Trians vs Brave Thunders Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 May 2014

Tip-off: 10:00

Final 61-69

24-17 12-12 15-22 10-18

Position#4

Record43-14

FormWWWLW

Points / game84.5

Allowed / game75.4

Trians

Brave Thunders 🏆

Position#1

Record48-8

FormWWLWW

Points / game87.1

Allowed / game75.0

NBLNBL - Final

Other2013-14

Meetings · Trians v Brave Thunders

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trians winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Brave Thunders winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Trians

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tsukuba

#10

108-44

108

+64

H06/04

NBL

Diamond Dolphins

97-108

108

-11

A12/04

NBL

Diamond Dolphins

74-55

+19

A13/04

NBL

Kobe

#11

101-66

101

+35

A19/04

NBL

Kobe

#11

105-77

105

+28

A20/04

NBL

SeaHorses Mikawa

86-82

H26/04

NBL

SeaHorses Mikawa

88-86 OT

H27/04

NBL

SeaHorses Mikawa

68-67 OT

H10/05

NBL

SeaHorses Mikawa

76-79

-3

H11/05

NBL

SeaHorses Mikawa

73-59

+14

H13/05

NBL

33-5

26-10

26-15

23-14

18-34

30-19

17-31

32-24

20-13

11-17

22-10

21-15

20-16

22-15

31-13

28-22

25-19

26-10

31-18

23-30

29-19

15-17

20-23

22-23

26-12

15-20

22-17

11-25

12-13

19-9

19-14

8-22

18-19

19-22

19-23

20-15

15-18

23-16

21-17

14-8

159.9Avg total

87.6Scored

72.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (57)	84.5	75.4	159.9	+9.1	75%
Season at home (29)	83.3	71.9	155.2	+11.4	76%
Season away (28)	85.8	79.1	164.9	+6.6	75%
Last 10 (10)	87.6	72.3	159.9	+15.3	80%
Last 5 (5)	78.2	74.6	152.8	+3.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	74.0	79.5	153.5	-5.5	0%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	81.4	78.9	160.2	+2.5	75%
vs Weaker (20)	86.8	73.0	159.8	+13.8	90%

This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Brave Thunders Japan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sun Rockers

63-62 OT

A04/04

NBL

Sun Rockers

92-83

A05/04

NBL

Hokkaido

95-79

+16

H11/04

NBL

Hokkaido

96-66

+30

H12/04

NBL

Chiba

74-58

+16

A19/04

NBL

Chiba

83-74

A20/04

NBL

Alvark

80-74

H25/04

NBL

Alvark

59-95

-36

H26/04

NBL

Alvark

78-61

+17

H10/05

NBL

Alvark

86-71

+15

H11/05

NBL

18-18

12-10

16-14

10-14

18-22

17-19

31-21

26-21

33-16

12-17

31-19

19-27

29-16

17-14

27-18

23-18

23-11

21-18

14-17

16-12

22-14

15-18

22-23

24-19

14-22

16-15

22-19

28-18

21-28

9-23

20-21

9-23

24-20

19-14

17-11

18-16

20-23

12-20

33-10

21-18

152.9Avg total

80.6Scored

72.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (56)	87.1	75.0	162.1	+12.1	86%
Season at home (28)	87.9	76.0	163.9	+12.0	82%
Season away (28)	86.2	74.0	160.3	+12.2	89%
Last 10 (10)	80.6	72.3	152.9	+8.3	90%
Last 5 (5)	77.2	75.0	152.2	+2.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (12)	81.2	79.2	160.4	+1.9	58%
vs Weaker (18)	88.6	73.2	161.8	+15.4	94%

This opponent (Trians) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

TriansBrave Thunders

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	18.3	39.8	+3.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	16.5	37.8	+4.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.6	20.1	41.7	+1.5	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	16.8	38.4	+4.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	16.2	36.2	+3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.5	18.0	40.5	+4.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	21.5	19.4	40.9	+2.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (20)	21.4	17.9	39.2	+3.5	70%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	18.9	41.2	+3.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.3	19.9	43.2	+3.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	17.8	38.9	+3.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	19.0	41.2	+3.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	21.4	41.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (12)	23.0	20.3	43.3	+2.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (18)	21.8	17.9	39.8	+3.9	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	17.6	36.9	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	15.5	34.5	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.6	19.7	39.3	-0.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	15.5	36.1	+5.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	16.8	35.0	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.0	21.5	38.5	-4.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	18.0	16.2	34.2	+1.8	38%	-
vs Weaker (20)	20.0	17.8	37.8	+2.2	65%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.1	16.5	33.7	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.0	16.6	33.6	+0.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.3	16.4	33.7	+0.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.0	16.8	31.8	-1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.2	18.0	32.2	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (12)	15.1	18.5	33.6	-3.4	42%	-
vs Weaker (18)	18.5	15.2	33.7	+3.3	67%	-

TriansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tsukuba

#10

59-15

+44

H06/04

NBL

Diamond Dolphins

48-53

-5

A12/04

NBL

Diamond Dolphins

31-30

A13/04

NBL

Kobe

#11

42-31

+11

A19/04

NBL

Kobe

#11

51-29

+22

A20/04

NBL

SeaHorses Mikawa

44-36

H26/04

NBL

SeaHorses Mikawa

41-32

H27/04

NBL

SeaHorses Mikawa

31-22

H10/05

NBL

SeaHorses Mikawa

37-41

-4

H11/05

NBL

SeaHorses Mikawa

38-34

H13/05

NBL

74.5Avg total

42.2Scored

32.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	35.9	76.6	+4.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.3	32.0	72.3	+8.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.2	39.8	81.0	+1.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.2	32.3	74.5	+9.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	33.0	71.2	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	39.5	39.5	79.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	39.5	35.6	75.1	+3.9	75%	-
vs Weaker (20)	41.4	35.6	77.0	+5.7	50%	-

This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Brave ThundersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sun Rockers

30-28

A04/04

NBL

Sun Rockers

35-41

-6

A05/04

NBL

Hokkaido

45-33

+12

H11/04

NBL

Hokkaido

46-30

+16

H12/04

NBL

Chiba

44-29

+15

A19/04

NBL

Chiba

37-32

A20/04

NBL

Alvark

30-37

-7

H25/04

NBL

Alvark

30-51

-21

H26/04

NBL

Alvark

43-34

H10/05

NBL

Alvark

32-43

-11

H11/05

NBL

73.0Avg total

37.2Scored

35.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	35.4	74.9	+4.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.3	36.5	76.8	+3.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.4	34.2	72.6	+4.2	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.2	35.8	73.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.4	39.4	73.8	-5.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (12)	38.1	38.8	76.9	-0.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (18)	40.3	33.2	73.5	+7.2	83%	-

This opponent (Trians) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.0	18.8	41.9	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	16.8	38.7	+5.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.1	20.9	45.0	+3.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	18.1	40.9	+4.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	18.8	39.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.0	23.5	41.5	-5.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	22.1	20.8	42.9	+1.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (20)	23.9	17.6	41.5	+6.3	70%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.7	19.3	43.0	+4.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	25.4	18.9	44.2	+6.5	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.7	19.9	41.6	+1.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	17.3	40.6	+6.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	16.8	39.6	+6.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (12)	22.8	20.5	43.3	+2.3	42%	-
vs Weaker (18)	24.2	18.6	42.8	+5.7	78%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.3	38.8	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.3	19.3	37.7	-1.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.6	19.3	39.9	+1.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	19.8	40.0	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	18.6	33.6	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	16.5	33.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	16.8	19.9	36.6	-3.1	25%	-
vs Weaker (20)	20.9	19.4	40.2	+1.5	65%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	19.8	41.1	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.2	19.9	41.2	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.5	19.6	41.1	+1.9	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	18.6	38.0	+0.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	18.8	38.8	+1.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (12)	20.2	19.9	40.2	+0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (18)	22.1	19.7	41.8	+2.4	61%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.5	38.2	80.7	+4.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.3	36.1	76.4	+4.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.7	40.2	84.9	+4.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.0	37.9	80.9	+5.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.2	37.4	72.6	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	34.5	40.0	74.5	-5.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	38.9	40.6	79.5	-1.8	38%	-
vs Weaker (20)	44.8	37.0	81.8	+7.8	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.0	39.1	84.1	+5.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	46.6	38.8	85.4	+7.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.2	39.4	82.6	+3.8	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.7	35.9	78.6	+6.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	35.6	78.4	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (12)	43.1	40.4	83.5	+2.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (18)	46.3	38.2	84.6	+8.1	78%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Trians wins

Brave Thunders wins

Date	Game	Score
09/03/14	Trians v Brave Thunders	100-86
08/03/14	Trians v Brave Thunders	69-83
26/01/14	Brave Thunders v Trians	89-91
25/01/14	Brave Thunders v Trians	77-81
11/03/12	Trians v Brave Thunders	82-78
10/03/12	Trians v Brave Thunders	73-71
21/01/12	Brave Thunders v Trians	69-81
20/01/12	Brave Thunders v Trians	81-90
06/11/11	Trians v Brave Thunders	66-49
05/11/11	Trians v Brave Thunders	84-74

Trianslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/05/14	H	SeaHorses Mikawa	73-59
11/05/14	H	SeaHorses Mikawa	76-79
10/05/14	H	SeaHorses Mikawa	68-67 OT
27/04/14	H	SeaHorses Mikawa	88-86 OT
26/04/14	H	SeaHorses Mikawa	86-82
20/04/14	A	Kobe	105-77
19/04/14	A	Kobe	101-66
13/04/14	A	Diamond Dolphins	74-55
12/04/14	A	Diamond Dolphins	97-108
06/04/14	H	Tsukuba	108-44

Brave Thunderslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/05/14	H	Alvark	86-71
10/05/14	H	Alvark	78-61
26/04/14	H	Alvark	59-95
25/04/14	H	Alvark	80-74
20/04/14	A	Chiba	83-74
19/04/14	A	Chiba	74-58
12/04/14	H	Hokkaido	96-66
11/04/14	H	Hokkaido	95-79
05/04/14	A	Sun Rockers	92-83
04/04/14	A	Sun Rockers	63-62 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trians

NBL 2013-14

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	75%
Home	WWWLW	76%
Away	WLWWW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	57	29	28
Win %	75%	76%	75%
Points / game	84.5	83.3	85.8
Allowed / game	75.4	71.9	79.1
Point differential	+9.1	+11.4	+6.6
Avg total	159.9	155.2	164.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	40%	52%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	71% (21)	75% (8)	69% (13)
Overtime %	7%	7%	7%

Brave Thunders

NBL 2013-14

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	86%
Home	WWLWW	82%
Away	LWWWW	89%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	56	28	28
Win %	86%	82%	89%
Points / game	87.1	87.9	86.2
Allowed / game	75.0	76.0	74.0
Point differential	+12.1	+12.0	+12.2
Avg total	162.1	163.9	160.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	59%	61%	57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (8)	0% (3)	80% (5)
Overtime %	5%	0%	11%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Brave Thunders	56	48	8	86%	87.1	75.0	+12.1
2	Alvark	59	47	12	80%	85.8	70.2	+15.6
3	Trians	57	43	14	75%	84.5	75.4	+9.1
4	SeaHorses Mikawa	59	43	16	73%	83.3	74.4	+9.0
5	Hokkaido	54	31	23	57%	79.3	75.5	+3.8
6	Tochigi Brex	57	32	25	56%	80.9	78.6	+2.3
7	Diamond Dolphins	56	29	27	52%	78.5	76.1	+2.4
8	Sun Rockers	54	18	36	33%	74.4	79.7	-5.3
9	Chiba	54	18	36	33%	69.4	75.4	-6.0
10	Tsukuba	54	10	44	19%	67.7	85.2	-17.5
11	Kobe	54	9	45	17%	73.0	85.8	-12.7
12	Kumamoto	54	6	48	11%	74.6	90.8	-16.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Trians	24	12	15	10	61
Brave Thunders	17	12	22	18	69

← all games of the day

Trians vs Brave Thunders Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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