PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

ToPo Helsinki vs Karkkila Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 84-97
26-21 21-23 25-26 12-27
Position#7
Record6-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game79.2
vs
Position#3
Record7-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game91.3
Allowed / game78.1
FinlandI Divisioona A· Munkkiniemen Yhteiskoulu
Other2025-26
Meetings · ToPo Helsinki v Karkkila
12 Dec 2025
TOPO84
KARK97
13 Apr 2009
TOPO66
KARK75
09 Jan 2009
TOPO69
KARK67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

ToPo Helsinki winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Karkkila winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToPo HelsinkiFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHelsinki
Date
Competition
Huima
#6
L
80-90
80
90
-10
70avg 82
A28/03
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#5
L
80-84
80
84
-4
86avg 82
H10/10
I Divisioona A
Huima
#10
W
83-75
83
75
+8
80avg 82
A19/10
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
71-111
71
111
-40
55avg 82
H24/10
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#6
W
87-59
87
59
+28
90avg 82
A02/11
I Divisioona A
Lappeenranta
#11
W
70-55
70
55
+15
69avg 82
H07/11
I Divisioona A
ACO Basket
#1
L
76-77
76
77
-1
71avg 82
A16/11
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#8
W
100-79
100
79
+21
106avg 82
H21/11
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Akatemia
#9
W
108-98
108
98
+10
113avg 82
A27/11
I Divisioona A
Raiders Basket
#12
W
95-75
95
75
+20
104avg 82
H05/12
I Divisioona A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
15-20
17-21
24-24
28-20
21-21
19-23
12-20
24-28
20-19
18-13
21-15
17-35
19-16
25-33
10-27
21-14
24-12
16-21
26-12
14-14
10-18
22-16
24-7
23-20
17-19
16-14
20-24
29-20
22-20
34-14
15-25
23-19
27-26
22-37
36-16
22-8
25-21
28-23
20-23
165.3Avg total
85.0Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.679.2164.8+6.367%
Season at home (5)83.280.8164.0+2.460%
Season away (4)88.577.2165.8+11.275%
Last 10 (10)85.080.3165.3+4.760%
Last 5 (5)89.876.8166.6+13.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)83.0103.8186.8-20.80%
vs Similar (14)84.182.6166.7+1.643%
vs Weaker (12)87.077.4164.4+9.683%
This opponent (Karkkila) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarkkilaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKarkkila
Date
Competition
ToPo Helsinki
#8
W
75-66
75
66
+9
no box
A13/04
Korisliiga
Kipina
#2
L
83-86
83
86
-3
74avg 82
A12/10
I Divisioona A
Lappeenranta
#11
W
107-66
107
66
+41
111avg 82
H19/10
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#8
W
75-70
75
70
+5
64avg 82
A24/10
I Divisioona A
Raiders Basket
#12
W
96-64
96
64
+32
90avg 82
H02/11
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#4
W
93-90
93
90
+3
84avg 82
A07/11
I Divisioona A
Huima
#10
W
97-80
97
80
+17
84avg 82
H16/11
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#6
L
70-80
70
80
-10
53avg 82
A23/11
I Divisioona A
ACO Basket
#1
W
92-88
92
88
+4
78avg 82
H29/11
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Akatemia
#9
W
109-79
109
79
+30
106avg 82
A04/12
I Divisioona A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
18-14
22-14
17-15
20-14
21-21
26-26
16-25
22-15
32-17
28-17
25-17
19-29
21-14
19-13
16-14
22-14
17-11
33-13
24-26
23-14
15-29
29-21
26-26
28-21
25-16
16-20
28-23
19-22
22-10
18-23
11-25
26-16
24-24
25-22
17-26
31-24
26-23
29-17
23-15
166.6Avg total
89.7Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)91.378.1169.4+13.278%
Season at home (4)98.074.5172.5+23.5100%
Season away (5)86.081.0167.0+5.060%
Last 10 (10)89.776.9166.6+12.880%
Last 5 (5)92.283.4175.6+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)71.486.7158.2-15.317%
vs Similar (5)72.871.8144.6+1.060%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)92.475.6168.0+16.986%
This opponent (ToPo Helsinki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -0.9-0.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -0.9-0.9
ToPo HelsinkiKarkkila
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ToPo HelsinkiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Huima
#6
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A28/03
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#5
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H10/10
I Divisioona A
Huima
#10
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A19/10
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H24/10
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#6
W
45-26
45
26
+19
A02/11
I Divisioona A
Lappeenranta
#11
L
24-32
24
32
-8
H07/11
I Divisioona A
ACO Basket
#1
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A16/11
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#8
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H21/11
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Akatemia
#9
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A27/11
I Divisioona A
Raiders Basket
#12
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H05/12
I Divisioona A
82.0Avg total
42.5Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.141.584.6+1.660%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.940.983.8+2.062%-
Last 30 away (14)43.442.385.6+1.157%-
Last 10 (10)42.539.582.0+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)42.437.079.4+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)41.052.593.5-11.525%-
vs Similar (14)43.140.783.8+2.464%-
vs Weaker (12)43.838.882.7+5.067%-
This opponent (Karkkila) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarkkilaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
ToPo Helsinki
#8
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A13/04
Korisliiga
Kipina
#2
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A12/10
I Divisioona A
Lappeenranta
#11
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H19/10
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#8
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A24/10
I Divisioona A
Raiders Basket
#12
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H02/11
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#4
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A07/11
I Divisioona A
Huima
#10
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H16/11
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#6
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A23/11
I Divisioona A
ACO Basket
#1
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H29/11
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Akatemia
#9
W
57-47
57
47
+10
A04/12
I Divisioona A
82.0Avg total
44.9Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.138.676.6-0.545%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.637.976.4+0.750%-
Last 30 away (15)37.639.276.8-1.640%-
Last 10 (10)44.937.182.0+7.870%-
Last 5 (5)47.839.887.6+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)35.140.675.6-5.524%-
vs Similar (5)37.233.871.0+3.480%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)46.037.083.0+9.071%-
This opponent (ToPo Helsinki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
ToPo Helsinkitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

ToPo Helsinki: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.321.6
57.9%
51.5%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.8
36.6%
30.6%29.4
🏀 Free throws17.911.6
64.8%
67.7%11.6
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Karkkilatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karkkila: 90.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.023.2
52.8%
51.5%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.110.4
37.2%
30.6%31.3
🏀 Free throws19.212.9
67.1%
67.7%12.9
They take 72.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/9 games with a box score before 12 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
ToPo Helsinki
WWWLWWLWLL
Karkkila
WWLWWWWWLW
#7
League position
#3
+6.1
Net rating
+16.2
106.6
Offensive rating
112.2
100.6
Defensive rating
95.9
56.6%
Effective FG%
53.9%
46.6%
Opp. effective FG%
47.0%
22.0%
Turnover %
16.6%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
33.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.6%
3-point %
37.2%
75.8%
Assist %
50.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence106.6 · 112.2Defence100.6 · 95.9Shooting56.6% · 53.9%3-point %36.6% · 37.2%Ball care22.0% · 16.6%Off. rebounds29.3% · 33.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ ToPo Helsinki   ■ Karkkila
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
ToPo Helsinki wins
2
Karkkila wins
DateGameScore
13/04/09ToPo Helsinki v Karkkila66-75
28/02/09Karkkila v ToPo Helsinki62-75
09/01/09ToPo Helsinki v Karkkila69-67
15/11/08Karkkila v ToPo Helsinki93-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/25HRaiders Basket95-75
27/11/25APyrinto Akatemia108-98
21/11/25HHBA-Marsky Helsinki100-79
16/11/25AACO Basket76-77
07/11/25HLappeenranta70-55
02/11/25AHelsingin NMKY87-59
24/10/25HKipina71-111
19/10/25AHuima83-75
10/10/25HRaholan Pyrkiva80-84
28/03/25AHuima80-90
Karkkilalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/25APyrinto Akatemia109-79
29/11/25HACO Basket92-88
23/11/25AHelsingin NMKY70-80
16/11/25HHuima97-80
07/11/25AJyvaskyla93-90
02/11/25HRaiders Basket96-64
24/10/25AHBA-Marsky Helsinki75-70
19/10/25HLappeenranta107-66
12/10/25AKipina83-86
13/04/09AToPo Helsinki75-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

ToPo Helsinki
I Divisioona A 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeLLWWW60%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%60%75%
Points / game85.683.288.5
Allowed / game79.280.877.2
Point differential+6.3+2.4+11.2
Avg total164.8164.0165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Karkkila
I Divisioona A 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW78%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %78%100%60%
Points / game91.398.086.0
Allowed / game78.174.581.0
Point differential+13.2+23.5+5.0
Avg total169.4172.5167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%75%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 ACO Basket98189%93.068.1+24.9
2 Karkkila97278%91.378.1+13.2
3 Jyvaskyla97278%88.978.4+10.4
4 Kipina97278%95.187.0+8.1
5 ToPo Helsinki96367%85.679.2+6.3
6 Raholan Pyrkiva96367%77.374.6+2.8
7 Helsingin NMKY105550%78.083.4-5.4
8 HBA-Marsky Helsinki103730%77.577.2+0.3
9 Pyrinto Akatemia92722%76.691.6-15.0
10 Lappeenranta102820%75.685.3-9.7
11 Huima102820%74.587.6-13.1
12 Raiders Basket91811%70.690.3-19.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
ToPo Helsinki2621251284
Karkkila2123262797
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.