-3.237%-
Last 30 at home (13)31.929.561.5+2.454%-
Last 30 away (17)31.138.669.8-7.524%-
Last 10 (10)29.035.964.9-6.940%-
Last 5 (5)27.637.665.2-10.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)31.138.169.1-7.021%-
vs Similar (10)32.029.661.6+2.460%-
vs Weaker (1)34.022.056.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Texas State wins
0
Lamar wins
DateGameScore
17/03/17Texas State v Lamar70-60
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/21HSouthwestern Pirates101-54
05/12/21HDenver71-58
01/12/21ARice80-69
25/11/21HLeTourneau92-47
21/11/21AEast. Washington81-74
19/11/21AUtah Tech85-65
15/11/21AVanderbilt60-79
13/11/21ALSU59-84
10/11/21AIncarnate Word75-57
07/03/21HAppalachian State73-76 OT
Lamarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/21AUT Arlington47-56
05/12/21HOur Lady Of The Lake67-64
03/12/21AMississippi St.60-75
27/11/21ATexas Tech57-89
24/11/21AUTSA Roadrunners73-79
21/11/21ASouthern Miss75-82
20/11/21HStetson59-60
16/11/21AGeorgia Tech66-75
13/11/21AMiami (Ohio)75-104
10/11/21HWiley67-50

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW78%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %78%100%67%
Points / game78.288.073.3
Allowed / game65.253.071.3
Point differential+13.0+35.0+2.0
Avg total143.4141.0144.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lamar
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL20%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1037
Win %20%67%0%
Points / game64.664.364.7
Allowed / game73.458.080.0
Point differential-8.8+6.3-15.3
Avg total138.0122.3144.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Alabama119282%76.359.9+16.4
2 James Madison119282%76.763.4+13.4
3 Texas State97278%78.265.2+13.0
4 Arkansas State107370%73.670.7+2.9
5 Coastal Carolina96367%74.863.7+11.1
6 Marshall117464%81.573.5+8.0
7 Troy117464%72.966.3+6.6
8 Georgia Southern106460%70.860.5+10.3
9 Louisiana Monroe106460%81.476.4+5.0
10 Georgia State95456%75.069.7+5.3
11 Appalachian State116555%69.758.0+11.7
12 Louisiana Lafayette105550%71.269.2+2.0
13 Old Dominion115645%63.264.1-0.9
14 Southern Miss104640%60.469.9-9.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 TX A&M Commerce110100%65.062.0+3.0
2 Texas A&M-CC129375%79.969.5+10.4
3 Stephen F. Austin118373%77.971.0+6.9
4 Nicholls State107370%80.065.9+14.1
5 SE Louisiana114736%78.774.2+4.5
6 UTRGV114736%72.679.7-7.1
7 Houston Christian93633%70.471.3-0.9
8 McNeese State103730%71.775.0-3.3
9 New Orleans103730%70.273.8-3.6
10 Lamar102820%64.673.4-8.8
11 Incarnate Word102820%69.579.3-9.8
12 Northwestern St.112918%67.182.4-15.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Texas State313667
Lamar182947
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