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Toulouse W vs Graffenstaden W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 90-60
26-5 29-14 15-18 20-23
Position#4
Record2-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game64.0
Toulouse W 🏆
France
vs
Graffenstaden W
France
Position#11
Record0-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game61.5
Allowed / game71.0
FranceLigue 2 WomenRound 3· Gymnase Compans Caffarelli
Women2023-24
Meetings · Toulouse W v Graffenstaden W
21 Oct 2023
TOUL90
GRAF60
22 Jan 2022
TOUL68
GRAF41
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toulouse W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Graffenstaden W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toulouse WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Flammes Carolo W
#8
W
82-62
82
62
+20
no box
H25/04
LFB W
Union Hainaut W
#10
L
76-78
76
78
-2
no box
H29/04
LFB W
Tarbes GB W
#9
L
53-77
53
77
-24
no box
A03/05
LFB W
Landerneau Bretagne W
#11
L
69-79
69
79
-10
no box
A06/05
LFB W
Union Hainaut W
#10
W
90-78
90
78
+12
no box
A10/05
LFB W
Tarbes GB W
#9
W
80-60
80
60
+20
no box
H13/05
LFB W
Landerneau Bretagne W
#11
L
92-94 OT
92
94
-2
no box
H16/05
LFB W
Feytiat W
#18
W
63-57
63
57
+6
56avg 71
A30/09
French Cup Women
Aulnoye AS W
#1
W
105-75
105
75
+30
114avg 71
H07/10
Ligue 2 Women
Chartres W
#2
W
55-53
55
53
+2
44avg 71
A14/10
Ligue 2 Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
21-23
15-8
21-12
17-16
20-16
18-29
21-17
15-14
15-15
10-21
13-27
16-20
18-15
15-25
20-19
26-19
24-20
19-20
21-19
18-19
20-10
20-19
22-12
26-19
15-21
17-19
24-23
17-16
12-12
18-12
16-17
30-16
25-26
26-12
24-21
11-19
8-20
14-7
22-7
147.8Avg total
76.5Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)80.064.0144.0+16.0100%
Season at home (1)105.075.0180.0+30.0100%
Season away (1)55.053.0108.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.571.3147.8+5.260%
Last 5 (5)79.067.8146.8+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)61.076.4137.4-15.40%
vs Similar (19)74.173.2147.2+0.942%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Graffenstaden W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Graffenstaden WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Feytiat W
#3
W
60-51
60
51
+9
no box
A25/03
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#8
W
76-69
76
69
+7
no box
H01/04
Ligue 2 Women
Calais W
#11
W
71-57
71
57
+14
no box
A08/04
Ligue 2 Women
Feytiat W
#3
W
65-51
65
51
+14
no box
A15/04
Ligue 2 Women
Feytiat W
#3
W
60-53
60
53
+7
no box
H19/04
Ligue 2 Women
Chartres W
#2
L
49-81
49
81
-32
no box
A29/04
Ligue 2 Women
Chartres W
#2
L
58-66
58
66
-8
no box
H03/05
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#16
W
58-56
58
56
+2
54avg 59
H30/09
French Cup Women
Tronche Meylan W
#8
L
66-68
66
68
-2
62avg 59
A07/10
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
L
57-74
57
74
-17
59avg 59
H14/10
Ligue 2 Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
15-11
13-12
13-14
25-21
15-23
21-15
15-10
15-18
23-15
14-17
19-7
19-16
15-10
10-12
21-13
14-13
18-9
14-17
14-14
10-19
10-22
14-15
15-25
15-17
14-13
9-24
20-12
18-13
12-11
12-13
16-19
11-18
18-14
17-17
20-19
18-18
14-17
11-24
14-15
124.6Avg total
62.0Scored
62.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)61.571.0132.5-9.50%
Season at home (1)57.074.0131.0-17.00%
Season away (1)66.068.0134.0-2.00%
Last 10 (10)62.062.6124.6-0.660%
Last 5 (5)57.669.0126.6-11.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)63.068.0131.0-5.025%
vs Similar (14)62.366.9129.2-4.636%
vs Weaker (10)71.456.4127.8+15.080%
This opponent (Toulouse W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +1.9+1.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +1.9+1.9
Toulouse WGraffenstaden W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toulouse WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flammes Carolo W
#8
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H25/04
LFB W
Union Hainaut W
#10
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H29/04
LFB W
Tarbes GB W
#9
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A03/05
LFB W
Landerneau Bretagne W
#11
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A06/05
LFB W
Union Hainaut W
#10
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A10/05
LFB W
Tarbes GB W
#9
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H13/05
LFB W
Landerneau Bretagne W
#11
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H16/05
LFB W
Feytiat W
#18
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A30/09
French Cup Women
Aulnoye AS W
#1
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H07/10
Ligue 2 Women
Chartres W
#2
L
19-39
19
39
-20
A14/10
Ligue 2 Women
73.4Avg total
37.9Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.736.472.1-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.337.776.0+0.643%-
Last 30 away (16)33.435.368.8-1.944%-
Last 10 (10)37.935.573.4+2.480%-
Last 5 (5)36.435.672.0+0.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)31.737.869.4-6.111%-
vs Similar (19)37.436.974.4+0.553%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Graffenstaden W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Graffenstaden WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Feytiat W
#3
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A25/03
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#8
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H01/04
Ligue 2 Women
Calais W
#11
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A08/04
Ligue 2 Women
Feytiat W
#3
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A15/04
Ligue 2 Women
Feytiat W
#3
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H19/04
Ligue 2 Women
Chartres W
#2
L
20-41
20
41
-21
A29/04
Ligue 2 Women
Chartres W
#2
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H03/05
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#16
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H30/09
French Cup Women
Tronche Meylan W
#8
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A07/10
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H14/10
Ligue 2 Women
63.0Avg total
31.8Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.931.665.5+2.343%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.931.366.2+3.635%-
Last 30 away (13)32.532.164.6+0.554%-
Last 10 (10)31.831.263.0+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)28.032.460.4-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)32.234.266.5-2.025%-
vs Similar (14)32.435.167.5-2.821%-
vs Weaker (10)36.426.162.5+10.370%-
This opponent (Toulouse W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toulouse Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toulouse W: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.7 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 65.3 points a game
56%
27%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.020.3
45.2%
45.1%40.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.05.7
33.3%
29.5%17.0
🏀 Free throws21.716.0
73.8%
71.3%16.0
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 33%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Graffenstaden Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Graffenstaden W: 60.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀67%
🏀🏀🏀15%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.7 pts a game · 67% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers9.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 65.3 points a game
56%
27%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.020.3
52.1%
45.1%40.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.03.0
21.4%
29.5%9.0
🏀 Free throws13.010.7
82.1%
71.3%10.7
They take 53.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 14.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 26% of their shots are threes (league average: 33%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/3 games with a box score before 21 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toulouse W
WWWLWWLLLW
Graffenstaden W
LLWLLWWWWW
#4
League position
#11
+16.4
Net rating
-8.1
95.4
Offensive rating
86.4
79.0
Defensive rating
94.5
46.5%
Effective FG%
46.9%
40.9%
Opp. effective FG%
44.8%
19.8%
Turnover %
27.9%
25.0%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.25
33.3%
3-point %
21.4%
69.2%
Assist %
80.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence95.4 · 86.4Defence79.0 · 94.5Shooting46.5% · 46.9%3-point %33.3% · 21.4%Ball care19.8% · 27.9%Off. rebounds25.0% · 29.6%Free throws0.35 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Toulouse W   ■ Graffenstaden W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Toulouse W wins
1
Graffenstaden W wins
DateGameScore
22/01/22Toulouse W v Graffenstaden W68-41
09/10/21Graffenstaden W v Toulouse W65-64
Toulouse Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23AChartres W55-53
07/10/23HAulnoye AS W105-75
30/09/23AFeytiat W63-57
16/05/23HLanderneau Bretagne W92-94 OT
13/05/23HTarbes GB W80-60
10/05/23AUnion Hainaut W90-78
06/05/23ALanderneau Bretagne W69-79
03/05/23ATarbes GB W53-77
29/04/23HUnion Hainaut W76-78
25/04/23HFlammes Carolo W82-62
Graffenstaden Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23HMondeville W57-74
07/10/23ATronche Meylan W66-68
30/09/23HMondeville W58-56
03/05/23HChartres W58-66
29/04/23AChartres W49-81
19/04/23HFeytiat W60-53
15/04/23AFeytiat W65-51
08/04/23ACalais W71-57
01/04/23HMondeville W76-69
25/03/23AFeytiat W60-51

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toulouse W
Ligue 2 Women 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game80.0105.055.0
Allowed / game64.075.053.0
Point differential+16.0+30.0+2.0
Avg total144.0180.0108.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Graffenstaden W
Ligue 2 Women 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game61.557.066.0
Allowed / game71.074.068.0
Point differential-9.5-17.0-2.0
Avg total132.5131.0134.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Toulouse W220100%80.064.0+16.0
2 Mondeville W220100%68.555.0+13.5
3 Tronche Meylan W220100%69.559.5+10.0
4 Pays Voironnais W220100%72.064.5+7.5
5 Aulnoye AS W21150%88.573.5+15.0
6 Montbrison W21150%66.063.5+2.5
7 Feytiat W21150%63.571.5-8.0
8 Nice W31233%76.066.3+9.7
9 Chartres W31233%59.355.0+4.3
10 Champagne W31233%74.377.7-3.3
11 Graffenstaden W2020%61.571.0-9.5
12 Centre Federal BB W3030%44.786.7-42.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toulouse W2629152090
Graffenstaden W514182360
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