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Trepca vs Istogu Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 112-82
23-23 25-25 37-14 27-20
Position#1
Record5-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game90.9
Allowed / game75.1
Trepca 🏆
Kosovo
vs
Istogu
Kosovo
Position#8
Record1-6
FormWLLLL
Points / game71.6
Allowed / game98.1
KosovoSuperligaRound 8· Minatori Sports Hall
Other2023-24
Meetings · Trepca v Istogu
03 Mar 2024
TRE140
ISTO48
12 Nov 2023
TRE112
ISTO82
29 Apr 2021
TRE94
ISTO85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trepca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Istogu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrepcaKosovoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrepca
Date
Competition
Sigal Prishtina
#4
W
78-66
78
66
+12
48avg 75
H30/09
Superliga
Tindastoll
#19
W
77-69
77
69
+8
68avg 75
A04/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Parnu
#46
W
77-67
77
67
+10
77avg 75
H05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Peja
#3
L
80-92
80
92
-12
79avg 75
A12/10
Superliga
Vellaznimi
#5
W
91-67
91
67
+24
94avg 75
H15/10
Superliga
Prizreni
#7
W
108-88
108
88
+20
106avg 75
A21/10
Superliga
Leiden
#14
L
54-84
54
84
-30
39avg 75
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bashkimi
#6
W
99-77
99
77
+22
98avg 75
A29/10
Superliga
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
L
49-83
49
83
-34
31avg 75
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Golden Eagle Ylli
#2
L
68-71 OT
68
71
-3
no box
H05/11
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
18-23
21-7
15-20
16-17
18-22
16-14
27-16
11-15
21-20
26-19
19-13
16-27
16-18
24-25
24-22
23-17
19-21
18-14
31-15
14-25
34-26
30-23
30-14
13-18
14-15
15-23
12-28
33-18
23-19
20-23
23-17
12-20
9-20
13-17
15-26
13-15
11-19
17-11
20-16
154.5Avg total
78.1Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)90.975.1166.0+15.771%
Season at home (3)79.068.0147.0+11.067%
Season away (4)99.880.5180.2+19.275%
Last 10 (10)78.176.4154.5+1.760%
Last 5 (5)75.680.6156.2-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)76.482.5158.9-6.140%
vs Similar (2)84.076.0160.0+8.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)91.276.5167.7+14.685%
This opponent (Istogu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IstoguKosovoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIstogu
Date
Competition
Trepca
#5
L
70-99
70
99
-29
no box
H26/04
Superliga
Trepca
#5
L
85-94
85
94
-9
no box
A29/04
Superliga
Trepca
#1
L
65-112
65
112
-47
44avg 53
H23/09
Superliga
Golden Eagle Ylli
#2
L
76-126
76
126
-50
54avg 53
A01/10
Superliga
Bashkimi
#6
W
83-77
83
77
+6
73avg 53
H08/10
Superliga
Sigal Prishtina
#4
L
70-92
70
92
-22
39avg 53
H14/10
Superliga
Peja
#3
L
69-84
69
84
-15
58avg 53
A22/10
Superliga
Vellaznimi
#5
L
65-102
65
102
-37
48avg 53
H29/10
Superliga
Prizreni
#7
L
73-94
73
94
-21
55avg 53
A04/11
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
12-25
16-29
17-28
16-21
21-22
25-20
23-31
13-31
22-32
13-29
17-20
21-34
14-31
13-34
28-27
15-19
21-20
22-16
25-22
15-22
23-19
14-29
18-22
12-21
17-25
19-19
21-19
18-33
18-20
11-22
18-27
19-23
15-23
22-22
17-26
170.7Avg total
72.9Scored
97.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)71.698.1169.7-26.614%
Season at home (4)70.895.8166.5-25.025%
Season away (3)72.7101.3174.0-28.70%
Last 10 (9)72.997.8170.7-24.911%
Last 5 (5)72.089.8161.8-17.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)72.997.8170.7-24.911%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trepca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -7.4-7.4Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -6.0-6.0Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -7.2-7.2Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -4.2-4.2
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -7.4-7.4Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -6.0-6.0Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -7.2-7.2Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -4.2-4.2
TrepcaIstogu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrepcaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sigal Prishtina
#4
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H30/09
Superliga
Tindastoll
#19
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A04/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Parnu
#46
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Peja
#3
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A12/10
Superliga
Vellaznimi
#5
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H15/10
Superliga
Prizreni
#7
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A21/10
Superliga
Leiden
#14
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bashkimi
#6
W
56-37
56
37
+19
A29/10
Superliga
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
L
21-40
21
40
-19
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Golden Eagle Ylli
#2
L
24-34
24
34
-10
H05/11
Superliga
74.9Avg total
35.8Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.540.181.6+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.238.377.5+0.950%-
Last 30 away (16)43.541.885.2+1.850%-
Last 10 (10)35.839.174.9-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)35.239.074.2-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)37.940.978.9-3.033%-
vs Similar (2)38.545.083.5-6.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)46.138.584.5+7.677%-
This opponent (Istogu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IstoguLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trepca
#5
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H26/04
Superliga
Trepca
#5
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A29/04
Superliga
Trepca
#1
L
35-63
35
63
-28
H23/09
Superliga
Golden Eagle Ylli
#2
L
35-65
35
65
-30
A01/10
Superliga
Bashkimi
#6
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H08/10
Superliga
Sigal Prishtina
#4
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H14/10
Superliga
Peja
#3
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A22/10
Superliga
Vellaznimi
#5
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H29/10
Superliga
Prizreni
#7
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A04/11
Superliga
83.9Avg total
35.2Scored
48.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (9)35.248.783.9-13.40%-
Last 30 at home (5)36.447.684.0-11.20%-
Last 30 away (4)33.850.083.8-16.20%-
Last 10 (9)35.248.783.9-13.40%-
Last 5 (5)34.645.079.6-10.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)35.248.783.9-13.40%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trepca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trepcatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trepca: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.019.8
52.1%
52.5%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.59.1
35.7%
32.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws20.814.6
70.2%
70.2%14.6
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Istogutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Istogu: 71.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.1 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.4 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.917.6
43.0%
52.5%35.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.79.1
30.8%
32.6%27.4
🏀 Free throws14.78.4
57.3%
70.2%8.4
They take 70.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/7 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trepca
LLWLWWLWWW
Istogu
LLLLWLLLL
#1
League position
#8
+8.3
Net rating
-31.9
103.7
Offensive rating
85.8
95.4
Defensive rating
117.7
52.7%
Effective FG%
44.3%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
57.2%
21.4%
Turnover %
19.0%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
21.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.21
35.7%
3-point %
30.8%
64.7%
Assist %
52.9%
60%
Form (last 10/9)
11%

Profile

Offence103.7 · 85.8Defence95.4 · 117.7Shooting52.7% · 44.3%3-point %35.7% · 30.8%Ball care21.4% · 19.0%Off. rebounds31.3% · 21.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.21Form (last 10/9)60% · 11%
■ Trepca   ■ Istogu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Trepca wins
0
Istogu wins
DateGameScore
23/09/23Istogu v Trepca65-112
29/04/21Trepca v Istogu94-85
26/04/21Istogu v Trepca70-99
Trepcalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/23HGolden Eagle Ylli68-71 OT
01/11/23AGravelines-Dunkerque49-83
29/10/23ABashkimi99-77
25/10/23HLeiden54-84
21/10/23APrizreni108-88
15/10/23HVellaznimi91-67
12/10/23APeja80-92
05/10/23HParnu77-67
04/10/23ATindastoll77-69
30/09/23HSigal Prishtina78-66
Istogulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/23APrizreni73-94
29/10/23HVellaznimi65-102
22/10/23APeja69-84
14/10/23HSigal Prishtina70-92
08/10/23HBashkimi83-77
01/10/23AGolden Eagle Ylli76-126
23/09/23HTrepca65-112
29/04/21ATrepca85-94
26/04/21HTrepca70-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trepca
Superliga 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL71%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%67%75%
Points / game90.979.099.8
Allowed / game75.168.080.5
Point differential+15.7+11.0+19.2
Avg total166.0147.0180.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%67%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %14%33%0%
Istogu
Superliga 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 8 Losses (last 9)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL14%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %14%25%0%
Points / game71.670.872.7
Allowed / game98.195.8101.3
Point differential-26.6-25.0-28.7
Avg total169.7166.5174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Peja87188%94.181.1+13.0
2 Trepca75271%90.975.1+15.7
3 Sigal Prishtina74357%84.981.7+3.1
4 Golden Eagle Ylli84450%84.277.8+6.5
5 Vellaznimi84450%80.481.4-1.0
6 Bashkimi83538%82.084.1-2.1
7 Prizreni72529%80.991.9-11.0
8 Istogu71614%71.698.1-26.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trepca23253727112
Istogu2325142082
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