Torun vs Trefl Sopot Result & Analysis

Torun hosts Trefl Sopot on 14 November 2026 in the Energa Basket Liga, with the model favouring Torun at 64% to 36%. Torun has gone 2-4 in all six games this season, scoring 85.0 points per game while allowing 88.2, and sits 12th in the standings; at home they are 2-1, averaging 94.0 points and conceding 90.3. Their last five games include a 87-71 win over Zielona Gora at home, a 76-81 loss to Slask Wroclaw away, and a 69-90 defeat to GTK Gliwice away. Trefl Sopot is winless, 0-6 overall, with 78.7 points scored and 91.8 allowed, and 0-3 on the road, 80.3 points and 89.3 allowed. Their last five were all losses, including a 77-84 loss to GTK Gliwice away, a 87-90 defeat to Bydgoszcz at home, and a 82-88 loss to Dabrowa Gornicza away. In their 10 meetings Torun has 4 wins to Trefl Sopot's 6, the last encounter ending 92-72 in favour of Trefl Sopot. The model projects a 89-85 score for Torun, a total of 173.5 points, and a 44% chance that Torun will cover the -6.0 spread, while the over on the 174.0 line has a 48% probability; the game has a 5% chance of overtime. The next contest will see Torun attempt to reverse a recent slump against a struggling Trefl Sopot side.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Torun winWon

64.2%fair 1.56

Best odds1.36

Implied72.6%

Edge-8.4pp

Trefl Sopot winLost

35.8%fair 2.79

Best odds3.44

Implied27.4%

Edge+8.4pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 19:45 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Torun

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormTorun

Date

Competition

Gornik Walbrzych

#11

73-96

-23

62avg 82

H24/04

Energa Basket Liga

Slask Wroclaw

113-106

113

106

115avg 82

H28/04

Energa Basket Liga

GTK Gliwice

#15

99-107

107

-8

104avg 82

A02/05

Energa Basket Liga

Gdynia

95-86

82avg 82

H06/05

Energa Basket Liga

Szczecin

85-104

104

-19

55avg 82

H03/10

Energa Basket Liga

Dabrowa Gornicza

83-87

-4

76avg 82

A10/10

Energa Basket Liga

Bydgoszcz

110-96

110

+14

100avg 82

H16/10

Energa Basket Liga

GTK Gliwice

#10

69-90

-21

57avg 82

A23/10

Energa Basket Liga

Zielona Gora

87-71

+16

75avg 82

H31/10

Energa Basket Liga

Slask Wroclaw

76-81

-5

no box

A07/11

Energa Basket Liga

10-14

20-28

21-29

22-25

31-30

25-27

25-22

32-27

19-27

30-26

23-34

27-20

28-18

18-26

17-22

32-20

24-23

23-28

22-27

16-26

18-21

22-31

20-22

23-13

22-18

38-29

30-22

20-27

19-26

7-24

23-22

20-18

17-15

27-21

20-16

23-19

17-27

24-30

16-13

19-11

181.4Avg total

89.0Scored

92.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	85.0	88.2	173.2	-3.2	33%
Season at home (3)	94.0	90.3	184.3	+3.7	67%
Season away (3)	76.0	86.0	162.0	-10.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	89.0	92.4	181.4	-3.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	85.0	85.0	170.0	+0.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	89.1	91.6	180.7	-2.5	40%
vs Similar (10)	79.8	86.7	166.5	-6.9	20%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	101.6	96.8	198.4	+4.8	80%

This opponent (Trefl Sopot) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Trefl Sopot Poland

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormSopot

Date

Competition

Dziki Warszawa

92-107

107

-15

83avg 79

H14/05

Energa Basket Liga

Dziki Warszawa

81-78

77avg 79

H16/05

Energa Basket Liga

Dziki Warszawa

78-85

-7

62avg 79

A19/05

Energa Basket Liga

Dziki Warszawa

73-88

-15

61avg 79

A21/05

Energa Basket Liga

Dziki Warszawa

63-102

102

-39

51avg 79

H02/10

Energa Basket Liga

Gdynia

82-96

-14

70avg 79

A11/10

Energa Basket Liga

Szczecin

81-91

-10

83avg 79

H17/10

Energa Basket Liga

Dabrowa Gornicza

82-88

-6

80avg 79

A25/10

Energa Basket Liga

Bydgoszcz

87-90 OT

-3

77avg 79

H31/10

Energa Basket Liga

GTK Gliwice

#10

77-84

-7

no box

A08/11

Energa Basket Liga

23-23

20-26

22-27

27-31

19-21

11-13

24-20

27-24

18-22

24-23

14-16

22-24

32-22

21-18

11-24

9-24

20-25

19-26

8-26

16-25

26-21

21-29

14-17

21-29

7-29

22-22

23-21

29-19

19-22

24-23

18-27

21-16

28-21

15-15

14-21

19-19

17-18

15-23

21-23

24-20

170.5Avg total

79.6Scored

90.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	78.7	91.8	170.5	-13.2	0%
Season at home (3)	77.0	94.3	171.3	-17.3	0%
Season away (3)	80.3	89.3	169.7	-9.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	79.6	90.9	170.5	-11.3	10%
Last 5 (5)	81.8	89.8	171.6	-8.0	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	79.3	90.8	170.1	-11.4	11%
vs Similar (15)	80.3	88.1	168.3	-7.8	33%
vs Weaker (6)	93.5	84.2	177.7	+9.3	100%

This opponent (Torun) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 169Actual: Over 169

Over 169

60.0%

@ 1.50-2.5pp

Under 169

40.0%

@ 2.50+2.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.50

Under

Bet365

2.50

Over/Under 174.25 · main lineActual: Over 174.25

Over 174.25

no forecast

@ 1.82

Under 174.25

no forecast

@ 1.80

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.82

Under

1xBet

1.80

Over/Under 179Actual: Over 179

Over 179

35.8%

@ 2.30-4.4pp

Under 179

64.2%

@ 1.55+4.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.30

Under

Marathon Be

1.55

Bet365

1.55

📊 3. Team Totals

Torun total 86.5Actual: Torun over 86.5

Over 86.5

58.7%

@ 1.47-3.9pp

Under 86.5

41.3%

@ 2.45+3.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.47

1xBet

1.39

Under

Betano

2.45

1xBet

2.34

Torun total 90.5 · main lineActual: Torun over 90.5

Over 90.5

43.2%

@ 1.91-6.2pp

Under 90.5

56.8%

@ 1.85+6.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

1.91

Betano

1.90

Marathon Be

1.85

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.74

Under

Marathon Be

1.85

Bet365

1.83

BetVictor

1.80

Betano

1.78

1xBet

1.70

Torun total 94.5Actual: Torun over 94.5

Over 94.5

28.7%

@ 2.65-6.8pp

Under 94.5

71.3%

@ 1.40+6.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.65

1xBet

2.40

Under

Betano

1.40

1xBet

1.38

Trefl Sopot total 79.5Actual: Trefl Sopot under 79.5

Over 79.5

68.7%

@ 1.43+4.0pp

Under 79.5

31.3%

@ 2.65-4.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.43

Betano

1.42

1xBet

1.38

Under

Bet365

2.65

Betano

2.60

1xBet

2.40

Trefl Sopot total 83.5 · main lineActual: Trefl Sopot under 83.5

Over 83.5

54.0%

@ 1.84+3.3pp

Under 83.5

46.0%

@ 1.91-3.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.84

Betano

1.80

BetVictor

1.80

1xBet

1.71

Under

BetVictor

1.91

Betano

1.87

Marathon Be

1.86

1xBet

1.73

Trefl Sopot total 87.5Actual: Trefl Sopot under 87.5

Over 87.5

38.8%

@ 2.50+1.4pp

Under 87.5

61.2%

@ 1.50-1.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.50

Bet365

2.50

1xBet

2.34

Under

Bet365

1.50

Betano

1.45

1xBet

1.40

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Torun -10Actual: Torun -10

TOR -10

29.5%

@ 2.40-9.5pp

TSO +10

70.5%

@ 1.54+9.5pp

Best 5 market prices

TOR

Bet365

2.40

TSO

Bet365

1.54

Spread Torun -7 · main lineActual: Torun -7

TOR -7

40.0%

@ 1.91-10.0pp

TSO +7

60.0%

@ 1.91+10.0pp

Best 5 market prices

TOR

Pinnacle

1.91

Bet365

1.90

Marathon Be

1.87

1xBet

1.87

TSO

Pinnacle

1.91

Marathon Be

1.84

1xBet

1.84

Bet365

1.80

Spread Torun -4Actual: Torun -4

TOR -4

51.9%

@ 1.62-7.1pp

TSO +4

48.1%

@ 2.31+7.1pp

Best 5 market prices

TOR

Bet365

1.62

Pinnacle

1.61

Marathon Be

1.53

TSO

Pinnacle

2.31

Bet365

2.20

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

TorunTrefl Sopot

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43.5
Last 30 (30)	21.7	22.6	44.3	-1.0	43%	63%
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	21.7	43.9	+0.4	64%	64%
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	23.4	44.7	-2.2	25%	62%
Last 10 (10)	20.5	21.9	42.4	-1.4	50%	60%
Last 5 (5)	18.6	21.4	40.0	-2.8	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	24.1	23.0	47.1	+1.1	53%	73%
vs Similar (10)	18.0	21.1	39.1	-3.1	20%	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	21.6	24.6	46.2	-3.0	60%	80%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43.5
Last 30 (30)	20.0	23.3	43.3	-3.3	30%	50%
Last 30 at home (16)	19.9	23.6	43.4	-3.7	31%	50%
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	22.9	43.1	-2.8	29%	50%
Last 10 (10)	20.9	22.4	43.3	-1.5	30%	50%
Last 5 (5)	19.4	22.2	41.6	-2.8	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	20.6	22.3	42.9	-1.8	33%	44%
vs Similar (15)	20.0	23.7	43.7	-3.7	27%	53%
vs Weaker (6)	19.2	23.7	42.8	-4.5	33%	50%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.75
Last 30 (30)	22.4	24.7	47.0	-2.3	37%	70%
Last 30 at home (14)	24.1	25.3	49.4	-1.2	43%	86%
Last 30 away (16)	20.9	24.1	45.0	-3.2	31%	56%
Last 10 (10)	23.4	27.0	50.4	-3.6	30%	90%
Last 5 (5)	23.6	27.0	50.6	-3.4	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	23.1	24.5	47.5	-1.4	33%	73%
vs Similar (10)	18.7	25.4	44.1	-6.7	20%	60%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	27.6	23.8	51.4	+3.8	80%	80%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.75
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.6	40.9	-0.3	37%	43%
Last 30 at home (16)	19.3	20.8	40.1	-1.5	25%	50%
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	20.4	41.9	+1.0	50%	36%
Last 10 (10)	19.2	21.8	41.0	-2.6	30%	60%
Last 5 (5)	19.4	22.4	41.8	-3.0	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	19.6	21.9	41.4	-2.3	22%	56%
vs Similar (15)	18.3	20.6	38.9	-2.3	33%	27%
vs Weaker (6)	26.3	18.8	45.2	+7.5	67%	67%

TorunLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gornik Walbrzych

#11

30-42

-12

H24/04

Energa Basket Liga

Slask Wroclaw

56-57

-1

H28/04

Energa Basket Liga

GTK Gliwice

#15

49-53

-4

A02/05

Energa Basket Liga

Gdynia

46-44

H06/05

Energa Basket Liga

Szczecin

47-51

-4

H03/10

Energa Basket Liga

Dabrowa Gornicza

40-52

-12

A10/10

Energa Basket Liga

Bydgoszcz

60-47

+13

H16/10

Energa Basket Liga

GTK Gliwice

#10

26-50

-24

A23/10

Energa Basket Liga

Zielona Gora

44-36

H31/10

Energa Basket Liga

Slask Wroclaw

41-57

-16

A07/11

Energa Basket Liga

92.8Avg total

43.9Scored

48.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 86.5
Last 30 (30)	44.0	47.3	91.3	-3.3	37%	70%
Last 30 at home (14)	46.2	47.0	93.2	-0.8	50%	79%
Last 30 away (16)	42.1	47.6	89.7	-5.4	25%	62%
Last 10 (10)	43.9	48.9	92.8	-5.0	30%	70%
Last 5 (5)	42.2	48.4	90.6	-6.2	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	47.2	47.5	94.7	-0.3	47%	87%
vs Similar (10)	36.7	46.5	83.2	-9.8	10%	30%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	49.2	48.4	97.6	+0.8	60%	100%

This opponent (Trefl Sopot) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Trefl SopotLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Dziki Warszawa

43-49

-6

H14/05

Energa Basket Liga

Dziki Warszawa

30-34

-4

H16/05

Energa Basket Liga

Dziki Warszawa

42-45

-3

A19/05

Energa Basket Liga

Dziki Warszawa

53-40

+13

A21/05

Energa Basket Liga

Dziki Warszawa

39-51

-12

H02/10

Energa Basket Liga

Gdynia

47-50

-3

A11/10

Energa Basket Liga

Szczecin

29-51

-22

H17/10

Energa Basket Liga

Dabrowa Gornicza

43-45

-2

A25/10

Energa Basket Liga

Bydgoszcz

43-36

H31/10

Energa Basket Liga

GTK Gliwice

#10

32-41

-9

A08/11

Energa Basket Liga

84.3Avg total

40.1Scored

44.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 86.5
Last 30 (30)	40.3	43.9	84.2	-3.6	30%	43%
Last 30 at home (16)	39.2	44.4	83.6	-5.2	38%	31%
Last 30 away (14)	41.6	43.4	84.9	-1.8	21%	57%
Last 10 (10)	40.1	44.2	84.3	-4.1	20%	60%
Last 5 (5)	38.8	44.6	83.4	-5.8	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	40.1	44.2	84.3	-4.1	33%	44%
vs Similar (15)	38.3	44.3	82.6	-5.9	13%	40%
vs Weaker (6)	45.5	42.5	88.0	+3.0	67%	50%

This opponent (Torun) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Torun win

TOR win

no forecast

@ 1.50

TSO win

no forecast

@ 2.94

1st half Spread Torun -4 · main lineActual: Torun -4

TOR -4

no forecast

@ 1.99

TSO +4

no forecast

@ 1.88

1st half Over/Under 86.5 · main lineActual: Under 86.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.90

Under

no forecast

@ 1.93

Torun 1st half total 45 · main lineActual: Torun over 45

Over

no forecast

@ 1.85

Under

no forecast

@ 1.85

Trefl Sopot 1st half total 41.5 · main lineActual: Trefl Sopot under 41.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.86

Under

no forecast

@ 1.88

1st half: TOR + total 86.5

TOR & over

no forecast

@ 2.95

TOR & under

no forecast

@ 2.95

1st half: Draw + total 86.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 29.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 29.00

1st half: TSO + total 86.5

TSO & over

no forecast

@ 4.90

TSO & under

no forecast

@ 4.90

1st half Over/Under 85.25Actual: Under 85.25

Over

no forecast

@ 1.72

Under

no forecast

@ 1.91

1st half Over/Under 87.75Actual: Under 87.75

Over

no forecast

@ 1.88

Under

no forecast

@ 1.75

1st half Spread Torun -5Actual: Torun -5

TOR -5

no forecast

@ 2.12

TSO +5

no forecast

@ 1.72

1st half Spread Torun -3Actual: Torun -3

TOR -3

no forecast

@ 1.83

TSO +3

no forecast

@ 2.06

1st half Over/Under 83.5Actual: Under 83.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.47

Under

no forecast

@ 2.55

1st half Over/Under 89.5Actual: Under 89.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.25

Under

no forecast

@ 1.62

1st half Spread Torun -2Actual: Torun -2

TOR -2

no forecast

@ 1.68

TSO +2

no forecast

@ 2.18

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Torun (regulation)

TOR

no forecast

@ 1.54

Draw

no forecast

@ 17.00

TSO

no forecast

@ 2.77

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43
Last 30 (30)	21.6	21.9	43.5	-0.3	47%	50%
Last 30 at home (14)	23.1	22.6	45.8	+0.5	57%	64%
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	21.3	41.6	-1.1	38%	38%
Last 10 (10)	21.7	22.9	44.6	-1.2	50%	60%
Last 5 (5)	21.8	19.0	40.8	+2.8	80%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	20.4	23.1	43.5	-2.7	27%	40%
vs Similar (10)	21.2	19.2	40.4	+2.0	60%	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	26.0	23.8	49.8	+2.2	80%	100%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43
Last 30 (30)	19.7	21.1	40.8	-1.4	40%	37%
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	20.7	40.9	-0.4	50%	38%
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	21.6	40.7	-2.4	29%	36%
Last 10 (10)	16.9	22.2	39.1	-5.3	20%	50%
Last 5 (5)	18.0	21.8	39.8	-3.8	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	16.1	23.0	39.1	-6.9	22%	33%
vs Similar (15)	20.6	20.5	41.1	+0.1	47%	40%
vs Weaker (6)	23.0	19.7	42.7	+3.3	50%	33%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43.25
Last 30 (30)	21.7	20.8	42.5	+0.9	50%	33%
Last 30 at home (14)	24.1	22.4	46.5	+1.6	50%	43%
Last 30 away (16)	19.7	19.4	39.1	+0.3	50%	25%
Last 10 (10)	23.4	20.6	44.0	+2.8	70%	50%
Last 5 (5)	21.0	17.6	38.6	+3.4	80%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	21.5	21.0	42.5	+0.5	53%	27%
vs Similar (10)	21.2	19.3	40.5	+1.9	50%	30%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	23.6	23.2	46.8	+0.4	40%	60%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43.25
Last 30 (30)	21.6	22.2	43.8	-0.6	40%	53%
Last 30 at home (16)	22.3	21.8	44.1	+0.5	44%	50%
Last 30 away (14)	20.8	22.6	43.4	-1.9	36%	57%
Last 10 (10)	21.5	23.1	44.6	-1.6	40%	60%
Last 5 (5)	22.8	20.6	43.4	+2.2	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	21.9	22.0	43.9	-0.1	33%	44%
vs Similar (15)	21.3	23.3	44.6	-1.9	40%	67%
vs Weaker (6)	21.8	19.8	41.7	+2.0	50%	33%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 86.5
Last 30 (30)	43.3	42.7	86.1	+0.6	50%	53%
Last 30 at home (14)	47.2	45.1	92.3	+2.1	57%	79%
Last 30 away (16)	39.9	40.7	80.6	-0.8	44%	31%
Last 10 (10)	45.1	43.5	88.6	+1.6	70%	60%
Last 5 (5)	42.8	36.6	79.4	+6.2	100%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	41.9	44.1	86.0	-2.3	40%	53%
vs Similar (10)	42.4	38.5	80.9	+3.9	60%	30%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	49.6	47.0	96.6	+2.6	60%	100%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 86.5
Last 30 (30)	41.3	43.3	84.6	-2.0	37%	43%
Last 30 at home (16)	42.6	42.5	85.1	+0.1	44%	38%
Last 30 away (14)	39.9	44.2	84.1	-4.3	29%	50%
Last 10 (10)	38.4	45.3	83.7	-6.9	30%	40%
Last 5 (5)	40.8	42.4	83.2	-1.6	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	38.0	45.0	83.0	-7.0	22%	33%
vs Similar (15)	41.9	43.8	85.7	-1.9	33%	47%
vs Weaker (6)	44.8	39.5	84.3	+5.3	67%	50%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

TOR win + total 174.5

🔒 Pro

TSO win + total 174.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: TOR leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: TSO leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (TOR:TSO): TOR wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Trefl Sopot +16.5	86.1%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+9.9pp	Lost
Trefl Sopot +14	81.5%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	+9.8pp	Lost
Trefl Sopot +13	79.1%	1.35	Bet365 1.35	-	-	-	-	+9.8pp	Lost
Trefl Sopot +12	76.4%	1.40	Bet365 1.40	-	-	-	-	+9.8pp	Lost
Trefl Sopot +11	73.6%	1.47	Bet365 1.47	-	-	-	-	+9.7pp	Lost
Trefl Sopot +10	70.5%	1.54	Bet365 1.54	-	-	-	-	+9.5pp	Lost
Trefl Sopot +14.5	82.0%	1.27	Bet365 1.29	Betano 1.26	-	-	-	+9.5pp	Lost
Trefl Sopot +13.5	79.6%	1.31	Bet365 1.33	Betano 1.30	-	-	-	+9.1pp	Lost
Torun under 97.5	80.3%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	+8.9pp	Lost
Trefl Sopot +15.5	84.1%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	+8.8pp	Lost
Trefl Sopot +11.5	74.3%	1.39	Bet365 1.44	Betano 1.40	1xBet 1.34	-	-	+8.7pp	Lost
Trefl Sopot +12.5	77.1%	1.33	Bet365 1.38	Betano 1.34	1xBet 1.27	-	-	+8.7pp	Lost
Trefl Sopot +10.5	71.4%	1.46	Bet365 1.50	Betano 1.47	1xBet 1.41	-	-	+8.4pp	Lost
Torun under 95.5	74.5%	1.36	Bet365 1.41	1xBet 1.32	-	-	-	+8.3pp	Lost
Torun under 96.5	77.5%	1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	-	+8.0pp	Lost
Trefl Sopot +20.5	92.0%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+7.6pp	Lost
Trefl Sopot +21.5	93.1%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+7.6pp	Lost
Torun under 94.5	71.3%	1.39	Betano 1.40	1xBet 1.38	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Lost
Trefl Sopot over 67.5	95.2%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
Trefl Sopot over 73.5	85.9%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
Trefl Sopot over 78.5	72.1%	1.32	1xBet 1.32	-	-	-	-	+5.3pp	Lost
Torun +19.5	97.3%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Won
Trefl Sopot over 69.5	92.9%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Trefl Sopot over 77.5	75.3%	1.29	Bet365 1.31	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Lost
Trefl Sopot over 75.5	81.1%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Trefl Sopot over 71.5	89.8%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Trefl Sopot over 74.5	83.6%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Torun +14.5	94.1%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Torun over 69.5	96.9%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Torun over 70.5	96.2%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Under 182	70.7%	1.40	Bet365 1.40	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Push
Torun +18.5	96.9%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
Torun over 71.5	95.3%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
Under 189.5	83.4%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Under 182.5	71.3%	1.38	Bet365 1.38	-	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Won
Under 184.5	75.2%	1.31	Bet365 1.31	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Under 194.5	89.4%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
Torun over 73.5	93.1%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Won
Torun +13.5	93.1%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Won
Overtime: no	94.9%	1.02	Betano 1.02	-	-	-	-	+3.2pp	Won
Trefl Sopot under 94.5	82.7%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+3.2pp	Won
Over 149.5	92.6%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+2.9pp	Won
Torun over 75.5	90.2%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+2.7pp	Won
Trefl Sopot under 95.5	84.9%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+2.6pp	Won
Trefl Sopot under 93.5	80.2%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Won
Torun +9.5	87.7%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+2.2pp	Won
Torun over 77.5	86.4%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+1.3pp	Won
Trefl Sopot under 91.5	74.6%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+1.2pp	Won
Torun over 79.5	81.7%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+1.2pp	Won
Over 154.5	87.2%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+1.1pp	Won
Torun +8.5	85.9%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+0.8pp	Won
Over 159.5	79.6%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+0.1pp	Won
Torun over 80.5	79.0%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+0.1pp	Won
Torun +4.5	76.3%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+0.1pp	Won
Torun over 81.5	76.0%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	-0.1pp	Won
Torun +3.5	73.3%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	-2.0pp	Won
Torun +2.5	70.5%	1.26	Betano 1.26	-	-	-	-	-2.4pp	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Toruntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Torun: 86.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀22%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 22% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game

48%

33%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.2	20.2	52.9%	54.3%	40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.0	9.1	33.7%	32.9%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	23.7	18.7	78.9%	71.3%	18.7

They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Trefl Sopottheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trefl Sopot: 79.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀44%

🏀🏀🏀34%

🏀22%

🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 44% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 22% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game

48%

33%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.6	17.4	48.9%	54.3%	34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.3	9.0	30.7%	32.9%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	22.1	17.2	77.8%	71.3%	17.2

They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.8	21.9	59.5%	54.3%	43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.3	11.2	37.0%	32.9%	33.6
🏀 Free throws	20.9	15.5	74.2%	71.3%	15.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.5	20.1	55.1%	54.3%	40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.6	10.7	36.1%	32.9%	32.1
🏀 Free throws	25.9	19.0	73.4%	71.3%	19.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.6	21.4	56.9%	54.3%	42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.7	9.4	33.9%	32.9%	28.2
🏀 Free throws	22.7	17.8	78.5%	71.3%	17.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.6	19.6	53.5%	54.3%	39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.6	8.7	31.7%	32.9%	26.2
🏀 Free throws	24.2	17.9	74.0%	71.3%	17.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.5	23.0	55.5%	54.3%	46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.0	10.4	37.1%	32.9%	31.1
🏀 Free throws	18.7	13.6	72.8%	71.3%	13.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.5	20.6	54.9%	54.3%	41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.6	9.5	34.5%	32.9%	28.6
🏀 Free throws	24.4	17.9	73.4%	71.3%	17.9

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Torun

LWLWLLWLWL

Trefl Sopot

LLLLLLLLWL

League position

#16

-7.4

Net rating

-13.7

97.8

Offensive rating

87.7

105.1

Defensive rating

101.4

51.9%

Effective FG%

47.6%

57.7%

Opp. effective FG%

54.7%

13.3%

Turnover %

17.5%

0.36

Free-throw rate

0.34

33.7%

3-point %

30.7%

66.2%

Assist %

64.4%

40%

Form (last 10/10)

10%

Profile

■ Torun ■ Trefl Sopot

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Torun wins

Trefl Sopot wins

Date	Game	Score
18/04/26	Trefl Sopot v Torun	92-72
20/12/25	Torun v Trefl Sopot	95-86
30/03/25	Torun v Trefl Sopot	124-121 OT
01/12/24	Trefl Sopot v Torun	75-68
13/03/24	Trefl Sopot v Torun	78-80
17/11/23	Torun v Trefl Sopot	69-80
13/01/23	Trefl Sopot v Torun	87-85
24/09/22	Torun v Trefl Sopot	79-81
23/12/21	Torun v Trefl Sopot	73-92
05/09/21	Trefl Sopot v Torun	89-91

Torunlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/11/26	A	Slask Wroclaw	76-81
31/10/26	H	Zielona Gora	87-71
23/10/26	A	GTK Gliwice	69-90
16/10/26	H	Bydgoszcz	110-96
10/10/26	A	Dabrowa Gornicza	83-87
03/10/26	H	Szczecin	85-104
06/05/26	H	Gdynia	95-86
02/05/26	A	GTK Gliwice	99-107
28/04/26	H	Slask Wroclaw	113-106
24/04/26	H	Gornik Walbrzych	73-96

Trefl Sopotlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/11/26	A	GTK Gliwice	77-84
31/10/26	H	Bydgoszcz	87-90 OT
25/10/26	A	Dabrowa Gornicza	82-88
17/10/26	H	Szczecin	81-91
11/10/26	A	Gdynia	82-96
02/10/26	H	Dziki Warszawa	63-102
21/05/26	A	Dziki Warszawa	73-88
19/05/26	A	Dziki Warszawa	78-85
16/05/26	H	Dziki Warszawa	81-78
14/05/26	H	Dziki Warszawa	92-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Torun

Energa Basket Liga 2026-27

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	33%
Home	LWW	67%
Away	LLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	33%	67%	0%
Points / game	85.0	94.0	76.0
Allowed / game	88.2	90.3	86.0
Point differential	-3.2	+3.7	-10.0
Avg total	173.2	184.3	162.0
Over 174.25	33%	67%	0%
Win by 10+	33%	67%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	-	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Trefl Sopot

Energa Basket Liga 2026-27

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	0%
Home	LLL	0%
Away	LLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	0%	0%	0%
Points / game	78.7	77.0	80.3
Allowed / game	91.8	94.3	89.3
Point differential	-13.2	-17.3	-9.0
Avg total	170.5	171.3	169.7
Over 174.25	33%	33%	33%
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	17%	33%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Dabrowa Gornicza	6	6	0	100%	91.7	82.8	+8.8
2	Dziki Warszawa	6	5	1	83%	91.5	74.5	+17.0
3	Szczecin	6	5	1	83%	89.0	80.5	+8.5
4	Gdynia	7	5	2	71%	83.1	74.6	+8.6
5	Slask Wroclaw	6	4	2	67%	84.8	83.0	+1.8
6	Zielona Gora	6	4	2	67%	84.3	83.5	+0.8
7	Gornik Walbrzych	6	3	3	50%	84.7	83.3	+1.3
8	Bydgoszcz	6	3	3	50%	85.3	88.2	-2.8
9	Legia	6	3	3	50%	76.7	80.8	-4.2
10	GTK Gliwice	7	3	4	43%	81.4	82.3	-0.9
11	Anwil Wloclawek	7	3	4	43%	77.3	81.9	-4.6
12	Torun	6	2	4	33%	85.0	88.2	-3.2
13	Ostrow Wielkopolski	6	2	4	33%	76.8	80.8	-4.0
14	Lublin	7	2	5	29%	74.9	81.9	-7.0
15	Czarni Slupsk	6	0	6	0%	81.0	87.5	-6.5
16	Trefl Sopot	6	0	6	0%	78.7	91.8	-13.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Torun	27	21	23	35	106
Trefl Sopot	8	16	32	20	76

← all games of the day

Torun vs Trefl Sopot Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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