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Toronto vs Guelph Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Jan 2017
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 77-66
11-8 17-27 25-9 24-22
Position#17
Record5-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Position#37
Record3-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game81.0
CanadaU Sports
Other2016-17
Meetings · Toronto v Guelph
04 Jan 2024
TORO95
GUEL85
03 Nov 2018
TORO99
GUEL92
06 Jan 2017
TORO77
GUEL66
07 Feb 2015
TORO73
GUEL71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toronto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guelph winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TorontoCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
York
#38
L
93-97 OT
93
97
-4
A27/02
U Sports
Queens
#18
L
73-81
73
81
-8
A28/02
U Sports
Waterloo
#39
W
95-90 OT
95
90
+5
A05/11
U Sports
TMU
#2
L
61-88
61
88
-27
H12/11
U Sports
Brock
#7
L
69-71
69
71
-2
A13/11
U Sports
Laurentian
#22
W
97-87
97
87
+10
H19/11
U Sports
Nipissing
#24
W
86-74
86
74
+12
H20/11
U Sports
Algoma
#41
W
83-70
83
70
+13
A27/11
U Sports
Windsor
#23
L
84-86
84
86
-2
H01/12
U Sports
Western
#35
W
80-66
80
66
+14
H03/12
U Sports
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
15-18
25-16
28-31
18-11
23-23
13-18
19-29
21-18
17-20
26-21
17-22
17-28
19-9
9-28
16-23
9-16
14-15
16-20
30-20
23-24
25-13
25-19
24-31
25-13
15-22
24-21
22-18
29-28
11-12
21-13
22-17
29-23
12-14
22-21
21-28
20-10
19-19
24-13
17-24
163.1Avg total
82.1Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.979.0160.9+2.962%
Season at home (5)81.680.2161.8+1.460%
Season away (3)82.377.0159.3+5.367%
Last 10 (10)82.181.0163.1+1.150%
Last 5 (5)86.076.6162.6+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)71.484.3155.7-12.98%
vs Similar (11)80.878.0158.8+2.855%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)83.773.8157.5+9.883%
This opponent (Guelph) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuelphCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TMU
#2
W
96-92
96
92
+4
H18/02
U Sports
Toronto
#37
W
84-79
84
79
+5
H20/02
U Sports
McMaster
#7
L
76-89
76
89
-13
H27/02
U Sports
Brock
#10
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H28/02
U Sports
Western
#35
W
83-81
83
81
+2
A06/11
U Sports
Queens
#36
L
74-77
74
77
-3
H13/11
U Sports
Windsor
#23
W
94-85
94
85
+9
A17/11
U Sports
Brock
#7
L
75-86
75
86
-11
A19/11
U Sports
McMaster
#27
L
77-92
77
92
-15
A24/11
U Sports
York
#42
W
87-65
87
65
+22
H04/12
U Sports
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
30-17
11-22
34-34
23-22
15-23
23-18
23-16
18-20
19-16
16-29
23-24
14-9
20-24
22-18
6-14
13-19
19-23
29-14
22-25
21-22
22-16
15-17
16-22
19-20
17-9
23-17
35-39
13-20
24-20
17-26
21-20
15-21
16-18
15-31
31-22
18-12
24-12
18-19
27-22
161.9Avg total
80.8Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.781.0162.7+0.750%
Season at home (2)80.571.0151.5+9.550%
Season away (4)82.286.0168.2-3.850%
Last 10 (10)80.881.1161.9-0.350%
Last 5 (5)81.481.0162.4+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)71.085.0156.0-14.010%
vs Similar (12)78.177.9156.0+0.258%
vs Weaker (8)79.170.5149.6+8.662%
This opponent (Toronto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +0.0+0.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +0.0+0.0
TorontoGuelph
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TorontoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
York
#38
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A27/02
U Sports
Queens
#18
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A28/02
U Sports
Waterloo
#39
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A05/11
U Sports
TMU
#2
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H12/11
U Sports
Brock
#7
L
23-31
23
31
-8
A13/11
U Sports
Laurentian
#22
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H19/11
U Sports
Nipissing
#24
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H20/11
U Sports
Algoma
#41
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A27/11
U Sports
Windsor
#23
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H01/12
U Sports
Western
#35
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H03/12
U Sports
73.4Avg total
37.8Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.437.573.9-1.037%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.835.172.9+2.656%-
Last 30 away (14)34.940.175.1-5.214%-
Last 10 (10)37.835.673.4+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)41.635.677.2+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)33.240.073.2-6.815%-
vs Similar (11)38.534.472.9+4.264%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)39.737.777.3+2.033%-
This opponent (Guelph) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuelphLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TMU
#2
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H18/02
U Sports
Toronto
#37
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H20/02
U Sports
McMaster
#7
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H27/02
U Sports
Brock
#10
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H28/02
U Sports
Western
#35
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A06/11
U Sports
Queens
#36
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H13/11
U Sports
Windsor
#23
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A17/11
U Sports
Brock
#7
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A19/11
U Sports
McMaster
#27
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A24/11
U Sports
York
#42
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H04/12
U Sports
74.3Avg total
38.1Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.137.272.2-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.535.471.9+1.157%-
Last 30 away (16)33.838.872.6-4.925%-
Last 10 (10)38.136.274.3+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)37.834.071.8+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)33.839.072.8-5.230%-
vs Similar (12)35.139.074.1-3.933%-
vs Weaker (8)36.632.168.8+4.562%-
This opponent (Toronto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Toronto wins
1
Guelph wins
DateGameScore
20/02/16Guelph v Toronto84-79
08/02/15Toronto v Guelph73-71
Torontolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/16HWestern80-66
01/12/16HWindsor84-86
27/11/16AAlgoma83-70
20/11/16HNipissing86-74
19/11/16HLaurentian97-87
13/11/16ABrock69-71
12/11/16HTMU61-88
05/11/16AWaterloo95-90 OT
28/02/16AQueens73-81
27/02/16AYork93-97 OT
Guelphlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/16HYork87-65
24/11/16AMcMaster77-92
19/11/16ABrock75-86
17/11/16AWindsor94-85
13/11/16HQueens74-77
06/11/16AWestern83-81
28/02/16HBrock62-65
27/02/16HMcMaster76-89
20/02/16HToronto84-79
18/02/16HTMU96-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toronto
U Sports 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW62%
HomeLWWLW60%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %62%60%67%
Points / game81.981.682.3
Allowed / game79.080.277.0
Point differential+2.9+1.4+5.3
Avg total160.9161.8159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %12%0%33%
Guelph
U Sports 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game81.780.582.2
Allowed / game81.071.086.0
Point differential+0.7+9.5-3.8
Avg total162.7151.5168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 TMU770100%94.063.0+31.0
2 University of Ottawa550100%82.660.6+22.0
3 UBC880100%89.569.9+19.6
4 Carleton550100%84.266.0+18.2
5 Alberta1110191%83.868.3+15.5
6 Calgary98189%92.474.9+17.6
7 Queens65183%78.372.7+5.7
8 Laval54180%70.265.0+5.2
9 Memorial86275%82.679.8+2.9
10 Dalhousie75271%80.067.7+12.3
11 Brock64267%72.776.3-3.7
12 Saskatchewan85362%77.666.4+11.2
13 UNB85362%90.281.9+8.4
14 Regina85362%83.680.5+3.1
15 Toronto85362%81.979.0+2.9
16 StFX85362%87.686.1+1.5
17 McGill53260%75.868.0+7.8
18 Winnipeg106460%78.877.2+1.6
19 Lethbridge106460%77.980.2-2.3
20 Concordia53260%68.473.2-4.8
21 Saint Marys74357%81.979.4+2.4
22 Laurier95456%71.374.3-3.0
23 Mount Royal84450%85.481.5+3.9
24 Acadia84450%86.683.5+3.1
25 Guelph63350%81.781.0+0.7
26 Windsor84450%79.579.4+0.1
27 Thompson Rivers105550%72.879.0-6.2
28 McMaster73443%72.373.9-1.6
29 Manitoba104640%80.479.7+0.7
30 UQAM52340%72.876.0-3.2
31 UNBC104640%72.779.9-7.2
32 UFV83538%73.675.6-2.0
33 Nipissing83538%69.174.9-5.8
34 Laurentian83538%73.281.8-8.5
35 York62433%74.378.0-3.7
36 MacEwan103730%77.484.8-7.4
37 Brandon103730%72.079.6-7.6
38 Lakehead72529%67.469.4-2.0
39 UPEI82625%84.491.0-6.6
40 Victoria82625%76.184.1-8.0
41 Algoma92722%67.382.8-15.4
42 Trinity Western102820%79.389.7-10.4
43 Waterloo71614%75.183.4-8.3
44 Western81712%70.879.9-9.1
45 UBC Okanagan101910%66.783.1-16.4
46 Bishop's4040%69.075.2-6.2
47 Cape Breton8080%71.593.6-22.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 47 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toronto1117252477
Guelph82792266
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