Toros de Nuevo vs Aguilas Rojas Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 28 Nov 2011

Tip-off: 01:30

Final 106-71

23-10 28-22 28-16 27-23

Position#3

Record20-8

FormWLWLW

Points / game87.0

Allowed / game81.7

Toros de Nuevo 🏆

Aguilas Rojas

Position#13

Record6-23

FormLWWLL

Points / game86.4

Allowed / game100.5

LNBPRound 30

Other2011-12

Meetings · Toros de Nuevo v Aguilas Rojas

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toros de Nuevo winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Aguilas Rojas winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toros de Nuevo Mexico

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Soles

69-67

A30/10

LNBP

Volcanes

#14

102-73

102

+29

H01/11

LNBP

Pioneros

88-76

+12

H03/11

LNBP

Barreteros

#10

89-74

+15

H05/11

LNBP

Panteras

#12

83-75

H07/11

LNBP

Lechugueros

#11

86-80

A11/11

LNBP

Abejas

81-89

-8

A12/11

LNBP

Fuerza Regia

80-71

A19/11

LNBP

Fuerza Regia

73-88

-15

A20/11

LNBP

Soles

87-70

+17

H26/11

LNBP

20-19

22-13

7-16

31-18

19-20

36-9

16-26

27-23

15-14

20-19

26-20

31-23

18-15

22-16

18-20

21-24

23-12

25-15

14-24

–

17-24

26-26

16-14

22-25

15-17

18-20

17-20

30-14

18-16

16-24

17-22

22-26

19-10

23-27

17-18

28-15

160.1Avg total

83.8Scored

76.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	87.0	81.7	168.7	+5.3	71%
Season at home (14)	90.3	80.9	171.2	+9.4	86%
Season away (14)	83.7	82.4	166.1	+1.3	57%
Last 10 (10)	83.8	76.3	160.1	+7.5	80%
Last 5 (5)	81.4	79.6	161.0	+1.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	77.4	84.6	162.0	-7.2	40%
vs Similar (10)	84.7	79.3	164.0	+5.4	80%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	92.5	82.4	174.8	+10.1	77%

This opponent (Aguilas Rojas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Aguilas Rojas Mexico

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Fuerza Regia

109-110

109

110

-1

H30/10

LNBP

Xalapa

83-123

123

-40

A01/11

LNBP

Halcones Rojos

87-96

-9

A03/11

LNBP

Huracanes

78-115

115

-37

H05/11

LNBP

Correcaminos

95-88

H07/11

LNBP

Pioneros

83-91

-8

A11/11

LNBP

Volcanes

#14

95-88

A12/11

LNBP

Abejas

112-106

112

106

H18/11

LNBP

Lechugueros

#11

79-101

101

-22

H20/11

LNBP

Fuerza Regia

71-92

-21

A26/11

LNBP

–

26-34

21-23

12-29

24-37

16-26

17-22

26-25

28-23

21-23

15-34

18-30

24-28

33-27

24-20

12-25

26-16

–

23-23

30-26

19-16

19-23

28-28

29-33

36-22

21-25

16-21

12-19

30-36

15-17

21-28

14-28

21-19

190.2Avg total

89.2Scored

101.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	86.4	100.5	186.9	-14.1	21%
Season at home (14)	94.4	104.4	198.7	-10.0	29%
Season away (15)	79.0	96.9	175.9	-17.9	13%
Last 10 (10)	89.2	101.0	190.2	-11.8	30%
Last 5 (5)	88.0	95.6	183.6	-7.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	84.3	101.6	185.9	-17.3	12%
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (3)	104.7	91.0	195.7	+13.7	100%

This opponent (Toros de Nuevo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Toros de NuevoAguilas Rojas

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	22.7	21.1	43.8	+1.6	52%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	25.1	21.6	46.8	+3.5	64%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.1	20.5	40.5	-0.4	38%	-
Last 10 (9)	22.1	19.3	41.4	+2.8	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	18.2	36.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.8	21.0	39.8	-2.2	40%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.9	21.1	43.0	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	25.0	21.1	46.1	+3.9	58%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	21.7	25.6	47.3	-3.9	9%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	24.0	26.3	50.3	-2.3	11%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.2	25.1	45.4	-4.9	7%	-
Last 10 (8)	21.8	24.8	46.5	-3.0	12%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	23.0	45.2	-0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	21.4	25.7	47.1	-4.3	10%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (3)	23.7	25.0	48.7	-1.3	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	20.1	19.3	39.4	+0.8	52%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	18.6	39.0	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.8	20.0	39.8	-0.2	46%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.8	19.7	39.4	+0.1	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	21.8	43.0	-0.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.4	20.2	36.6	-3.8	20%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.0	20.4	40.4	-0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	21.7	18.0	39.7	+3.7	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	21.5	24.3	45.8	-2.9	35%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	23.3	25.7	49.0	-2.3	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.3	23.5	43.8	-3.2	29%	-
Last 10 (8)	20.6	24.9	45.5	-4.2	12%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	24.0	46.4	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	20.9	23.8	44.6	-2.9	35%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (3)	25.7	28.3	54.0	-2.7	33%	-

Toros de NuevoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Soles

40-38

A30/10

LNBP

Volcanes

#14

50-38

+12

H01/11

LNBP

Pioneros

42-37

H03/11

LNBP

Barreteros

#10

49-38

+11

H05/11

LNBP

Panteras

#12

44-36

H07/11

LNBP

Abejas

43-50

-7

A12/11

LNBP

Fuerza Regia

33-37

-4

A19/11

LNBP

Fuerza Regia

34-40

-6

A20/11

LNBP

Soles

42-37

H26/11

LNBP

80.9Avg total

41.9Scored

39.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	42.8	40.4	83.1	+2.4	56%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.5	40.3	85.8	+5.2	79%	-
Last 30 away (13)	39.8	40.5	80.3	-0.6	31%	-
Last 10 (9)	41.9	39.0	80.9	+2.9	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	40.0	79.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	35.2	41.2	76.4	-6.0	20%	-
vs Similar (10)	41.9	41.5	83.4	+0.4	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	46.7	39.1	85.8	+7.6	67%	-

This opponent (Aguilas Rojas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Aguilas RojasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Xalapa

47-57

-10

A01/11

LNBP

Halcones Rojos

33-48

-15

A03/11

LNBP

Huracanes

36-57

-21

H05/11

LNBP

Correcaminos

57-47

+10

H07/11

LNBP

Volcanes

#14

46-46

A12/11

LNBP

Abejas

47-51

-4

H18/11

LNBP

Lechugueros

#11

37-46

-9

H20/11

LNBP

Fuerza Regia

36-45

-9

A26/11

LNBP

92.0Avg total

42.4Scored

49.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	43.2	50.0	93.1	-6.8	26%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	47.3	52.0	99.3	-4.7	22%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.5	48.6	89.1	-8.1	29%	-
Last 10 (8)	42.4	49.6	92.0	-7.2	12%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	47.0	91.6	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	42.2	49.5	91.7	-7.2	30%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (3)	49.3	53.3	102.7	-4.0	0%	-

This opponent (Toros de Nuevo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	22.0	19.6	41.6	+2.4	56%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.2	18.6	40.8	+3.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.8	20.7	42.5	+1.2	46%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.3	16.2	37.6	+5.1	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	17.8	36.2	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.4	22.2	40.6	-3.8	40%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.6	18.0	39.6	+3.6	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	23.9	19.8	43.8	+4.1	58%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	19.6	25.6	45.2	-6.0	22%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	21.2	26.1	47.3	-4.9	22%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.5	25.3	43.8	-6.8	21%	-
Last 10 (8)	19.1	26.9	46.0	-7.8	25%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	26.2	45.6	-6.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	18.1	26.4	44.5	-8.3	10%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (3)	29.3	20.0	49.3	+9.3	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	22.2	21.8	44.0	+0.4	44%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	22.1	44.6	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.8	21.5	43.3	+0.4	38%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.3	20.7	41.0	-0.3	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	20.8	44.0	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	23.8	21.2	45.0	+2.6	40%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.2	19.8	41.0	+1.4	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	22.4	23.7	46.1	-1.2	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	22.7	23.7	46.4	-1.0	48%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	27.4	24.2	51.7	+3.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.7	23.4	43.1	-3.6	43%	-
Last 10 (8)	26.0	24.6	50.6	+1.4	62%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.4	21.8	48.2	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	22.2	24.6	46.9	-2.4	40%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (3)	26.0	17.7	43.7	+8.3	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	44.3	41.4	85.6	+2.9	48%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.8	40.6	85.4	+4.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (13)	43.7	42.2	85.8	+1.5	38%	-
Last 10 (9)	41.7	36.9	78.6	+4.8	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	38.6	80.2	+3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	42.2	43.4	85.6	-1.2	20%	-
vs Similar (10)	42.8	37.8	80.6	+5.0	70%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	46.3	43.5	89.8	+2.8	42%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	42.3	49.3	91.6	-7.0	22%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	48.7	50.3	99.0	-1.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.2	48.6	86.9	-10.4	14%	-
Last 10 (8)	45.1	51.5	96.6	-6.4	38%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.8	48.0	93.8	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	40.4	51.0	91.4	-10.7	10%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (3)	55.3	37.7	93.0	+17.7	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Toros de Nuevo wins

Aguilas Rojas wins

Date	Game	Score
28/10/11	Aguilas Rojas v Toros de Nuevo	93-101
18/09/11	Toros de Nuevo v Aguilas Rojas	107-76

Toros de Nuevolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/11/11	H	Soles	87-70
20/11/11	A	Fuerza Regia	73-88
19/11/11	A	Fuerza Regia	80-71
12/11/11	A	Abejas	81-89
11/11/11	A	Lechugueros	86-80
07/11/11	H	Panteras	83-75
05/11/11	H	Barreteros	89-74
03/11/11	H	Pioneros	88-76
01/11/11	H	Volcanes	102-73
30/10/11	A	Soles	69-67

Aguilas Rojaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/11/11	A	Fuerza Regia	71-92
20/11/11	H	Lechugueros	79-101
18/11/11	H	Abejas	112-106
12/11/11	A	Volcanes	95-88
11/11/11	A	Pioneros	83-91
07/11/11	H	Correcaminos	95-88
05/11/11	H	Huracanes	78-115
03/11/11	A	Halcones Rojos	87-96
01/11/11	A	Xalapa	83-123
30/10/11	H	Fuerza Regia	109-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toros de Nuevo

LNBP 2011-12

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	71%
Home	WWWWW	86%
Away	WWLWL	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	71%	86%	57%
Points / game	87.0	90.3	83.7
Allowed / game	81.7	80.9	82.4
Point differential	+5.3	+9.4	+1.3
Avg total	168.7	171.2	166.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	36%	50%	21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	100% (3)	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Aguilas Rojas

LNBP 2011-12

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	21%
Home	LLWWL	29%
Away	LLLWL	13%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	14	15
Win %	21%	29%	13%
Points / game	86.4	94.4	79.0
Allowed / game	100.5	104.4	96.9
Point differential	-14.1	-10.0	-17.9
Avg total	186.9	198.7	175.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	7%	7%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Halcones Rojos	27	22	5	81%	86.1	74.8	+11.3
2	Fuerza Regia	27	21	6	78%	89.9	79.0	+10.9
3	Xalapa	25	19	6	76%	88.2	77.2	+11.0
4	Toros de Nuevo	28	20	8	71%	87.0	81.7	+5.3
5	Pioneros	27	18	9	67%	94.4	83.0	+11.4
6	Huracanes	28	17	11	61%	86.1	76.2	+10.0
7	Soles	29	16	13	55%	86.6	83.2	+3.4
8	Barreteros	28	14	14	50%	77.5	80.0	-2.5
9	Abejas	27	12	15	44%	86.5	86.4	+0.1
10	Correcaminos	28	12	16	43%	86.0	83.4	+2.6
11	Lechugueros	27	10	17	37%	89.6	89.3	+0.2
12	Panteras	28	7	21	25%	79.5	90.0	-10.5
13	Aguilas Rojas	29	6	23	21%	86.4	100.5	-14.1
14	Volcanes	30	0	30	0%	70.4	104.3	-33.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Toros de Nuevo	23	28	28	27	106
Aguilas Rojas	10	22	16	23	71

← all games of the day

Toros de Nuevo vs Aguilas Rojas Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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