Bayreuth vs Nurnberger Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Dec 2024

Tip-off: 15:30

Final 86-72

23-18 29-25 15-13 19-16

Position#13

Record3-7

FormWWLLW

Points / game86.1

Allowed / game91.7

Bayreuth 🏆

Nurnberger

Position#14

Record2-8

FormLLLWW

Points / game72.9

Allowed / game82.2

Pro ARound 11· Oberfrankenhalle

Other2024-25

Meetings · Bayreuth v Nurnberger

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayreuth winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Nurnberger winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bayreuth

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Crailsheim Merlins

103-106

103

106

-3

H21/09

Pro A

Artland

#15

96-106

106

-10

A28/09

Pro A

Phoenix Hagen

78-103

103

-25

H05/10

Pro A

Giessen

74-98

-24

A12/10

Pro A

Jena

74-90

-16

H19/10

Pro A

Dusseldorf

#16

88-87

A26/10

Pro A

Vechta 2

#18

86-79

A02/11

Pro A

Dresden

#11

71-72

-1

H08/11

Pro A

Tubingen

98-102

102

-4

H10/11

Pro A

Kirchheim

93-74

+19

A16/11

Pro A

25-20

28-29

29-32

21-25

23-25

30-32

19-23

24-26

11-30

26-30

24-18

17-25

14-18

18-34

21-22

21-24

18-28

22-17

18-21

16-24

30-22

18-22

22-21

21-15

31-23

21-17

13-24

16-16

17-16

22-16

16-24

19-21

33-27

20-31

26-23

9-8

26-18

31-26

27-22

177.8Avg total

86.1Scored

91.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	86.1	91.7	177.8	-5.6	30%
Season at home (5)	84.8	94.6	179.4	-9.8	0%
Season away (5)	87.4	88.8	176.2	-1.4	60%
Last 10 (10)	86.1	91.7	177.8	-5.6	30%
Last 5 (5)	87.2	82.8	170.0	+4.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	78.7	88.7	167.4	-10.0	36%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	82.5	93.0	175.5	-10.5	23%
vs Weaker (3)	84.7	80.3	165.0	+4.3	67%

This opponent (Nurnberger) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Nurnberger Germany

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Artland

#15

71-74

-3

H22/09

Pro A

Crailsheim Merlins

67-84

-17

A28/09

Pro A

Tubingen

77-79

-2

H06/10

Pro A

Bochum

55-68

-13

A12/10

Pro A

Kirchheim

82-90

-8

A19/10

Pro A

Bremerhaven

73-84

-11

H26/10

Pro A

Munster

#10

85-94

-9

A02/11

Pro A

Trier

59-100

100

-41

H08/11

Pro A

Phoenix Hagen

80-71

H16/11

Pro A

Koblenz

#17

80-78 OT

A20/11

Pro A

20-21

19-15

11-15

21-23

20-18

18-25

17-22

12-19

23-21

22-15

15-25

17-18

17-17

9-19

14-21

15-11

20-25

21-14

15-27

26-24

19-24

19-11

18-24

17-25

14-29

21-21

21-24

29-20

12-25

22-18

11-28

14-29

22-11

18-20

19-20

21-20

20-15

14-23

18-17

19-16

155.1Avg total

72.9Scored

82.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	72.9	82.2	155.1	-9.3	20%
Season at home (5)	72.0	81.6	153.6	-9.6	20%
Season away (5)	73.8	82.8	156.6	-9.0	20%
Last 10 (10)	72.9	82.2	155.1	-9.3	20%
Last 5 (5)	75.4	85.4	160.8	-10.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	74.0	86.4	160.4	-12.4	12%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	79.1	82.6	161.7	-3.6	43%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Bayreuth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BayreuthNurnberger

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	21.8	40.9	-2.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.6	22.1	41.7	-2.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	21.5	40.1	-3.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	20.3	38.9	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	16.4	35.4	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	18.1	20.4	38.5	-2.4	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.4	23.8	44.2	-3.4	23%	-
vs Weaker (3)	18.0	20.0	38.0	-2.0	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.1	20.5	37.6	-3.4	23%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.4	19.7	37.1	-2.2	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.6	21.4	38.1	-4.8	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	20.6	39.3	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	20.8	38.2	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	16.9	21.2	38.1	-4.4	19%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	17.3	19.6	36.9	-2.4	29%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	22.1	42.8	-1.4	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	20.5	41.6	+0.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	23.8	44.1	-3.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.9	24.8	49.7	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	21.2	46.2	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	19.2	23.0	42.2	-3.8	21%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.8	21.8	42.6	-0.9	23%	-
vs Weaker (3)	27.0	19.7	46.7	+7.3	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.0	40.2	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	19.1	38.8	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.7	21.1	41.9	-0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	18.1	36.4	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	18.6	37.4	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	20.7	20.1	40.8	+0.6	56%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.6	20.0	39.6	-0.4	43%	-
vs Weaker	no games

BayreuthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Crailsheim Merlins

53-49

H21/09

Pro A

Artland

#15

53-57

-4

A28/09

Pro A

Phoenix Hagen

37-60

-23

H05/10

Pro A

Giessen

32-52

-20

A12/10

Pro A

Jena

40-45

-5

H19/10

Pro A

Dusseldorf

#16

48-44

A26/10

Pro A

Vechta 2

#18

52-38

+14

A02/11

Pro A

Dresden

#11

33-32

H08/11

Pro A

Tubingen

52-48

H10/11

Pro A

Kirchheim

35-26

A16/11

Pro A

88.6Avg total

43.5Scored

45.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	44.0	83.7	-4.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.7	42.6	83.3	-1.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.8	45.3	84.1	-6.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.5	45.1	88.6	-1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	37.6	81.6	+6.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	37.3	43.4	80.7	-6.1	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	41.2	45.5	86.8	-4.3	38%	-
vs Weaker (3)	45.0	39.7	84.7	+5.3	67%	-

This opponent (Nurnberger) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

NurnbergerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Artland

#15

39-36

H22/09

Pro A

Crailsheim Merlins

38-43

-5

A28/09

Pro A

Tubingen

45-36

H06/10

Pro A

Bochum

26-36

-10

A12/10

Pro A

Kirchheim

41-39

A19/10

Pro A

Bremerhaven

38-35

H26/10

Pro A

Munster

#10

35-50

-15

A02/11

Pro A

Trier

34-43

-9

H08/11

Pro A

Phoenix Hagen

40-31

H16/11

Pro A

Koblenz

#17

34-38

-4

A20/11

Pro A

75.7Avg total

37.0Scored

38.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.3	40.5	77.8	-3.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.2	38.8	75.9	-1.6	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.4	42.6	79.9	-5.2	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.0	38.7	75.7	-1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	39.4	75.6	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	37.6	41.3	78.9	-3.8	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	36.9	39.6	76.6	-2.7	29%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Bayreuth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	22.2	41.7	-2.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	21.7	41.0	-2.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	22.8	42.3	-3.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	22.8	45.1	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	22.4	44.8	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	19.8	22.5	42.3	-2.7	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	19.0	23.1	42.1	-4.1	31%	-
vs Weaker (3)	19.7	17.3	37.0	+2.3	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	20.7	38.8	-2.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.8	20.0	37.8	-2.2	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.5	21.5	40.0	-3.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.9	22.3	38.2	-6.4	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	22.6	40.0	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	17.2	21.5	38.7	-4.3	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.1	19.8	38.9	-0.6	43%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	22.1	42.5	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	22.3	43.9	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	21.9	41.0	-2.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	23.8	44.1	-3.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	22.8	43.6	-2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	21.6	22.8	44.4	-1.1	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	19.2	21.0	40.2	-1.8	46%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.0	23.3	43.3	-3.3	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	22.3	42.3	-2.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.9	22.6	40.4	-4.7	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.3	22.1	44.4	+0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	20.5	39.6	-1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	22.0	42.0	-2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	19.2	23.6	42.8	-4.3	31%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	20.7	20.9	41.6	-0.2	43%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	44.3	84.1	-4.5	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.0	43.9	84.9	-2.9	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.7	44.7	83.3	-6.0	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.6	46.6	89.2	-4.0	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	45.2	88.4	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	41.4	45.3	86.7	-3.9	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	38.2	44.1	82.2	-5.9	15%	-
vs Weaker (3)	39.7	40.7	80.3	-1.0	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.0	43.0	81.1	-5.0	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	35.6	42.6	78.2	-6.9	19%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.8	43.6	84.4	-2.8	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.0	42.8	77.8	-7.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	44.6	82.0	-7.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	36.4	45.1	81.5	-8.6	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	39.9	40.7	80.6	-0.9	36%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Bayreuththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayreuth: 80.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀40%

🏀🏀🏀42%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 40% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 42% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	30.0	16.0	53.3%	-	32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.8	11.3	37.9%	-	33.9
🏀 Free throws	19.8	14.1	71.2%	-	14.1

They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Nurnbergertheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.1	21.2	60.4%	-	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.3	12.8	42.2%	-	38.4
🏀 Free throws	16.7	13.1	78.4%	-	13.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	31.0	16.1	52.1%	-	32.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.3	10.6	37.6%	-	31.9
🏀 Free throws	22.6	16.5	73.0%	-	16.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.9	21.2	57.5%	-	42.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.2	11.1	39.4%	-	33.3
🏀 Free throws	18.7	13.9	74.3%	-	13.9

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Bayreuth wins

Nurnberger wins

Date	Game	Score
03/03/24	Nurnberger v Bayreuth	95-97 OT
26/12/23	Bayreuth v Nurnberger	92-73

Bayreuthlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/11/24	A	Kirchheim	93-74
10/11/24	H	Tubingen	98-102
08/11/24	H	Dresden	71-72
02/11/24	A	Vechta 2	86-79
26/10/24	A	Dusseldorf	88-87
19/10/24	H	Jena	74-90
12/10/24	A	Giessen	74-98
05/10/24	H	Phoenix Hagen	78-103
28/09/24	A	Artland	96-106
21/09/24	H	Crailsheim Merlins	103-106

Nurnbergerlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/11/24	A	Koblenz	80-78 OT
16/11/24	H	Phoenix Hagen	80-71
08/11/24	H	Trier	59-100
02/11/24	A	Munster	85-94
26/10/24	H	Bremerhaven	73-84
19/10/24	A	Kirchheim	82-90
12/10/24	A	Bochum	55-68
06/10/24	H	Tubingen	77-79
28/09/24	A	Crailsheim Merlins	67-84
22/09/24	H	Artland	71-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayreuth

Pro A 2024-25

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	30%
Home	LLLLL	0%
Away	LLWWW	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	5	5
Win %	30%	0%	60%
Points / game	86.1	84.8	87.4
Allowed / game	91.7	94.6	88.8
Point differential	-5.6	-9.8	-1.4
Avg total	177.8	179.4	176.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	10%	0%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	0% (3)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Nurnberger

Pro A 2024-25

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	20%
Home	LLLLW	20%
Away	LLLLW	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	5	5
Win %	20%	20%	20%
Points / game	72.9	72.0	73.8
Allowed / game	82.2	81.6	82.8
Point differential	-9.3	-9.6	-9.0
Avg total	155.1	153.6	156.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	0% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	10%	0%	20%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Jena	11	10	1	91%	87.5	76.6	+10.9
2	Tubingen	10	8	2	80%	80.2	77.7	+2.5
3	Bremerhaven	11	8	3	73%	86.2	76.7	+9.5
4	Munster	11	8	3	73%	88.3	80.5	+7.8
5	Bochum	11	8	3	73%	83.2	75.9	+7.3
6	Kirchheim	11	8	3	73%	83.5	78.3	+5.2
7	Trier	11	7	4	64%	88.2	79.3	+8.9
8	Giessen	11	7	4	64%	84.7	76.1	+8.6
9	Phoenix Hagen	11	7	4	64%	82.9	78.4	+4.5
10	Crailsheim Merlins	11	5	6	45%	89.6	86.1	+3.5
11	Koblenz	10	4	6	40%	74.0	82.5	-8.5
12	Artland	11	4	7	36%	82.2	84.9	-2.7
13	Dresden	11	4	7	36%	80.3	87.3	-7.0
14	Bayreuth	10	3	7	30%	86.1	91.7	-5.6
15	PS Karlsruhe	11	3	8	27%	75.5	80.5	-5.0
16	Nurnberger	10	2	8	20%	72.9	82.2	-9.3
17	Dusseldorf	11	1	10	9%	74.0	89.4	-15.4
18	Vechta 2	11	0	11	0%	78.8	96.0	-17.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Bayreuth	23	29	15	19	86
Nurnberger	18	25	13	16	72

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Bayreuth vs Nurnberger Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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