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Trepca vs Keravnos Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Sep 2024
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 82-79
23-14 21-30 19-12 19-23
Position#22
Record-
FormWLWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Trepca 🏆
vs
Keravnos
Position#42
Record-
FormLWLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeChampions LeagueChampions League - Quarter-finals· Kozlovskis M.
European cup2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trepca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keravnos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrepcaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrepca
Date
Competition
Golden Eagle Ylli
#2
W
67-66
67
66
+1
55avg 80
A31/03
Liga Unike
Golden Eagle Ylli
#2
L
79-81
79
81
-2
72avg 80
A04/04
Superliga
Sigal Prishtina
#4
W
87-81
87
81
+6
81avg 80
H21/04
Superliga
Sigal Prishtina
#4
W
86-85
86
85
+1
81avg 80
A25/04
Superliga
Sigal Prishtina
#4
W
82-69
82
69
+13
81avg 80
H28/04
Superliga
Golden Eagle Ylli
#2
W
77-68
77
68
+9
74avg 80
H09/05
Superliga
Golden Eagle Ylli
#2
L
79-80
79
80
-1
71avg 80
A12/05
Superliga
Golden Eagle Ylli
#2
W
85-78
85
78
+7
87avg 80
H16/05
Superliga
Golden Eagle Ylli
#2
L
71-75
71
75
-4
60avg 80
A19/05
Superliga
Golden Eagle Ylli
#2
W
67-66
67
66
+1
56avg 80
H23/05
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-19
22-15
13-18
21-14
18-19
23-20
15-20
23-22
22-19
21-20
21-16
23-26
21-28
19-20
20-17
26-20
24-19
21-12
18-18
19-20
20-29
11-8
22-15
24-16
18-23
16-18
7-19
38-20
11-21
26-10
18-23
30-24
15-13
18-16
13-20
25-26
10-16
20-14
7-11
30-25
152.9Avg total
78.0Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.074.9152.9+3.170%
Last 5 (5)75.873.4149.2+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)67.066.0133.0+1.0100%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (28)85.973.2159.1+12.689%
KeravnosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeravnos
Date
Competition
AEK Larnaca
#2
W
83-79
83
79
+4
79avg 77
H17/04
Division A
AEL
#5
W
75-61
75
61
+14
41avg 77
A22/04
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
W
76-68
76
68
+8
71avg 77
A27/04
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
W
78-72
78
72
+6
77avg 77
H01/05
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
W
78-71
78
71
+7
73avg 77
A09/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
64-71
64
71
-7
54avg 77
A15/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
W
92-74
92
74
+18
92avg 77
H19/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
61-74
61
74
-13
50avg 77
A23/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
W
68-63
68
63
+5
64avg 77
H27/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
W
84-77
84
77
+7
84avg 77
A30/05
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
19-20
29-16
19-26
19-17
20-13
19-14
17-17
26-12
16-15
11-19
23-22
16-31
22-16
20-7
20-18
21-14
13-23
16-18
28-16
9-21
20-19
19-13
16-18
28-20
24-12
26-26
14-16
17-20
16-11
16-24
12-19
18-16
16-15
22-15
12-17
23-17
20-22
17-15
24-23
146.9Avg total
75.9Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.971.0146.9+4.980%
Last 5 (5)73.871.8145.6+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)71.177.4148.6-6.357%
vs Similar (9)77.175.6152.7+1.667%
vs Weaker (14)88.667.4156.1+21.2100%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: -0.7-0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: -0.7-0.7
TrepcaKeravnos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrepcaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden Eagle Ylli
#2
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A31/03
Liga Unike
Golden Eagle Ylli
#2
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A04/04
Superliga
Sigal Prishtina
#4
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H21/04
Superliga
Sigal Prishtina
#4
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A25/04
Superliga
Sigal Prishtina
#4
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H28/04
Superliga
Golden Eagle Ylli
#2
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H09/05
Superliga
Golden Eagle Ylli
#2
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A12/05
Superliga
Golden Eagle Ylli
#2
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H16/05
Superliga
Golden Eagle Ylli
#2
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A19/05
Superliga
Golden Eagle Ylli
#2
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H23/05
Superliga
72.6Avg total
36.7Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.035.877.8+6.170%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.436.180.5+8.269%-
Last 30 away (14)39.235.574.7+3.771%-
Last 10 (10)36.735.972.6+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)33.033.666.6-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)33.034.067.0-1.00%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (28)42.136.478.5+5.771%-
KeravnosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H17/04
Division A
AEL
#5
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A22/04
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A27/04
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H01/05
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A09/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A15/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H19/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A23/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H27/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A30/05
Division A
73.0Avg total
37.9Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.635.075.6+5.770%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.935.077.9+7.979%-
Last 30 away (16)38.634.973.6+3.762%-
Last 10 (10)37.935.173.0+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)38.234.672.8+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.037.471.4-3.429%-
vs Similar (9)39.035.874.8+3.278%-
vs Weaker (14)45.033.278.2+11.886%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trepcatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trepca: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.717.6
50.7%
52.1%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.57.7
31.4%
35.0%23.1
🏀 Free throws22.116.0
72.4%
74.0%16.0
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Keravnostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keravnos: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.418.6
48.4%
52.1%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.87.2
33.0%
35.0%21.6
🏀 Free throws21.415.9
74.3%
74.0%15.9
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Sep 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trepca
WLWLWWWWLW
Keravnos
WWLWLWWWWW
#22
League position
#42
+4.5
Net rating
+6.1
108.3
Offensive rating
105.2
103.8
Defensive rating
99.1
49.2%
Effective FG%
48.8%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
17.8%
Turnover %
19.1%
36.8%
Off. rebound %
32.7%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.36
31.4%
3-point %
33.0%
63.6%
Assist %
66.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 105.2Defence103.8 · 99.1Shooting49.2% · 48.8%3-point %31.4% · 33.0%Ball care17.8% · 19.1%Off. rebounds36.8% · 32.7%Free throws0.37 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Trepca   ■ Keravnos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Trepca wins
0
Keravnos wins
No previous meetings.
Trepcalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/05/24HGolden Eagle Ylli67-66
19/05/24AGolden Eagle Ylli71-75
16/05/24HGolden Eagle Ylli85-78
12/05/24AGolden Eagle Ylli79-80
09/05/24HGolden Eagle Ylli77-68
28/04/24HSigal Prishtina82-69
25/04/24ASigal Prishtina86-85
21/04/24HSigal Prishtina87-81
04/04/24AGolden Eagle Ylli79-81
31/03/24AGolden Eagle Ylli67-66
Keravnoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/05/24AAEK Larnaca84-77
27/05/24HAEK Larnaca68-63
23/05/24AAEK Larnaca61-74
19/05/24HAEK Larnaca92-74
15/05/24AAEK Larnaca64-71
09/05/24AAnorthosis78-71
01/05/24HAnorthosis78-72
27/04/24AAnorthosis76-68
22/04/24AAEL75-61
17/04/24HAEK Larnaca83-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trepca
Champions League 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Keravnos
Champions League 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSM Oradea110100%90.059.0+31.0
2 Petkim Spor110100%92.072.0+20.0
3 Rilski Sportist110100%71.064.0+7.0
4 Norrkoping110100%75.071.0+4.0
5 Sabah Baku1010%71.075.0-4.0
6 BC Nokia1010%64.071.0-7.0
7 Den Bosch1010%72.092.0-20.0
8 Caledonia Gladiators1010%59.090.0-31.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trepca2321191982
Keravnos1430122379
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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