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Toros del Valle vs Bucaros Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 28 May 2024
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 93-90
26-21 22-24 21-27 24-18
Position#5
Record4-9
FormLLLWL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game84.0
vs
Position#4
Record10-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game77.0
ColombiaLBP· Coliseo Evangelista Mora
Other2024-25
Meetings · Toros del Valle v Bucaros
05 Jul 2024
TORO87
BUCA72
28 May 2024
TORO93
BUCA90
27 May 2024
TORO68
BUCA79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toros del Valle winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bucaros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toros del ValleColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValle
Date
Competition
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
L
75-86
75
86
-11
64avg 69
H08/05
LBP
Corsarios Cartagena
#9
L
65-76
65
76
-11
49avg 69
A11/05
LBP
Corsarios Cartagena
#9
W
82-67
82
67
+15
78avg 69
A11/05
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#2
L
72-91
72
91
-19
59avg 69
A16/05
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#2
L
81-85
81
85
-4
71avg 69
A17/05
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
L
81-94
81
94
-13
63avg 69
A19/05
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
L
81-95
81
95
-14
70avg 69
A21/05
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
85-94
85
94
-9
74avg 69
H24/05
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
W
87-75
87
75
+12
78avg 69
H26/05
LBP
Bucaros
#4
L
68-79
68
79
-11
57avg 69
H28/05
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
23-20
15-31
19-16
15-20
11-25
13-15
26-16
18-20
23-16
27-14
14-17
15-27
23-24
17-21
17-19
23-17
26-24
22-23
10-21
17-24
27-25
20-25
17-20
21-20
25-23
15-24
20-28
22-19
20-24
21-31
22-20
24-26
21-19
25-17
17-13
23-18
19-15
11-26
15-20
161.9Avg total
77.7Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)80.284.0164.2-3.831%
Season at home (7)82.983.4166.3-0.643%
Season away (6)77.084.7161.7-7.717%
Last 10 (10)77.784.2161.9-6.520%
Last 5 (5)80.487.4167.8-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)86.084.5170.5+1.550%
vs Similar ◀ (5)78.888.0166.8-9.20%
vs Weaker (6)79.380.5159.8-1.250%
This opponent (Bucaros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BucarosColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucaros
Date
Competition
Corsarios Cartagena
#9
W
99-89
99
89
+10
99avg 66
H07/05
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
W
93-91
93
91
+2
80avg 66
H08/05
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
W
84-83
84
83
+1
83avg 66
H10/05
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
L
78-92
78
92
-14
70avg 66
H15/05
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
W
94-79
94
79
+15
93avg 66
H16/05
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#8
W
86-69
86
69
+17
90avg 66
H18/05
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#8
W
75-68
75
68
+7
74avg 66
H18/05
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
L
78-83
78
83
-5
67avg 66
A22/05
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
80-64
80
64
+16
62avg 66
A24/05
LBP
Toros del Valle
#5
W
79-68
79
68
+11
66avg 66
A28/05
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
19-21
28-17
32-26
22-21
31-30
13-28
27-12
37-23
12-12
22-23
13-25
12-19
22-26
20-25
24-22
27-21
26-19
18-15
23-24
16-11
23-22
15-15
32-21
17-10
19-24
23-19
16-15
22-30
25-16
16-16
15-21
24-16
16-15
14-17
26-16
18-23
15-19
26-11
20-15
163.2Avg total
84.6Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)83.577.0160.5+6.577%
Season at home (10)84.878.6163.4+6.280%
Season away (3)79.071.7150.7+7.367%
Last 10 (10)84.678.6163.2+6.080%
Last 5 (5)79.670.4150.0+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)74.181.0155.1-6.940%
vs Similar ◀ (9)80.975.6156.4+5.356%
vs Weaker (6)95.777.8173.5+17.8100%
This opponent (Toros del Valle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +3.1+3.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +3.1+3.1
Toros del ValleBucaros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toros del ValleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H08/05
LBP
Corsarios Cartagena
#9
L
26-45
26
45
-19
A11/05
LBP
Corsarios Cartagena
#9
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A11/05
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#2
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A16/05
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#2
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A17/05
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A19/05
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A21/05
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H24/05
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H26/05
LBP
Bucaros
#4
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H28/05
LBP
83.9Avg total
41.4Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (13)42.041.983.9+0.146%-
Last 30 at home (7)43.140.083.1+3.143%-
Last 30 away (6)40.744.284.8-3.550%-
Last 10 (10)41.442.583.9-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)43.842.686.4+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)43.544.087.5-0.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)43.041.884.8+1.260%-
vs Weaker (6)40.741.382.0-0.750%-
This opponent (Bucaros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BucarosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corsarios Cartagena
#9
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H07/05
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H08/05
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H10/05
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H15/05
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H16/05
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#8
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H18/05
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#8
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H18/05
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A22/05
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A24/05
LBP
Toros del Valle
#5
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A28/05
LBP
82.6Avg total
42.3Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.839.778.5-0.953%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.139.779.7+0.456%-
Last 30 away (12)36.939.776.6-2.850%-
Last 10 (10)42.340.382.6+2.070%-
Last 5 (5)39.037.276.2+1.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)36.741.878.5-5.140%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)38.137.175.2+1.056%-
vs Weaker (6)45.238.283.3+7.083%-
This opponent (Toros del Valle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toros del Valletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toros del Valle: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.617.8
50.0%
50.3%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.07.9
29.3%
32.0%23.7
🏀 Free throws22.617.4
77.0%
68.5%17.4
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bucarostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bucaros: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.419.7
50.0%
50.3%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.69.8
34.3%
32.0%29.4
🏀 Free throws20.515.4
75.1%
68.5%15.4
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toros del Valle
LWLLLLLWLL
Bucaros
WWLWWWLWWW
#5
League position
#4
-8.5
Net rating
+8.5
94.7
Offensive rating
105.8
103.2
Defensive rating
97.3
47.4%
Effective FG%
50.6%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
46.2%
19.9%
Turnover %
20.7%
20.4%
Off. rebound %
34.5%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.30
29.3%
3-point %
34.3%
46.7%
Assist %
54.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence94.7 · 105.8Defence103.2 · 97.3Shooting47.4% · 50.6%3-point %29.3% · 34.3%Ball care19.9% · 20.7%Off. rebounds20.4% · 34.5%Free throws0.36 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Toros del Valle   ■ Bucaros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Toros del Valle wins
1
Bucaros wins
DateGameScore
28/05/24Toros del Valle v Bucaros68-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/05/24HBucaros68-79
26/05/24HMotilones del Norte87-75
24/05/24HMotilones del Norte85-94
21/05/24ACimarrones del Choco81-95
19/05/24ACimarrones del Choco81-94
17/05/24ATitanes de Barranquilla81-85
16/05/24ATitanes de Barranquilla72-91
11/05/24ACorsarios Cartagena82-67
11/05/24ACorsarios Cartagena65-76
08/05/24HCaribbean Storm Islands75-86
Bucaroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/05/24AToros del Valle79-68
24/05/24ACimarrones del Choco80-64
22/05/24ACimarrones del Choco78-83
18/05/24HPiratas de Bogota75-68
18/05/24HPiratas de Bogota86-69
16/05/24HCaribbean Storm Islands94-79
15/05/24HCaribbean Storm Islands78-92
10/05/24HMotilones del Norte84-83
08/05/24HMotilones del Norte93-91
07/05/24HCorsarios Cartagena99-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toros del Valle
LBP 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL31%
HomeLLLWL43%
AwayWLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %31%43%17%
Points / game80.282.977.0
Allowed / game84.083.484.7
Point differential-3.8-0.6-7.7
Avg total164.2166.3161.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%29%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bucaros
LBP 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW77%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games13103
Win %77%80%67%
Points / game83.584.879.0
Allowed / game77.078.671.7
Point differential+6.5+6.2+7.3
Avg total160.5163.4150.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%50%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Titanes de Barranquilla1210283%78.973.0+5.9
2 Bucaros1310377%83.577.0+6.5
3 Caribbean Storm Islands129375%80.772.3+8.3
4 Motilones del Norte128467%79.274.2+4.9
5 Toros del Valle134931%80.284.0-3.8
6 Cimarrones del Choco123925%71.276.7-5.5
7 Corsarios Cartagena1331023%71.877.2-5.5
8 Piratas de Bogota1331023%72.081.8-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toros del Valle2622212493
Bucaros2124271890
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