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Tobol Kostanay vs Kapshagay Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 26 Jan 2018
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 104-93
22-27 26-17 34-27 22-22
Position#3
Record1-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game66.0
Allowed / game89.0
vs
Position#5
Record1-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game86.8
KazakhstanNational League
Other2017-18
Meetings · Tobol Kostanay v Kapshagay
26 Jan 2018
TOBO104
KAPS93
25 Jan 2018
TOBO91
KAPS68
16 Mar 2017
TOBO97
KAPS103
17 Feb 2017
TOBO92
KAPS67
09 Dec 2016
TOBO87
KAPS70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tobol Kostanay winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kapshagay winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tobol KostanayKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Almaty
#4
W
69-60
69
60
+9
A22/10
Premier League
Kaspiy Aktau
#5
L
68-85
68
85
-17
H16/11
Premier League
Atyrau
#2
W
78-70
78
70
+8
A17/11
Premier League
Almaty
#4
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A18/11
Premier League
Kokshetay
#7
W
104-79
104
79
+25
H29/11
Premier League
Kokshetay
#7
W
99-76
99
76
+23
H30/11
Premier League
Kokshetay
#7
W
101-76
101
76
+25
A01/12
Premier League
Astana
#1
L
48-110
48
110
-62
A13/12
National League
Astana
#1
L
59-89
59
89
-30
A14/12
National League
Kapshagay
#5
W
91-68
91
68
+23
H25/01
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
19-16
15-17
17-10
7-20
16-22
27-23
18-20
16-12
23-17
13-19
26-22
15-16
17-20
13-28
23-10
25-16
19-20
32-18
28-25
21-23
31-17
20-21
27-15
28-15
30-17
19-23
24-21
14-28
13-33
15-32
6-17
13-19
16-16
12-37
18-17
23-16
23-18
28-18
17-16
157.2Avg total
78.5Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)66.089.0155.0-23.033%
Season at home (1)91.068.0159.0+23.0100%
Season away (2)53.599.5153.0-46.00%
Last 10 (10)78.578.7157.2-0.260%
Last 5 (5)79.683.8163.4-4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)65.390.8156.2-25.533%
vs Similar (4)74.277.5151.8-3.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)95.577.8173.4+17.790%
This opponent (Kapshagay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KapshagayKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aktobe
#11
L
65-82
65
82
-17
A27/10
Premier League
Aktobe
#11
W
88-75
88
75
+13
A28/10
Premier League
Almaty
#4
W
84-60
84
60
+24
A29/11
Premier League
Almaty
#4
W
78-62
78
62
+16
A30/11
Premier League
Almaty
#4
W
83-62
83
62
+21
H01/12
Premier League
Kaspiy Aktau
#4
W
86-80
86
80
+6
H12/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#4
L
85-86
85
86
-1
H13/12
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
70-84
70
84
-14
H19/01
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
74-93
74
93
-19
H20/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#3
L
68-91
68
91
-23
A25/01
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-22
21-17
18-23
15-20
25-15
22-20
21-16
20-24
21-14
24-22
19-14
20-10
25-23
12-15
26-6
15-18
20-12
17-23
25-17
21-10
20-19
23-20
23-24
20-17
24-22
27-24
12-17
22-23
23-23
18-23
17-23
12-15
17-21
19-27
18-25
20-20
16-23
18-23
18-28
16-17
155.6Avg total
78.1Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)76.686.8163.4-10.220%
Season at home (4)78.885.8164.5-7.025%
Season away (1)68.091.0159.0-23.00%
Last 10 (10)78.177.5155.6+0.650%
Last 5 (5)76.686.8163.4-10.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)76.688.6165.1-12.022%
vs Similar (10)82.177.5159.6+4.650%
vs Weaker (11)83.472.3155.6+11.182%
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +0.7+0.7
Tobol KostanayKapshagay
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tobol KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Almaty
#4
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A22/10
Premier League
Kaspiy Aktau
#5
L
23-42
23
42
-19
H16/11
Premier League
Atyrau
#2
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A17/11
Premier League
Almaty
#4
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A18/11
Premier League
Kokshetay
#7
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H29/11
Premier League
Kokshetay
#7
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H30/11
Premier League
Kokshetay
#7
W
58-32
58
32
+26
A01/12
Premier League
Astana
#1
L
27-61
27
61
-34
A13/12
National League
Astana
#1
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A14/12
National League
Kapshagay
#5
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H25/01
National League
76.5Avg total
38.7Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.138.382.4+5.873%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.739.784.4+5.079%-
Last 30 away (16)43.637.180.7+6.469%-
Last 10 (10)38.737.876.5+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)42.440.482.8+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.246.080.2-11.833%-
vs Similar (4)34.534.869.2-0.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)49.036.885.8+12.290%-
This opponent (Kapshagay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KapshagayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aktobe
#11
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A27/10
Premier League
Aktobe
#11
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A28/10
Premier League
Almaty
#4
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A29/11
Premier League
Almaty
#4
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A30/11
Premier League
Almaty
#4
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H01/12
Premier League
Kaspiy Aktau
#4
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H12/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#4
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H13/12
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H19/01
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H20/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#3
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A25/01
National League
81.1Avg total
40.3Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.941.982.8-0.950%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.941.883.8+0.159%-
Last 30 away (13)39.641.981.5-2.338%-
Last 10 (10)40.340.881.1-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)41.045.086.0-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)38.445.283.7-6.833%-
vs Similar (10)41.444.686.0-3.240%-
vs Weaker (11)42.536.679.2+5.973%-
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Tobol Kostanay wins
3
Kapshagay wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/18HKapshagay91-68
14/12/17AAstana59-89
13/12/17AAstana48-110
01/12/17AKokshetay101-76
30/11/17HKokshetay99-76
29/11/17HKokshetay104-79
18/11/17AAlmaty68-74
17/11/17AAtyrau78-70
16/11/17HKaspiy Aktau68-85
22/10/17AAlmaty69-60
Kapshagaylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/18ATobol Kostanay68-91
20/01/18HAtyrau74-93
19/01/18HAtyrau70-84
13/12/17HKaspiy Aktau85-86
12/12/17HKaspiy Aktau86-80
01/12/17HAlmaty83-62
30/11/17AAlmaty78-62
29/11/17AAlmaty84-60
28/10/17AAktobe88-75
27/10/17AAktobe65-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tobol Kostanay
National League 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game66.091.053.5
Allowed / game89.068.099.5
Point differential-23.0+23.0-46.0
Avg total155.0159.0153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kapshagay
National League 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL20%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %20%25%0%
Points / game76.678.868.0
Allowed / game86.885.891.0
Point differential-10.2-7.0-23.0
Avg total163.4164.5159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astana330100%94.758.7+36.0
2 Atyrau220100%88.572.0+16.5
3 Kaspiy Aktau31233%78.385.3-7.0
4 Tobol Kostanay31233%66.089.0-23.0
5 Kapshagay51420%76.686.8-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tobol Kostanay22263422104
Kapshagay2717272293
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