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Toronto vs Guelph Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 95-85
29-19 16-16 22-22 28-28
Position#12
Record4-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game88.6
vs
Position#41
Record3-7
FormWLWLL
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game82.0
CanadaU Sports
Other2023-24
Meetings · Toronto v Guelph
04 Jan 2024
TORO95
GUEL85
03 Nov 2018
TORO99
GUEL92
06 Jan 2017
TORO77
GUEL66
07 Feb 2015
TORO73
GUEL71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toronto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guelph winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TorontoCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Laurier
#15
L
74-77
74
77
-3
A24/02
U Sports
Brock
#25
L
63-77
63
77
-14
A04/11
U Sports
McMaster
#22
W
102-100 OT
102
100
+2
H05/11
U Sports
McMaster
#22
L
78-80
78
80
-2
A12/11
U Sports
TMU
#18
L
91-96
91
96
-5
H16/11
U Sports
TMU
#18
L
93-100
93
100
-7
A18/11
U Sports
York
#27
W
85-71
85
71
+14
A24/11
U Sports
York
#27
L
108-112 OT
108
112
-4
H25/11
U Sports
Lakehead
#32
W
93-89
93
89
+4
H02/12
U Sports
Lakehead
#32
W
77-72
77
72
+5
H03/12
U Sports
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
20-19
16-25
17-15
18-16
13-28
19-13
13-20
23-29
14-16
31-22
20-21
13-25
17-17
27-18
21-20
17-26
23-25
27-28
24-17
21-24
25-31
28-16
19-29
21-26
27-11
14-21
23-13
20-13
26-26
24-30
16-17
18-30
29-22
24-20
22-17
21-16
19-18
12-19
25-19
173.8Avg total
86.4Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)87.888.6176.3-0.844%
Season at home (5)94.293.8188.0+0.460%
Season away (4)79.882.0161.8-2.225%
Last 10 (10)86.487.4173.8-1.040%
Last 5 (5)91.288.8180.0+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.478.8152.2-5.420%
vs Similar (11)83.581.8165.4+1.745%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)84.177.6161.8+6.571%
This opponent (Guelph) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuelphCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
University of Ottawa
#3
L
66-86
66
86
-20
H04/11
U Sports
Carleton
#19
L
84-89
84
89
-5
H05/11
U Sports
Waterloo
#37
L
69-81
69
81
-12
H09/11
U Sports
Waterloo
#37
L
68-74 OT
68
74
-6
A11/11
U Sports
Algoma
#47
W
89-79
89
79
+10
H18/11
U Sports
Algoma
#47
W
83-58
83
58
+25
H18/11
U Sports
Laurier
#13
L
79-91
79
91
-12
H23/11
U Sports
Laurier
#13
W
96-87
96
87
+9
A25/11
U Sports
Queens
#1
L
87-88
87
88
-1
A02/12
U Sports
Ontario Univ.
#6
L
63-87
63
87
-24
A03/12
U Sports
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
14-23
11-22
21-21
16-23
26-15
23-23
19-28
17-24
10-25
20-12
22-20
14-8
18-14
19-25
13-17
22-16
26-22
26-13
15-28
21-13
19-16
21-11
22-18
11-25
31-23
22-21
15-22
26-17
25-25
28-21
17-24
21-28
25-20
20-16
21-24
14-21
15-22
13-27
21-17
160.4Avg total
78.4Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)78.482.0160.4-3.630%
Season at home (6)78.380.7159.0-2.333%
Season away (4)78.584.0162.5-5.525%
Last 10 (10)78.482.0160.4-3.630%
Last 5 (5)81.682.2163.8-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)76.285.3161.5-9.127%
vs Similar (6)79.587.2166.7-7.717%
vs Weaker (9)88.870.8159.6+18.0100%
This opponent (Toronto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -3.3-3.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -3.3-3.3
TorontoGuelph
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TorontoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Laurier
#15
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A24/02
U Sports
Brock
#25
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A04/11
U Sports
McMaster
#22
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H05/11
U Sports
McMaster
#22
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A12/11
U Sports
TMU
#18
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H16/11
U Sports
TMU
#18
L
46-55
46
55
-9
A18/11
U Sports
York
#27
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A24/11
U Sports
York
#27
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H25/11
U Sports
Lakehead
#32
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H02/12
U Sports
Lakehead
#32
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H03/12
U Sports
84.2Avg total
40.6Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.839.578.3-0.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.337.674.9-0.353%-
Last 30 away (15)40.341.581.7-1.253%-
Last 10 (10)40.643.684.2-3.040%-
Last 5 (5)45.443.488.8+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.441.877.2-6.420%-
vs Similar (11)40.240.981.1-0.755%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)38.937.676.5+1.264%-
This opponent (Guelph) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuelphLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
University of Ottawa
#3
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H04/11
U Sports
Carleton
#19
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H05/11
U Sports
Waterloo
#37
L
27-49
27
49
-22
H09/11
U Sports
Waterloo
#37
W
32-22
32
22
+10
A11/11
U Sports
Algoma
#47
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H18/11
U Sports
Algoma
#47
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H18/11
U Sports
Laurier
#13
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H23/11
U Sports
Laurier
#13
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A25/11
U Sports
Queens
#1
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A02/12
U Sports
Ontario Univ.
#6
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A03/12
U Sports
79.1Avg total
39.1Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.340.781.0-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.742.784.5-1.047%-
Last 30 away (15)38.938.677.5+0.347%-
Last 10 (10)39.140.079.1-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)41.642.083.6-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)39.243.983.1-4.720%-
vs Similar (6)39.241.780.8-2.550%-
vs Weaker (9)43.034.677.6+8.489%-
This opponent (Toronto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Toronto wins
3
Guelph wins
DateGameScore
07/01/23Guelph v Toronto85-99
09/02/20Guelph v Toronto91-83
04/11/18Toronto v Guelph99-92
18/11/17Guelph v Toronto70-63
07/01/17Toronto v Guelph77-66
20/02/16Guelph v Toronto84-79
08/02/15Toronto v Guelph73-71
Torontolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/23HLakehead77-72
02/12/23HLakehead93-89
25/11/23HYork108-112 OT
24/11/23AYork85-71
18/11/23ATMU93-100
16/11/23HTMU91-96
12/11/23AMcMaster78-80
05/11/23HMcMaster102-100 OT
04/11/23ABrock63-77
24/02/23ALaurier74-77
Guelphlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/23AOntario Univ.63-87
02/12/23AQueens87-88
25/11/23ALaurier96-87
23/11/23HLaurier79-91
18/11/23HAlgoma83-58
18/11/23HAlgoma89-79
11/11/23AWaterloo68-74 OT
09/11/23HWaterloo69-81
05/11/23HCarleton84-89
04/11/23HUniversity of Ottawa66-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toronto
U Sports 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW44%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%60%25%
Points / game87.894.279.8
Allowed / game88.693.882.0
Point differential-0.8+0.4-2.2
Avg total176.3188.0161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)60% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %22%40%0%
Guelph
U Sports 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL30%
HomeLLWWL33%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %30%33%25%
Points / game78.478.378.5
Allowed / game82.080.784.0
Point differential-3.6-2.3-5.5
Avg total160.4159.0162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %10%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 University of Ottawa10100100%83.969.5+14.4
2 Regina880100%73.565.5+8.0
3 Victoria65183%92.079.2+12.8
4 UQAM65183%71.566.2+5.3
5 Laurier108280%81.073.4+7.6
6 Manitoba108280%81.674.9+6.7
7 Queens97278%84.363.9+20.4
8 West. Ontario Univ.97278%91.780.4+11.2
9 Ontario Univ.97278%74.272.1+2.1
10 Winnipeg107370%81.270.7+10.5
11 Brandon107370%83.680.2+3.4
12 Bishop's64267%87.375.2+12.2
13 Concordia64267%73.369.5+3.8
14 UNBC85362%81.974.9+7.0
15 StFX85362%80.077.5+2.5
16 UBC106460%80.974.6+6.3
17 TMU106460%82.277.9+4.3
18 Saskatchewan106460%73.371.2+2.1
19 Memorial106460%81.179.9+1.2
20 Calgary106460%84.083.4+0.6
21 McMaster106460%75.675.8-0.2
22 Dalhousie95456%79.276.2+3.0
23 Cape Breton95456%85.684.6+1.0
24 Waterloo95456%64.765.1-0.4
25 Alberta84450%80.579.0+1.5
26 Carleton105550%79.578.0+1.5
27 UNB84450%79.280.5-1.2
28 York105550%82.284.6-2.4
29 Mount Royal105550%78.585.0-6.5
30 UPEI94544%76.474.3+2.1
31 Brock94544%71.371.2+0.1
32 Toronto94544%87.888.6-0.8
33 Acadia94544%82.283.6-1.3
34 UFV83538%78.882.5-3.8
35 Guelph103730%78.482.0-3.6
36 Nipissing103730%70.279.7-9.5
37 Windsor82625%75.679.8-4.1
38 Saint Marys82625%75.083.1-8.1
39 UBC Okanagan82625%74.985.8-10.9
40 Lakehead102820%80.184.5-4.4
41 Thompson Rivers61517%72.273.5-1.3
42 Laval61517%70.071.8-1.8
43 McGill61517%60.780.2-19.5
44 Trinity Western81712%72.081.5-9.5
45 Laurentian101910%60.676.8-16.2
46 Algoma101910%68.886.4-17.6
47 Lethbridge100100%77.086.0-9.0
48 MacEwan8080%69.888.4-18.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 48 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toronto2916222895
Guelph1916222885
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