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Toros del Valle vs Caimanes del Llano Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 83-88
15-19 30-20 21-26 17-23
Position#3
Record14-10
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game76.7
Toros del Valle
Colombia
vs
Caimanes del Llano 🏆
Colombia
Position#2
Record16-6
FormLWWLW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game70.9
ColombiaLBPLBP - Semi-finals· Coliseo Evangelista Mora
Other2025-26
Meetings · Toros del Valle v Caimanes del Llano
29 Oct 2025
TORO69
CAIM77
28 Oct 2025
TORO80
CAIM83
06 Jul 2025
TORO86
CAIM80
05 Jul 2025
TORO83
CAIM88
13 Jun 2025
TORO85
CAIM74
12 Jun 2025
TORO69
CAIM72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toros del Valle winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Caimanes del Llano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toros del ValleColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValle
Date
Competition
Caimanes del Llano
#2
L
69-72
69
72
-3
68avg 77
H13/06
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#2
W
85-74
85
74
+11
87avg 77
H13/06
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#2
L
59-70
59
70
-11
51avg 77
A16/06
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#2
W
67-57
67
57
+10
55avg 77
A17/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#4
L
90-93
90
93
-3
84avg 77
H20/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#4
W
90-76
90
76
+14
88avg 77
H21/06
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#5
W
87-83
87
83
+4
77avg 77
A24/06
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#5
W
78-70
78
70
+8
72avg 77
H27/06
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#2
W
65-64
65
64
+1
55avg 77
A01/07
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#2
L
77-94
77
94
-17
70avg 77
A03/07
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-25
17-20
10-18
14-9
23-17
13-23
25-18
24-16
12-13
15-17
17-27
15-13
12-16
18-11
14-11
23-19
21-19
27-26
21-26
21-22
20-18
15-25
27-19
28-14
16-17
16-22
25-23
30-21
13-15
19-17
25-10
21-28
18-17
11-15
15-22
21-10
21-18
19-23
19-31
18-22
152.0Avg total
76.7Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)80.676.7157.3+3.958%
Season at home (13)87.577.8165.3+9.669%
Season away (11)72.575.4147.8-2.945%
Last 10 (10)76.775.3152.0+1.460%
Last 5 (5)79.477.4156.8+2.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)71.580.2151.8-8.825%
vs Similar ◀ (13)78.078.2156.2-0.246%
vs Weaker (13)87.878.1165.8+9.769%
This opponent (Caimanes del Llano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Caimanes del LlanoColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLlano
Date
Competition
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
77-62
77
62
+15
78avg 70
A08/06
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
97-44
97
44
+53
100avg 70
A09/06
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
W
72-69
72
69
+3
56avg 70
A13/06
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
L
74-85
74
85
-11
59avg 70
A13/06
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
W
70-59
70
59
+11
60avg 70
H16/06
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
L
57-67
57
67
-10
43avg 70
H17/06
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
75-30
75
30
+45
69avg 70
H21/06
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
99-89
99
89
+10
95avg 70
H22/06
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
L
64-65
64
65
-1
60avg 70
H01/07
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
W
94-77
94
77
+17
88avg 70
H03/07
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
20-26
20-12
13-9
30-5
25-12
20-14
22-13
25-28
20-17
18-10
9-14
17-23
23-13
18-25
16-24
13-12
17-15
27-17
13-15
16-12
11-18
11-14
19-23
14-2
19-13
19-6
23-9
24-24
24-19
21-17
30-29
17-18
15-11
22-15
10-21
18-21
23-19
31-19
22-18
142.6Avg total
77.9Scored
64.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)78.570.9149.4+7.573%
Season at home (12)78.869.6148.3+9.275%
Season away (10)78.172.5150.6+5.670%
Last 10 (10)77.964.7142.6+13.270%
Last 5 (5)77.865.6143.4+12.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)75.473.8149.2+1.660%
vs Weaker (12)81.068.5149.5+12.583%
This opponent (Toros del Valle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +5.8+5.8Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +5.8+5.8Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
Toros del ValleCaimanes del Llano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toros del ValleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caimanes del Llano
#2
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H13/06
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#2
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H13/06
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#2
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A16/06
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#2
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A17/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#4
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H20/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#4
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H21/06
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#5
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A24/06
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#5
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H27/06
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#2
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A01/07
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#2
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A03/07
LBP
72.8Avg total
35.4Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.139.179.2+1.040%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.939.683.5+4.244%-
Last 30 away (14)35.838.574.3-2.736%-
Last 10 (10)35.437.472.8-2.020%-
Last 5 (5)33.637.471.0-3.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.240.574.8-6.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.138.877.8+0.346%-
vs Weaker (13)42.939.081.9+3.938%-
This opponent (Caimanes del Llano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Caimanes del LlanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A08/06
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
55-17
55
17
+38
A09/06
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A13/06
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A13/06
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H16/06
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H17/06
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
33-15
33
15
+18
H21/06
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H22/06
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H01/07
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H03/07
LBP
71.8Avg total
39.5Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (22)37.934.172.0+3.868%-
Last 30 at home (12)36.033.269.2+2.875%-
Last 30 away (10)40.235.275.4+5.060%-
Last 10 (10)39.532.371.8+7.280%-
Last 5 (5)36.231.467.6+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)33.735.268.9-1.540%-
vs Weaker (12)41.433.274.6+8.292%-
This opponent (Toros del Valle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toros del Valletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toros del Valle: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.520.8
47.8%
49.3%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.1
29.3%
30.7%21.3
🏀 Free throws20.413.2
64.7%
67.7%13.2
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Caimanes del Llanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caimanes del Llano: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.319.0
49.6%
49.3%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.3
32.6%
30.7%27.9
🏀 Free throws16.311.2
68.7%
67.7%11.2
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jul 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toros del Valle
LWWWWLWLWL
Caimanes del Llano
WLWWLWLWWW
#3
League position
#2
+2.3
Net rating
+17.3
95.7
Offensive rating
101.0
93.4
Defensive rating
83.7
46.5%
Effective FG%
49.3%
43.8%
Opp. effective FG%
42.9%
19.0%
Turnover %
16.3%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
23.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.24
29.3%
3-point %
32.6%
54.5%
Assist %
58.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence95.7 · 101.0Defence93.4 · 83.7Shooting46.5% · 49.3%3-point %29.3% · 32.6%Ball care19.0% · 16.3%Off. rebounds29.7% · 23.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Toros del Valle   ■ Caimanes del Llano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Toros del Valle wins
3
Caimanes del Llano wins
DateGameScore
03/07/25Caimanes del Llano v Toros del Valle94-77
01/07/25Caimanes del Llano v Toros del Valle64-65
17/06/25Caimanes del Llano v Toros del Valle57-67
16/06/25Caimanes del Llano v Toros del Valle70-59
13/06/25Toros del Valle v Caimanes del Llano85-74
13/06/25Toros del Valle v Caimanes del Llano69-72
Toros del Vallelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/07/25ACaimanes del Llano77-94
01/07/25ACaimanes del Llano65-64
27/06/25HSabios de Manizales78-70
24/06/25ASabios de Manizales87-83
21/06/25HCaribbean Storm Islands90-76
20/06/25HCaribbean Storm Islands90-93
17/06/25ACaimanes del Llano67-57
16/06/25ACaimanes del Llano59-70
13/06/25HCaimanes del Llano85-74
13/06/25HCaimanes del Llano69-72
Caimanes del Llanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/07/25HToros del Valle94-77
01/07/25HToros del Valle64-65
22/06/25HCimarrones del Choco99-89
21/06/25HCimarrones del Choco75-30
17/06/25HToros del Valle57-67
16/06/25HToros del Valle70-59
13/06/25AToros del Valle74-85
13/06/25AToros del Valle72-69
09/06/25ACimarrones del Choco97-44
08/06/25ACimarrones del Choco77-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toros del Valle
LBP 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL58%
HomeLWLWW69%
AwayLWWWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %58%69%45%
Points / game80.687.572.5
Allowed / game76.777.875.4
Point differential+3.9+9.6-2.9
Avg total157.3165.3147.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%38%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)25% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %4%0%9%
Caimanes del Llano
LBP 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW73%
HomeLWWLW75%
AwayLWWWL70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %73%75%70%
Points / game78.578.878.1
Allowed / game70.969.672.5
Point differential+7.5+9.2+5.6
Avg total149.4148.3150.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%50%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)0% (1)100% (4)
Overtime %5%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paisas2217577%87.676.4+11.2
2 Caimanes del Llano2216673%78.570.9+7.5
3 Toros del Valle24141058%80.676.7+3.9
4 Motilones del Norte23121152%77.077.9-0.8
5 Caribbean Storm Islands25131252%81.579.2+2.3
6 Sabios de Manizales2291341%76.980.0-3.1
7 Piratas de Bogota2041620%74.682.1-7.5
8 Cimarrones del Choco2041620%76.292.5-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toros del Valle1530211783
Caimanes del Llano1920262388
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