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Treviglio vs Forli Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 79-83
17-22 20-19 18-25 24-17
Position#6
Record19-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game71.9
vs
Forli 🏆
Italy
Position#2
Record21-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game69.6
ItalySerie A2Round 2
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Treviglio winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Forli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TreviglioItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#7
L
81-89
81
89
-8
A22/01
Serie A2
Trapani
#24
W
89-79
89
79
+10
H29/01
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#10
W
84-72
84
72
+12
A04/02
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#25
W
81-78
81
78
+3
H12/02
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#15
L
68-76
68
76
-8
A19/02
Serie A2
Agrigento
#11
W
86-82
86
82
+4
H26/02
Serie A2
Monferrato
#22
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A05/03
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
W
89-87 OT
89
87
+2
A19/03
Serie A2
NPC Rieti
#28
W
85-48
85
48
+37
H26/03
Serie A2
Cento
#9
W
88-77
88
77
+11
A02/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
17-25
19-26
23-18
17-22
30-23
18-22
24-12
19-15
16-21
23-16
26-20
20-23
20-17
21-23
20-15
21-24
11-15
18-15
18-22
22-22
25-22
20-16
19-22
24-23
12-18
17-15
19-25
22-21
19-19
15-10
16-22
18-6
27-24
21-8
19-10
23-16
27-21
24-20
14-20
159.2Avg total
82.3Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)79.071.9150.9+7.176%
Season at home (12)80.870.6151.3+10.292%
Season away (13)77.473.2150.5+4.262%
Last 10 (10)82.376.9159.2+5.470%
Last 5 (5)84.075.0159.0+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)76.376.4152.7-0.160%
vs Weaker (20)79.371.0150.3+8.375%
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ravenna
#27
W
78-67
78
67
+11
A22/01
Serie A2
Pallacanestro Nardo
#14
W
74-63
74
63
+11
H29/01
Serie A2
Ferrara
#21
W
97-89
97
89
+8
H05/02
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
W
77-73
77
73
+4
A11/02
Serie A2
Cento
#9
W
69-58
69
58
+11
A19/02
Serie A2
San Severo
#20
W
73-60
73
60
+13
H26/02
Serie A2
Chiusi
#23
W
73-70
73
70
+3
A05/03
Serie A2
Udine
#8
W
81-70
81
70
+11
H19/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#16
L
70-72
70
72
-2
A26/03
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
L
60-64
60
64
-4
H02/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
17-14
28-15
10-14
18-15
21-19
17-19
18-10
26-21
23-20
24-25
24-23
15-20
20-25
21-9
21-19
14-10
14-13
20-13
21-22
13-19
17-16
18-7
25-18
14-17
20-12
16-21
23-20
19-17
25-22
15-22
22-9
12-20
23-24
9-13
26-15
12-18
20-21
18-4
10-21
143.8Avg total
75.2Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)76.069.6145.6+6.478%
Season at home (14)77.168.9146.1+8.286%
Season away (13)74.870.4145.2+4.469%
Last 10 (10)75.268.6143.8+6.680%
Last 5 (5)71.467.2138.6+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)66.369.0135.3-2.733%
vs Similar ◀ (5)66.066.0132.0+0.060%
vs Weaker (22)78.370.5148.7+7.882%
This opponent (Treviglio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +2.9+2.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +2.9+2.9
TreviglioForli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TreviglioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#7
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A22/01
Serie A2
Trapani
#24
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H29/01
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#10
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A04/02
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#25
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H12/02
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#15
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A19/02
Serie A2
Agrigento
#11
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H26/02
Serie A2
Monferrato
#22
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A05/03
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A19/03
Serie A2
NPC Rieti
#28
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H26/03
Serie A2
Cento
#9
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A02/04
Serie A2
80.9Avg total
41.2Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.736.775.4+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.135.274.3+3.971%-
Last 30 away (16)38.438.076.4+0.444%-
Last 10 (10)41.239.780.9+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)43.838.482.2+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.038.574.5-2.540%-
vs Weaker (20)40.135.875.9+4.365%-
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ravenna
#27
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A22/01
Serie A2
Pallacanestro Nardo
#14
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H29/01
Serie A2
Ferrara
#21
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H05/02
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A11/02
Serie A2
Cento
#9
W
28-23
28
23
+5
A19/02
Serie A2
San Severo
#20
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H26/02
Serie A2
Chiusi
#23
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A05/03
Serie A2
Udine
#8
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H19/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#16
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A26/03
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H02/04
Serie A2
73.3Avg total
36.6Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.635.273.8+3.467%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.935.875.7+4.162%-
Last 30 away (14)37.134.471.6+2.771%-
Last 10 (10)36.636.773.3-0.160%-
Last 5 (5)35.037.272.2-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.739.074.7-3.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)32.232.664.8-0.440%-
vs Weaker (22)40.535.275.7+5.277%-
This opponent (Treviglio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Treviglio wins
0
Forli wins
No previous meetings.
Trevigliolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/23ACento88-77
26/03/23HNPC Rieti85-48
19/03/23ACremona89-87 OT
05/03/23AMonferrato72-81
26/02/23HAgrigento86-82
19/02/23AAssigeco Piacenza68-76
12/02/23HJuVi Cremona81-78
04/02/23AUrania Milano84-72
29/01/23HTrapani89-79
22/01/23ABasket Torino81-89
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/23HCremona60-64
26/03/23AFortitudo Bologna70-72
19/03/23HUdine81-70
05/03/23AChiusi73-70
26/02/23HSan Severo73-60
19/02/23ACento69-58
11/02/23ACividale77-73
05/02/23HFerrara97-89
29/01/23HPallacanestro Nardo74-63
22/01/23ARavenna78-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Treviglio
Serie A2 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW76%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWLLWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %76%92%62%
Points / game79.080.877.4
Allowed / game71.970.673.2
Point differential+7.1+10.2+4.2
Avg total150.9151.3150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won88% (8)83% (6)100% (2)
Overtime %8%0%15%
Forli
Serie A2 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL78%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayWWWWL69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %78%86%69%
Points / game76.077.174.8
Allowed / game69.668.970.4
Point differential+6.4+8.2+4.4
Avg total145.6146.1145.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%43%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)60% (5)60% (5)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Baltur Cento440100%72.564.2+8.2
2 Cantu2622485%81.169.6+11.5
3 Forli2721678%76.069.6+6.4
4 Cremona2620677%78.970.0+8.9
5 Treviglio2519676%79.071.9+7.1
6 Pistoia2820871%76.166.8+9.4
7 Basket Torino2618869%83.680.9+2.7
8 Cento2415962%77.072.6+4.5
9 Udine28171161%76.574.7+1.8
10 Urania Milano26151158%78.680.3-1.7
11 Agrigento26141254%81.678.3+3.3
12 Cividale28141450%71.671.1+0.5
13 Rimini27131448%77.076.8+0.2
14 Assigeco Piacenza25121348%79.577.7+1.8
15 Fortitudo Bologna26121446%77.575.8+1.7
16 Pallacanestro Nardo28121643%82.084.3-2.2
17 San Severo28121643%70.575.9-5.4
18 Latina26111542%74.577.7-3.1
19 Trapani25101540%69.276.6-7.5
20 Ferrara2391439%76.081.5-5.5
21 Chiusi27101737%71.874.0-2.2
22 Mantova27101737%74.177.1-3.0
23 Monferrato2691735%75.077.8-2.8
24 Chieti Basket2891932%72.275.9-3.6
25 Ravenna2891932%73.678.8-5.1
26 Stella Azzurra2681831%75.480.5-5.1
27 JuVi Cremona2671927%73.779.7-6.1
28 NPC Rieti2662023%67.074.3-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 28 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Treviglio1720182479
Forli2219251783
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