TMU vs Alberta Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Mar 2018

Tip-off: 22:00

Final 88-62

31-21 15-13 26-15 16-13

Position#9

Record20-7

FormWWWWL

Points / game80.9

Allowed / game73.4

TMU 🏆

Alberta

Position#3

Record23-2

FormWWWWL

Points / game87.0

Allowed / game67.2

U SportsU Sports - Quarter-finals

Other2017-18

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

TMU winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Alberta winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TMU

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Carleton

61-84

-23

H28/01

U Sports

Toronto

#19

96-76

+20

H03/02

U Sports

York

#46

88-71

+17

A07/02

U Sports

Queens

#29

86-78

A11/02

U Sports

Nipissing

#33

75-56

+19

H17/02

U Sports

Laurentian

#12

76-74

H18/02

U Sports

Queens

#29

103-79

103

+24

H22/02

U Sports

University of Ottawa

#10

77-69

A25/02

U Sports

Brock

69-63

A01/03

U Sports

Carleton

58-84

-26

A04/03

U Sports

18-25

11-23

18-17

14-19

24-17

15-26

35-21

22-12

22-9

19-22

23-18

24-22

20-15

21-20

22-14

23-29

18-15

17-9

15-14

25-18

15-16

20-23

15-17

26-18

21-17

28-31

19-18

35-13

21-23

15-15

16-13

25-18

20-21

19-14

12-12

18-16

18-18

16-24

9-23

15-19

152.3Avg total

78.9Scored

73.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	80.9	73.4	154.3	+7.4	74%
Season at home (13)	84.3	74.3	158.6	+10.0	85%
Season away (14)	77.6	72.6	150.2	+5.1	64%
Last 10 (10)	78.9	73.4	152.3	+5.5	80%
Last 5 (5)	76.6	73.8	150.4	+2.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	68.7	79.7	148.3	-11.0	17%
vs Similar (5)	80.8	80.8	161.6	+0.0	60%
vs Weaker (19)	82.8	68.7	151.6	+14.1	95%

This opponent (Alberta) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Alberta

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mount Royal

#31

73-64

A21/01

U Sports

MacEwan

#38

74-56

+18

A26/01

U Sports

MacEwan

#38

91-61

+30

H28/01

U Sports

Lethbridge

#16

93-88

A03/02

U Sports

Lethbridge

#16

97-96

A04/02

U Sports

UNBC

#26

98-64

+34

H16/02

U Sports

UNBC

#26

80-41

+39

H17/02

U Sports

Lethbridge

#16

109-66

109

+43

H24/02

U Sports

Lethbridge

#16

103-91

103

+12

H24/02

U Sports

Calgary

77-84

-7

H04/03

U Sports

18-19

19-16

22-25

14-4

18-20

18-12

24-8

14-16

17-15

23-10

28-14

23-22

26-16

20-15

29-25

18-32

17-14

28-22

23-35

29-25

26-15

23-19

18-17

31-13

17-14

17-11

25-5

21-11

29-12

29-20

38-15

13-19

22-20

33-18

21-26

27-27

24-19

17-21

20-23

16-21

160.6Avg total

89.5Scored

71.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	87.0	67.2	154.1	+19.8	92%
Season at home (15)	88.3	65.5	153.8	+22.7	87%
Season away (10)	85.0	69.6	154.6	+15.4	100%
Last 10 (10)	89.5	71.1	160.6	+18.4	90%
Last 5 (5)	93.4	69.2	162.6	+24.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	77.6	72.2	149.8	+5.4	60%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	89.0	68.4	157.4	+20.6	92%

This opponent (TMU) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

TMUAlberta

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	16.8	35.1	+1.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.6	17.4	36.0	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.0	16.3	34.3	+1.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	17.6	37.3	+2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	16.0	21.2	37.2	-5.2	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.4	18.4	36.8	+0.0	20%	-
vs Weaker (19)	19.0	15.0	34.0	+4.0	74%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	16.7	37.5	+4.1	73%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	21.4	16.1	37.4	+5.3	83%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.9	17.7	37.6	+2.2	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	16.4	37.8	+5.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	16.0	39.6	+7.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	20.6	14.0	34.6	+6.6	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	20.8	17.2	38.1	+3.6	68%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.0	38.5	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	18.8	38.4	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	19.1	38.5	+0.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	20.7	38.8	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	21.4	41.0	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	17.2	19.0	36.2	-1.8	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.6	19.2	39.8	+1.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (19)	19.9	18.9	38.8	+1.1	53%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	17.6	39.8	+4.6	77%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	23.5	17.2	40.7	+6.3	78%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.2	18.2	38.3	+2.0	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	16.4	39.1	+6.3	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	17.8	41.6	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	19.8	21.4	41.2	-1.6	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	22.6	16.8	39.5	+5.8	84%	-

TMULast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Carleton

29-48

-19

H28/01

U Sports

Toronto

#19

39-43

-4

H03/02

U Sports

York

#46

41-31

+10

A07/02

U Sports

Queens

#29

41-35

A11/02

U Sports

Nipissing

#33

35-24

+11

H17/02

U Sports

Laurentian

#12

35-39

-4

H18/02

U Sports

Queens

#29

49-48

H22/02

U Sports

University of Ottawa

#10

36-38

-2

A25/02

U Sports

Brock

39-35

A01/03

U Sports

Carleton

34-42

-8

A04/03

U Sports

76.1Avg total

37.8Scored

38.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	35.8	73.6	+2.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.3	36.1	74.4	+2.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.4	35.4	72.8	+1.9	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.8	38.3	76.1	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	40.4	79.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	33.2	40.2	73.3	-7.0	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	39.0	37.6	76.6	+1.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (19)	38.9	33.9	72.8	+5.1	68%	-

This opponent (Alberta) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AlbertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mount Royal

#31

37-35

A21/01

U Sports

MacEwan

#38

36-32

A26/01

U Sports

MacEwan

#38

40-25

+15

H28/01

U Sports

Lethbridge

#16

46-31

+15

A03/02

U Sports

Lethbridge

#16

45-36

A04/02

U Sports

UNBC

#26

49-34

+15

H16/02

U Sports

UNBC

#26

34-25

H17/02

U Sports

Lethbridge

#16

58-32

+26

H24/02

U Sports

Lethbridge

#16

55-38

+17

H24/02

U Sports

Calgary

41-40

H04/03

U Sports

76.9Avg total

44.1Scored

32.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.0	34.3	77.3	+8.7	80%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	44.9	33.3	78.2	+11.6	89%	-
Last 30 away (12)	40.1	35.8	75.9	+4.2	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.1	32.8	76.9	+11.3	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.4	33.8	81.2	+13.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	40.4	35.4	75.8	+5.0	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	43.5	34.1	77.6	+9.4	80%	-

This opponent (TMU) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.1	37.8	+1.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	18.2	38.6	+2.2	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	18.1	37.1	+1.0	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	16.7	35.1	+1.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.2	16.6	30.8	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	16.8	19.5	36.3	-2.7	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	15.2	18.8	34.0	-3.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (19)	21.8	17.5	39.3	+4.3	79%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	17.5	39.8	+4.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	22.4	17.9	40.4	+4.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	22.1	16.8	38.9	+5.2	83%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.8	19.3	44.1	+5.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	17.2	41.6	+7.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	19.6	18.8	38.4	+0.8	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	22.8	17.2	40.1	+5.6	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	17.8	38.7	+3.0	73%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.0	16.2	37.2	+4.8	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.8	19.2	40.0	+1.5	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	18.4	41.1	+4.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	16.8	40.6	+7.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	17.3	17.8	35.2	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	23.0	21.4	44.4	+1.6	80%	-
vs Weaker (19)	21.4	16.9	38.3	+4.5	79%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	16.9	38.5	+4.8	70%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	22.1	16.9	39.1	+5.2	72%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.0	16.8	37.8	+4.2	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	19.0	39.6	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	18.2	39.8	+3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	17.6	18.0	35.6	-0.4	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	22.5	16.6	39.1	+5.8	76%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	36.0	76.5	+4.6	77%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.4	34.4	75.9	+7.0	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.8	37.3	77.1	+2.5	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	35.1	76.2	+6.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	33.4	71.4	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	34.2	37.3	71.5	-3.2	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	38.2	40.2	78.4	-2.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (19)	43.2	34.4	77.6	+8.8	95%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.0	34.4	78.3	+9.6	70%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	44.6	34.9	79.4	+9.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (12)	43.1	33.6	76.7	+9.5	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.4	38.3	83.7	+7.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.0	35.4	81.4	+10.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	37.2	36.8	74.0	+0.4	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	45.3	33.9	79.2	+11.4	76%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

TMU wins

Alberta wins

No previous meetings.

TMUlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/03/18	A	Carleton	58-84
01/03/18	A	Brock	69-63
25/02/18	A	University of Ottawa	77-69
22/02/18	H	Queens	103-79
18/02/18	H	Laurentian	76-74
17/02/18	H	Nipissing	75-56
11/02/18	A	Queens	86-78
07/02/18	A	York	88-71
03/02/18	H	Toronto	96-76
28/01/18	H	Carleton	61-84

Albertalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/03/18	H	Calgary	77-84
24/02/18	H	Lethbridge	103-91
24/02/18	H	Lethbridge	109-66
17/02/18	H	UNBC	80-41
16/02/18	H	UNBC	98-64
04/02/18	A	Lethbridge	97-96
03/02/18	A	Lethbridge	93-88
28/01/18	H	MacEwan	91-61
26/01/18	A	MacEwan	74-56
21/01/18	A	Mount Royal	73-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

TMU

U Sports 2017-18

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	74%
Home	LWWWW	85%
Away	WWWWL	64%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	13	14
Win %	74%	85%	64%
Points / game	80.9	84.3	77.6
Allowed / game	73.4	74.3	72.6
Point differential	+7.4	+10.0	+5.1
Avg total	154.3	158.6	150.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	44%	54%	36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	80% (5)	0% (2)
Overtime %	11%	23%	0%

Alberta

U Sports 2017-18

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	92%
Home	WWWWL	87%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	15	10
Win %	92%	87%	100%
Points / game	87.0	88.3	85.0
Allowed / game	67.2	65.5	69.6
Point differential	+19.8	+22.7	+15.4
Avg total	154.1	153.8	154.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	76%	80%	70%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	100% (1)	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Carleton	26	26	0	100%	88.5	60.5	+27.9
2	Alberta	25	23	2	92%	87.0	67.2	+19.8
3	McGill	17	15	2	88%	87.7	65.5	+22.2
4	Calgary	26	22	4	85%	88.1	73.5	+14.6
5	Brock	27	22	5	81%	85.0	70.3	+14.7
6	UBC	24	19	5	79%	93.4	75.5	+18.0
7	UNB	23	18	5	78%	88.3	79.2	+9.2
8	Dalhousie	21	16	5	76%	84.4	72.3	+12.1
9	TMU	27	20	7	74%	80.9	73.4	+7.4
10	Acadia	21	15	6	71%	80.8	74.6	+6.2
11	University of Ottawa	24	17	7	71%	81.3	71.9	+9.4
12	Concordia	16	11	5	69%	75.7	72.9	+2.8
13	Laurentian	25	17	8	68%	83.5	77.3	+6.2
14	Saint Marys	21	14	7	67%	84.0	78.1	+5.9
15	Western	25	15	10	60%	77.8	77.7	+0.0
16	Lethbridge	24	14	10	58%	90.6	88.1	+2.5
17	Manitoba	23	13	10	57%	80.0	77.1	+2.9
18	Windsor	27	15	12	56%	83.9	86.5	-2.6
19	Toronto	24	13	11	54%	74.9	78.5	-3.6
20	Thompson Rivers	21	11	10	52%	77.4	77.8	-0.4
21	Regina	23	12	11	52%	83.2	85.0	-1.8
22	Laurier	26	13	13	50%	79.3	76.4	+2.9
23	Laval	16	8	8	50%	73.7	71.5	+2.2
24	StFX	23	11	12	48%	84.0	81.3	+2.6
25	Saskatchewan	23	11	12	48%	78.0	79.6	-1.6
26	UNBC	23	11	12	48%	77.8	83.4	-5.6
27	Victoria	21	10	11	48%	81.2	80.8	+0.4
28	Winnipeg	21	10	11	48%	76.9	80.8	-3.9
29	Queens	24	11	13	46%	80.2	82.0	-1.8
30	Brandon	21	9	12	43%	83.5	84.7	-1.1
31	Mount Royal	20	8	12	40%	79.5	80.5	-1.0
32	McMaster	25	10	15	40%	80.2	83.6	-3.4
33	Nipissing	23	8	15	35%	70.5	78.8	-8.3
34	Waterloo	25	8	17	32%	78.9	86.3	-7.4
35	Bishop's	16	5	11	31%	75.8	84.2	-8.4
36	Memorial	22	6	16	27%	75.9	85.4	-9.5
37	Guelph	24	6	18	25%	76.6	85.6	-9.0
38	MacEwan	20	5	15	25%	76.0	85.2	-9.2
39	Algoma	24	6	18	25%	70.7	81.4	-10.7
40	UFV	20	5	15	25%	74.7	85.8	-11.1
41	Trinity Western	20	3	17	15%	76.3	92.2	-15.8
42	UPEI	20	3	17	15%	67.2	85.0	-17.9
43	UQAM	16	2	14	12%	64.8	83.1	-18.2
44	Cape Breton	20	2	18	10%	79.6	91.8	-12.2
45	UBC Okanagan	20	2	18	10%	60.5	79.2	-18.6
46	York	23	2	21	9%	66.9	80.9	-14.0
47	Lakehead	24	2	22	8%	72.0	85.5	-13.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 47 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
TMU	31	15	26	16	88
Alberta	21	13	15	13	62

← all games of the day

TMU vs Alberta Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature