PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Toulouse vs Pau-Orthez Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 63-80
14-19 16-21 18-19 15-21
Position#28
Record1-0
FormLLWLW
Points / game95.0
Allowed / game92.0
Toulouse
France
vs
Pau-Orthez 🏆
France
Position#4
Record1-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game69.0
FranceFrench Cup· Gymnase Compans Caffarelli
Other2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toulouse winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pau-Orthez winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToulouseFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormToulouse
Date
Competition
Elan Bearnais
#16
L
77-87
77
87
-10
no box
H07/11
French Cup
Nantes
#2
L
59-75
59
75
-16
no box
H22/09
French Cup
Nantes
#30
L
59-73
59
73
-14
no box
H21/09
French Cup
Angers
#39
W
98-91
98
91
+7
no box
H20/09
French Cup
JL Bourg
#5
L
56-93
56
93
-37
no box
A04/10
French Cup
Boulazac
#34
W
95-92
95
92
+3
94avg 94
A19/09
French Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
23-17
22-26
10-19
12-20
20-17
11-22
16-16
18-20
14-16
19-21
8-16
18-16
28-20
23-31
29-24
9-23
12-31
18-24
17-15
20-14
28-23
18-25
29-30
159.2Avg total
74.0Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)95.092.0187.0+3.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)95.092.0187.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (6)74.085.2159.2-11.233%
Last 5 (5)73.484.8158.2-11.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)56.093.0149.0-37.00%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pau-OrthezFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPau-Orthez
Date
Competition
Monaco
#1
L
72-94
72
94
-22
68avg 75
H09/04
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#9
L
58-70
58
70
-12
42avg 75
A15/04
LNB
JL Bourg
#5
W
87-79
87
79
+8
83avg 75
H23/04
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#2
W
87-83
87
83
+4
84avg 75
H25/04
LNB
Dijon
#4
L
68-80
68
80
-12
no box
A28/04
LNB
Nancy
#13
L
73-83
73
83
-10
68avg 75
H06/05
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
L
70-90
70
90
-20
61avg 75
A09/05
LNB
Cholet
#7
W
85-81
85
81
+4
79avg 75
H16/05
LNB
Poitiers
#50
W
81-69
81
69
+12
74avg 75
H19/09
French Cup
ASA
#9
W
71-66
71
66
+5
71avg 75
H15/10
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
16-29
13-21
23-27
10-18
15-24
19-20
14-8
16-14
31-26
12-19
28-20
21-24
24-24
22-16
20-19
20-25
19-17
9-19
20-19
19-17
23-21
7-18
24-27
14-26
20-11
16-35
20-18
25-19
14-19
28-17
18-26
16-17
21-21
24-20
20-11
13-17
24-14
23-15
11-20
154.7Avg total
75.2Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)81.069.0150.0+12.0100%
Season at home (1)81.069.0150.0+12.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.279.5154.7-4.350%
Last 5 (5)76.077.8153.8-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)79.283.9163.1-4.838%
vs Similar (13)78.881.5160.3-2.646%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Toulouse) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -6.3-6.3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +0.3+0.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -6.3-6.3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +0.3+0.3
ToulousePau-Orthez
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ToulouseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Elan Bearnais
#16
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H07/11
French Cup
Nantes
#2
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H22/09
French Cup
Nantes
#30
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H21/09
French Cup
Angers
#39
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H20/09
French Cup
JL Bourg
#5
L
21-54
21
54
-33
A04/10
French Cup
Boulazac
#34
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A19/09
French Cup
77.7Avg total
37.3Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (6)37.340.377.7-3.050%-
Last 30 at home (4)38.837.876.5+1.050%-
Last 30 away (2)34.545.580.0-11.050%-
Last 10 (6)37.340.377.7-3.050%-
Last 5 (5)35.840.075.8-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)21.054.075.0-33.00%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pau-OrthezLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#1
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H09/04
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#9
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A15/04
LNB
JL Bourg
#5
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H23/04
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#2
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H25/04
LNB
Dijon
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A28/04
LNB
Nancy
#13
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H06/05
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A09/05
LNB
Cholet
#7
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H16/05
LNB
Poitiers
#50
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H19/09
French Cup
ASA
#9
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H15/10
Pro B
78.1Avg total
38.1Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.840.680.5-0.840%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.140.181.2+1.059%-
Last 30 away (13)38.241.379.5-3.215%-
Last 10 (10)38.140.078.1-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)37.836.474.2+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)40.142.082.1-1.931%-
vs Similar (13)39.739.278.8+0.554%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Toulouse) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toulousetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toulouse: 93.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀34%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.016.0
53.3%
52.6%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.014.0
48.3%
35.1%42.0
🏀 Free throws23.019.0
82.6%
71.6%19.0
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pau-Ortheztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pau-Orthez: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.221.4
56.0%
52.6%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.06.6
27.5%
35.1%19.8
🏀 Free throws15.511.9
76.8%
71.6%11.9
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/10 games with a box score before 18 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toulouse
WLWLLL
Pau-Orthez
WWWLLLWWLL
#28
League position
#4
+1.3
Net rating
-5.3
117.0
Offensive rating
101.2
115.7
Defensive rating
106.5
62.7%
Effective FG%
50.3%
60.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
16.6%
Turnover %
19.8%
14.3%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.25
48.3%
3-point %
27.5%
80.0%
Assist %
58.2%
33%
Form (last 6/10)
50%

Profile

Offence117.0 · 101.2Defence115.7 · 106.5Shooting62.7% · 50.3%3-point %48.3% · 27.5%Ball care16.6% · 19.8%Off. rebounds14.3% · 28.3%Free throws0.39 · 0.25Form (last 6/10)33% · 50%
■ Toulouse   ■ Pau-Orthez
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Toulouse wins
0
Pau-Orthez wins
No previous meetings.
Toulouselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/09/23ABoulazac95-92
04/10/22AJL Bourg56-93
20/09/22HAngers98-91
21/09/21HNantes59-73
22/09/20HNantes59-75
07/11/18HElan Bearnais77-87
Pau-Orthezlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/23HASA71-66
19/09/23HPoitiers81-69
16/05/23HCholet85-81
09/05/23AStrasbourg70-90
06/05/23HNancy73-83
28/04/23ADijon68-80
25/04/23HLyon-Villeurbanne87-83
23/04/23HJL Bourg87-79
15/04/23AGravelines-Dunkerque58-70
09/04/23HMonaco72-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toulouse
French Cup 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Losses (last 6)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game95.0-95.0
Allowed / game92.0-92.0
Point differential+3.0-+3.0
Avg total187.0-187.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Pau-Orthez
French Cup 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game81.081.0-
Allowed / game69.069.0-
Point differential+12.0+12.0-
Avg total150.0150.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chalons-Reims220100%96.564.0+32.5
2 Fos-sur-Mer110100%76.051.0+25.0
3 Gravelines-Dunkerque110100%84.061.0+23.0
4 Le Portel110100%85.063.0+22.0
5 Limoges110100%102.083.0+19.0
6 Lille220100%85.568.0+17.5
7 Rennes220100%52.035.5+16.5
8 Vichy220100%92.577.0+15.5
9 Saint Quentin220100%98.083.5+14.5
10 ALS Basket Andrezieux-Boutheon110100%79.066.0+13.0
11 Pau-Orthez110100%81.069.0+12.0
12 Antibes220100%84.075.5+8.5
13 Nantes220100%81.573.5+8.0
14 Ada Blois110100%75.068.0+7.0
15 Nancy110100%103.098.0+5.0
16 Rouen110100%88.084.0+4.0
17 Toulouse110100%95.092.0+3.0
18 Denain-Voltaire21150%82.070.5+11.5
19 La Rochelle21150%85.576.0+9.5
20 Evreux21150%81.072.0+9.0
21 Mulhouse21150%89.586.0+3.5
22 Aurore21150%71.069.5+1.5
23 Tours21150%51.551.0+0.5
24 Chalon/Saone21150%81.584.5-3.0
25 Saint Vallier21150%75.079.0-4.0
26 Chartres21150%73.081.5-8.5
27 Boulogne sur Mer21150%71.080.0-9.0
28 Fougeres1010%78.079.0-1.0
29 Boulazac1010%92.095.0-3.0
30 Pont de Cheruy1010%79.082.0-3.0
31 Berck/Rang Du Fliers1010%75.079.0-4.0
32 Challans1010%84.088.0-4.0
33 Feurs1010%72.078.0-6.0
34 ASA1010%68.076.0-8.0
35 Angers1010%66.075.0-9.0
36 Orleans1010%64.074.0-10.0
37 Paris1010%74.085.0-11.0
38 Loon Plage1010%69.081.0-12.0
39 Poitiers1010%69.081.0-12.0
40 Lyonso1010%66.079.0-13.0
41 Quimper1010%69.084.0-15.0
42 Aix Maurienne1010%67.084.0-17.0
43 CEP Lorient1010%0.020.0-20.0
44 Caen1010%66.086.0-20.0
45 Le Havre1010%0.020.0-20.0
46 Rueil1010%62.086.0-24.0
47 Hyeres-Toulon1010%51.076.0-25.0
48 Besancon1010%91.0118.0-27.0
49 Tarbes1010%68.0100.0-32.0
50 Poissy1010%57.096.0-39.0
51 Orchies1010%57.0103.0-46.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 51 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toulouse1416181563
Pau-Orthez1921192180
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.