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AEL vs Keravnos Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 22 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 61-75
17-19 13-20 14-19 17-17
Position#5
Record13-11
FormLLLWL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game73.5
AEL
Cyprus
vs
Keravnos 🏆
Cyprus
Position#1
Record20-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game70.4
CyprusDivision ARound 27· Nicos Solomonides Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · AEL v Keravnos
29 Dec 2026
AEL v KER
upcoming
29 Apr 2026
AEL87
KER82
22 Apr 2026
AEL81
KER85
19 Oct 2025
AEL77
KER87
03 May 2025
AEL72
KER81
31 Jan 2025
AEL94
KER91
22 Apr 2024
AEL61
KER75
29 Jan 2024
AEL62
KER71
15 Mar 2023
AEL78
KER92
17 Feb 2022
AEL67
KER81
02 Jan 2021
AEL55
KER83
09 Nov 2019
AEL75
KER99
12 Dec 2018
AEL71
KER74
02 Dec 2014
AEL0
KER20
17 Jan 2014
AEL58
KER76
24 Nov 2013
AEL67
KER82
30 Jan 2013
AEL46
KER70
24 Nov 2012
AEL62
KER66
02 Mar 2012
AEL50
KER90
07 Jan 2012
AEL46
KER150
31 Mar 2011
AEL76
KER65
23 Mar 2011
AEL88
KER73
15 Jan 2011
AEL79
KER75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEL winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keravnos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AELCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAEL
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#1
L
62-71
62
71
-9
49avg 71
H29/01
Division A
Paralimni
#11
W
86-42
86
42
+44
89avg 71
H12/02
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
W
73-64
73
64
+9
63avg 71
A28/02
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
71-55
71
55
+16
68avg 71
A03/03
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
46-62
46
62
-16
32avg 71
H16/03
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
81-93
81
93
-12
77avg 71
A20/03
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
L
65-80
65
80
-15
68avg 71
A31/03
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
63-99
63
99
-36
50avg 71
H05/04
Division A
Apollon
#8
W
99-74
99
74
+25
103avg 71
A08/04
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
69-74
69
74
-5
65avg 71
A18/04
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-16
19-17
12-22
17-16
27-12
32-12
10-8
17-10
23-11
21-17
17-18
12-18
22-17
23-19
17-5
9-14
12-18
7-22
9-15
18-7
24-26
23-21
18-27
16-19
17-28
12-18
21-15
15-19
19-22
16-33
18-22
10-22
25-19
21-15
34-18
19-22
13-23
15-17
26-21
15-13
142.9Avg total
71.5Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)78.573.5152.1+5.054%
Season at home (11)78.268.4146.5+9.855%
Season away (13)78.877.9156.8+0.954%
Last 10 (10)71.571.4142.9+0.140%
Last 5 (5)75.484.0159.4-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)75.187.7162.8-12.610%
vs Similar (6)65.377.2142.5-11.817%
vs Weaker (14)87.169.4156.5+17.686%
This opponent (Keravnos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeravnosCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeravnos
Date
Competition
Achilleas K.
#10
W
85-58
85
58
+27
82avg 79
H03/02
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
75-61
75
61
+14
66avg 79
A09/02
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
W
87-83
87
83
+4
84avg 79
H14/02
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
L
61-70
61
70
-9
57avg 79
A05/03
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
92-66
92
66
+26
95avg 79
H14/03
Division A
Apollon
#8
W
113-74
113
74
+39
112avg 79
A19/03
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
81-74
81
74
+7
77avg 79
H01/04
Division A
Apollon
#8
W
105-62
105
62
+43
no box
A05/04
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
L
61-87
61
87
-26
50avg 79
A10/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
W
83-79
83
79
+4
79avg 79
H17/04
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-10
26-12
19-12
17-24
17-15
17-18
19-12
22-16
27-15
16-24
17-28
27-16
17-13
11-21
12-16
21-20
24-11
23-22
35-12
10-21
27-20
38-22
26-18
22-14
20-16
17-17
20-24
24-17
28-15
19-16
32-13
26-18
14-21
15-24
20-17
12-25
16-17
19-20
29-16
19-26
155.7Avg total
84.3Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)85.670.4156.0+15.283%
Season at home (12)90.073.4163.4+16.692%
Season away (12)81.267.3148.6+13.975%
Last 10 (10)84.371.4155.7+12.980%
Last 5 (5)88.675.2163.8+13.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.487.6160.0-15.114%
vs Similar (5)77.076.8153.8+0.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)89.867.7157.5+22.294%
This opponent (AEL) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +6.0+6.0Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +6.1+6.1Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.3+0.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +6.0+6.0Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +6.1+6.1Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.3+0.3
AELKeravnos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AELLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#1
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H29/01
Division A
Paralimni
#11
W
59-24
59
24
+35
H12/02
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A28/02
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A03/03
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
19-40
19
40
-21
H16/03
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A20/03
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A31/03
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
35-55
35
55
-20
H05/04
Division A
Apollon
#8
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A08/04
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A18/04
Division A
76.8Avg total
38.5Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.938.877.7+0.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.136.276.3+3.957%-
Last 30 away (16)37.941.078.9-3.131%-
Last 10 (10)38.538.376.8+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)37.044.481.4-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.844.582.3-6.710%-
vs Similar (6)29.039.068.0-10.017%-
vs Weaker (14)44.034.678.6+9.479%-
This opponent (Keravnos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeravnosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Achilleas K.
#10
W
49-22
49
22
+27
H03/02
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A09/02
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H14/02
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A05/03
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H14/03
Division A
Apollon
#8
W
65-42
65
42
+23
A19/03
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H01/04
Division A
Apollon
#8
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A05/04
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A10/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H17/04
Division A
76.3Avg total
41.4Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.535.678.0+6.970%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.235.880.0+8.480%-
Last 30 away (15)40.735.376.1+5.460%-
Last 10 (10)41.434.976.3+6.570%-
Last 5 (5)42.637.680.2+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.942.475.3-9.614%-
vs Similar (5)39.635.074.6+4.680%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)47.033.180.1+13.989%-
This opponent (AEL) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AELtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEL: 70.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.118.5
55.9%
51.0%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.47.8
27.5%
32.6%23.4
🏀 Free throws14.810.4
70.3%
71.2%10.4
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Keravnostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keravnos: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.521.1
50.8%
51.0%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.68.1
35.8%
32.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws17.613.4
76.1%
71.2%13.4
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEL
LWLLLLWWWL
Keravnos
WLWWWWLWWW
#5
League position
#1
+0.1
Net rating
+12.8
98.1
Offensive rating
109.7
98.0
Defensive rating
96.9
49.1%
Effective FG%
51.9%
46.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
18.2%
Turnover %
18.7%
24.8%
Off. rebound %
35.4%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.27
27.5%
3-point %
35.8%
65.8%
Assist %
60.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence98.1 · 109.7Defence98.0 · 96.9Shooting49.1% · 51.9%3-point %27.5% · 35.8%Ball care18.2% · 18.7%Off. rebounds24.8% · 35.4%Free throws0.24 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ AEL   ■ Keravnos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
AEL wins
9
Keravnos wins
DateGameScore
29/01/24AEL v Keravnos62-71
12/11/23Keravnos v AEL74-80
15/03/23AEL v Keravnos78-92
07/12/22Keravnos v AEL103-82
17/02/22AEL v Keravnos67-81
06/12/21Keravnos v AEL101-57
02/01/21AEL v Keravnos55-83
11/11/20Keravnos v AEL87-63
05/01/20Keravnos v AEL95-76
09/11/19AEL v Keravnos75-99
AELlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/24AApoel BC69-74
08/04/24AApollon99-74
05/04/24HAEK Larnaca63-99
31/03/24AAnorthosis65-80
20/03/24AAEK Larnaca81-93
16/03/24HApoel BC46-62
03/03/24AAchilleas K.71-55
28/02/24AApop Paphou73-64
12/02/24HParalimni86-42
29/01/24HKeravnos62-71
Keravnoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/04/24HAEK Larnaca83-79
10/04/24AAnorthosis61-87
05/04/24AApollon105-62
01/04/24HApoel BC81-74
19/03/24AApollon113-74
14/03/24HETHA Engomi92-66
05/03/24AAnorthosis61-70
14/02/24HAEK Larnaca87-83
09/02/24AApoel BC75-61
03/02/24HAchilleas K.85-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEL
Division A 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL54%
HomeWLWLL55%
AwayWLLWL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %54%55%54%
Points / game78.578.278.8
Allowed / game73.568.477.9
Point differential+5.0+9.8+0.9
Avg total152.1146.5156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%55%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %8%9%8%
Keravnos
Division A 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW83%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWLWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %83%92%75%
Points / game85.690.081.2
Allowed / game70.473.467.3
Point differential+15.2+16.6+13.9
Avg total156.0163.4148.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEK Larnaca2521484%90.970.8+20.1
2 Anorthosis2521484%87.467.6+19.8
3 Keravnos2420483%85.670.4+15.2
4 Apoel BC2517868%77.069.2+7.8
5 AEL24131154%78.573.5+5.0
6 PAEEK1961332%80.190.5-10.4
7 ETHA Engomi2061430%75.283.0-7.7
8 Apollon2471729%75.290.4-15.2
9 Apop Paphou2051525%73.282.5-9.3
10 Achilleas K.2051525%66.578.5-12.0
11 Paralimni2021810%62.689.5-26.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEL1713141761
Keravnos1920191775
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