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Treviglio vs Monferrato Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 88-79
16-15 24-22 17-20 31-22
Position#16
Record3-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game84.4
vs
Position#24
Record2-3
FormLLLWW
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game82.8
ItalySerie A2Round 6· PalaFacchetti
Other2023-24
Meetings · Treviglio v Monferrato
29 Oct 2023
TREV88
MONF79
07 Dec 2022
TREV97
MONF68
06 Mar 2022
TREV67
MONF69
03 Jan 2021
TREV77
MONF88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Treviglio winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Monferrato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TreviglioItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTreviglio
Date
Competition
Rimini
#13
W
81-63
81
63
+18
no box
A21/05
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
52-67
52
67
-15
no box
H27/05
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
W
83-72
83
72
+11
no box
H29/05
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
85-86 OT
85
86
-1
no box
A01/06
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
87-88
87
88
-1
no box
A03/06
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
88-92 OT
88
92
-4
no box
H01/10
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
90-89
90
89
+1
90avg 75
A07/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
89-88
89
88
+1
90avg 75
H11/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
63-84
63
84
-21
48avg 75
A15/10
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
76-69
76
69
+7
70avg 75
A22/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
28-18
16-12
18-16
18-17
9-20
15-19
10-11
27-17
16-20
21-15
19-20
18-26
20-18
20-19
21-16
21-20
23-17
19-24
24-27
20-29
23-25
19-16
22-14
23-23
25-17
22-24
20-25
30-20
17-20
26-29
16-19
20-28
20-20
13-14
10-22
18-18
19-18
13-14
26-19
159.2Avg total
79.4Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)81.284.4165.6-3.260%
Season at home (2)88.590.0178.5-1.550%
Season away (3)76.380.7157.0-4.367%
Last 10 (10)79.479.8159.2-0.450%
Last 5 (5)81.284.4165.6-3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)89.588.5178.0+1.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (11)81.678.3159.9+3.464%
vs Weaker (17)79.674.7154.4+4.959%
This opponent (Monferrato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonferratoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonferrato
Date
Competition
Chieti Basket
#26
L
77-84
77
84
-7
no box
A21/05
Serie A2
Chieti Basket
#26
W
78-72 OT
78
72
+6
no box
A28/05
Serie A2
Chieti Basket
#26
L
68-78
68
78
-10
no box
A30/05
Serie A2
Chieti Basket
#26
W
89-74
89
74
+15
no box
H03/06
Serie A2
Chieti Basket
#26
W
86-70
86
70
+16
no box
H05/06
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
L
78-79
78
79
-1
66avg 74
H01/10
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
85-91
85
91
-6
83avg 74
A07/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
77-78
77
78
-1
70avg 74
A11/10
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
76-74
76
74
+2
64avg 74
H14/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
97-92
97
92
+5
88avg 74
H21/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-23
14-15
14-20
21-26
26-19
9-10
17-16
12-19
15-12
21-17
9-26
23-23
24-18
27-21
20-12
18-23
15-9
24-13
25-21
22-27
21-23
17-19
17-17
23-20
23-32
28-16
17-21
17-22
23-22
15-20
25-22
14-14
15-16
21-25
18-18
22-15
22-17
19-26
23-19
33-30
160.3Avg total
81.1Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)82.682.8165.4-0.240%
Season at home (3)83.781.7165.3+2.067%
Season away (2)81.084.5165.5-3.50%
Last 10 (10)81.179.2160.3+1.950%
Last 5 (5)82.682.8165.4-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.681.6159.2-4.040%
vs Similar ◀ (23)78.178.5156.7-0.439%
vs Weaker (2)75.582.5158.0-7.00%
This opponent (Treviglio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -1.4-1.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -1.4-1.4
TreviglioMonferrato
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TreviglioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rimini
#13
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A21/05
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H27/05
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H29/05
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A01/06
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A03/06
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H01/10
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A07/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H11/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A15/10
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A22/10
Serie A2
82.2Avg total
41.4Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.638.980.5+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.639.683.2+4.164%-
Last 30 away (16)39.838.378.1+1.456%-
Last 10 (10)41.440.882.2+0.660%-
Last 5 (5)43.043.686.6-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)47.540.087.5+7.5100%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)42.540.482.8+2.164%-
vs Weaker (17)40.337.878.1+2.553%-
This opponent (Monferrato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonferratoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chieti Basket
#26
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A21/05
Serie A2
Chieti Basket
#26
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A28/05
Serie A2
Chieti Basket
#26
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A30/05
Serie A2
Chieti Basket
#26
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H03/06
Serie A2
Chieti Basket
#26
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H05/06
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H01/10
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A07/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A11/10
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H14/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H21/10
Serie A2
78.0Avg total
40.7Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.038.177.1+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.137.175.2+1.147%-
Last 30 away (15)39.939.178.9+0.853%-
Last 10 (10)40.737.378.0+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)40.843.284.0-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.640.681.2+0.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (23)39.037.276.2+1.757%-
vs Weaker (2)35.541.577.0-6.00%-
This opponent (Treviglio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trevigliotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Treviglio: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.5 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.219.2
46.7%
50.3%38.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.2
35.6%
34.1%27.8
🏀 Free throws17.012.2
72.1%
74.2%12.2
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Monferratotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monferrato: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.218.0
51.1%
50.3%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.210.2
36.2%
34.1%30.6
🏀 Free throws21.015.2
72.4%
74.2%15.2
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/5 games with a box score before 29 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Treviglio
WLWWLLLWLW
Monferrato
WWLLLWWLWL
#16
League position
#24
-4.6
Net rating
+0.3
102.1
Offensive rating
108.1
106.6
Defensive rating
107.9
49.3%
Effective FG%
52.5%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
15.2%
Turnover %
13.0%
21.8%
Off. rebound %
19.4%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.33
35.6%
3-point %
36.2%
65.8%
Assist %
57.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.1 · 108.1Defence106.6 · 107.9Shooting49.3% · 52.5%3-point %35.6% · 36.2%Ball care15.2% · 13.0%Off. rebounds21.8% · 19.4%Free throws0.25 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Treviglio   ■ Monferrato
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Treviglio wins
5
Monferrato wins
DateGameScore
05/03/23Monferrato v Treviglio81-72
07/12/22Treviglio v Monferrato97-68
06/03/22Treviglio v Monferrato67-69
28/11/21Monferrato v Treviglio88-85
14/03/21Monferrato v Treviglio87-68
03/01/21Treviglio v Monferrato77-88
Trevigliolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/23AAgrigento76-69
15/10/23ABasket Torino63-84
11/10/23HSebastiani Rieti89-88
07/10/23ACantu90-89
01/10/23HUrania Milano88-92 OT
03/06/23ABasket Torino87-88
01/06/23ABasket Torino85-86 OT
29/05/23HBasket Torino83-72
27/05/23HBasket Torino52-67
21/05/23ARimini81-63
Monferratolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/23HSebastiani Rieti97-92
14/10/23HAgrigento76-74
11/10/23AVigevano77-78
07/10/23ATrapani85-91
01/10/23HLuiss Roma78-79
05/06/23HChieti Basket86-70
03/06/23HChieti Basket89-74
30/05/23AChieti Basket68-78
28/05/23AChieti Basket78-72 OT
21/05/23AChieti Basket77-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Treviglio
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW60%
HomeLW50%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game81.288.576.3
Allowed / game84.490.080.7
Point differential-3.2-1.5-4.3
Avg total165.6178.5157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %20%50%0%
Monferrato
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW40%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game82.683.781.0
Allowed / game82.881.784.5
Point differential-0.2+2.0-3.5
Avg total165.4165.3165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fortitudo Bologna550100%81.666.4+15.2
2 Cantu65183%93.381.0+12.3
3 Trapani65183%89.383.2+6.2
4 Forli54180%80.468.2+12.2
5 Basket Torino54180%82.273.2+9.0
6 Udine54180%82.475.6+6.8
7 JuVi Cremona53260%90.682.8+7.8
8 Sebastiani Rieti53260%87.281.4+5.8
9 Assigeco Piacenza53260%82.278.6+3.6
10 Verona53260%74.072.0+2.0
11 Trieste53260%81.280.0+1.2
12 Treviglio53260%81.284.4-3.2
13 Urania Milano63350%87.085.7+1.3
14 Monferrato52340%82.682.8-0.2
15 Cento52340%72.477.4-5.0
16 Luiss Roma52340%76.687.4-10.8
17 Cividale62433%74.775.7-1.0
18 Nardo62433%77.886.8-9.0
19 Agrigento51420%71.074.6-3.6
20 Orzinuovi51420%71.676.4-4.8
21 Rimini51420%72.677.8-5.2
22 Vigevano51420%77.689.0-11.4
23 Chiusi51420%58.272.2-14.0
24 Latina6060%77.291.5-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Treviglio1624173188
Monferrato1522202279
← all games of the day
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