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Tirana vs Golden Eagle Ylli Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 62-87
11-30 20-24 14-25 17-8
Position#6
Record2-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game86.0
vs
Position#2
Record2-0
FormLLWWL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game63.0
EuropeLiga Unike· Pallati i Sportit Farie Hoti
Other2024-25
Meetings · Tirana v Golden Eagle Ylli
05 Mar 2025
TIRA62
GEY87
27 Mar 2024
TIRA56
GEY92
08 Feb 2023
TIRA v GEY
upcoming
11 Dec 2021
TIRA71
GEY103
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tirana winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Golden Eagle Ylli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TiranaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTirana
Date
Competition
Apolonia Fier
#4
L
75-90
75
90
-15
75avg 78
A13/12
Superliga
Golden Eagle Ylli
#2
L
59-87
59
87
-28
52avg 78
A18/12
Liga Unike
Beselidhja
#1
L
59-91
59
91
-32
52avg 78
A22/12
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#6
W
94-89 OT
94
89
+5
93avg 78
H12/01
Superliga
Vllaznia
#5
L
85-88
85
88
-3
88avg 78
H18/01
Superliga
Vllaznia
#5
L
68-107
68
107
-39
56avg 78
A22/01
Liga Unike
Teuta Durres
#2
W
79-78
79
78
+1
82avg 78
A26/01
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
W
87-71
87
71
+16
92avg 78
H31/01
Superliga
Sigal Prishtina
#4
W
77-69
77
69
+8
82avg 78
A11/02
Liga Unike
Beselidhja
#1
L
73-88
73
88
-15
69avg 78
H01/03
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
22-11
19-31
17-25
12-32
22-16
14-26
11-13
22-26
7-25
18-20
12-20
13-22
20-14
22-23
30-26
22-17
21-24
21-25
21-22
17-25
15-23
19-31
17-28
24-18
17-15
15-28
23-17
20-14
19-20
21-17
27-20
17-12
12-19
26-25
22-13
17-21
17-19
25-32
14-16
161.4Avg total
75.6Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)73.086.0159.0-13.050%
Season at home (1)88.081.0169.0+7.0100%
Season away (3)68.087.7155.7-19.733%
Last 10 (10)75.685.8161.4-10.240%
Last 5 (5)76.882.6159.4-5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)70.888.9159.7-18.118%
vs Similar (3)83.386.0169.3-2.733%
vs Weaker (15)83.376.6159.9+6.767%
This opponent (Golden Eagle Ylli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden Eagle YlliLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormYlli
Date
Competition
Prizreni
#8
L
85-92
85
92
-7
73avg 70
A29/12
Superliga
Bora
#7
L
80-93
80
93
-13
70avg 70
A08/01
Superliga
Trepca
#1
L
68-91
68
91
-23
61avg 70
A11/01
Superliga
Sigal Prishtina
#3
L
69-76
69
76
-7
56avg 70
H19/01
Superliga
Peja
#5
W
83-71
83
71
+12
78avg 70
A22/01
Superliga
Bashkimi
#2
L
60-70
60
70
-10
50avg 70
H25/01
Superliga
Vellaznimi
#6
L
70-92
70
92
-22
55avg 70
A02/02
Superliga
Vllaznia
#5
W
83-67
83
67
+16
75avg 70
A11/02
Liga Unike
Prizreni
#8
W
91-69
91
69
+22
83avg 70
H26/02
Superliga
Bora
#7
L
67-73
67
73
-6
61avg 70
H02/03
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
25-21
25-23
14-27
18-20
12-23
26-29
24-21
7-29
20-20
25-23
16-19
17-17
26-26
17-17
9-16
21-18
19-13
25-21
18-19
11-21
13-12
20-18
16-19
12-17
21-16
20-26
17-33
26-22
20-17
20-12
17-16
25-17
27-17
21-18
18-17
18-17
22-25
11-13
16-18
155.0Avg total
75.6Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)85.063.0148.0+22.0100%
Season at home (1)87.059.0146.0+28.0100%
Season away (1)83.067.0150.0+16.0100%
Last 10 (10)75.679.4155.0-3.830%
Last 5 (5)74.274.2148.4+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)69.675.6145.3-6.027%
vs Similar (14)75.578.5154.0-3.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)85.873.2159.0+12.680%
This opponent (Tirana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -4.0-4.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -4.0-4.0
TiranaGolden Eagle Ylli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TiranaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apolonia Fier
#4
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A13/12
Superliga
Golden Eagle Ylli
#2
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A18/12
Liga Unike
Beselidhja
#1
L
29-51
29
51
-22
A22/12
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#6
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H12/01
Superliga
Vllaznia
#5
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H18/01
Superliga
Vllaznia
#5
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A22/01
Liga Unike
Teuta Durres
#2
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A26/01
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H31/01
Superliga
Sigal Prishtina
#4
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A11/02
Liga Unike
Beselidhja
#1
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H01/03
Superliga
74.9Avg total
35.3Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.540.980.4-1.443%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.740.380.9+0.447%-
Last 30 away (15)38.341.579.8-3.340%-
Last 10 (10)35.339.674.9-4.340%-
Last 5 (5)35.037.272.2-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)35.844.480.2-8.518%-
vs Similar (3)42.040.782.7+1.367%-
vs Weaker (15)42.037.779.7+4.360%-
This opponent (Golden Eagle Ylli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden Eagle YlliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Prizreni
#8
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A29/12
Superliga
Bora
#7
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A08/01
Superliga
Trepca
#1
L
27-49
27
49
-22
A11/01
Superliga
Sigal Prishtina
#3
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H19/01
Superliga
Peja
#5
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A22/01
Superliga
Bashkimi
#2
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H25/01
Superliga
Vellaznimi
#6
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A02/02
Superliga
Vllaznia
#5
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A11/02
Liga Unike
Prizreni
#8
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H26/02
Superliga
Bora
#7
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H02/03
Superliga
77.0Avg total
38.1Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.337.875.1-0.537%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.435.973.2+1.543%-
Last 30 away (16)37.239.576.8-2.231%-
Last 10 (10)38.138.977.0-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)39.036.275.2+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)30.336.266.5-5.918%-
vs Similar (14)39.639.579.1+0.129%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)46.436.683.0+9.8100%-
This opponent (Tirana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tiranatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tirana: 73.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.419.2
52.7%
49.4%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.86.8
27.4%
30.2%20.4
🏀 Free throws20.314.3
70.4%
66.4%14.3
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Golden Eagle Yllitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden Eagle Ylli: 73.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.620.7
48.6%
49.4%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.86.5
27.3%
30.2%19.5
🏀 Free throws18.512.6
68.1%
66.4%12.6
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tirana
LWWWLLWLLL
Golden Eagle Ylli
LWWLLWLLLL
#6
League position
#2
-14.0
Net rating
-5.4
93.1
Offensive rating
95.3
107.1
Defensive rating
100.7
48.0%
Effective FG%
45.9%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
47.6%
23.9%
Turnover %
17.4%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.28
27.4%
3-point %
27.3%
66.2%
Assist %
51.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence93.1 · 95.3Defence107.1 · 100.7Shooting48.0% · 45.9%3-point %27.4% · 27.3%Ball care23.9% · 17.4%Off. rebounds27.2% · 26.6%Free throws0.33 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Tirana   ■ Golden Eagle Ylli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tirana wins
4
Golden Eagle Ylli wins
Tiranalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25HBeselidhja73-88
11/02/25ASigal Prishtina77-69
31/01/25HApolonia Fier87-71
26/01/25ATeuta Durres79-78
22/01/25AVllaznia68-107
18/01/25HVllaznia85-88
12/01/25HKamza Basket94-89 OT
22/12/24ABeselidhja59-91
18/12/24AGolden Eagle Ylli59-87
13/12/24AApolonia Fier75-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/25HBora67-73
26/02/25HPrizreni91-69
11/02/25AVllaznia83-67
02/02/25AVellaznimi70-92
25/01/25HBashkimi60-70
22/01/25APeja83-71
19/01/25HSigal Prishtina69-76
11/01/25ATrepca68-91
08/01/25ABora80-93
29/12/24APrizreni85-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tirana
Liga Unike 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game73.088.068.0
Allowed / game86.081.087.7
Point differential-13.0+7.0-19.7
Avg total159.0169.0155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Golden Eagle Ylli
Liga Unike 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game85.087.083.0
Allowed / game63.059.067.0
Point differential+22.0+28.0+16.0
Avg total148.0146.0150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden Eagle Ylli220100%85.063.0+22.0
2 Vellaznimi220100%93.587.5+6.0
3 Beselidhja43175%84.579.2+5.2
4 Sigal Prishtina21150%77.080.5-3.5
5 Tirana42250%73.086.0-13.0
6 Vllaznia41325%84.881.0+3.8
7 Bashkimi1010%77.081.0-4.0
8 Teuta Durres3030%81.090.7-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tirana1120141762
Golden Eagle Ylli302425887
← all games of the day
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