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Toros del Valle vs Bucaros Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Jul 2024
Tip-off: 00:15
Final 87-72
25-17 17-23 28-18 17-14
Position#5
Record12-16
FormWWLWL
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game88.3
vs
Position#4
Record17-11
FormLWLLL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game82.3
ColombiaLBPLBP - Quarter-finals· Coliseo Evangelista Mora
Other2024-25
Meetings · Toros del Valle v Bucaros
05 Jul 2024
TORO87
BUCA72
28 May 2024
TORO93
BUCA90
27 May 2024
TORO68
BUCA79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toros del Valle winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bucaros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toros del ValleColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValle
Date
Competition
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
90-80
90
80
+10
80avg 74
H11/06
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
100-86
100
86
+14
97avg 74
H12/06
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#2
L
67-103
67
103
-36
44avg 74
H18/06
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#2
W
84-82
84
82
+2
71avg 74
H19/06
LBP
Corsarios Cartagena
#9
W
100-79
100
79
+21
95avg 74
H21/06
LBP
Corsarios Cartagena
#9
W
121-110 OT
121
110
+11
109avg 74
H21/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
W
107-92
107
92
+15
98avg 74
A24/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
L
82-104
82
104
-22
67avg 74
A25/06
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#8
W
99-94
99
94
+5
88avg 74
A29/06
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#8
L
89-105
89
105
-16
75avg 74
A30/06
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
20-19
13-25
34-17
29-24
11-24
28-14
32-24
9-30
16-22
25-23
17-28
20-19
23-17
14-26
27-20
26-18
29-26
25-14
20-21
23-30
27-30
28-20
23-21
32-30
19-22
24-26
32-14
20-32
23-29
15-27
24-16
22-22
26-26
22-18
29-28
23-29
28-27
26-24
12-25
187.4Avg total
93.9Scored
93.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)85.488.3173.8-2.943%
Season at home (14)88.286.7174.9+1.564%
Season away (14)82.689.9172.6-7.321%
Last 10 (10)93.993.5187.4+0.470%
Last 5 (5)99.6101.0200.6-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)84.286.5170.8-2.225%
vs Similar ◀ (12)81.790.8172.5-9.225%
vs Weaker (12)89.686.4176.0+3.267%
This opponent (Bucaros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BucarosColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucaros
Date
Competition
Piratas de Bogota
#8
L
62-90
62
90
-28
41avg 73
A09/06
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#8
W
104-83
104
83
+21
96avg 73
A10/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
L
89-105
89
105
-16
83avg 73
A15/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
W
113-106
113
106
+7
113avg 73
A15/06
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
64-90
64
90
-26
57avg 73
A23/06
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
71-87
71
87
-16
64avg 73
A24/06
LBP
Corsarios Cartagena
#9
W
65-62
65
62
+3
61avg 73
A28/06
LBP
Corsarios Cartagena
#9
L
84-92 OT
84
92
-8
68avg 73
A28/06
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#2
L
75-81
75
81
-6
60avg 73
A02/07
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#2
L
58-80
58
80
-22
40avg 73
A04/07
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
6-22
14-24
27-28
22-22
24-18
30-22
28-21
23-22
14-20
27-21
25-42
25-28
34-29
24-25
30-24
18-23
17-22
13-33
16-12
19-25
20-25
20-16
12-21
20-17
21-13
7-18
17-14
22-26
27-17
16-19
17-20
21-22
19-19
19-21
16-19
18-25
13-15
11-24
16-16
166.1Avg total
78.5Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)83.282.3165.6+0.961%
Season at home (14)87.180.1167.1+7.086%
Season away (14)79.484.6164.0-5.136%
Last 10 (10)78.587.6166.1-9.130%
Last 5 (5)70.680.4151.0-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)80.586.1166.6-5.636%
vs Similar ◀ (12)85.479.4164.8+6.075%
vs Weaker (4)82.277.5159.8+4.875%
This opponent (Toros del Valle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -1.3-1.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -1.3-1.3
Toros del ValleBucaros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toros del ValleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H11/06
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H12/06
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#2
L
25-52
25
52
-27
H18/06
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#2
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H19/06
LBP
Corsarios Cartagena
#9
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H21/06
LBP
Corsarios Cartagena
#9
L
50-60
50
60
-10
H21/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A24/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
L
43-61
43
61
-18
A25/06
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#8
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A29/06
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#8
L
51-56
51
56
-5
A30/06
LBP
94.4Avg total
44.9Scored
49.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)43.645.288.8-1.643%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.343.186.4+0.250%-
Last 30 away (14)43.947.491.3-3.436%-
Last 10 (10)44.949.594.4-4.630%-
Last 5 (5)48.655.4104.0-6.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)46.044.090.0+2.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)42.245.787.8-3.550%-
vs Weaker (12)44.245.289.4-0.942%-
This opponent (Bucaros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BucarosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Piratas de Bogota
#8
L
21-38
21
38
-17
A09/06
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#8
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A10/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A15/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
W
59-57
59
57
+2
A15/06
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A23/06
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A24/06
LBP
Corsarios Cartagena
#9
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A28/06
LBP
Corsarios Cartagena
#9
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A28/06
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#2
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A02/07
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#2
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A04/07
LBP
82.4Avg total
39.8Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.441.482.8+0.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.140.783.8+2.560%-
Last 30 away (15)39.742.181.9-2.440%-
Last 10 (10)39.842.682.4-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)40.040.880.8-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)41.243.584.7-2.336%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.640.682.2+1.058%-
vs Weaker (4)41.836.578.2+5.275%-
This opponent (Toros del Valle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toros del Valletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toros del Valle: 93.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.323.1
51.0%
50.3%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.910.8
35.0%
32.0%32.4
🏀 Free throws19.514.5
74.4%
68.5%14.5
They take 76.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bucarostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bucaros: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.719.6
47.0%
50.3%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.0
34.0%
32.0%27.0
🏀 Free throws16.010.5
65.6%
68.5%10.5
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jul 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toros del Valle
LWLWWWWLWW
Bucaros
LLLWLLWLWL
#5
League position
#4
+1.0
Net rating
-13.6
111.3
Offensive rating
95.6
110.4
Defensive rating
109.2
51.6%
Effective FG%
48.5%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
14.9%
Turnover %
18.3%
30.8%
Off. rebound %
22.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.23
35.0%
3-point %
34.0%
51.6%
Assist %
46.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence111.3 · 95.6Defence110.4 · 109.2Shooting51.6% · 48.5%3-point %35.0% · 34.0%Ball care14.9% · 18.3%Off. rebounds30.8% · 22.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Toros del Valle   ■ Bucaros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Toros del Valle wins
3
Bucaros wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/06/24APiratas de Bogota89-105
29/06/24APiratas de Bogota99-94
25/06/24ACaribbean Storm Islands82-104
24/06/24ACaribbean Storm Islands107-92
21/06/24HCorsarios Cartagena121-110 OT
21/06/24HCorsarios Cartagena100-79
19/06/24HTitanes de Barranquilla84-82
18/06/24HTitanes de Barranquilla67-103
12/06/24HCimarrones del Choco100-86
11/06/24HCimarrones del Choco90-80
Bucaroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/07/24ATitanes de Barranquilla58-80
02/07/24ATitanes de Barranquilla75-81
28/06/24ACorsarios Cartagena84-92 OT
28/06/24ACorsarios Cartagena65-62
24/06/24AMotilones del Norte71-87
23/06/24AMotilones del Norte64-90
15/06/24ACaribbean Storm Islands113-106
15/06/24ACaribbean Storm Islands89-105
10/06/24APiratas de Bogota104-83
09/06/24APiratas de Bogota62-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toros del Valle
LBP 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL43%
HomeWLWWW64%
AwayLWLWL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %43%64%21%
Points / game85.488.282.6
Allowed / game88.386.789.9
Point differential-2.9+1.5-7.3
Avg total173.8174.9172.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%43%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)67% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Bucaros
LBP 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL61%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayLWLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %61%86%36%
Points / game83.287.179.4
Allowed / game82.380.184.6
Point differential+0.9+7.0-5.1
Avg total165.6167.1164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%43%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)80% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Caribbean Storm Islands2821775%85.276.8+8.4
2 Motilones del Norte2921872%84.177.7+6.3
3 Titanes de Barranquilla2820871%79.973.5+6.4
4 Bucaros28171161%83.282.3+0.9
5 Toros del Valle28121643%85.488.3-2.9
6 Piratas de Bogota2982128%80.487.7-7.2
7 Cimarrones del Choco2872125%77.282.5-5.3
8 Corsarios Cartagena2872125%75.882.4-6.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toros del Valle2517281787
Bucaros1723181472
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