Tochigi Brex vs Niigata Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Mar 2017

Tip-off: 06:00

Final 89-70

21-19 21-13 25-12 22-26

Position#2

Record32-9

FormWLWWL

Points / game80.9

Allowed / game70.0

Tochigi Brex 🏆

Niigata

Position#11

Record19-22

FormWLLLL

Points / game78.3

Allowed / game80.3

B League

Other2016-17

Meetings · Tochigi Brex v Niigata

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tochigi Brex winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Niigata winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tochigi Brex Japan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sun Rockers

82-78 OT

A29/01

B League

Osaka

86-57

+29

A04/02

B League

Osaka

76-68

A05/02

B League

NeoPhoenix

93-69

+24

H18/02

B League

NeoPhoenix

93-88

H19/02

B League

Alvark

77-76

A22/02

B League

Toyama

#15

81-91

-10

H25/02

B League

Toyama

#15

102-76

102

+26

H26/02

B League

Alvark

74-66

A05/03

B League

Alvark

73-89

-16

A06/03

B League

17-12

14-20

16-13

21-23

19-15

24-11

25-15

18-16

17-13

24-16

12-18

23-21

24-8

18-14

22-15

29-32

29-18

12-15

25-26

27-29

23-26

16-15

18-14

20-21

15-25

20-18

20-16

26-32

31-12

22-16

22-24

27-24

15-24

24-19

15-13

20-10

19-18

22-23

10-25

22-23

159.5Avg total

83.7Scored

75.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (41)	80.9	70.0	150.9	+10.9	78%
Season at home (20)	82.2	71.5	153.7	+10.7	70%
Season away (21)	79.7	68.6	148.2	+11.1	86%
Last 10 (10)	83.7	75.8	159.5	+7.9	80%
Last 5 (5)	81.4	79.6	161.0	+1.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	73.3	73.0	146.3	+0.3	56%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	82.9	70.3	153.2	+12.6	86%

This opponent (Niigata) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Niigata

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Diamond Dolphins

#10

74-85

-11

H22/01

B League

Ryukyu

82-74

A28/01

B League

Ryukyu

74-77

-3

A29/01

B League

SeaHorses Mikawa

74-91

-17

H04/02

B League

SeaHorses Mikawa

67-76

-9

H05/02

B League

Kyoto

#12

79-75

H18/02

B League

Kyoto

#12

75-85

-10

H19/02

B League

Sun Rockers

84-94

-10

A22/02

B League

Osaka

85-100

100

-15

H25/02

B League

Osaka

60-71

-11

H26/02

B League

16-22

11-22

28-16

19-25

23-22

15-16

22-19

22-17

21-15

24-24

14-22

15-16

21-21

15-25

16-27

22-18

23-20

21-14

10-25

13-17

12-27

17-10

19-22

31-16

22-23

8-20

18-13

27-29

29-25

18-17

12-27

25-25

24-27

15-25

22-19

24-29

20-11

18-12

9-24

13-24

158.2Avg total

75.4Scored

82.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (41)	78.3	80.3	158.6	-2.0	46%
Season at home (22)	78.0	79.5	157.5	-1.4	50%
Season away (19)	78.5	81.3	159.8	-2.7	42%
Last 10 (10)	75.4	82.8	158.2	-7.4	20%
Last 5 (5)	76.6	85.0	161.6	-8.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	76.3	87.1	163.4	-10.8	9%
vs Similar (17)	78.4	77.4	155.8	+1.1	59%
vs Weaker (2)	84.5	82.0	166.5	+2.5	100%

This opponent (Tochigi Brex) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Tochigi BrexNiigata

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	15.6	34.6	+3.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	16.0	36.4	+4.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.8	15.3	33.1	+2.4	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	17.1	38.0	+3.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	21.0	41.6	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	19.6	18.4	38.0	+1.1	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	18.7	14.4	33.1	+4.3	62%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	19.8	39.6	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.8	20.2	39.1	-1.4	29%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.2	19.2	40.4	+1.9	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	21.3	42.4	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	22.6	44.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	20.6	20.3	40.9	+0.4	45%	-
vs Similar (17)	19.4	19.1	38.5	+0.3	53%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.0	23.0	42.0	-4.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	15.8	36.8	+5.2	77%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	14.8	35.1	+5.6	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.6	16.6	38.2	+4.9	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	16.7	36.3	+2.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.2	39.0	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	19.8	16.1	35.9	+3.7	78%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	21.5	15.6	37.1	+5.9	76%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	18.5	35.9	-1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	16.7	18.1	34.8	-1.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.5	19.0	37.5	-0.5	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.2	18.5	34.7	-2.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	16.8	32.0	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	16.2	19.9	36.1	-3.7	36%	-
vs Similar (17)	17.9	17.6	35.6	+0.3	59%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	17.5	38.0	+3.0	50%	-

Tochigi BrexLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sun Rockers

31-32

-1

A29/01

B League

Osaka

43-26

+17

A04/02

B League

Osaka

41-29

+12

A05/02

B League

NeoPhoenix

42-22

+20

H18/02

B League

NeoPhoenix

41-33

H19/02

B League

Alvark

39-41

-2

A22/02

B League

Toyama

#15

35-43

-8

H25/02

B League

Toyama

#15

53-28

+25

H26/02

B League

Alvark

39-43

-4

A05/03

B League

Alvark

41-41

A06/03

B League

74.3Avg total

40.5Scored

33.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	31.4	71.4	+8.6	73%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.7	30.8	71.5	+9.9	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.3	31.9	71.2	+7.4	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	33.8	74.3	+6.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	39.2	80.6	+2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	39.3	34.6	73.9	+4.8	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	40.2	30.0	70.3	+10.2	81%	-

This opponent (Niigata) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

NiigataLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Diamond Dolphins

#10

27-44

-17

H22/01

B League

Ryukyu

38-38

A28/01

B League

Ryukyu

45-39

A29/01

B League

SeaHorses Mikawa

36-46

-10

H04/02

B League

SeaHorses Mikawa

44-34

+10

H05/02

B League

Kyoto

#12

29-37

-8

H18/02

B League

Kyoto

#12

30-43

-13

H19/02

B League

Sun Rockers

47-42

A22/02

B League

Osaka

39-52

-13

H25/02

B League

Osaka

38-23

+15

H26/02

B League

77.1Avg total

37.3Scored

39.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.3	38.3	75.6	-1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	35.5	38.3	73.8	-2.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	39.6	38.2	77.8	+1.4	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.3	39.8	77.1	-2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	39.4	76.0	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	36.8	40.2	77.0	-3.4	36%	-
vs Similar (17)	37.4	36.8	74.1	+0.6	59%	-
vs Weaker (2)	39.5	40.5	80.0	-1.0	50%	-

This opponent (Tochigi Brex) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	18.8	37.5	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.3	20.5	38.8	-2.2	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	17.3	36.4	+1.8	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	17.9	36.4	+0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	18.4	35.4	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	15.2	20.9	36.1	-5.7	22%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	20.2	17.9	38.1	+2.3	52%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	21.8	40.3	-3.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.7	21.5	41.2	-1.8	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.1	22.1	39.2	-5.0	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	21.4	38.4	-4.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	21.0	37.0	-5.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	18.2	23.7	41.9	-5.5	18%	-
vs Similar (17)	18.2	20.2	38.4	-2.1	47%	-
vs Weaker (2)	24.0	24.0	48.0	+0.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	20.6	41.4	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.1	21.4	44.4	+1.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	19.9	38.8	-0.9	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	23.1	46.4	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	22.0	45.0	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	18.8	17.6	36.3	+1.2	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	21.8	21.9	43.6	-0.1	48%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	21.2	43.4	+1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.3	21.4	43.7	+0.9	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.0	20.9	42.9	+1.1	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	21.6	42.7	-0.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	24.6	48.6	-0.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	21.3	23.2	44.5	-1.9	27%	-
vs Similar (17)	22.9	20.4	43.2	+2.5	59%	-
vs Weaker (2)	21.0	17.5	38.5	+3.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	39.4	79.0	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.4	41.9	83.2	-0.5	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.1	37.2	75.2	+0.9	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	41.0	82.8	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	40.4	80.4	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	34.0	38.4	72.4	-4.4	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	42.0	39.8	81.8	+2.2	52%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	43.0	83.7	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	42.0	42.9	84.9	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	39.1	43.0	82.1	-3.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	43.0	81.1	-4.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	45.6	85.6	-5.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	39.5	46.9	86.4	-7.5	0%	-
vs Similar (17)	41.1	40.6	81.6	+0.5	65%	-
vs Weaker (2)	45.0	41.5	86.5	+3.5	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Tochigi Brex wins

Niigata wins

No previous meetings.

Tochigi Brexlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/03/17	A	Alvark	73-89
05/03/17	A	Alvark	74-66
26/02/17	H	Toyama	102-76
25/02/17	H	Toyama	81-91
22/02/17	A	Alvark	77-76
19/02/17	H	NeoPhoenix	93-88
18/02/17	H	NeoPhoenix	93-69
05/02/17	A	Osaka	76-68
04/02/17	A	Osaka	86-57
29/01/17	A	Sun Rockers	82-78 OT

Niigatalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/02/17	H	Osaka	60-71
25/02/17	H	Osaka	85-100
22/02/17	A	Sun Rockers	84-94
19/02/17	H	Kyoto	75-85
18/02/17	H	Kyoto	79-75
05/02/17	H	SeaHorses Mikawa	67-76
04/02/17	H	SeaHorses Mikawa	74-91
29/01/17	A	Ryukyu	74-77
28/01/17	A	Ryukyu	82-74
22/01/17	H	Diamond Dolphins	74-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tochigi Brex

B League 2016-17

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	78%
Home	LWWLW	70%
Away	WWWWL	86%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	41	20	21
Win %	78%	70%	86%
Points / game	80.9	82.2	79.7
Allowed / game	70.0	71.5	68.6
Point differential	+10.9	+10.7	+11.1
Avg total	150.9	153.7	148.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	51%	50%	52%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (9)	60% (5)	75% (4)
Overtime %	2%	0%	5%

Niigata

B League 2016-17

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	46%
Home	LWLLL	50%
Away	LLWLL	42%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	41	22	19
Win %	46%	50%	42%
Points / game	78.3	78.0	78.5
Allowed / game	80.3	79.5	81.3
Point differential	-2.0	-1.4	-2.7
Avg total	158.6	157.5	159.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	23%	16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	64% (14)	62% (8)	67% (6)
Overtime %	2%	5%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Brave Thunders	42	36	6	86%	84.6	75.1	+9.4
2	Tochigi Brex	41	32	9	78%	80.9	70.0	+10.9
3	Alvark	42	32	10	76%	83.7	76.0	+7.8
4	SeaHorses Mikawa	41	31	10	76%	81.7	74.3	+7.4
5	Chiba	41	28	13	68%	80.6	73.9	+6.7
6	NeoPhoenix	41	25	16	61%	77.5	76.2	+1.3
7	Diamond Dolphins	41	21	20	51%	77.7	75.8	+1.9
8	Osaka	42	21	21	50%	74.5	75.8	-1.3
9	Sun Rockers	41	20	21	49%	74.2	73.6	+0.6
10	Kyoto	42	20	22	48%	73.9	75.0	-1.2
11	Niigata	41	19	22	46%	78.3	80.3	-2.0
12	Ryukyu	41	17	24	41%	74.4	77.7	-3.3
13	Yokohama	41	14	27	34%	74.3	79.0	-4.8
14	Hokkaido	41	14	27	34%	73.3	79.6	-6.3
15	Akita	41	11	30	27%	69.8	74.0	-4.2
16	Sendai	41	11	30	27%	71.1	80.6	-9.5
17	Shiga	41	10	31	24%	73.1	78.4	-5.3
18	Toyama	41	9	32	22%	75.7	84.0	-8.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Tochigi Brex	21	21	25	22	89
Niigata	19	13	12	26	70

← all games of the day

Tochigi Brex vs Niigata Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature