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Pelplin vs Starogard Gdanski Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 77-68
22-8 25-14 12-25 18-21
Position#7
Record13-10
FormWWLWL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game83.1
Pelplin 🏆
Poland
vs
Position#10
Record10-13
FormLWLWL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game80.9
Poland1 LigaRound 24· Zespol Ksztalcenia i Wychowania nr
Other2024-25
Meetings · Pelplin v Starogard Gdanski
27 Feb 2027
PELP v STAR
upcoming
21 Jan 2026
PELP92
STAR80
05 Feb 2025
PELP77
STAR68
10 Nov 2023
PELP77
STAR69
04 Feb 2023
PELP104
STAR115
10 Apr 2022
PELP65
STAR78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pelplin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Starogard Gdanski winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PelplinPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPelplin
Date
Competition
Poznan
#12
L
94-96
94
96
-2
88avg 76
H08/12
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#8
W
98-83
98
83
+15
88avg 76
A15/12
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
W
92-91
92
91
+1
85avg 76
A21/12
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
106-82
106
82
+24
99avg 76
H28/12
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
L
92-103
92
103
-11
89avg 76
H05/01
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#17
W
71-60
71
60
+11
68avg 76
A12/01
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#9
W
78-74
78
74
+4
68avg 76
H15/01
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
L
66-101
66
101
-35
41avg 76
A19/01
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#15
W
86-68
86
68
+18
91avg 76
H26/01
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
L
71-97
71
97
-26
54avg 76
A02/02
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-28
19-25
19-19
33-24
24-19
19-23
40-12
15-29
21-20
26-19
14-24
31-28
25-17
24-30
25-12
32-23
23-30
27-27
18-24
24-22
19-14
22-8
10-24
20-14
14-26
18-18
26-19
20-11
17-33
18-21
16-22
15-25
28-19
24-16
12-18
22-15
21-26
18-25
18-26
14-20
170.9Avg total
85.4Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)83.083.1166.1-0.257%
Season at home (12)85.481.8167.2+3.767%
Season away (11)80.384.6164.9-4.445%
Last 10 (10)85.485.5170.9-0.160%
Last 5 (5)74.480.0154.4-5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.990.3163.1-17.40%
vs Similar ◀ (19)85.486.4171.8-1.047%
vs Weaker (4)81.072.5153.5+8.5100%
This opponent (Starogard Gdanski) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Starogard GdanskiPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGdanski
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
L
75-77
75
77
-2
56avg 78
A08/12
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
L
86-88
86
88
-2
75avg 78
H14/12
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
W
102-78
102
78
+24
98avg 78
H22/12
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
77-103
77
103
-26
64avg 78
H29/12
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#5
L
71-77
71
77
-6
57avg 78
A04/01
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
L
72-79
72
79
-7
62avg 78
H11/01
1 Liga
Trefl Sopot II
#18
W
74-58
74
58
+16
64avg 78
A15/01
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
L
70-73
70
73
-3
63avg 78
H22/01
1 Liga
Poznan
#12
W
85-73
85
73
+12
no box
A25/01
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#8
L
84-98
84
98
-14
70avg 78
H01/02
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-30
24-14
16-17
21-16
15-29
33-12
13-21
25-26
23-20
23-20
29-17
27-21
18-33
26-18
11-30
22-22
12-20
31-18
15-21
13-18
20-19
19-18
19-17
14-25
27-19
14-13
13-12
20-14
16-21
18-18
19-13
17-21
18-16
19-18
24-21
24-18
26-28
17-27
16-26
25-17
160.0Avg total
79.6Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)81.780.9162.6+0.943%
Season at home (13)82.881.3164.1+1.546%
Season away (10)80.480.3160.7+0.140%
Last 10 (10)79.680.4160.0-0.830%
Last 5 (5)77.076.2153.2+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.988.3164.1-12.40%
vs Similar ◀ (15)83.180.6163.7+2.553%
vs Weaker (8)89.882.5172.2+7.262%
This opponent (Pelplin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +1.0+1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +1.0+1.0
PelplinStarogard Gdanski
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PelplinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poznan
#12
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H08/12
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#8
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A15/12
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A21/12
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H28/12
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
L
50-57
50
57
-7
H05/01
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#17
W
41-22
41
22
+19
A12/01
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#9
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H15/01
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A19/01
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#15
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H26/01
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A02/02
1 Liga
87.4Avg total
43.0Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.744.183.8-4.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.045.884.8-6.820%-
Last 30 away (15)40.442.382.7-1.947%-
Last 10 (10)43.044.487.4-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)39.841.281.0-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.345.481.7-9.114%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)40.544.985.4-4.537%-
vs Weaker (4)42.037.579.5+4.550%-
This opponent (Starogard Gdanski) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Starogard GdanskiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A08/12
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H14/12
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H22/12
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H29/12
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#5
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A04/01
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H11/01
1 Liga
Trefl Sopot II
#18
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A15/01
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H22/01
1 Liga
Poznan
#12
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A25/01
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#8
L
43-55
43
55
-12
H01/02
1 Liga
82.4Avg total
41.3Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.941.683.5+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.840.983.8+1.953%-
Last 30 away (13)40.742.583.2-1.854%-
Last 10 (10)41.341.182.4+0.260%-
Last 5 (5)38.839.478.2-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.344.786.0-3.429%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)41.140.881.9+0.353%-
vs Weaker (8)43.940.484.2+3.575%-
This opponent (Pelplin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pelplintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pelplin: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.021.8
50.7%
51.0%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.8
35.1%
32.5%26.4
🏀 Free throws22.015.0
68.2%
70.2%15.0
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Starogard Gdanskitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Starogard Gdanski: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.519.1
49.6%
51.0%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.2
33.9%
32.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws21.615.2
70.4%
70.2%15.2
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pelplin
LWLWWLWWWL
Starogard Gdanski
LWLWLLLWLL
#7
League position
#10
+0.4
Net rating
-0.6
108.0
Offensive rating
107.9
107.6
Defensive rating
108.5
51.4%
Effective FG%
50.1%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
17.2%
Turnover %
16.2%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.34
35.1%
3-point %
33.9%
63.4%
Assist %
52.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence108.0 · 107.9Defence107.6 · 108.5Shooting51.4% · 50.1%3-point %35.1% · 33.9%Ball care17.2% · 16.2%Off. rebounds30.9% · 29.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Pelplin   ■ Starogard Gdanski
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Pelplin wins
6
Starogard Gdanski wins
Pelplinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/25ASlask Wroclaw II71-97
26/01/25HMKKS Koszalin86-68
19/01/25AKotwica Kolobrzeg66-101
15/01/25HInowroclaw78-74
12/01/25AHydroTruck Radom71-60
05/01/25HWKK Wroclaw92-103
28/12/24HPoli. Opolska106-82
21/12/24ALancut92-91
15/12/24ALKS Lodz98-83
08/12/24HPoznan94-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/25HLKS Lodz84-98
25/01/25APoznan85-73
22/01/25HKrosno70-73
15/01/25ATrefl Sopot II74-58
11/01/25HPolonia Warszawa72-79
04/01/25AGKS Tychy71-77
29/12/24HBydgoszcz77-103
22/12/24HR. Rzeszow102-78
14/12/24HLancut86-88
08/12/24ASlask Wroclaw II75-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pelplin
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL57%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayWWWLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %57%67%45%
Points / game83.085.480.3
Allowed / game83.181.884.6
Point differential-0.2+3.7-4.4
Avg total166.1167.2164.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)75% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Starogard Gdanski
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL43%
HomeWLLLL46%
AwayLLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %43%46%40%
Points / game81.782.880.4
Allowed / game80.981.380.3
Point differential+0.9+1.5+0.1
Avg total162.6164.1160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%38%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)20% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %9%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bydgoszcz2317674%83.076.9+6.1
2 Krosno2317674%85.480.9+4.5
3 Kotwica Kolobrzeg2314961%80.975.6+5.3
4 Lancut24141058%84.881.8+3.0
5 Pelplin23131057%83.083.1-0.2
6 WKK Wroclaw25141156%82.380.1+2.2
7 Inowroclaw24131154%80.381.8-1.5
8 Poznan23121152%84.580.8+3.7
9 GKS Tychy23121152%81.179.4+1.7
10 Polonia Warszawa24121250%83.881.8+2.0
11 LKS Lodz23111248%85.985.5+0.4
12 MKKS Koszalin24111346%80.284.2-4.1
13 Starogard Gdanski23101343%81.780.9+0.9
14 R. Rzeszow23101343%78.985.3-6.4
15 Poli. Opolska2391439%81.283.3-2.1
16 Slask Wroclaw II2491538%77.082.0-5.0
17 HydroTruck Radom2371630%75.881.5-5.7
18 Trefl Sopot II2461825%82.186.7-4.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pelplin2225121877
Starogard Gdanski814252168
← all games of the day
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