Tochigi Brex vs Brave Thunders Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 23 Dec 2014

Tip-off: 06:00

Final 80-65

21-20 18-9 12-13 29-23

Position#3

Record16-6

FormWWWWW

Points / game84.0

Allowed / game74.0

Tochigi Brex 🏆

Brave Thunders

Position#5

Record13-7

FormLWLWW

Points / game80.8

Allowed / game74.0

NBLRound 12

Other2014-15

Meetings · Tochigi Brex v Brave Thunders

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tochigi Brex winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Brave Thunders winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tochigi Brex Japan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

SeaHorses Mikawa

75-85

-10

A22/11

NBL

SeaHorses Mikawa

69-75

-6

A23/11

NBL

Brave Thunders

76-90

-14

H29/11

NBL

Brave Thunders

75-81

-6

H30/11

NBL

Sun Rockers

77-57

+20

A05/12

NBL

Sun Rockers

88-76

+12

A06/12

NBL

Tsukuba

#12

103-58

103

+45

H12/12

NBL

Tsukuba

#12

101-62

101

+39

H13/12

NBL

Hokkaido

67-56

+11

A19/12

NBL

Hokkaido

87-72

+15

A20/12

NBL

17-24

19-20

22-21

17-20

22-21

14-13

17-23

16-18

20-19

17-21

21-20

18-30

23-20

16-14

19-24

17-23

17-10

22-10

25-17

13-20

23-27

18-14

20-18

27-17

25-15

22-13

28-19

28-11

28-18

20-13

28-16

25-15

23-16

14-14

15-12

15-14

22-16

18-19

29-21

18-16

153.0Avg total

81.8Scored

71.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	84.0	74.0	158.0	+10.0	73%
Season at home (10)	82.7	75.7	158.4	+7.0	60%
Season away (12)	85.1	72.7	157.8	+12.4	83%
Last 10 (10)	81.8	71.2	153.0	+10.6	60%
Last 5 (5)	89.2	64.8	154.0	+24.4	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	80.0	86.7	166.7	-6.7	33%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	79.6	78.9	158.6	+0.7	50%
vs Weaker (13)	88.9	70.8	159.7	+18.2	92%

This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Brave Thunders Japan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Chiba

84-85

-1

A22/11

NBL

Chiba

75-63

+12

A23/11

NBL

Tochigi Brex

90-76

+14

A29/11

NBL

Tochigi Brex

81-75

A30/11

NBL

Diamond Dolphins

90-75

+15

H05/12

NBL

Diamond Dolphins

85-97

-12

H06/12

NBL

Sun Rockers

85-79

H13/12

NBL

Sun Rockers

57-71

-14

H14/12

NBL

Tsukuba

#12

79-53

+26

A19/12

NBL

Tsukuba

#12

86-49

+37

A20/12

NBL

20-26

31-19

16-23

17-17

15-12

18-11

21-20

19-20

21-17

20-21

30-18

20-23

14-16

24-19

23-17

30-9

17-21

18-21

25-24

28-20

20-27

16-26

21-24

21-22

18-14

22-20

24-23

15-18

13-16

13-23

16-14

20-9

21-16

18-19

22-11

23-15

24-10

17-13

153.5Avg total

81.2Scored

72.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	80.8	74.0	154.9	+6.8	65%
Season at home (8)	82.4	79.1	161.5	+3.2	50%
Season away (12)	79.8	70.7	150.5	+9.2	75%
Last 10 (10)	81.2	72.3	153.5	+8.9	70%
Last 5 (5)	78.4	69.8	148.2	+8.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	73.7	77.0	150.7	-3.3	50%
vs Similar ◀ (11)	78.2	75.5	153.7	+2.6	73%
vs Weaker (13)	84.5	68.2	152.7	+16.2	85%

This opponent (Tochigi Brex) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Tochigi BrexBrave Thunders

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	19.5	41.5	+2.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.2	19.3	40.5	+1.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	22.6	19.7	42.4	+2.9	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	18.6	40.6	+3.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	18.4	42.6	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.0	23.7	44.7	-2.7	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	20.6	20.0	40.6	+0.6	57%	-
vs Weaker (13)	23.7	18.1	41.8	+5.6	85%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	18.5	38.8	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.7	19.5	42.2	+3.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	17.6	35.8	+0.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	17.0	38.0	+4.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	16.0	37.2	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	15.0	19.7	34.7	-4.7	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	20.1	21.8	41.9	-1.7	18%	-
vs Weaker (13)	23.0	15.1	38.1	+7.9	92%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	16.8	35.8	+2.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.9	16.5	36.5	+3.4	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.4	16.9	35.3	+1.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	15.1	33.1	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	14.6	33.0	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.3	21.3	40.7	-2.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	16.8	17.2	34.0	-0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (13)	21.4	15.2	36.6	+6.2	85%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	16.6	34.8	+1.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.7	17.6	34.3	-0.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.5	15.7	35.2	+3.8	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	16.5	36.0	+3.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	16.2	35.0	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.2	16.7	35.8	+2.5	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	16.2	16.8	33.0	-0.6	55%	-
vs Weaker (13)	19.5	16.3	35.8	+3.2	69%	-

Tochigi BrexLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

SeaHorses Mikawa

36-44

-8

A22/11

NBL

SeaHorses Mikawa

36-34

A23/11

NBL

Brave Thunders

37-40

-3

H29/11

NBL

Brave Thunders

39-34

H30/11

NBL

Sun Rockers

39-20

+19

A05/12

NBL

Sun Rockers

41-41

A06/12

NBL

Tsukuba

#12

47-28

+19

H12/12

NBL

Tsukuba

#12

48-31

+17

H13/12

NBL

Hokkaido

37-30

A19/12

NBL

Hokkaido

40-35

A20/12

NBL

73.7Avg total

40.0Scored

33.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.0	36.3	77.3	+4.7	70%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	41.1	35.8	76.9	+5.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	41.0	36.6	77.6	+4.4	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	33.7	73.7	+6.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	33.0	75.6	+9.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	40.3	45.0	85.3	-4.7	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	37.4	37.2	74.6	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (13)	45.1	33.3	78.4	+11.8	92%	-

This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Brave ThundersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Chiba

51-45

A22/11

NBL

Chiba

33-23

+10

A23/11

NBL

Tochigi Brex

40-37

A29/11

NBL

Tochigi Brex

34-39

-5

A30/11

NBL

Diamond Dolphins

47-30

+17

H05/12

NBL

Diamond Dolphins

48-47

H06/12

NBL

Sun Rockers

39-36

H13/12

NBL

Sun Rockers

28-34

-6

H14/12

NBL

Tsukuba

#12

40-18

+22

A19/12

NBL

Tsukuba

#12

45-26

+19

A20/12

NBL

74.0Avg total

40.5Scored

33.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.5	35.0	73.6	+3.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.4	37.1	76.5	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.8	33.2	71.0	+4.5	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	33.5	74.0	+7.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	32.2	72.2	+7.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	34.2	36.3	70.5	-2.2	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	36.3	38.6	74.9	-2.4	27%	-
vs Weaker (13)	42.5	31.4	73.8	+11.1	100%	-

This opponent (Tochigi Brex) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	19.5	41.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.1	20.9	42.0	+0.2	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.8	18.4	40.2	+3.5	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	19.1	41.5	+3.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	17.2	41.2	+6.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.7	16.7	37.3	+4.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	21.3	20.4	41.7	+0.9	57%	-
vs Weaker (13)	21.9	19.1	41.0	+2.8	69%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	18.2	39.3	+2.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	18.5	39.6	+2.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.0	18.0	39.0	+3.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	19.9	39.4	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	19.0	38.2	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.0	20.0	37.0	-3.0	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	22.5	17.5	40.1	+5.0	73%	-
vs Weaker (13)	21.7	18.0	39.7	+3.7	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.4	41.6	+0.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.5	20.2	41.6	+1.3	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.9	20.6	41.5	+0.4	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	18.4	37.8	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	14.6	37.2	+8.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.0	25.0	44.0	-6.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	20.9	21.3	42.2	-0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (13)	21.9	18.4	40.3	+3.5	69%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	19.0	38.8	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	20.2	40.8	+0.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	18.0	37.1	+1.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	18.9	40.1	+2.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	18.6	37.8	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.5	18.8	38.3	+0.7	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.4	19.4	38.7	+0.0	55%	-
vs Weaker (13)	20.3	18.8	39.2	+1.5	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.7	39.9	82.5	+2.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	42.5	41.1	83.6	+1.5	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	42.8	38.9	81.7	+3.8	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	37.5	79.3	+4.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.6	31.8	78.4	+14.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	39.7	41.7	81.3	-2.0	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	42.2	41.7	83.9	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (13)	43.8	37.5	81.3	+6.4	77%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.9	37.3	78.1	+3.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.7	38.7	80.4	+3.0	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.1	36.0	76.1	+4.1	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.7	38.8	79.5	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	37.6	76.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	36.5	38.8	75.3	-2.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	41.9	36.9	78.8	+5.0	73%	-
vs Weaker (13)	42.0	36.8	78.8	+5.2	69%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Tochigi Brex wins

Brave Thunders wins

Date	Game	Score
30/11/14	Tochigi Brex v Brave Thunders	75-81
29/11/14	Tochigi Brex v Brave Thunders	76-90
11/10/14	Brave Thunders v Tochigi Brex	75-92
10/10/14	Brave Thunders v Tochigi Brex	84-87
30/03/14	Tochigi Brex v Brave Thunders	89-85 OT
29/03/14	Tochigi Brex v Brave Thunders	87-92 OT
01/12/13	Brave Thunders v Tochigi Brex	86-64
30/11/13	Brave Thunders v Tochigi Brex	109-80
27/10/13	Tochigi Brex v Brave Thunders	88-79
26/10/13	Tochigi Brex v Brave Thunders	69-83

Tochigi Brexlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/12/14	A	Hokkaido	87-72
19/12/14	A	Hokkaido	67-56
13/12/14	H	Tsukuba	101-62
12/12/14	H	Tsukuba	103-58
06/12/14	A	Sun Rockers	88-76
05/12/14	A	Sun Rockers	77-57
30/11/14	H	Brave Thunders	75-81
29/11/14	H	Brave Thunders	76-90
23/11/14	A	SeaHorses Mikawa	69-75
22/11/14	A	SeaHorses Mikawa	75-85

Brave Thunderslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/12/14	A	Tsukuba	86-49
19/12/14	A	Tsukuba	79-53
14/12/14	H	Sun Rockers	57-71
13/12/14	H	Sun Rockers	85-79
06/12/14	H	Diamond Dolphins	85-97
05/12/14	H	Diamond Dolphins	90-75
30/11/14	A	Tochigi Brex	81-75
29/11/14	A	Tochigi Brex	90-76
23/11/14	A	Chiba	75-63
22/11/14	A	Chiba	84-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tochigi Brex

NBL 2014-15

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	73%
Home	WLLWW	60%
Away	LWWWW	83%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	10	12
Win %	73%	60%	83%
Points / game	84.0	82.7	85.1
Allowed / game	74.0	75.7	72.7
Point differential	+10.0	+7.0	+12.4
Avg total	158.0	158.4	157.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	64%	50%	75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Brave Thunders

NBL 2014-15

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	65%
Home	WWLWL	50%
Away	WWWWW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	8	12
Win %	65%	50%	75%
Points / game	80.8	82.4	79.8
Allowed / game	74.0	79.1	70.7
Point differential	+6.8	+3.2	+9.2
Avg total	154.9	161.5	150.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	38%	58%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	5%	0%	8%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	SeaHorses Mikawa	19	19	0	100%	86.6	64.2	+22.4
2	Sun Rockers	22	18	4	82%	83.0	73.0	+10.0
3	Tochigi Brex	22	16	6	73%	84.0	74.0	+10.0
4	Diamond Dolphins	21	15	6	71%	83.5	73.9	+9.7
5	Brave Thunders	20	13	7	65%	80.8	74.0	+6.8
6	Alvark	20	12	8	60%	82.8	75.4	+7.3
7	Chiba	22	12	10	55%	75.5	74.2	+1.4
8	Hiroshima D.	21	11	10	52%	71.6	69.5	+2.1
9	Kobe	20	8	12	40%	74.7	78.3	-3.7
10	Trians	19	4	15	21%	64.4	81.7	-17.3
11	Hokkaido	22	4	18	18%	72.8	81.1	-8.3
12	Kumamoto	18	2	16	11%	67.2	85.6	-18.3
13	Tsukuba	22	0	22	0%	63.1	86.3	-23.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Tochigi Brex	21	18	12	29	80
Brave Thunders	20	9	13	23	65

← all games of the day

Tochigi Brex vs Brave Thunders Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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