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Trefl Sopot II vs Pelplin Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 70-80
24-23 19-13 13-23 14-21
Position#18
Record8-20
FormLWLWL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game88.4
Trefl Sopot II
Poland
vs
Pelplin 🏆
Poland
Position#7
Record15-13
FormWLLWL
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game82.8
Poland1 LigaRound 29· Hala Stulecia Sopotu
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trefl Sopot II winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pelplin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Trefl Sopot IIPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormII
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
L
87-89 OT
87
89
-2
74avg 73
A10/01
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#10
L
58-74
58
74
-16
50avg 73
H15/01
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
L
65-80
65
80
-15
52avg 73
A19/01
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
79-82
79
82
-3
71avg 73
A26/01
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#5
L
76-88
76
88
-12
67avg 73
A02/02
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
L
89-95
89
95
-6
77avg 73
H05/02
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
W
118-110 OT
118
110
+8
108avg 73
H11/02
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
L
80-102
80
102
-22
64avg 73
A16/02
1 Liga
Poznan
#12
W
93-87
93
87
+6
87avg 73
H26/02
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#8
L
63-95
63
95
-32
38avg 73
A05/03
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
24-20
19-17
14-12
19-27
13-14
12-13
14-20
19-21
17-17
15-19
14-23
26-31
19-21
20-22
14-8
19-24
15-21
24-26
18-17
26-15
22-35
19-22
22-23
24-26
23-28
32-17
17-25
21-30
17-21
23-31
19-20
26-21
19-24
27-20
21-22
15-21
14-36
24-22
10-16
171.0Avg total
80.8Scored
90.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)83.088.4171.4-5.329%
Season at home (15)84.287.1171.3-2.940%
Season away (13)81.789.8171.5-8.115%
Last 10 (10)80.890.2171.0-9.420%
Last 5 (5)88.697.8186.4-9.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)82.389.7172.0-7.424%
vs Similar (7)85.184.3169.4+0.943%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pelplin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PelplinPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPelplin
Date
Competition
HydroTruck Radom
#17
W
71-60
71
60
+11
68avg 75
A12/01
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#9
W
78-74
78
74
+4
68avg 75
H15/01
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
L
66-101
66
101
-35
41avg 75
A19/01
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#15
W
86-68
86
68
+18
91avg 75
H26/01
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
L
71-97
71
97
-26
54avg 75
A02/02
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#10
W
77-68
77
68
+9
74avg 75
H05/02
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
L
82-83
82
83
-1
82avg 75
A09/02
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
77-92
77
92
-15
74avg 75
H15/02
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#5
W
92-91
92
91
+1
91avg 75
A26/02
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
L
69-71
69
71
-2
62avg 75
A02/03
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
22-8
10-24
20-14
14-26
18-18
26-19
20-11
17-33
18-21
16-22
15-25
28-19
24-16
12-18
22-15
21-26
18-25
18-26
14-20
22-8
25-14
12-25
18-21
22-22
16-25
24-16
20-20
21-24
26-21
22-19
8-28
29-15
32-29
17-25
14-22
13-16
14-22
14-13
28-20
157.4Avg total
76.9Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)82.382.8165.1-0.454%
Season at home (14)84.281.5165.7+2.764%
Season away (14)80.484.0164.4-3.643%
Last 10 (10)76.980.5157.4-3.650%
Last 5 (5)79.481.0160.4-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)78.190.3168.4-12.114%
vs Similar (18)84.983.3168.2+1.656%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)81.274.6155.8+6.680%
This opponent (Trefl Sopot II) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -5.4-5.4Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -1.7-1.7
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -5.4-5.4Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -1.7-1.7
Trefl Sopot IIPelplin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Trefl Sopot IILast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A10/01
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#10
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H15/01
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A19/01
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A26/01
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#5
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A02/02
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H05/02
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
L
47-54
47
54
-7
H11/02
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A16/02
1 Liga
Poznan
#12
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H26/02
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#8
L
29-57
29
57
-28
A05/03
1 Liga
87.3Avg total
39.5Scored
47.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)41.546.187.6-4.625%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.945.787.6-3.727%-
Last 30 away (13)41.146.687.7-5.523%-
Last 10 (10)39.547.887.3-8.30%-
Last 5 (5)41.451.492.8-10.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)41.047.788.8-6.719%-
vs Similar (7)43.041.384.3+1.743%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pelplin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PelplinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
HydroTruck Radom
#17
W
41-22
41
22
+19
A12/01
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#9
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H15/01
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A19/01
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#15
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H26/01
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A02/02
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#10
W
47-22
47
22
+25
H05/02
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A09/02
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H15/02
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#5
W
61-44
61
44
+17
A26/02
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A02/03
1 Liga
82.1Avg total
41.9Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.842.683.4-1.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.444.184.5-3.733%-
Last 30 away (15)41.241.182.3+0.153%-
Last 10 (10)41.940.282.1+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)44.039.283.2+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.445.687.0-4.143%-
vs Similar (18)40.442.382.8-1.944%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)41.239.480.6+1.840%-
This opponent (Trefl Sopot II) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trefl Sopot IItheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trefl Sopot II: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.520.4
50.4%
51.0%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.88.7
28.2%
32.5%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.012.7
66.8%
70.2%12.7
They take 71.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pelplintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pelplin: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.820.3
48.6%
51.0%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.86.3
27.6%
32.5%18.9
🏀 Free throws24.616.8
68.3%
70.2%16.8
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trefl Sopot II
LWLWLLLLLL
Pelplin
LWLLWLWLWW
#18
League position
#7
-12.1
Net rating
-4.7
98.4
Offensive rating
98.7
110.5
Defensive rating
103.4
46.9%
Effective FG%
46.1%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
16.2%
Turnover %
18.9%
26.3%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.38
28.2%
3-point %
27.6%
53.6%
Assist %
67.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence98.4 · 98.7Defence110.5 · 103.4Shooting46.9% · 46.1%3-point %28.2% · 27.6%Ball care16.2% · 18.9%Off. rebounds26.3% · 30.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Trefl Sopot II   ■ Pelplin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Trefl Sopot II wins
1
Pelplin wins
DateGameScore
30/11/24Pelplin v Trefl Sopot II97-91
Trefl Sopot IIlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/25ALKS Lodz63-95
26/02/25HPoznan93-87
16/02/25AKrosno80-102
11/02/25HLancut118-110 OT
05/02/25HPolonia Warszawa89-95
02/02/25AGKS Tychy76-88
26/01/25ABydgoszcz79-82
19/01/25AR. Rzeszow65-80
15/01/25HStarogard Gdanski58-74
10/01/25ASlask Wroclaw II87-89 OT
Pelplinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/25APolonia Warszawa69-71
26/02/25AGKS Tychy92-91
15/02/25HBydgoszcz77-92
09/02/25AR. Rzeszow82-83
05/02/25HStarogard Gdanski77-68
02/02/25ASlask Wroclaw II71-97
26/01/25HMKKS Koszalin86-68
19/01/25AKotwica Kolobrzeg66-101
15/01/25HInowroclaw78-74
12/01/25AHydroTruck Radom71-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trefl Sopot II
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL29%
HomeWLLWW40%
AwayLLLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %29%40%15%
Points / game83.084.281.7
Allowed / game88.487.189.8
Point differential-5.3-2.9-8.1
Avg total171.4171.3171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%7%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)50% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %11%7%15%
Pelplin
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL54%
HomeLWWWL64%
AwayLLLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %54%64%43%
Points / game82.384.280.4
Allowed / game82.881.584.0
Point differential-0.4+2.7-3.6
Avg total165.1165.7164.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%21%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)75% (4)43% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Krosno2822679%85.578.9+6.6
2 Bydgoszcz2820871%84.077.5+6.4
3 Inowroclaw28171161%80.380.4-0.1
4 Kotwica Kolobrzeg29171259%81.476.2+5.2
5 Lancut29161355%84.982.6+2.3
6 WKK Wroclaw29161355%82.181.4+0.7
7 LKS Lodz28151354%86.183.9+2.2
8 Pelplin28151354%82.382.8-0.4
9 GKS Tychy29151452%82.079.2+2.8
10 Poznan29141548%83.682.1+1.5
11 Polonia Warszawa29141548%82.081.2+0.8
12 Starogard Gdanski29131645%82.180.7+1.5
13 R. Rzeszow28121643%79.485.4-6.1
14 MKKS Koszalin29121741%80.784.7-4.0
15 Slask Wroclaw II29121741%76.880.8-4.0
16 Poli. Opolska29111838%79.883.3-3.5
17 Trefl Sopot II2882029%83.088.4-5.3
18 HydroTruck Radom2882029%75.982.7-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trefl Sopot II2419131470
Pelplin2313232180
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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