Almaty vs Tobol Kostanay Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Nov 2017

Tip-off: 08:00

Final 74-68

16-15 20-17 28-13 10-23

Position#4

Record0-4

FormWLLLL

Points / game61.5

Allowed / game82.0

Almaty 🏆

Tobol Kostanay

Position#3

Record4-1

FormWWWLW

Points / game76.0

Allowed / game75.6

Premier League

Other2017-18

Meetings · Almaty v Tobol Kostanay

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Almaty winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Tobol Kostanay winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Almaty

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kapshagay

77-56

+21

H04/04

Premier League

Tobol Kostanay

84-93

-9

A05/04

Premier League

Kapshagay

96-95

A12/04

Premier League

Kapshagay

92-85

H13/04

Premier League

Tobol Kostanay

89-100

100

-11

A15/04

Premier League

Tobol Kostanay

98-97

H16/04

Premier League

Atyrau

59-99

-40

A20/10

Premier League

Kaspiy Aktau

63-72

-9

H21/10

Premier League

Tobol Kostanay

60-69

-9

H22/10

Premier League

Kaspiy Aktau

64-88

-24

A17/11

Premier League

24-19

24-11

18-11

11-15

22-26

27-26

18-26

17-15

29-24

31-25

17-22

19-24

26-25

26-30

17-21

23-9

19-25

22-23

21-23

27-29

29-21

21-26

27-32

21-18

16-24

16-29

11-17

18-16

18-26

10-14

17-16

17-18

16-19

17-15

10-17

16-16

14-23

16-24

18-25

163.6Avg total

78.2Scored

85.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	61.5	82.0	143.5	-20.5	0%
Season at home (2)	61.5	70.5	132.0	-9.0	0%
Season away (2)	61.5	93.5	155.0	-32.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	78.2	85.4	163.6	-7.2	40%
Last 5 (5)	68.8	85.0	153.8	-16.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	78.0	95.7	173.7	-17.7	11%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	79.7	81.4	161.1	-1.8	50%
vs Weaker (9)	97.4	76.2	173.7	+21.2	67%

This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kazygurt

79-63

+16

A13/04

Premier League

Almaty

100-89

100

+11

H15/04

Premier League

Almaty

97-98

-1

A16/04

Premier League

Astana

70-99

-29

A21/04

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

64-105

105

-41

H23/04

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

92-91

A20/10

Premier League

Atyrau

73-72

H21/10

Premier League

Almaty

69-60

A22/10

Premier League

Kaspiy Aktau

68-85

-17

H16/11

Premier League

Atyrau

78-70

A17/11

Premier League

25-16

22-23

15-11

17-13

25-19

23-22

23-21

29-27

21-29

26-21

32-27

18-21

20-32

21-27

10-19

19-21

16-28

16-30

17-17

15-30

23-8

23-20

23-26

23-37

16-21

21-13

14-15

22-23

18-17

19-16

15-17

17-10

7-20

16-22

27-23

18-20

16-12

23-17

13-19

26-22

162.2Avg total

79.0Scored

83.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	76.0	75.6	151.6	+0.4	80%
Season at home (2)	70.5	78.5	149.0	-8.0	50%
Season away (3)	79.7	73.7	153.3	+6.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	79.0	83.2	162.2	-4.2	60%
Last 5 (5)	76.0	75.6	151.6	+0.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	71.2	86.5	157.8	-15.2	50%
vs Similar ◀ (4)	76.2	75.5	151.8	+0.8	75%
vs Weaker (22)	91.9	78.3	170.2	+13.6	82%

This opponent (Almaty) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AlmatyTobol Kostanay

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	22.2	20.9	43.1	+1.4	52%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.4	20.3	43.7	+3.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.0	21.5	42.5	-0.5	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	21.4	43.0	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	19.0	38.2	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.9	24.2	45.1	-3.3	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	21.5	20.5	41.9	+1.0	55%	-
vs Weaker (9)	24.6	18.0	42.6	+6.6	78%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.1	40.3	+0.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.3	20.4	41.6	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	19.9	39.1	-0.8	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	20.2	38.9	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	15.6	31.6	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.0	23.2	40.2	-6.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	17.5	17.5	35.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (22)	21.2	20.0	41.3	+1.2	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.4	21.8	42.2	-1.4	38%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	19.9	41.0	+1.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	23.9	43.6	-4.3	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	23.8	45.3	-2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	24.6	41.6	-7.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.0	25.4	43.4	-7.4	11%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	21.1	21.2	42.3	-0.1	45%	-
vs Weaker (9)	22.0	19.0	41.0	+3.0	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.2	18.2	42.4	+5.9	73%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.6	19.2	42.8	+4.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	24.7	17.4	42.1	+7.3	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	21.1	42.1	-0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	17.6	38.0	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.2	21.8	42.0	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	20.8	19.2	40.0	+1.5	75%	-
vs Weaker (22)	25.5	17.4	42.9	+8.1	77%	-

AlmatyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kapshagay

48-30

+18

H04/04

Premier League

Tobol Kostanay

49-52

-3

A05/04

Premier League

Kapshagay

60-49

+11

A12/04

Premier League

Kapshagay

52-55

-3

H13/04

Premier League

Tobol Kostanay

41-48

-7

A15/04

Premier League

Tobol Kostanay

50-47

H16/04

Premier League

Atyrau

32-53

-21

A20/10

Premier League

Kaspiy Aktau

36-42

-6

H21/10

Premier League

Tobol Kostanay

33-37

-4

H22/10

Premier League

Kaspiy Aktau

30-39

-9

A17/11

Premier League

88.3Avg total

43.1Scored

45.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	42.7	42.7	85.3	-0.0	34%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.5	40.1	84.7	+4.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.6	45.4	86.1	-4.8	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.1	45.2	88.3	-2.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	43.6	79.8	-7.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	38.9	49.7	88.6	-10.8	11%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	42.5	41.6	84.2	+0.9	45%	-
vs Weaker (9)	46.6	37.0	83.6	+9.6	44%	-

This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Tobol KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kazygurt

47-39

A13/04

Premier League

Almaty

48-41

H15/04

Premier League

Almaty

47-50

-3

A16/04

Premier League

Astana

41-59

-18

A21/04

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

32-58

-26

H23/04

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

46-28

+18

A20/10

Premier League

Atyrau

37-34

H21/10

Premier League

Almaty

37-33

A22/10

Premier League

Kaspiy Aktau

23-42

-19

H16/11

Premier League

Atyrau

39-29

+10

A17/11

Premier League

81.0Avg total

39.7Scored

41.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.3	38.4	82.7	+6.0	77%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.9	39.6	84.4	+5.3	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	43.9	37.3	81.2	+6.6	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	41.3	81.0	-1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	33.2	69.6	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	37.2	45.0	82.2	-7.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	38.2	36.8	75.0	+1.5	75%	-
vs Weaker (22)	46.7	37.5	84.2	+9.3	82%	-

This opponent (Almaty) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.0	21.3	42.3	-0.3	41%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	19.6	41.1	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.5	23.1	43.6	-2.6	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	21.7	39.4	-4.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	22.8	40.0	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	21.2	25.1	46.3	-3.9	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	17.0	19.5	36.5	-2.5	27%	-
vs Weaker (9)	25.7	19.6	45.2	+6.1	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	20.5	42.2	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.3	21.4	44.7	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.4	19.7	40.1	+0.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	19.5	38.4	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	20.0	38.4	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	13.5	17.5	31.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (22)	23.5	21.3	44.9	+2.2	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.8	19.9	39.7	-0.1	38%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.6	18.4	37.0	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	21.5	42.6	-0.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	18.5	35.9	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	18.6	34.0	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	17.9	20.9	38.8	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	18.6	19.9	38.5	-1.3	27%	-
vs Weaker (9)	23.2	18.9	42.1	+4.3	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	20.2	41.2	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.6	21.4	42.9	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.5	19.1	39.6	+1.4	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	22.4	42.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	22.4	43.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.5	24.0	44.5	-3.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	18.0	19.8	37.8	-1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (22)	21.6	19.5	41.2	+2.1	59%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.8	41.2	82.0	-0.3	38%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.1	38.0	78.1	+2.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.6	44.6	86.2	-2.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.1	40.2	75.3	-5.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.6	41.4	74.0	-8.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	39.1	46.0	85.1	-6.9	11%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	35.6	39.5	75.1	-3.8	36%	-
vs Weaker (9)	48.9	38.4	87.3	+10.4	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.7	40.7	83.4	+2.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.9	42.8	87.6	+2.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.9	38.8	79.7	+2.1	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.3	41.9	81.2	-2.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	42.4	82.0	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	34.0	41.5	75.5	-7.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	38.0	38.8	76.8	-0.8	75%	-
vs Weaker (22)	45.2	40.9	86.0	+4.3	73%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Almaty wins

Tobol Kostanay wins

Date	Game	Score
22/10/17	Almaty v Tobol Kostanay	60-69
16/04/17	Almaty v Tobol Kostanay	98-97
15/04/17	Tobol Kostanay v Almaty	100-89
05/04/17	Tobol Kostanay v Almaty	93-84
18/03/17	Almaty v Tobol Kostanay	71-80
19/02/17	Tobol Kostanay v Almaty	105-69
25/01/17	Tobol Kostanay v Almaty	97-81
25/12/16	Tobol Kostanay v Almaty	97-87
11/12/16	Tobol Kostanay v Almaty	93-64
28/10/16	Tobol Kostanay v Almaty	70-69

Almatylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/11/17	A	Kaspiy Aktau	64-88
22/10/17	H	Tobol Kostanay	60-69
21/10/17	H	Kaspiy Aktau	63-72
20/10/17	A	Atyrau	59-99
16/04/17	H	Tobol Kostanay	98-97
15/04/17	A	Tobol Kostanay	89-100
13/04/17	H	Kapshagay	92-85
12/04/17	A	Kapshagay	96-95
05/04/17	A	Tobol Kostanay	84-93
04/04/17	H	Kapshagay	77-56

Tobol Kostanaylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/11/17	A	Atyrau	78-70
16/11/17	H	Kaspiy Aktau	68-85
22/10/17	A	Almaty	69-60
21/10/17	H	Atyrau	73-72
20/10/17	A	Kaspiy Aktau	92-91
23/04/17	H	Kaspiy Aktau	64-105
21/04/17	A	Astana	70-99
16/04/17	A	Almaty	97-98
15/04/17	H	Almaty	100-89
13/04/17	A	Kazygurt	79-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Almaty

Premier League 2017-18

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLL	0%
Home	LL	0%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	0%	0%	0%
Points / game	61.5	61.5	61.5
Allowed / game	82.0	70.5	93.5
Point differential	-20.5	-9.0	-32.0
Avg total	143.5	132.0	155.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Tobol Kostanay

Premier League 2017-18

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	80%
Home	WL	50%
Away	WWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	2	3
Win %	80%	50%	100%
Points / game	76.0	70.5	79.7
Allowed / game	75.6	78.5	73.7
Point differential	+0.4	-8.0	+6.0
Avg total	151.6	149.0	153.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Atyrau 2	3	3	0	100%	78.0	69.0	+9.0
2	Tobol Kostanay	5	4	1	80%	76.0	75.6	+0.4
3	Kapshagay	4	3	1	75%	82.2	75.2	+7.0
4	Pavlodar	4	3	1	75%	71.8	69.2	+2.5
5	Kokshetay	5	3	2	60%	80.8	67.6	+13.2
6	Atyrau	5	3	2	60%	78.4	66.4	+12.0
7	Kaspiy Aktau	6	3	3	50%	76.3	73.0	+3.3
8	Bars Petropavlovsk	5	2	3	40%	67.6	80.8	-13.2
9	Kazygurt	4	1	3	25%	69.2	71.8	-2.5
10	Aktobe	4	1	3	25%	75.2	82.2	-7.0
11	Astana 2	3	0	3	0%	69.0	78.0	-9.0
12	Almaty	4	0	4	0%	61.5	82.0	-20.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Almaty	16	20	28	10	74
Tobol Kostanay	15	17	13	23	68

← all games of the day

Almaty vs Tobol Kostanay Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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