TMU vs Carleton Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Jan 2018

Tip-off: 01:00

Final 61-84

18-25 11-23 18-17 14-19

Position#9

Record12-5

FormLWWWW

Points / game82.0

Allowed / game73.4

TMU

Carleton 🏆

Position#1

Record17-0

FormWWWWW

Points / game89.5

Allowed / game61.4

U Sports

Other2017-18

Meetings · TMU v Carleton

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

TMU winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Carleton winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TMU

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Laurier

#22

80-70

+10

H26/11

U Sports

Toronto

#19

78-69

A30/11

U Sports

Lakehead

#47

98-52

+46

H03/12

U Sports

Carleton

80-89

-9

A06/01

U Sports

University of Ottawa

#10

73-81

-8

A07/01

U Sports

Laurentian

#12

83-88

-5

A13/01

U Sports

Nipissing

#33

89-79

+10

A14/01

U Sports

York

#46

83-70

+13

H18/01

U Sports

Queens

#29

94-81

+13

H20/01

U Sports

University of Ottawa

#10

95-92 OT

H27/01

U Sports

16-17

25-21

21-16

18-16

16-22

18-21

20-21

24-5

21-12

33-11

26-22

18-7

13-22

20-20

25-23

22-24

26-14

15-17

10-31

22-19

17-20

30-19

16-17

20-32

16-9

27-27

18-17

28-26

18-7

21-21

24-26

20-16

30-14

10-28

25-21

29-18

13-19

23-22

19-16

22-20

162.4Avg total

85.3Scored

77.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	82.0	73.4	155.4	+8.6	71%
Season at home (8)	85.6	74.6	160.2	+11.0	88%
Season away (9)	78.8	72.3	151.1	+6.4	56%
Last 10 (10)	85.3	77.1	162.4	+8.2	70%
Last 5 (5)	88.8	82.0	170.8	+6.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	77.4	81.6	159.0	-4.2	20%
vs Similar (3)	83.7	87.0	170.7	-3.3	33%
vs Weaker (22)	81.0	68.5	149.5	+12.5	91%

This opponent (Carleton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Carleton

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lakehead

#47

79-57

+22

A25/11

U Sports

McMaster

#32

83-40

+43

A02/12

U Sports

Brock

80-75 OT

A03/12

U Sports

TMU

89-80

H06/01

U Sports

Toronto

#19

103-54

103

+49

H07/01

U Sports

Queens

#29

97-68

+29

A13/01

U Sports

York

#46

78-68

+10

A14/01

U Sports

Laurentian

#12

71-67

H20/01

U Sports

Nipissing

#33

94-66

+28

H21/01

U Sports

Toronto

#19

97-53

+44

A27/01

U Sports

20-15

23-6

17-20

19-16

22-8

23-13

23-11

15-8

19-14

20-17

14-19

13-16

22-13

20-20

23-25

24-22

27-12

24-10

27-15

25-17

17-20

32-14

24-14

24-20

25-13

19-19

14-19

20-17

21-9

17-11

20-19

13-28

22-7

24-22

26-18

22-19

26-2

25-14

27-16

19-21

149.9Avg total

87.1Scored

62.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	89.5	61.4	150.9	+28.1	100%
Season at home (9)	87.8	62.9	150.7	+24.9	100%
Season away (8)	91.5	59.8	151.2	+31.8	100%
Last 10 (10)	87.1	62.8	149.9	+24.3	100%
Last 5 (5)	87.4	64.4	151.8	+23.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	88.8	60.9	149.8	+27.9	97%

This opponent (TMU) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

TMUCarleton

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	16.2	33.7	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.0	16.0	35.0	+3.0	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.2	16.4	32.6	-0.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	15.6	34.2	+3.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	13.8	32.6	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	15.2	19.4	34.6	-4.2	20%	-
vs Similar (3)	18.7	17.7	36.3	+1.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (22)	17.9	15.3	33.2	+2.5	59%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	12.5	34.3	+9.3	93%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.3	12.9	33.2	+7.4	94%	-
Last 30 away (13)	23.8	12.0	35.8	+11.8	92%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	11.3	33.4	+10.8	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	10.2	32.4	+12.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	21.8	12.5	34.3	+9.3	93%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	17.7	38.4	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.0	16.4	37.4	+4.6	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.4	18.8	39.2	+1.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	20.7	42.9	+1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	23.4	45.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	18.2	17.6	35.8	+0.6	20%	-
vs Similar (3)	22.7	19.3	42.0	+3.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (22)	21.0	17.5	38.5	+3.5	68%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	14.6	37.2	+7.9	87%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.0	14.8	35.8	+6.2	88%	-
Last 30 away (13)	24.6	14.4	39.0	+10.2	85%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	14.6	37.3	+8.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	16.0	39.4	+7.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	22.6	14.6	37.2	+7.9	87%	-

TMULast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Laurier

#22

41-38

H26/11

U Sports

Toronto

#19

34-43

-9

A30/11

U Sports

Lakehead

#47

54-23

+31

H03/12

U Sports

Carleton

33-42

-9

A06/01

U Sports

University of Ottawa

#10

41-31

+10

A07/01

U Sports

Laurentian

#12

47-39

A13/01

U Sports

Nipissing

#33

43-36

A14/01

U Sports

York

#46

39-28

+11

H18/01

U Sports

Queens

#29

40-42

-2

H20/01

U Sports

University of Ottawa

#10

36-41

-5

H27/01

U Sports

77.1Avg total

40.8Scored

36.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.2	33.9	72.1	+4.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.0	32.4	72.4	+7.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.6	35.2	71.8	+1.3	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	36.3	77.1	+4.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	37.2	78.2	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	33.4	37.0	70.4	-3.6	40%	-
vs Similar (3)	41.3	37.0	78.3	+4.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (22)	38.8	32.8	71.6	+6.0	73%	-

This opponent (Carleton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lakehead

#47

43-21

+22

A25/11

U Sports

McMaster

#32

45-21

+24

A02/12

U Sports

Brock

39-31

A03/12

U Sports

TMU

42-33

H06/01

U Sports

Toronto

#19

51-22

+29

H07/01

U Sports

Queens

#29

49-34

+15

A13/01

U Sports

York

#46

44-32

+12

A14/01

U Sports

Laurentian

#12

38-20

+18

H20/01

U Sports

Nipissing

#33

46-29

+17

H21/01

U Sports

Toronto

#19

51-16

+35

A27/01

U Sports

70.7Avg total

44.8Scored

25.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.4	27.1	71.5	+17.3	97%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	41.3	27.7	69.0	+13.6	94%	-
Last 30 away (13)	48.5	26.4	74.8	+22.1	100%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.8	25.9	70.7	+18.9	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.6	26.2	71.8	+19.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	44.4	27.1	71.5	+17.3	97%	-

This opponent (TMU) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	18.9	39.5	+1.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.6	18.4	40.1	+3.2	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	19.4	39.0	+0.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	21.0	41.4	-0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.4	39.8	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	20.2	22.0	42.2	-1.8	40%	-
vs Similar (3)	15.0	21.3	36.3	-6.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (22)	21.4	17.9	39.3	+3.5	73%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	16.4	39.0	+6.1	77%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	23.2	16.8	40.1	+6.4	82%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.7	15.9	37.6	+5.8	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	17.6	39.1	+3.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	17.2	39.4	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	22.6	16.4	39.0	+6.1	77%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	18.1	38.3	+2.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	16.5	35.4	+2.4	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	19.6	40.8	+1.7	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	18.3	40.6	+4.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	22.4	46.2	+1.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	22.2	20.0	42.2	+2.2	60%	-
vs Similar (3)	21.3	23.7	45.0	-2.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (22)	19.5	17.0	36.5	+2.5	68%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	17.1	38.5	+4.3	73%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.1	18.2	39.3	+2.8	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.8	15.5	37.4	+6.3	77%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	18.4	37.8	+1.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	21.0	40.6	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	21.4	17.1	38.5	+4.3	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	37.1	77.8	+3.6	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.5	34.9	75.4	+5.6	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.9	38.9	79.8	+1.9	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.7	39.3	82.0	+3.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	41.8	86.0	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	42.4	42.0	84.4	+0.4	40%	-
vs Similar (3)	36.3	45.0	81.3	-8.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (22)	40.9	34.9	75.8	+6.0	82%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.0	33.5	77.5	+10.5	73%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	44.3	35.1	79.4	+9.2	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	43.5	31.5	75.0	+12.1	77%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	36.0	76.9	+4.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	38.2	80.0	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	44.0	33.5	77.5	+10.5	73%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

TMU wins

Carleton wins

Date	Game	Score
06/01/18	Carleton v TMU	89-80
12/03/17	Carleton v TMU	78-69
05/03/17	Carleton v TMU	79-86
18/02/17	Carleton v TMU	82-77
23/01/16	TMU v Carleton	79-61
30/11/14	Carleton v TMU	91-73

TMUlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/01/18	H	University of Ottawa	95-92 OT
20/01/18	H	Queens	94-81
18/01/18	H	York	83-70
14/01/18	A	Nipissing	89-79
13/01/18	A	Laurentian	83-88
07/01/18	A	University of Ottawa	73-81
06/01/18	A	Carleton	80-89
03/12/17	H	Lakehead	98-52
30/11/17	A	Toronto	78-69
26/11/17	H	Laurier	80-70

Carletonlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/01/18	A	Toronto	97-53
21/01/18	H	Nipissing	94-66
20/01/18	H	Laurentian	71-67
14/01/18	A	York	78-68
13/01/18	A	Queens	97-68
07/01/18	H	Toronto	103-54
06/01/18	H	TMU	89-80
03/12/17	A	Brock	80-75 OT
02/12/17	A	McMaster	83-40
25/11/17	A	Lakehead	79-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

TMU

U Sports 2017-18

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	71%
Home	WWWWW	88%
Away	WLLLW	56%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	8	9
Win %	71%	88%	56%
Points / game	82.0	85.6	78.8
Allowed / game	73.4	74.6	72.3
Point differential	+8.6	+11.0	+6.4
Avg total	155.4	160.2	151.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	47%	50%	44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	75% (4)	0% (2)
Overtime %	18%	38%	0%

Carleton

U Sports 2017-18

Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	9	8
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	89.5	87.8	91.5
Allowed / game	61.4	62.9	59.8
Point differential	+28.1	+24.9	+31.8
Avg total	150.9	150.7	151.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	82%	78%	88%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	6%	0%	12%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Carleton	17	17	0	100%	89.5	61.4	+28.1
2	Alberta	17	16	1	94%	83.9	64.0	+19.9
3	Brock	17	15	2	88%	84.5	69.3	+15.2
4	Laurentian	16	14	2	88%	85.3	72.6	+12.8
5	Acadia	13	11	2	85%	78.5	71.9	+6.6
6	UBC	17	14	3	82%	93.9	75.3	+18.6
7	McGill	10	8	2	80%	90.4	66.5	+23.9
8	UNB	15	12	3	80%	90.9	80.1	+10.8
9	Dalhousie	14	11	3	79%	85.4	73.7	+11.7
10	Calgary	17	13	4	76%	86.8	73.5	+13.3
11	Laval	8	6	2	75%	75.2	69.2	+6.0
12	University of Ottawa	17	12	5	71%	81.6	71.5	+10.1
13	TMU	17	12	5	71%	82.0	73.4	+8.6
14	Lethbridge	17	12	5	71%	90.7	85.3	+5.4
15	Victoria	17	10	7	59%	82.9	78.0	+4.9
16	Thompson Rivers	17	10	7	59%	77.8	77.2	+0.6
17	Western	17	10	7	59%	74.3	74.5	-0.2
18	Manitoba	18	10	8	56%	81.2	76.8	+4.4
19	Concordia	9	5	4	56%	75.6	75.9	-0.3
20	Saint Marys	13	7	6	54%	84.2	80.2	+4.0
21	Queens	17	9	8	53%	80.9	80.4	+0.6
22	Regina	17	9	8	53%	83.1	83.5	-0.4
23	Toronto	17	9	8	53%	72.1	76.9	-4.8
24	Laurier	18	9	9	50%	78.6	76.4	+2.1
25	UNBC	19	9	10	47%	79.6	83.3	-3.6
26	Brandon	17	8	9	47%	85.4	85.4	+0.0
27	Saskatchewan	17	8	9	47%	77.1	77.2	-0.1
28	Windsor	17	8	9	47%	81.9	86.9	-5.1
29	Winnipeg	17	8	9	47%	78.8	84.6	-5.9
30	Nipissing	16	7	9	44%	70.3	76.6	-6.2
31	StFX	14	6	8	43%	84.9	84.5	+0.4
32	Mount Royal	17	7	10	41%	80.6	79.8	+0.8
33	Waterloo	17	7	10	41%	77.6	81.4	-3.8
34	Memorial	13	4	9	31%	80.1	88.0	-7.9
35	UFV	17	5	12	29%	75.9	86.2	-10.3
36	Bishop's	11	3	8	27%	77.0	87.0	-10.0
37	MacEwan	17	4	13	24%	74.3	83.2	-8.9
38	Algoma	17	4	13	24%	66.2	80.5	-14.4
39	McMaster	18	4	14	22%	76.6	83.4	-6.8
40	Guelph	18	4	14	22%	77.0	86.3	-9.3
41	UQAM	10	2	8	20%	67.3	84.7	-17.4
42	Cape Breton	13	2	11	15%	84.7	92.3	-7.6
43	York	17	2	15	12%	66.7	78.9	-12.2
44	Lakehead	17	2	15	12%	70.8	84.2	-13.4
45	UBC Okanagan	17	2	15	12%	61.2	80.5	-19.3
46	UPEI	13	1	12	8%	67.2	87.8	-20.5
47	Trinity Western	17	1	16	6%	73.4	92.6	-19.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 47 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
TMU	18	11	18	14	61
Carleton	25	23	17	19	84

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TMU vs Carleton Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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