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ToPo Helsinki vs Jyvaskyla Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 20 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Projected 83-83
Projected total 166.2
Scheduled
Position#8
Record2-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game81.8
Vs
53%
47%
■ TOPO 53%■ JYVA 47%
Pythia win probability
Position#5
Record3-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game85.3
FinlandI Divisioona A· Munkkiniemen Yhteiskoulu
Other2026-27
Meetings · ToPo Helsinki v Jyvaskyla
20 Nov 2026
TOPO v JYVA
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
TOPO76
JYVA63
16 Nov 2024
TOPO99
JYVA76
08 Apr 2024
TOPO73
JYVA80
28 Oct 2023
TOPO83
JYVA92
04 Mar 2023
TOPO101
JYVA97
16 Oct 2021
TOPO98
JYVA61
14 Mar 2021
TOPO92
JYVA77
Sections
Game preview & prediction

ToPo Helsinki and Jyvaskyla face off in the I Divisioona A on 20 November 2026, a contest that feels almost evenly matched as neither side holds a clear edge. ToPo Helsinki, positioned eighth after five games, has a 2-3 record, averaging 84.4 points scored and 81.8 points allowed, while at home they are 1-2 with 81.3 points for and 83.0 against. Their last five games include a win over Huima 80-75 at home and a loss to Raholan Pyrkiva 90-92 at home. Jyvaskyla, in fifth place after six games, sits at 3-3, scoring 84.5 points and conceding 85.3, and on the road they are 2-1, posting 83.3 points for and 79.0 against. Their recent outings feature a 79-68 win over Pyrinto Akatemia away and a 73-78 loss at home to Lappeenranta. Historically, Jyvaskyla leads 6-4 in ten meetings, most recently beating ToPo Helsinki 76-63 on 15 March 2026. Pythia gives ToPo Helsinki a 53% chance to win versus 47% for Jyvaskyla, projecting a 83-83 tie and a total of 166.2 points, with a 5% chance of overtime. The model sees a 53% probability that ToPo Helsinki covers the line. The game will likely hinge on how well Jyvaskyla can contain ToPo Helsinki's home-court scoring.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

ToPo Helsinki win
52.7%fair 1.90
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Jyvaskyla win
47.3%fair 2.11
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 15 Nov 07:37 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToPo HelsinkiFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHelsinki
Date
Competition
Jyvaskyla
#4
W
76-63
76
63
+13
80avg 74
H15/03
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
82-90
82
90
-8
75avg 74
A19/03
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
W
75-74
75
74
+1
63avg 74
H22/03
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
88-105
88
105
-17
88avg 74
A25/03
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
72-94
72
94
-22
64avg 74
H29/03
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#4
L
74-82
74
82
-8
23avg 74
H09/10
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#12
W
96-76
96
76
+20
no box
A18/10
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#7
L
90-92
90
92
-2
no box
H23/10
I Divisioona A
Karkkila
#2
L
82-84
82
84
-2
no box
A01/11
I Divisioona A
Huima
#10
W
80-75
80
75
+5
no box
H06/11
I Divisioona A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
17-16
19-10
19-17
20-25
22-29
20-19
20-17
26-18
14-23
16-10
19-23
15-26
37-35
20-22
16-22
22-23
15-27
16-21
19-23
12-25
21-19
22-18
19-20
23-17
26-17
17-24
30-18
13-22
37-24
16-27
24-19
17-25
22-23
28-20
15-16
18-25
15-17
24-17
23-16
165.0Avg total
81.5Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)84.481.8166.2+2.640%
Season at home (3)81.383.0164.3-1.733%
Season away (2)89.080.0169.0+9.050%
Last 10 (10)81.583.5165.0-2.040%
Last 5 (5)84.481.8166.2+2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)77.487.0164.4-9.621%
vs Similar ◀ (3)84.782.3167.0+2.333%
vs Weaker (13)82.475.4157.8+7.069%
This opponent (Jyvaskyla) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JyvaskylaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJyvaskyla
Date
Competition
Raholan Pyrkiva
#5
W
65-60
65
60
+5
54avg 73
H31/03
I Divisioona A
ACO Basket
#1
L
69-88
69
88
-19
52avg 73
A03/04
I Divisioona A
ACO Basket
#1
L
89-91
89
91
-2
77avg 73
H06/04
I Divisioona A
ACO Basket
#1
L
73-81
73
81
-8
63avg 73
A10/04
I Divisioona A
Huima
#10
W
94-86
94
86
+8
49avg 73
H09/10
I Divisioona A
Pantterit
#9
L
90-94 OT
90
94
-4
no box
A18/10
I Divisioona A
Kobrat
#3
W
81-75
81
75
+6
no box
A23/10
I Divisioona A
Lappeenranta
#6
L
73-78
73
78
-5
no box
H30/10
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Akatemia
#11
W
79-68
79
68
+11
no box
A05/11
I Divisioona A
ACO Basket
#1
L
90-111
90
111
-21
no box
H13/11
I Divisioona A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-8
15-19
19-11
15-22
21-20
14-30
21-20
13-18
24-22
24-24
23-30
18-15
19-14
10-17
15-24
29-26
20-26
21-24
28-17
25-19
15-16
24-21
24-24
9-11
23-19
26-10
9-24
23-22
22-21
17-23
15-21
19-13
24-25
19-16
19-12
17-15
35-32
21-25
18-31
16-23
163.5Avg total
80.3Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)84.585.3169.8-0.850%
Season at home (3)85.791.7177.3-6.033%
Season away (3)83.379.0162.3+4.367%
Last 10 (10)80.383.2163.5-2.940%
Last 5 (5)82.685.2167.8-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)84.491.8176.2-7.333%
vs Similar ◀ (1)73.078.0151.0-5.00%
vs Weaker (20)81.774.1155.8+7.670%
This opponent (ToPo Helsinki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 157.5
Over 157.5
69.2%
Under 157.5
30.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 162.5
Over 162.5
57.8%
Under 162.5
42.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 167.5
Over 167.5
45.8%
Under 167.5
54.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

ToPo Helsinki total 78.5
Over 78.5
68.2%
Under 78.5
31.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ToPo Helsinki total 82.5
Over 82.5
53.4%
Under 82.5
46.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ToPo Helsinki total 86.5
Over 86.5
38.1%
Under 86.5
61.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jyvaskyla total 76.5
Over 76.5
72.3%
Under 76.5
27.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jyvaskyla total 80.5
Over 80.5
58.0%
Under 80.5
42.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jyvaskyla total 84.5
Over 84.5
42.7%
Under 84.5
57.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread ToPo Helsinki -3
TOPO -3
43.6%
JYVA +3
56.4%
Best 5 market prices
TOPO
No market prices yet.
JYVA
No market prices yet.
Spread ToPo Helsinki 0
TOPO 0
52.7%
JYVA 0
47.3%
Best 5 market prices
TOPO
No market prices yet.
JYVA
No market prices yet.
Spread ToPo Helsinki +3
TOPO +3
61.8%
JYVA -3
38.2%
Best 5 market prices
TOPO
No market prices yet.
JYVA
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +0.0+0.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +0.0+0.0
ToPo HelsinkiJyvaskyla
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ToPo HelsinkiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jyvaskyla
#4
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H15/03
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A19/03
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H22/03
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
52-61
52
61
-9
A25/03
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H29/03
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#4
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H09/10
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#12
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A18/10
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#7
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H23/10
I Divisioona A
Karkkila
#2
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A01/11
I Divisioona A
Huima
#10
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H06/11
I Divisioona A
86.9Avg total
41.3Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.942.782.6-2.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.842.079.8-4.233%-
Last 30 away (15)41.943.485.3-1.553%-
Last 10 (10)41.345.686.9-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)40.842.883.6-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)39.546.485.9-6.936%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)38.745.384.0-6.733%-
vs Weaker (13)40.538.178.6+2.554%-
This opponent (Jyvaskyla) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JyvaskylaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Raholan Pyrkiva
#5
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H31/03
I Divisioona A
ACO Basket
#1
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A03/04
I Divisioona A
ACO Basket
#1
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H06/04
I Divisioona A
ACO Basket
#1
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A10/04
I Divisioona A
Huima
#10
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H09/10
I Divisioona A
Pantterit
#9
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A18/10
I Divisioona A
Kobrat
#3
W
49-29
49
29
+20
A23/10
I Divisioona A
Lappeenranta
#6
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H30/10
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Akatemia
#11
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A05/11
I Divisioona A
ACO Basket
#1
L
56-57
56
57
-1
H13/11
I Divisioona A
82.2Avg total
41.0Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.440.482.8+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.342.887.1+1.553%-
Last 30 away (15)40.538.178.5+2.460%-
Last 10 (10)41.041.282.2-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)45.241.686.8+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)44.144.488.6-0.344%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)39.044.083.0-5.00%-
vs Weaker (20)41.838.580.2+3.365%-
This opponent (ToPo Helsinki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
ToPo Helsinkitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

ToPo Helsinki: 72.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.7 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 50.9 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.818.5
50.3%
48.2%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.8
31.5%
31.3%26.4
🏀 Free throws13.48.7
64.9%
59.0%8.7
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jyvaskylatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jyvaskyla: 73.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 50.9 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.614.8
46.8%
48.2%29.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.110.5
31.7%
31.3%31.5
🏀 Free throws21.312.4
58.2%
59.0%12.4
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
ToPo Helsinki
WLLWLLLWLW
Jyvaskyla
LWLWLWLLLW
#8
League position
#5
-10.5
Net rating
-0.9
82.1
Offensive rating
84.5
92.5
Defensive rating
85.5
49.0%
Effective FG%
47.2%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
20.7%
Turnover %
15.9%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.33
31.5%
3-point %
31.7%
76.9%
Assist %
69.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence82.1 · 84.5Defence92.5 · 85.5Shooting49.0% · 47.2%3-point %31.5% · 31.7%Ball care20.7% · 15.9%Free throws0.21 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ ToPo Helsinki   ■ Jyvaskyla
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
ToPo Helsinki wins
6
Jyvaskyla wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26HHuima80-75
01/11/26AKarkkila82-84
23/10/26HRaholan Pyrkiva90-92
18/10/26AHelsingin NMKY96-76
09/10/26HHBA-Marsky Helsinki74-82
29/03/26HKipina72-94
25/03/26AKipina88-105
22/03/26HKipina75-74
19/03/26AKipina82-90
15/03/26HJyvaskyla76-63
Jyvaskylalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HACO Basket90-111
05/11/26APyrinto Akatemia79-68
30/10/26HLappeenranta73-78
23/10/26AKobrat81-75
18/10/26APantterit90-94 OT
09/10/26HHuima94-86
10/04/26AACO Basket73-81
06/04/26HACO Basket89-91
03/04/26AACO Basket69-88
31/03/26HRaholan Pyrkiva65-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

ToPo Helsinki
I Divisioona A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW40%
HomeLLW33%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%33%50%
Points / game84.481.389.0
Allowed / game81.883.080.0
Point differential+2.6-1.7+9.0
Avg total166.2164.3169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Jyvaskyla
I Divisioona A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%33%67%
Points / game84.585.783.3
Allowed / game85.391.779.0
Point differential-0.8-6.0+4.3
Avg total169.8177.3162.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %17%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 ACO Basket660100%90.270.8+19.3
2 Karkkila65183%84.773.0+11.7
3 Kobrat64267%89.877.7+12.2
4 HBA-Marsky Helsinki53260%80.672.8+7.8
5 Jyvaskyla63350%84.585.3-0.8
6 Lappeenranta63350%79.782.3-2.7
7 Raholan Pyrkiva63350%73.582.8-9.3
8 ToPo Helsinki52340%84.481.8+2.6
9 Pantterit52340%81.289.2-8.0
10 Huima62433%80.386.5-6.2
11 Pyrinto Akatemia61517%70.384.5-14.2
12 Helsingin NMKY5050%72.086.4-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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