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Torun W vs Polkowice W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 78-87 (OT)
21-25 10-18 14-13 20-9 13-22
Position#8
Record2-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game80.8
Torun W
Poland
vs
Polkowice W 🏆
Poland
Position#7
Record4-0
FormWWLWL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game76.2
PolandEnerga Basket Liga WRound 5· Arena Torun
Women2024-25
Meetings · Torun W v Polkowice W
16 Nov 2024
TORU78
POLK87
29 Feb 2024
TORU53
POLK96
25 Nov 2023
TORU63
POLK67
22 Jan 2023
TORU68
POLK89
13 Feb 2022
TORU52
POLK101
11 Oct 2020
TORU30
POLK92
08 Mar 2020
TORU74
POLK85
26 Jan 2019
TORU63
POLK76
10 Mar 2018
TORU83
POLK73
08 Oct 2016
TORU69
POLK71
23 Sep 2015
TORU67
POLK75
26 Apr 2015
TORU64
POLK49
18 Apr 2015
TORU53
POLK69
08 Feb 2015
TORU64
POLK67
22 Mar 2014
TORU54
POLK47
08 Jan 2014
TORU57
POLK60
05 Apr 2013
TORU76
POLK83
10 Nov 2012
TORU73
POLK80
26 Nov 2011
TORU89
POLK84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Torun W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Polkowice W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Torun WPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Polkowice W
#1
L
61-76
61
76
-15
58avg 61
A27/01
Energa Basket Liga W
Pruszkow W
#11
W
94-67
94
67
+27
93avg 61
A02/02
Energa Basket Liga W
AZS Poznan W
#7
W
93-83
93
83
+10
92avg 61
H20/02
Energa Basket Liga W
Basket 25 Bydgoszcz W
#10
W
92-71
92
71
+21
90avg 61
A24/02
Energa Basket Liga W
Polkowice W
#1
L
69-85
69
85
-16
58avg 61
A27/02
Energa Basket Liga W
Polkowice W
#1
L
53-96
53
96
-43
37avg 61
H29/02
Energa Basket Liga W
AZS Poznan W
#5
W
93-77
93
77
+16
85avg 61
H06/10
Energa Basket Liga W
Basket 25 Bydgoszcz W
#10
W
70-64
70
64
+6
60avg 61
A13/10
Energa Basket Liga W
Lublin W
#3
L
74-91
74
91
-17
58avg 61
H20/10
Energa Basket Liga W
Gorzow W
#6
L
50-91
50
91
-41
29avg 61
A27/10
Energa Basket Liga W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-29
14-12
16-18
11-17
26-22
21-10
30-19
17-16
20-21
27-17
20-20
26-25
23-18
21-18
26-24
22-11
16-29
14-16
23-22
16-18
15-25
18-19
12-24
8-28
23-15
24-31
25-15
21-16
18-18
20-24
8-13
24-9
13-22
19-26
24-23
18-20
13-27
17-24
8-15
12-25
155.0Avg total
74.9Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)71.880.8152.5-9.050%
Season at home (2)83.584.0167.5-0.550%
Season away (2)60.077.5137.5-17.550%
Last 10 (10)74.980.1155.0-5.250%
Last 5 (5)68.083.8151.8-15.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)68.586.0154.5-17.419%
vs Similar (4)71.878.0149.8-6.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)82.269.0151.2+13.280%
This opponent (Polkowice W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Polkowice WPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Gorzow W
#2
W
83-79
83
79
+4
66avg 77
A14/03
Energa Basket Liga W
Lublin W
#1
L
74-94
74
94
-20
44avg 77
H02/10
Super Cup Women
Sleza Wroclaw W
#2
W
79-74
79
74
+5
74avg 77
H05/10
Energa Basket Liga W
Zaragoza W
#4
L
73-76
73
76
-3
65avg 77
A08/10
Euroleague Women
VBW Gdynia W
#1
W
84-80
84
80
+4
83avg 77
H13/10
Energa Basket Liga W
ESB Villeneuve W
#13
W
90-63
90
63
+27
101avg 77
H16/10
Euroleague Women
Polonia Warszawa W
#9
W
79-67
79
67
+12
84avg 77
A20/10
Energa Basket Liga W
Fenerbahce W
#1
L
88-90
88
90
-2
93avg 77
H23/10
Euroleague Women
Sosnowiec W
#4
W
88-84
88
84
+4
83avg 77
H26/10
Energa Basket Liga W
Zaragoza W
#4
L
63-72
63
72
-9
54avg 77
H29/10
Euroleague Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
19-26
24-12
21-17
24-28
20-13
14-21
16-32
22-29
23-14
13-15
21-16
15-17
21-30
13-8
24-21
24-19
24-18
21-24
15-19
13-15
31-15
18-12
28-21
27-17
13-24
21-16
18-10
20-14
27-23
18-26
23-27
28-30
21-15
21-23
18-16
24-16
13-13
17-17
9-26
158.0Avg total
80.1Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.576.2158.8+6.2100%
Season at home (3)83.779.3163.0+4.3100%
Season away (1)79.067.0146.0+12.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.177.9158.0+2.260%
Last 5 (5)81.675.2156.8+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)79.177.6156.7+1.657%
vs Similar (4)73.573.0146.5+0.525%
vs Weaker (18)88.172.1160.2+16.083%
This opponent (Torun W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -1.2-1.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -1.2-1.2
Torun WPolkowice W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Torun WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Polkowice W
#1
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A27/01
Energa Basket Liga W
Pruszkow W
#11
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A02/02
Energa Basket Liga W
AZS Poznan W
#7
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H20/02
Energa Basket Liga W
Basket 25 Bydgoszcz W
#10
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A24/02
Energa Basket Liga W
Polkowice W
#1
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A27/02
Energa Basket Liga W
Polkowice W
#1
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H29/02
Energa Basket Liga W
AZS Poznan W
#5
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H06/10
Energa Basket Liga W
Basket 25 Bydgoszcz W
#10
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A13/10
Energa Basket Liga W
Lublin W
#3
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H20/10
Energa Basket Liga W
Gorzow W
#6
L
30-51
30
51
-21
A27/10
Energa Basket Liga W
80.5Avg total
38.2Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.242.879.0-6.630%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.941.778.5-4.840%-
Last 30 away (15)35.543.979.4-8.320%-
Last 10 (10)38.242.380.5-4.140%-
Last 5 (5)36.046.282.2-10.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)35.444.780.1-9.219%-
vs Similar (4)34.543.077.5-8.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)40.834.675.4+6.2100%-
This opponent (Polkowice W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Polkowice WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gorzow W
#2
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A14/03
Energa Basket Liga W
Lublin W
#1
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H02/10
Super Cup Women
Sleza Wroclaw W
#2
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H05/10
Energa Basket Liga W
Zaragoza W
#4
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A08/10
Euroleague Women
VBW Gdynia W
#1
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H13/10
Energa Basket Liga W
ESB Villeneuve W
#13
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H16/10
Euroleague Women
Polonia Warszawa W
#9
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A20/10
Energa Basket Liga W
Fenerbahce W
#1
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H23/10
Euroleague Women
Sosnowiec W
#4
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H26/10
Energa Basket Liga W
Zaragoza W
#4
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H29/10
Euroleague Women
82.8Avg total
42.8Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.237.881.0+5.473%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.636.481.0+8.294%-
Last 30 away (13)41.439.781.1+1.746%-
Last 10 (10)42.840.082.8+2.870%-
Last 5 (5)43.436.479.8+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)43.139.983.0+3.371%-
vs Similar (4)39.037.876.8+1.250%-
vs Weaker (18)44.136.981.0+7.278%-
This opponent (Torun W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Torun Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Torun W: 74.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀27%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.1 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.219.8
45.8%
47.6%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.44.9
24.0%
31.0%14.7
🏀 Free throws25.419.8
78.0%
73.2%19.8
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Polkowice Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Polkowice W: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.1 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.623.3
51.1%
47.6%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.26.9
32.5%
31.0%20.7
🏀 Free throws16.712.2
73.1%
73.2%12.2
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Torun W
LLWWLLWWWL
Polkowice W
LWLWWWLWLW
#8
League position
#7
-7.0
Net rating
+3.3
94.5
Offensive rating
102.0
101.5
Defensive rating
98.7
42.7%
Effective FG%
50.4%
47.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
17.5%
Turnover %
19.0%
24.8%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.25
24.0%
3-point %
32.5%
68.0%
Assist %
70.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence94.5 · 102.0Defence101.5 · 98.7Shooting42.7% · 50.4%3-point %24.0% · 32.5%Ball care17.5% · 19.0%Off. rebounds24.8% · 29.3%Free throws0.40 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Torun W   ■ Polkowice W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Torun W wins
10
Polkowice W wins
DateGameScore
29/02/24Torun W v Polkowice W53-96
27/02/24Polkowice W v Torun W85-69
27/01/24Polkowice W v Torun W76-61
25/11/23Torun W v Polkowice W63-67
22/01/23Torun W v Polkowice W68-89
05/11/22Polkowice W v Torun W94-75
13/02/22Torun W v Polkowice W52-101
28/11/21Polkowice W v Torun W88-69
02/01/21Polkowice W v Torun W79-34
11/10/20Torun W v Polkowice W30-92
Torun Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/24AGorzow W50-91
20/10/24HLublin W74-91
13/10/24ABasket 25 Bydgoszcz W70-64
06/10/24HAZS Poznan W93-77
29/02/24HPolkowice W53-96
27/02/24APolkowice W69-85
24/02/24ABasket 25 Bydgoszcz W92-71
20/02/24HAZS Poznan W93-83
02/02/24APruszkow W94-67
27/01/24APolkowice W61-76
Polkowice Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/24HZaragoza W63-72
26/10/24HSosnowiec W88-84
23/10/24HFenerbahce W88-90
20/10/24APolonia Warszawa W79-67
16/10/24HESB Villeneuve W90-63
13/10/24HVBW Gdynia W84-80
08/10/24AZaragoza W73-76
05/10/24HSleza Wroclaw W79-74
02/10/24HLublin W74-94
14/03/24AGorzow W83-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Torun W
Energa Basket Liga W 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game71.883.560.0
Allowed / game80.884.077.5
Point differential-9.0-0.5-17.5
Avg total152.5167.5137.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Polkowice W
Energa Basket Liga W 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game82.583.779.0
Allowed / game76.279.367.0
Point differential+6.2+4.3+12.0
Avg total158.8163.0146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Polkowice W440100%82.576.2+6.2
2 Lublin W43175%81.071.2+9.8
3 VBW Gdynia W53260%81.674.0+7.6
4 Sosnowiec W53260%79.474.8+4.6
5 Sleza Wroclaw W42250%73.066.5+6.5
6 AZS Poznan W42250%75.580.5-5.0
7 Torun W42250%71.880.8-9.0
8 Gorzow W41325%74.272.2+2.0
9 Polonia Warszawa W41325%68.076.0-8.0
10 Basket 25 Bydgoszcz W4040%61.078.8-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Torun W211014201378
Polkowice W25181392287
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