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Triglav W vs Maribor W Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 07 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Projected 70-61
Projected total 131.1
Scheduled
Position#2
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game66.5
Allowed / game50.5
Triglav W
Slovenia
Vs
78%
22%
■ TRIG 78%■ MARI 22%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
4.9/10
Around normal
4.1/10
Below normal
Maribor W
Slovenia
Position#4
Record2-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game51.4
Allowed / game54.6
Slovenia1 SKL WRound 6· Sportna dvorana Planina
Women2026-27
Meetings · Triglav W v Maribor W
27 Feb 2027
TRIG v MARI
upcoming
07 Nov 2026
TRIG v MARI
upcoming
14 Feb 2026
TRIG72
MARI51
22 Nov 2025
TRIG70
MARI60
27 Nov 2024
TRIG75
MARI54
12 Jan 2024
TRIG77
MARI60
18 Feb 2023
TRIG62
MARI56
11 Jan 2023
TRIG75
MARI62
09 Apr 2022
TRIG79
MARI50
18 Dec 2021
TRIG71
MARI51
17 Mar 2021
TRIG87
MARI63
17 Oct 2020
TRIG87
MARI53
19 Oct 2019
TRIG69
MARI57
09 Feb 2019
TRIG90
MARI53
06 Oct 2018
TRIG95
MARI32
20 Feb 2018
TRIG76
MARI44
20 Jan 2018
TRIG94
MARI43
10 Apr 2017
TRIG80
MARI33
05 Nov 2016
TRIG69
MARI44
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Triglav W hosts Maribor W on 7 November 2026 in the 1 SKL W, with the model pointing to Triglav W as the clear favourite thanks to their undefeated 3-0 record, 65.3 points per game and only 52.0 allowed, placing them second in the league, while Maribor W sits 4th with a 2-3 record, 51.4 points per game and 54.6 allowed. Triglav's home form is spotless, 1-0 with 76.0 points scored and 53.0 allowed, and they have won three of their last five games, including a 76-53 victory over Jezica W at home and a 73-61 win against Ilirija W away. Maribor's road record is 2-2, 53.8 points per game and 56.5 allowed, and they have won two of their last five, notably a 62-43 win over Domel Skofja Loka W. Historically Triglav has edged Maribor 6-4 in ten meetings, most recently a 47-42 win on 3 October 2026. Pythia assigns a 76% chance to Triglav and 24% to Maribor, projecting a 70-62 score and 131.5 total points, with a 4% overtime probability. The home team's line is 70-62, and the model sees a 76% chance that Triglav will cover it. The next game will see Triglav W try to extend their winning streak.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Triglav W win
77.6%fair 1.29
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Maribor W win
22.4%fair 4.47
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 06 Nov 07:38 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Triglav WSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Jezica W
#5
W
79-60
79
60
+19
86avg 58
A28/02
1 SKL W
Maribor W
#4
L
58-73
58
73
-15
57avg 58
A14/03
1 SKL W
Domel Skofja Loka W
#6
W
72-62
72
62
+10
68avg 58
A20/03
1 SKL W
Ilirija W
#2
W
73-53
73
53
+20
66avg 58
H27/03
1 SKL W
Ilirija W
#2
L
46-56
46
56
-10
36avg 58
H01/04
1 SKL W
Ilirija W
#2
L
65-76
65
76
-11
59avg 58
A04/04
1 SKL W
Maribor W
#4
W
47-42
47
42
+5
39avg 58
A03/10
1 SKL W
Ilirija W
#3
W
73-61
73
61
+12
70avg 58
A10/10
1 SKL W
Jezica W
#5
W
76-53
76
53
+23
79avg 58
H14/10
1 SKL W
Domel Skofja Loka W
#6
W
70-46
70
46
+24
no box
H05/11
1 SKL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-12
17-19
18-23
26-6
14-19
19-22
21-13
4-19
17-14
23-13
18-14
14-21
14-19
17-9
21-10
21-15
14-7
11-21
11-11
10-17
14-14
20-24
18-16
13-22
18-5
8-14
12-11
9-12
27-15
19-11
13-15
14-20
21-10
21-17
24-14
10-12
22-13
20-11
11-12
17-10
124.1Avg total
65.9Scored
58.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)66.550.5117.0+16.0100%
Season at home (2)73.049.5122.5+23.5100%
Season away (2)60.051.5111.5+8.5100%
Last 10 (10)65.958.2124.1+7.770%
Last 5 (5)66.255.6121.8+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)54.972.9127.7-18.00%
vs Similar (6)61.861.2123.0+0.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)69.957.3127.2+12.688%
This opponent (Maribor W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Maribor WSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Triglav W
#3
W
73-58
73
58
+15
60avg 53
H14/03
1 SKL W
Domel Skofja Loka W
#6
W
86-75
86
75
+11
76avg 53
H17/03
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
L
54-95
54
95
-41
33avg 53
H24/03
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
L
68-114
68
114
-46
56avg 53
A01/04
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
L
66-90
66
90
-24
56avg 53
H03/04
1 SKL W
Triglav W
#2
L
42-47
42
47
-5
14avg 53
H03/10
1 SKL W
Jezica W
#5
W
56-51
56
51
+5
45avg 53
A10/10
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
L
38-64
38
64
-26
29avg 53
A17/10
1 SKL W
Domel Skofja Loka W
#6
W
62-43
62
43
+19
57avg 53
A29/10
1 SKL W
Ilirija W
#3
L
59-68
59
68
-9
49avg 53
A31/10
1 SKL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
22-19
13-21
19-4
26-14
28-20
11-23
21-18
16-26
14-22
10-22
14-25
12-29
20-29
16-26
20-30
11-31
17-21
20-13
18-25
5-18
14-8
11-12
12-9
14-17
12-9
14-14
16-11
6-15
3-18
14-15
15-16
17-9
17-8
13-8
15-18
15-18
13-18
12-15
19-17
130.9Avg total
60.4Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)51.454.6106.0-3.240%
Season at home (1)42.047.089.0-5.00%
Season away (4)53.856.5110.2-2.850%
Last 10 (10)60.470.5130.9-10.140%
Last 5 (5)51.454.6106.0-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)61.180.3141.4-19.214%
vs Similar (6)62.366.2128.5-3.833%
vs Weaker (10)73.659.5133.1+14.190%
This opponent (Triglav W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 127
Over 127
59.7%
Under 127
40.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 132
Over 132
47.3%
Under 132
52.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 137
Over 137
35.2%
Under 137
64.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Triglav W total 63
Over 63
76.1%
Under 63
23.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Triglav W total 67
Over 67
61.7%
Under 67
38.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Triglav W total 71
Over 71
45.3%
Under 71
54.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maribor W total 61
Over 61
50.5%
Under 61
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maribor W total 65
Over 65
34.8%
Under 65
65.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maribor W total 69
Over 69
21.5%
Under 69
78.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Triglav W -3
TRIG -3
70.9%
MARI +3
29.1%
Best 5 market prices
TRIG
No market prices yet.
MARI
No market prices yet.
Spread Triglav W 0
TRIG 0
77.6%
MARI 0
22.4%
Best 5 market prices
TRIG
No market prices yet.
MARI
No market prices yet.
Spread Triglav W +3
TRIG +3
84.0%
MARI -3
16.0%
Best 5 market prices
TRIG
No market prices yet.
MARI
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -0.4-0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -0.4-0.4
Triglav WMaribor W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Triglav WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jezica W
#5
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A28/02
1 SKL W
Maribor W
#4
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A14/03
1 SKL W
Domel Skofja Loka W
#6
W
40-27
40
27
+13
A20/03
1 SKL W
Ilirija W
#2
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H27/03
1 SKL W
Ilirija W
#2
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H01/04
1 SKL W
Ilirija W
#2
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A04/04
1 SKL W
Maribor W
#4
W
26-19
26
19
+7
A03/10
1 SKL W
Ilirija W
#3
W
46-26
46
26
+20
A10/10
1 SKL W
Jezica W
#5
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H14/10
1 SKL W
Domel Skofja Loka W
#6
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H05/11
1 SKL W
64.3Avg total
35.4Scored
28.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.730.263.9+3.660%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.128.362.5+5.873%-
Last 30 away (15)33.332.065.3+1.347%-
Last 10 (10)35.428.964.3+6.570%-
Last 5 (5)38.026.864.8+11.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)31.435.767.1-4.329%-
vs Similar (6)29.529.759.2-0.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)36.228.164.2+8.182%-
This opponent (Maribor W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Maribor WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Triglav W
#3
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H14/03
1 SKL W
Domel Skofja Loka W
#6
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H17/03
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
L
30-48
30
48
-18
H24/03
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
L
32-58
32
58
-26
A01/04
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
L
28-52
28
52
-24
H03/04
1 SKL W
Triglav W
#2
L
19-26
19
26
-7
H03/10
1 SKL W
Jezica W
#5
D
26-26
26
26
+0
A10/10
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
L
9-33
9
33
-24
A17/10
1 SKL W
Domel Skofja Loka W
#6
W
34-17
34
17
+17
A29/10
1 SKL W
Ilirija W
#3
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A31/10
1 SKL W
66.4Avg total
30.1Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.134.968.0-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.836.071.8-0.238%-
Last 30 away (17)31.134.165.2-3.135%-
Last 10 (10)30.136.366.4-6.230%-
Last 5 (5)23.227.650.8-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)29.139.668.8-10.514%-
vs Similar (6)31.031.862.8-0.833%-
vs Weaker (10)39.930.270.1+9.770%-
This opponent (Triglav W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triglav Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Triglav W: 65.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 59.2 points a game
55%
28%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.617.0
49.1%
46.7%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.76.0
30.5%
27.1%18.0
🏀 Free throws16.713.5
80.8%
69.5%13.5
They take 54.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Maribor Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maribor W: 58.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 59.2 points a game
55%
28%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.516.5
47.8%
46.7%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.25.4
22.3%
27.1%16.2
🏀 Free throws12.29.0
73.8%
69.5%9.0
They take 58.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Triglav W
WWWWLLWWLW
Maribor W
LWLWLLLLWW
#2
League position
#4
+14.4
Net rating
-16.7
84.0
Offensive rating
68.5
69.7
Defensive rating
85.2
47.9%
Effective FG%
41.9%
43.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
21.8%
Turnover %
21.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.21
30.5%
3-point %
22.3%
74.8%
Assist %
65.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence84.0 · 68.5Defence69.7 · 85.2Shooting47.9% · 41.9%3-point %30.5% · 22.3%Ball care21.8% · 21.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Triglav W   ■ Maribor W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Triglav W wins
4
Maribor W wins
DateGameScore
03/10/26Maribor W v Triglav W42-47
14/03/26Maribor W v Triglav W73-58
14/02/26Triglav W v Maribor W72-51
22/11/25Triglav W v Maribor W70-60
11/10/25Maribor W v Triglav W82-81
08/03/25Maribor W v Triglav W65-56
27/11/24Triglav W v Maribor W75-54
09/10/24Maribor W v Triglav W75-73
15/03/24Maribor W v Triglav W48-84
12/01/24Triglav W v Maribor W77-60
Triglav Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/26HDomel Skofja Loka W70-46
14/10/26HJezica W76-53
10/10/26AIlirija W73-61
03/10/26AMaribor W47-42
04/04/26AIlirija W65-76
01/04/26HIlirija W46-56
27/03/26HIlirija W73-53
20/03/26ADomel Skofja Loka W72-62
14/03/26AMaribor W58-73
28/02/26AJezica W79-60
Maribor Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26AIlirija W59-68
29/10/26ADomel Skofja Loka W62-43
17/10/26ACinkarna Celje W38-64
10/10/26AJezica W56-51
03/10/26HTriglav W42-47
03/04/26HCinkarna Celje W66-90
01/04/26ACinkarna Celje W68-114
24/03/26HCinkarna Celje W54-95
17/03/26HDomel Skofja Loka W86-75
14/03/26HTriglav W73-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Triglav W
1 SKL W 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game66.573.060.0
Allowed / game50.549.551.5
Point differential+16.0+23.5+8.5
Avg total117.0122.5111.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Maribor W
1 SKL W 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL40%
HomeL0%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %40%0%50%
Points / game51.442.053.8
Allowed / game54.647.056.5
Point differential-3.2-5.0-2.8
Avg total106.089.0110.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cinkarna Celje W550100%75.048.4+26.6
2 Triglav W440100%66.550.5+16.0
3 Ilirija W52340%65.067.2-2.2
4 Maribor W52340%51.454.6-3.2
5 Jezica W41325%56.565.0-8.5
6 Domel Skofja Loka W5050%50.277.4-27.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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