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Toulouse vs Tarbes Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 59-79
23-13 7-26 17-20 12-20
Position#60
Record-
FormLWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Toulouse
France
vs
Tarbes 🏆
France
Position#14
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
FranceFrench Cup· Palais des Sports André Brouat
Other2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toulouse winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tarbes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToulouseFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormToulouse
Date
Competition
Elan Bearnais
#16
L
77-87
77
87
-10
no box
H07/11
French Cup
Nantes
#2
L
59-75
59
75
-16
no box
H22/09
French Cup
Nantes
#30
L
59-73
59
73
-14
no box
H21/09
French Cup
Angers
#39
W
98-91
98
91
+7
no box
H20/09
French Cup
JL Bourg
#5
L
56-93
56
93
-37
no box
A04/10
French Cup
Boulazac
#34
W
95-92
95
92
+3
no box
A19/09
French Cup
Pau-Orthez
#4
L
63-80
63
80
-17
no box
H18/10
French Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
23-17
22-26
10-19
12-20
20-17
11-22
16-16
18-20
14-16
19-21
8-16
18-16
28-20
23-31
29-24
9-23
12-31
18-24
17-15
20-14
28-23
18-25
29-30
14-19
16-21
18-19
15-21
156.9Avg total
72.4Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (7)72.484.4156.9-12.029%
Last 5 (5)74.285.8160.0-11.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)59.586.5146.0-27.00%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
TarbesFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTarbes
Date
Competition
Poitiers
#33
W
66-64
66
64
+2
no box
H11/09
French Cup
Orleans
#5
L
63-71
63
71
-8
no box
H22/09
French Cup
Aubenas
#41
W
77-58
77
58
+19
no box
A07/11
French Cup
Denain-Voltaire
#4
L
71-73
71
73
-2
no box
H23/01
French Cup
Orleans
#9
L
48-90
48
90
-42
no box
H15/10
French Cup
Boulazac
#12
L
47-82
47
82
-35
no box
H23/09
French Cup
Ada Blois
#13
L
65-77
65
77
-12
no box
H22/09
French Cup
Poitiers
#24
L
56-75
56
75
-19
no box
H20/09
French Cup
La Rochelle
#18
L
68-100
68
100
-32
no box
A17/09
French Cup
Pau-Orthez
#8
L
75-91
75
91
-16
64avg 64
H24/09
French Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
15-16
16-18
15-20
17-17
27-18
11-20
17-4
22-16
21-17
13-21
19-18
18-17
20-29
12-24
6-22
10-15
8-26
13-18
18-16
8-22
15-18
20-13
12-19
18-27
15-19
8-16
11-20
22-20
15-31
22-20
20-30
11-19
22-19
21-26
17-25
15-21
141.7Avg total
63.6Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)63.678.1141.7-14.520%
Last 5 (5)62.285.0147.2-22.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)62.377.0139.3-14.733%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)71.073.0144.0-2.00%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: -5.6-5.6Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -3.7-3.7
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: -5.6-5.6Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -3.7-3.7
ToulouseTarbes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ToulouseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Elan Bearnais
#16
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H07/11
French Cup
Nantes
#2
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H22/09
French Cup
Nantes
#30
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H21/09
French Cup
Angers
#39
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H20/09
French Cup
JL Bourg
#5
L
21-54
21
54
-33
A04/10
French Cup
Boulazac
#34
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A19/09
French Cup
Pau-Orthez
#4
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H18/10
French Cup
76.6Avg total
36.3Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (7)36.340.376.6-4.043%-
Last 30 at home (5)37.038.275.2-1.240%-
Last 30 away (2)34.545.580.0-11.050%-
Last 10 (7)36.340.376.6-4.043%-
Last 5 (5)35.440.676.0-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)25.547.072.5-21.50%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
TarbesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orleans
#5
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H22/09
French Cup
Aubenas
#41
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A07/11
French Cup
Denain-Voltaire
#4
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H23/01
French Cup
Orleans
#9
L
32-53
32
53
-21
H15/10
French Cup
Boulazac
#12
L
21-44
21
44
-23
H23/09
French Cup
Ada Blois
#13
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H22/09
French Cup
Poitiers
#24
L
23-35
23
35
-12
H20/09
French Cup
La Rochelle
#18
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A17/09
French Cup
Pau-Orthez
#8
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H24/09
French Cup
73.7Avg total
32.7Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (12)30.839.270.0-8.38%-
Last 30 at home (10)29.538.167.6-8.610%-
Last 30 away (2)37.544.582.0-7.00%-
Last 10 (9)32.741.073.7-8.311%-
Last 5 (5)31.841.273.0-9.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.536.067.5-4.50%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)34.038.072.0-4.00%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toulousetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toulouse: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
45%
31%
23%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.517.0
57.6%
53.0%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.510.0
36.4%
34.8%30.0
🏀 Free throws20.014.0
70.0%
77.5%14.0
They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tarbestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tarbes: 72.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
45%
31%
23%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.515.5
52.5%
53.0%31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.09.5
31.7%
34.8%28.5
🏀 Free throws21.013.0
61.9%
77.5%13.0
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/2 games with a box score before 12 Sep 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toulouse
LWLWLLL
Tarbes
LLLLLLLWLW
#60
League position
#14
-9.5
Net rating
-28.8
105.8
Offensive rating
94.7
115.3
Defensive rating
123.5
56.1%
Effective FG%
50.0%
60.7%
Opp. effective FG%
64.4%
21.1%
Turnover %
26.2%
25.0%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.35
36.4%
3-point %
31.7%
66.7%
Assist %
62.0%
29%
Form (last 7/10)
20%

Profile

Offence105.8 · 94.7Defence115.3 · 123.5Shooting56.1% · 50.0%3-point %36.4% · 31.7%Ball care21.1% · 26.2%Off. rebounds25.0% · 28.9%Free throws0.35 · 0.35Form (last 7/10)29% · 20%
■ Toulouse   ■ Tarbes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Toulouse wins
0
Tarbes wins
No previous meetings.
Toulouselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/23HPau-Orthez63-80
19/09/23ABoulazac95-92
04/10/22AJL Bourg56-93
20/09/22HAngers98-91
21/09/21HNantes59-73
22/09/20HNantes59-75
07/11/18HElan Bearnais77-87
Tarbeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/09/24HPau-Orthez75-91
17/09/23ALa Rochelle68-100
20/09/22HPoitiers56-75
22/09/21HAda Blois65-77
23/09/20HBoulazac47-82
15/10/19HOrleans48-90
23/01/18HDenain-Voltaire71-73
07/11/17AAubenas77-58
22/09/15HOrleans63-71
11/09/15HPoitiers66-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toulouse
French Cup 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Losses (last 7)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Tarbes
French Cup 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Orchies110100%83.060.0+23.0
2 Challans110100%79.065.0+14.0
3 Mulhouse110100%71.060.0+11.0
4 Metz110100%90.081.0+9.0
5 Tours110100%90.081.0+9.0
6 Le Havre110100%95.091.0+4.0
7 Les Sables110100%90.089.0+1.0
8 Lyonso110100%85.084.0+1.0
9 Poitiers1010%89.090.0-1.0
10 Saint Vallier1010%84.085.0-1.0
11 Rouen1010%91.095.0-4.0
12 Caen1010%81.090.0-9.0
13 Charleville Mezieres1010%81.090.0-9.0
14 Besancon1010%60.071.0-11.0
15 Angers1010%65.079.0-14.0
16 Levallois1010%60.083.0-23.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toulouse237171259
Tarbes1326202079
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