ToPo Helsinki vs Salon Vilpas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Nov 2009

Tip-off: 14:00

Final 81-73

19-26 18-28 16-9 28-10

Position#3

Record11-4

FormLLWWW

Points / game87.0

Allowed / game79.7

ToPo Helsinki 🏆

Salon Vilpas

Position#11

Record5-9

FormLLWLW

Points / game74.9

Allowed / game81.4

KorisliigaRound 16

Other2009-10

Meetings · ToPo Helsinki v Salon Vilpas

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

ToPo Helsinki winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Salon Vilpas winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToPo Helsinki Finland

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pyrinto Tampere

65-68

-3

H16/10

Korisliiga

Kauhajoen Karhu

#10

96-86

+10

A21/10

Korisliiga

Namika Lahti

73-69

H28/10

Korisliiga

Kataja

103-99 OT

103

A31/10

Korisliiga

Honka

81-73

H04/11

Korisliiga

Kouvot Kouvola

74-107

107

-33

A07/11

Korisliiga

Lappeenranta

81-86

-5

A11/11

Korisliiga

Forssan Koripojat

#12

110-72

110

+38

A14/11

Korisliiga

KTP Kotka Basket

107-99 OT

107

A20/11

Korisliiga

UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki

90-58

+32

H25/11

Korisliiga

16-19

20-17

13-17

16-15

27-27

9-21

27-27

33-11

15-13

12-14

18-19

28-23

24-20

21-36

22-17

19-13

18-19

24-25

16-18

23-11

15-23

14-31

32-28

13-25

14-25

19-21

30-14

18-26

25-12

28-15

26-28

31-17

21-21

28-19

20-26

18-21

24-13

15-17

31-16

20-12

169.7Avg total

88.0Scored

81.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	87.0	79.7	166.7	+7.3	73%
Season at home (6)	80.8	68.5	149.3	+12.3	83%
Season away (9)	91.1	87.2	178.3	+3.9	67%
Last 10 (10)	88.0	81.7	169.7	+6.3	70%
Last 5 (5)	92.4	84.4	176.8	+8.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	71.8	83.6	155.4	-11.8	30%
vs Similar (6)	72.7	75.3	148.0	-2.7	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	88.9	77.4	166.4	+11.5	86%

This opponent (Salon Vilpas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Salon Vilpas Finland

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

ToPo Helsinki

89-98

-9

H14/10

Korisliiga

Kouvot Kouvola

64-75

-11

A17/10

Korisliiga

Pyrinto Tampere

94-91 OT

H21/10

Korisliiga

Lappeenranta

77-93

-16

A28/10

Korisliiga

Kauhajoen Karhu

#10

92-78

+14

H31/10

Korisliiga

Forssan Koripojat

#12

68-69

-1

H04/11

Korisliiga

KTP Kotka Basket

74-90

-16

A11/11

Korisliiga

Kataja

101-82

101

+19

H14/11

Korisliiga

UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki

57-72

-15

A20/11

Korisliiga

Honka

77-69

H25/11

Korisliiga

16-24

21-31

27-23

25-20

19-20

17-20

16-21

12-14

14-16

17-22

18-18

25-18

16-24

20-19

25-25

16-25

20-20

21-17

29-20

22-21

18-15

12-11

13-20

25-23

8-25

26-27

22-23

18-15

24-17

19-23

27-20

31-22

15-22

20-15

10-18

12-17

15-16

24-20

22-20

16-13

161.0Avg total

79.3Scored

81.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	74.9	81.4	156.2	-6.5	36%
Season at home (8)	80.1	80.4	160.5	-0.2	50%
Season away (6)	67.8	82.7	150.5	-14.8	17%
Last 10 (10)	79.3	81.7	161.0	-2.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	75.4	76.4	151.8	-1.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	74.0	82.7	156.7	-8.7	33%
vs Similar (1)	92.0	78.0	170.0	+14.0	100%
vs Weaker (1)	68.0	69.0	137.0	-1.0	0%

This opponent (ToPo Helsinki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ToPo HelsinkiSalon Vilpas

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	19.1	38.4	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.1	17.8	36.9	+1.2	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.4	20.1	39.5	-0.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	19.2	39.1	+0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	18.8	38.6	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.1	20.8	38.9	-2.7	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	16.5	18.8	35.3	-2.3	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	21.2	18.1	39.3	+3.1	57%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	15.3	19.6	34.9	-4.4	14%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	15.8	17.4	33.1	-1.6	25%	-
Last 30 away (6)	14.7	22.7	37.3	-8.0	0%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.5	19.9	36.4	-3.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	19.0	35.0	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	14.7	20.0	34.7	-5.3	8%	-
vs Similar (1)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (1)	18.0	15.0	33.0	+3.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	20.1	39.1	-1.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.2	19.2	37.4	-0.9	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.6	20.8	40.4	-1.1	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	21.6	40.6	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	20.6	41.4	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.0	21.2	39.2	-3.2	40%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.5	16.3	34.8	+2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	20.0	20.9	40.9	-0.9	29%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	18.6	20.4	39.0	-1.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	18.2	19.6	37.9	-1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (6)	19.2	21.3	40.5	-2.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	20.5	40.2	-0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.2	39.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	19.0	21.4	40.4	-2.4	42%	-
vs Similar (1)	21.0	17.0	38.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (1)	12.0	11.0	23.0	+1.0	100%	-

ToPo HelsinkiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pyrinto Tampere

36-36

H16/10

Korisliiga

Kauhajoen Karhu

#10

36-48

-12

A21/10

Korisliiga

Namika Lahti

27-27

H28/10

Korisliiga

Kataja

45-56

-11

A31/10

Korisliiga

Honka

42-44

-2

H04/11

Korisliiga

Kouvot Kouvola

29-54

-25

A07/11

Korisliiga

Lappeenranta

33-46

-13

A11/11

Korisliiga

Forssan Koripojat

#12

53-27

+26

A14/11

Korisliiga

KTP Kotka Basket

49-40

A20/11

Korisliiga

UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki

39-30

H25/11

Korisliiga

79.7Avg total

38.9Scored

40.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.3	39.2	77.5	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	37.3	37.0	74.3	+0.3	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	39.0	40.9	79.9	-1.9	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	40.8	79.7	-1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	39.4	80.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	36.1	42.0	78.1	-5.9	30%	-
vs Similar (6)	35.0	35.2	70.2	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	41.2	38.9	80.1	+2.3	43%	-

This opponent (Salon Vilpas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Salon VilpasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

ToPo Helsinki

37-55

-18

H14/10

Korisliiga

Kouvot Kouvola

36-40

-4

A17/10

Korisliiga

Pyrinto Tampere

31-38

-7

H21/10

Korisliiga

Lappeenranta

36-43

-7

A28/10

Korisliiga

Kauhajoen Karhu

#10

41-37

H31/10

Korisliiga

Forssan Koripojat

#12

30-26

H04/11

Korisliiga

KTP Kotka Basket

34-52

-18

A11/11

Korisliiga

Kataja

43-40

H14/11

Korisliiga

UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki

35-37

-2

A20/11

Korisliiga

Honka

39-36

H25/11

Korisliiga

76.6Avg total

36.2Scored

40.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	33.9	40.0	73.9	-6.1	36%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	34.0	37.0	71.0	-3.0	62%	-
Last 30 away (6)	33.8	44.0	77.8	-10.2	0%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.2	40.4	76.6	-4.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	38.2	74.4	-2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	33.7	41.4	75.1	-7.8	25%	-
vs Similar (1)	41.0	37.0	78.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (1)	30.0	26.0	56.0	+4.0	100%	-

This opponent (ToPo Helsinki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	20.3	39.0	-1.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.1	19.3	36.4	-2.2	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.9	21.1	41.1	-1.2	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	21.0	44.5	+2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.8	22.4	50.2	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	15.1	20.1	35.2	-5.0	30%	-
vs Similar (6)	16.8	22.2	39.0	-5.3	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	22.1	19.7	41.8	+2.4	43%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	20.2	20.9	41.1	-0.7	36%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	21.8	21.4	43.1	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (6)	18.2	20.3	38.5	-2.2	17%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	20.8	41.7	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	20.2	39.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	20.1	21.1	41.2	-1.0	33%	-
vs Similar (1)	29.0	20.0	49.0	+9.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (1)	13.0	20.0	33.0	-7.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	17.9	38.5	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.5	18.6	38.2	+0.9	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.4	17.4	38.7	+4.0	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	17.4	39.3	+4.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	20.2	40.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.0	20.5	39.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.5	15.7	33.2	+1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	23.0	17.0	40.0	+6.0	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	19.3	19.2	38.5	+0.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	21.9	19.9	41.8	+2.0	75%	-
Last 30 away (6)	15.8	18.3	34.2	-2.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	18.8	39.0	+1.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	18.0	38.4	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	18.6	18.8	37.3	-0.2	50%	-
vs Similar (1)	22.0	21.0	43.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (1)	25.0	23.0	48.0	+2.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	38.2	77.5	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	36.6	37.9	74.5	-1.3	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	41.3	38.5	79.8	+2.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.4	38.4	83.8	+7.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.8	42.6	90.4	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	34.1	40.6	74.7	-6.5	20%	-
vs Similar (6)	34.3	37.8	72.2	-3.5	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	45.1	36.7	81.8	+8.4	79%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	39.5	40.1	79.6	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	43.6	41.2	84.9	+2.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (6)	34.0	38.7	72.7	-4.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	39.6	80.7	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	38.2	77.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	38.7	39.8	78.5	-1.2	50%	-
vs Similar (1)	51.0	41.0	92.0	+10.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (1)	38.0	43.0	81.0	-5.0	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

ToPo Helsinki wins

Salon Vilpas wins

Date	Game	Score
14/10/09	Salon Vilpas v ToPo Helsinki	89-98

ToPo Helsinkilast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/11/09	H	UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki	90-58
20/11/09	A	KTP Kotka Basket	107-99 OT
14/11/09	A	Forssan Koripojat	110-72
11/11/09	A	Lappeenranta	81-86
07/11/09	A	Kouvot Kouvola	74-107
04/11/09	H	Honka	81-73
31/10/09	A	Kataja	103-99 OT
28/10/09	H	Namika Lahti	73-69
21/10/09	A	Kauhajoen Karhu	96-86
16/10/09	H	Pyrinto Tampere	65-68

Salon Vilpaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/11/09	H	Honka	77-69
20/11/09	A	UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki	57-72
14/11/09	H	Kataja	101-82
11/11/09	A	KTP Kotka Basket	74-90
04/11/09	H	Forssan Koripojat	68-69
31/10/09	H	Kauhajoen Karhu	92-78
28/10/09	A	Lappeenranta	77-93
21/10/09	H	Pyrinto Tampere	94-91 OT
17/10/09	A	Kouvot Kouvola	64-75
14/10/09	H	ToPo Helsinki	89-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

ToPo Helsinki

Korisliiga 2009-10

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	73%
Home	WLWWW	83%
Away	WLLWW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	6	9
Win %	73%	83%	67%
Points / game	87.0	80.8	91.1
Allowed / game	79.7	68.5	87.2
Point differential	+7.3	+12.3	+3.9
Avg total	166.7	149.3	178.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	50%	22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	50% (2)	33% (3)
Overtime %	13%	0%	22%

Salon Vilpas

Korisliiga 2009-10

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	36%
Home	WWLWW	50%
Away	LLLLL	17%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	8	6
Win %	36%	50%	17%
Points / game	74.9	80.1	67.8
Allowed / game	81.4	80.4	82.7
Point differential	-6.5	-0.2	-14.8
Avg total	156.2	160.5	150.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	25%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	50% (2)	-
Overtime %	7%	12%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Pyrinto Tampere	16	15	1	94%	88.8	72.1	+16.6
2	ToPo Helsinki	15	11	4	73%	87.0	79.7	+7.3
3	Kouvot Kouvola	16	11	5	69%	86.8	75.8	+10.9
4	Lappeenranta	16	10	6	62%	85.1	84.5	+0.6
5	UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki	16	9	7	56%	79.6	75.9	+3.7
6	KTP Kotka Basket	16	9	7	56%	80.8	82.7	-1.9
7	Honka	16	8	8	50%	82.9	79.4	+3.4
8	Namika Lahti	15	6	9	40%	81.2	85.2	-4.0
9	Salon Vilpas	14	5	9	36%	74.9	81.4	-6.5
10	Forssan Koripojat	16	5	11	31%	73.1	80.6	-7.4
11	Kataja	16	4	12	25%	74.0	81.8	-7.8
12	Kauhajoen Karhu	16	1	15	6%	80.2	95.7	-15.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
ToPo Helsinki	19	18	16	28	81
Salon Vilpas	26	28	9	10	73

← all games of the day

ToPo Helsinki vs Salon Vilpas Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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