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Trier vs Promitheas Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 18 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Projected 97-79
Projected total 175.6
Scheduled
Position#1
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game100.0
Allowed / game69.7
Vs
91%
■ TRI 91%■ PRO 9%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
6.3/10
Above normal
5.1/10
Around normal
Position#14
Record4-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game81.8
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 7· Arena Trier
European cup2026
Sections
Game preview & prediction

On 18 November 2026 the FIBA Europe Cup will see Trier host Promitheas, with the model rating Trier as the clear favourite at 91% to 9% because of their flawless 6-0 record, 100.0 points per game and only 69.7 allowed, placing them first in the league, while Promitheas sits 14th with a 4-2 record, 90.0 points per game and 81.8 allowed; Trier's home form is spotless 3-0, 96.0 points per game, 66.0 allowed, and they have won every one of their last five games, including a 122-57 away win over Batumi and a 96-59 home win over Trepca, whereas Promitheas has gone 1-1 on the road, 86.5 points per game, 82.5 allowed, and has won only two of their last five games, with a recent 112-92 home victory over Opava; the only prior meeting saw Trier win 87-83 on 14 October 2026; the model projects a 97-79 score for Trier, a total of 175.6 points, a 91% probability that Trier covers the home line, and a 2% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trier win
91.4%fair 1.09
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Promitheas win
8.6%fair 11.58
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 09:11 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrierLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrier
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#8
W
94-80
94
80
+14
88avg 85
A04/10
BBL
Batumi
#50
W
92-59
92
59
+33
90avg 85
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Alba Berlin
#10
W
95-75
95
75
+20
98avg 85
H10/10
BBL
Promitheas
#14
W
87-83
87
83
+4
86avg 85
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Split
#20
W
100-80
100
80
+20
100avg 85
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Vechta
#13
W
97-88
97
88
+9
89avg 85
A24/10
BBL
Opava
#44
W
103-80
103
80
+23
99avg 85
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trepca
#29
W
96-59
96
59
+37
no box
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bamberg
#9
W
92-79
92
79
+13
no box
H07/11
BBL
Batumi
#50
W
122-57
122
57
+65
no box
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-13
18-14
23-33
24-20
18-16
31-14
28-13
15-16
31-24
19-23
26-15
19-13
25-19
24-22
24-29
14-13
22-32
31-10
26-16
21-22
22-23
21-12
22-27
32-26
26-17
22-15
28-20
27-28
23-11
27-14
21-15
25-19
26-18
21-17
16-18
29-26
31-15
30-14
33-11
28-17
171.8Avg total
97.8Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)100.069.7169.7+30.3100%
Season at home (3)96.066.0162.0+30.0100%
Season away (3)104.073.3177.3+30.7100%
Last 10 (10)97.874.0171.8+23.8100%
Last 5 (5)102.072.6174.6+29.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)81.598.8180.3-17.418%
vs Similar (6)91.789.2180.8+2.567%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)99.278.5177.7+20.692%
This opponent (Promitheas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PromitheasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPromitheas
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#3
L
59-84
59
84
-25
50avg 76
H10/10
Basket League
Trier
#1
L
83-87
83
87
-4
77avg 76
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lefkadas
#8
W
80-79
80
79
+1
78avg 76
A17/10
Basket League
Batumi
#50
W
91-76
91
76
+15
84avg 76
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
45-85
45
85
-40
31avg 76
H25/10
Basket League
Split
#20
L
82-88
82
88
-6
77avg 76
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Maroussi
#11
L
76-87
76
87
-11
69avg 76
A31/10
Basket League
Opava
#44
W
112-92
112
92
+20
no box
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
AS Karditsas
#5
L
73-90
73
90
-17
no box
H07/11
Basket League
Trepca
#29
W
81-71
81
71
+10
no box
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
7-21
19-22
14-27
19-14
19-25
22-24
29-24
13-14
17-25
23-20
27-18
13-16
23-30
31-18
21-15
16-13
12-16
17-25
8-21
8-23
22-19
18-19
21-31
21-19
9-25
12-22
23-23
32-17
20-24
34-24
25-35
33-9
17-15
20-32
14-20
22-23
17-9
20-22
16-16
28-24
162.1Avg total
78.2Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)90.081.8171.8+8.267%
Season at home (4)91.881.5173.2+10.275%
Season away (2)86.582.5169.0+4.050%
Last 10 (10)78.283.9162.1-5.740%
Last 5 (5)84.885.6170.4-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)77.692.7170.2-15.111%
vs Similar (6)86.092.3178.3-6.333%
vs Weaker (5)91.480.8172.2+10.680%
This opponent (Trier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%9%12%1%1352%1403%1454%1506%1559%16011%16512%17012%17511%18010%1857%1905%1953%2002%2051%2101%215
1%1353%1456%15511%16512%17510%1855%1952%2051%215
Pythia expects about 176 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 175-179 (12%).
Over/Under 160
Over 160
84.1%
Under 160
15.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 165
Over 165
75.1%
Under 165
24.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 170
Over 170
63.9%
Under 170
36.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Trier total 80.5
Over 80.5
93.9%
Under 80.5
6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trier total 84.5
Over 84.5
88.0%
Under 84.5
12.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trier total 88.5
Over 88.5
78.7%
Under 88.5
21.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Promitheas total 76.5
Over 76.5
58.4%
Under 76.5
41.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Promitheas total 80.5
Over 80.5
42.9%
Under 80.5
57.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Promitheas total 84.5
Over 84.5
28.6%
Under 84.5
71.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

2%5%7%9%0%-151%-121%-92%-63%-33%+05%+37%+68%+99%+129%+159%+189%+218%+247%+276%+304%+333%+362%+391%+421%+451%+48
0%-151%-93%-35%+38%+99%+159%+217%+274%+332%+391%+45
Margin from Trier's side (positive = Trier win). Pythia's expected margin is +18.0; Trier win by 1+ in 89% of simulations.
Spread Trier -3
TRI -3
88.5%
PRO +3
11.5%
Best 5 market prices
TRI
No market prices yet.
PRO
No market prices yet.
Spread Trier 0
TRI 0
91.4%
PRO 0
8.6%
Best 5 market prices
TRI
No market prices yet.
PRO
No market prices yet.
Spread Trier +3
TRI +3
94.0%
PRO -3
6.0%
Best 5 market prices
TRI
No market prices yet.
PRO
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +6.5+6.5Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: +8.9+8.9Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +3.3+3.3
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +6.5+6.5Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: +8.9+8.9Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +3.3+3.3
TrierPromitheas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#8
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A04/10
BBL
Batumi
#50
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Alba Berlin
#10
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H10/10
BBL
Promitheas
#14
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Split
#20
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Vechta
#13
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A24/10
BBL
Opava
#44
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trepca
#29
W
50-25
50
25
+25
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bamberg
#9
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H07/11
BBL
Batumi
#50
W
61-29
61
29
+32
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
84.0Avg total
49.7Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.443.589.8+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.941.588.4+5.373%-
Last 30 away (15)45.945.491.3+0.540%-
Last 10 (10)49.734.384.0+15.4100%-
Last 5 (5)49.831.281.0+18.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)41.649.791.4-8.127%-
vs Similar (6)44.843.588.3+1.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)51.138.289.2+12.992%-
This opponent (Promitheas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PromitheasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#3
L
26-43
26
43
-17
H10/10
Basket League
Trier
#1
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lefkadas
#8
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A17/10
Basket League
Batumi
#50
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H25/10
Basket League
Split
#20
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Maroussi
#11
L
21-47
21
47
-26
A31/10
Basket League
Opava
#44
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
AS Karditsas
#5
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H07/11
Basket League
Trepca
#29
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
81.6Avg total
37.9Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.846.887.6-6.030%-
Last 30 at home (19)41.646.788.4-5.132%-
Last 30 away (11)39.546.986.4-7.527%-
Last 10 (10)37.943.781.6-5.840%-
Last 5 (5)37.842.280.0-4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)38.049.387.3-11.311%-
vs Similar (6)44.546.390.8-1.817%-
vs Weaker (5)46.040.886.8+5.2100%-
This opponent (Trier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trier: 97.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.424.1
61.2%
53.4%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.011.6
37.4%
32.5%34.8
🏀 Free throws18.814.4
76.6%
72.8%14.4
They take 70.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Promitheastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Promitheas: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.816.5
50.3%
53.4%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.3
36.3%
32.5%27.9
🏀 Free throws22.615.9
70.4%
72.8%15.9
They take 58.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trier
WWWWWWWWWW
Promitheas
WLWLLLWWLL
#1
League position
#14
+17.6
Net rating
-10.3
106.0
Offensive rating
88.5
88.4
Defensive rating
98.7
58.9%
Effective FG%
52.1%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
15.1%
Turnover %
20.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.39
37.4%
3-point %
36.3%
66.4%
Assist %
71.3%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.0 · 88.5Defence88.4 · 98.7Shooting58.9% · 52.1%3-point %37.4% · 36.3%Ball care15.1% · 20.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)100% · 40%
■ Trier   ■ Promitheas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Trier wins
0
Promitheas wins
DateGameScore
14/10/26Promitheas v Trier83-87
Trierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26ABatumi122-57
07/11/26HBamberg92-79
04/11/26HTrepca96-59
28/10/26AOpava103-80
24/10/26AVechta97-88
21/10/26HSplit100-80
14/10/26APromitheas87-83
10/10/26HAlba Berlin95-75
07/10/26HBatumi92-59
04/10/26ALudwigsburg94-80
Promitheaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HTrepca81-71
07/11/26HAS Karditsas73-90
04/11/26HOpava112-92
31/10/26AMaroussi76-87
28/10/26ASplit82-88
25/10/26HOlympiacos45-85
21/10/26HBatumi91-76
17/10/26ALefkadas80-79
14/10/26HTrier83-87
10/10/26HPanathinaikos59-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trier
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game100.096.0104.0
Allowed / game69.766.073.3
Point differential+30.3+30.0+30.7
Avg total169.7162.0177.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+83%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Promitheas
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW67%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%75%50%
Points / game90.091.886.5
Allowed / game81.881.582.5
Point differential+8.2+10.2+4.0
Avg total171.8173.2169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trier660100%100.069.7+30.3
2 Esenler Erokspor660100%96.371.0+25.3
3 Basquet Girona65183%91.375.0+16.3
4 Nancy65183%87.272.5+14.7
5 Korfez Basket65183%87.373.7+13.7
6 Benfica65183%94.383.8+10.5
7 Mykonos65183%84.076.3+7.7
8 Dziki Warszawa65183%87.580.3+7.2
9 Chalon/Saone64267%84.872.7+12.2
10 Kolossos Rhodes64267%81.870.2+11.7
11 Iraklis64267%87.276.0+11.2
12 VEF Riga64267%95.084.7+10.3
13 Wurzburg64267%84.575.5+9.0
14 Promitheas64267%90.081.8+8.2
15 CSM Oradea64267%86.380.3+6.0
16 Szczecin64267%86.881.7+5.2
17 Geneva Lions64267%88.284.0+4.2
18 Keravnos64267%80.876.7+4.2
19 Zielona Gora64267%84.583.2+1.3
20 Split64267%81.580.3+1.2
21 Oostende64267%78.377.8+0.5
22 Bakken Bears64267%82.083.3-1.3
23 BC Prievidza84450%90.183.2+6.9
24 Lok. Plovdiv63350%83.383.5-0.2
25 AEK Larnaca63350%79.580.0-0.5
26 Valmiera Glass Via63350%81.083.3-2.3
27 BC Kalev/Cramo63350%80.083.7-3.7
28 Sporting CP63350%76.780.3-3.7
29 Trepca63350%77.581.2-3.7
30 Dinamo Bucharest83538%87.881.6+6.1
31 Denizli Basket62433%81.583.5-2.0
32 Vienna Basket62433%80.585.2-4.7
33 Levice62433%72.778.2-5.5
34 SCM Craiova62433%88.096.3-8.3
35 Nitra Blue Wings62433%78.888.2-9.3
36 Szolnoki Olaj62433%77.588.3-10.8
37 Tartu Ulikool62433%88.099.7-11.7
38 Neftchi IK82625%75.682.6-7.0
39 Parnu82625%71.479.0-7.6
40 Bashkimi51420%73.683.2-9.6
41 Rilski Sportist51420%75.888.8-13.0
42 Manchester Basketball51420%75.890.0-14.2
43 Gence51420%71.288.2-17.0
44 Opava61517%83.286.8-3.7
45 Absheron Lions61517%83.795.3-11.7
46 Fribourg Olympic61517%73.087.3-14.3
47 MZT Skopje6060%72.087.2-15.2
48 Samobor2020%74.0100.5-26.5
49 Peja2020%70.5100.5-30.0
50 Batumi6060%66.899.2-32.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 50 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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