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Trepca vs Split Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 18 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:30
Projected 83-81
Projected total 163.6
Scheduled
Position#29
Record3-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game81.2
Vs
56%
44%
■ TRE 56%■ SPL 44%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
4.3/10
Below normal
4.2/10
Below normal
Position#20
Record4-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game80.3
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 7· Minatori Sports Hall
European cup2026
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Trepca hosts Split on 18 November 2026 in the FIBA Europe Cup, with the model favouring the home side at 56% to 44% and projecting a close 83-81 finish for a total of 163.6 points. Trepca, 3-3 overall with 77.5 points scored and 81.2 allowed, has a 1-1 home record, scoring 83.0 and conceding 85.5 at home, and has won three of its last five games; recent results include a 71-81 loss to Promitheas away, a 92-58 home win over Rahoveci, and a 59-96 defeat to Trier away. Split, 4-2 overall with 81.5 points scored and 80.3 allowed, holds a 2-1 road record, averaging 83.7 points and 81.7 allowed on the road, and has won four of its last five games; recent victories include 81-77 over Opava at home, 82-77 over Samobor away, and 97-77 over Batumi away. In their only prior meeting, Trepca defeated Split 78-69 on 14 October 2026. The model assigns a 5% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trepca win
55.8%fair 1.79
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Split win
44.2%fair 2.26
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 09:11 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrepcaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrepca
Date
Competition
Vellaznimi
#8
W
94-70
94
70
+24
95avg 85
H10/10
Superliga
Split
#20
W
78-69
78
69
+9
83avg 85
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bora
#3
W
79-68
79
68
+11
71avg 85
A18/10
Superliga
Opava
#44
W
89-80
89
80
+9
80avg 85
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Golden Eagle Ylli
#4
W
100-71
100
71
+29
91avg 85
H25/10
Superliga
Batumi
#50
W
91-70
91
70
+21
91avg 85
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Sigal Prishtina
#5
W
89-79
89
79
+10
no box
A01/11
Superliga
Trier
#1
L
59-96
59
96
-37
no box
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Rahoveci
#7
W
92-58
92
58
+34
no box
H08/11
Superliga
Promitheas
#14
L
71-81
71
81
-10
no box
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
30-19
24-12
19-15
19-22
19-6
18-23
22-18
10-15
18-20
31-17
20-16
17-16
21-23
27-22
24-19
23-12
31-22
21-16
25-21
27-15
19-18
22-25
23-12
24-19
25-21
25-15
15-24
11-23
14-27
15-21
19-25
15-15
25-16
33-11
19-16
9-17
22-20
16-16
24-28
158.4Avg total
84.2Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)77.581.2158.7-3.750%
Season at home (2)83.085.5168.5-2.550%
Season away (4)74.879.0153.8-4.250%
Last 10 (10)84.274.2158.4+10.080%
Last 5 (5)80.476.8157.2+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)71.284.2155.5-13.025%
vs Similar (2)82.582.0164.5+0.550%
vs Weaker (24)93.079.1172.1+13.992%
This opponent (Split) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SplitLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSplit
Date
Competition
Dubrava
#12
W
86-62
86
62
+24
91avg 81
A10/10
Premijer liga
Trepca
#29
L
69-78
69
78
-9
51avg 81
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Zadar
#1
L
73-84
73
84
-11
62avg 81
H18/10
Premijer liga
Trier
#1
L
80-100
80
100
-20
70avg 81
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Alkar
#8
W
76-75
76
75
+1
71avg 81
A25/10
Premijer liga
Promitheas
#14
W
88-82
88
82
+6
87avg 81
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Cibona
#2
L
81-93 OT
81
93
-12
69avg 81
H31/10
Premijer liga
Batumi
#50
W
97-77
97
77
+20
no box
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Samobor
#11
W
82-77
82
77
+5
no box
A07/11
Premijer liga
Opava
#44
W
81-77
81
77
+4
no box
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
18-17
21-16
28-14
22-19
6-19
23-18
18-22
24-16
19-18
14-23
16-27
32-22
10-31
16-26
22-21
20-24
16-23
21-16
19-12
19-22
19-18
31-21
19-21
19-20
19-19
17-22
20-14
35-17
24-16
17-28
21-16
24-24
23-15
18-17
17-21
21-29
17-16
19-15
24-17
161.8Avg total
81.3Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.580.3161.8+1.267%
Season at home (3)79.379.0158.3+0.367%
Season away (3)83.781.7165.3+2.067%
Last 10 (10)81.380.5161.8+0.860%
Last 5 (5)85.881.2167.0+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)79.189.6168.7-10.429%
vs Similar (6)82.378.7161.0+3.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)88.175.9163.9+12.294%
This opponent (Trepca) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%9%12%0%1201%1252%1303%1355%1407%14510%15011%15512%16012%16511%1708%1756%1804%1853%1902%1951%2001%2050%210
0%1202%1305%14010%15012%16011%1706%1803%1901%2000%210
Pythia expects about 164 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 160-164 (12%).
Over/Under 160
Over 160
58.3%
Under 160
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 165
Over 165
45.7%
Under 165
54.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 170
Over 170
33.7%
Under 170
66.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Trepca total 80.5
Over 80.5
58.1%
Under 80.5
41.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trepca total 84.5
Over 84.5
43.6%
Under 84.5
56.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trepca total 88.5
Over 88.5
29.8%
Under 88.5
70.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Split total 76.5
Over 76.5
65.9%
Under 76.5
34.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Split total 80.5
Over 80.5
51.1%
Under 80.5
48.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Split total 84.5
Over 84.5
36.3%
Under 84.5
63.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

2%5%7%10%0%-301%-271%-242%-213%-184%-156%-127%-99%-69%-37%+010%+39%+68%+96%+125%+154%+183%+212%+241%+271%+300%+33
1%-272%-214%-157%-99%-310%+38%+95%+153%+211%+270%+33
Margin from Trepca's side (positive = Trepca win). Pythia's expected margin is +1.9; Trepca win by 1+ in 49% of simulations.
Spread Trepca -3
TRE -3
47.9%
SPL +3
52.1%
Best 5 market prices
TRE
No market prices yet.
SPL
No market prices yet.
Spread Trepca 0
TRE 0
55.8%
SPL 0
44.2%
Best 5 market prices
TRE
No market prices yet.
SPL
No market prices yet.
Spread Trepca +3
TRE +3
63.6%
SPL -3
36.4%
Best 5 market prices
TRE
No market prices yet.
SPL
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +5.4+5.4Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +1.9+1.9
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +5.4+5.4Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +1.9+1.9
TrepcaSplit
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrepcaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vellaznimi
#8
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H10/10
Superliga
Split
#20
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bora
#3
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A18/10
Superliga
Opava
#44
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Golden Eagle Ylli
#4
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H25/10
Superliga
Batumi
#50
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Sigal Prishtina
#5
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A01/11
Superliga
Trier
#1
L
25-50
25
50
-25
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Rahoveci
#7
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H08/11
Superliga
Promitheas
#14
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
77.0Avg total
40.0Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.739.282.9+4.570%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.838.584.2+7.369%-
Last 30 away (17)42.139.881.8+2.371%-
Last 10 (10)40.037.077.0+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)38.238.276.4+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)33.240.073.2-6.825%-
vs Similar (2)36.544.581.0-8.00%-
vs Weaker (24)46.038.684.6+7.483%-
This opponent (Split) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SplitLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubrava
#12
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A10/10
Premijer liga
Trepca
#29
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Zadar
#1
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H18/10
Premijer liga
Trier
#1
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Alkar
#8
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A25/10
Premijer liga
Promitheas
#14
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Cibona
#2
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H31/10
Premijer liga
Batumi
#50
W
59-33
59
33
+26
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Samobor
#11
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A07/11
Premijer liga
Opava
#44
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
80.6Avg total
40.6Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.039.282.2+3.760%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.137.279.4+4.964%-
Last 30 away (16)43.741.084.7+2.756%-
Last 10 (10)40.640.080.6+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)44.039.283.2+4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.942.382.1-2.429%-
vs Similar (6)43.540.884.3+2.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)44.137.481.5+6.671%-
This opponent (Trepca) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trepcatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trepca: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.819.9
60.7%
53.4%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.88.6
29.9%
32.5%25.8
🏀 Free throws25.919.3
74.5%
72.8%19.3
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Splittheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Split: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.917.6
53.5%
53.4%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.8
33.8%
32.5%29.4
🏀 Free throws20.115.6
77.6%
72.8%15.6
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trepca
LWLWWWWWWW
Split
WWWLWWLLLW
#29
League position
#20
+11.0
Net rating
+3.0
100.5
Offensive rating
95.6
89.5
Defensive rating
92.6
53.2%
Effective FG%
52.2%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
14.1%
Turnover %
15.1%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.32
29.9%
3-point %
33.8%
71.6%
Assist %
69.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence100.5 · 95.6Defence89.5 · 92.6Shooting53.2% · 52.2%3-point %29.9% · 33.8%Ball care14.1% · 15.1%Free throws0.42 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Trepca   ■ Split
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Trepca wins
0
Split wins
DateGameScore
14/10/26Split v Trepca69-78
Trepcalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26APromitheas71-81
08/11/26HRahoveci92-58
04/11/26ATrier59-96
01/11/26ASigal Prishtina89-79
28/10/26ABatumi91-70
25/10/26HGolden Eagle Ylli100-71
21/10/26HOpava89-80
18/10/26ABora79-68
14/10/26ASplit78-69
10/10/26HVellaznimi94-70
Splitlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HOpava81-77
07/11/26ASamobor82-77
04/11/26ABatumi97-77
31/10/26HCibona81-93 OT
28/10/26HPromitheas88-82
25/10/26AAlkar76-75
21/10/26ATrier80-100
18/10/26HZadar73-84
14/10/26HTrepca69-78
10/10/26ADubrava86-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trepca
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL50%
HomeLW50%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game77.583.074.8
Allowed / game81.285.579.0
Point differential-3.7-2.5-4.2
Avg total158.7168.5153.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Split
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW67%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game81.579.383.7
Allowed / game80.379.081.7
Point differential+1.2+0.3+2.0
Avg total161.8158.3165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trier660100%100.069.7+30.3
2 Esenler Erokspor660100%96.371.0+25.3
3 Basquet Girona65183%91.375.0+16.3
4 Nancy65183%87.272.5+14.7
5 Korfez Basket65183%87.373.7+13.7
6 Benfica65183%94.383.8+10.5
7 Mykonos65183%84.076.3+7.7
8 Dziki Warszawa65183%87.580.3+7.2
9 Chalon/Saone64267%84.872.7+12.2
10 Kolossos Rhodes64267%81.870.2+11.7
11 Iraklis64267%87.276.0+11.2
12 VEF Riga64267%95.084.7+10.3
13 Wurzburg64267%84.575.5+9.0
14 Promitheas64267%90.081.8+8.2
15 CSM Oradea64267%86.380.3+6.0
16 Szczecin64267%86.881.7+5.2
17 Geneva Lions64267%88.284.0+4.2
18 Keravnos64267%80.876.7+4.2
19 Zielona Gora64267%84.583.2+1.3
20 Split64267%81.580.3+1.2
21 Oostende64267%78.377.8+0.5
22 Bakken Bears64267%82.083.3-1.3
23 BC Prievidza84450%90.183.2+6.9
24 Lok. Plovdiv63350%83.383.5-0.2
25 AEK Larnaca63350%79.580.0-0.5
26 Valmiera Glass Via63350%81.083.3-2.3
27 BC Kalev/Cramo63350%80.083.7-3.7
28 Sporting CP63350%76.780.3-3.7
29 Trepca63350%77.581.2-3.7
30 Dinamo Bucharest83538%87.881.6+6.1
31 Denizli Basket62433%81.583.5-2.0
32 Vienna Basket62433%80.585.2-4.7
33 Levice62433%72.778.2-5.5
34 SCM Craiova62433%88.096.3-8.3
35 Nitra Blue Wings62433%78.888.2-9.3
36 Szolnoki Olaj62433%77.588.3-10.8
37 Tartu Ulikool62433%88.099.7-11.7
38 Neftchi IK82625%75.682.6-7.0
39 Parnu82625%71.479.0-7.6
40 Bashkimi51420%73.683.2-9.6
41 Rilski Sportist51420%75.888.8-13.0
42 Manchester Basketball51420%75.890.0-14.2
43 Gence51420%71.288.2-17.0
44 Opava61517%83.286.8-3.7
45 Absheron Lions61517%83.795.3-11.7
46 Fribourg Olympic61517%73.087.3-14.3
47 MZT Skopje6060%72.087.2-15.2
48 Samobor2020%74.0100.5-26.5
49 Peja2020%70.5100.5-30.0
50 Batumi6060%66.899.2-32.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 50 teams: scroll the table.
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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