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Troy vs Grambling St. Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 24 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 80-67
36-34 44-33
Position#98
Record2-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game70.0
Troy 🏆
USA
vs
Position#141
Record2-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game80.7
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Troy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Grambling St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marshall
#38
L
78-88
78
88
-10
A19/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
W
82-78 OT
82
78
+4
A23/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#294
W
95-74
95
74
+21
H25/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
63-59
63
59
+4
H02/03
NCAA
James Madison
#69
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A04/03
NCAA
Fort Lauderdale
#601
W
92-47
92
47
+45
H06/11
NCAA
Ohio
#120
L
70-88
70
88
-18
A09/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#284
L
80-81 OT
80
81
-1
A11/11
NCAA
Reinhardt
#651
W
111-46
111
46
+65
H15/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
L
86-88 OT
86
88
-2
H21/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-38
48-50
32-41
35-26
49-31
46-43
30-34
33-25
35-40
37-35
38-18
54-29
28-43
42-45
32-32
29-29
58-20
53-26
42-33
36-45
155.3Avg total
82.9Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)87.870.0157.8+17.840%
Season at home (3)96.360.3156.7+36.067%
Season away (2)75.084.5159.5-9.50%
Last 10 (10)82.972.4155.3+10.550%
Last 5 (5)87.870.0157.8+17.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)79.084.0163.0-5.00%
vs Similar (10)62.569.3131.8-6.820%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)77.265.8143.0+11.581%
This opponent (Grambling St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Grambling St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama State
#348
W
69-49
69
49
+20
H04/03
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#291
W
87-72
87
72
+15
H08/03
NCAA
Jackson State
#265
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H11/03
NCAA
Texas Southern
#273
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H11/03
NCAA
North Texas-Dallas
#499
W
82-67
82
67
+15
H07/11
NCAA
Colorado
#47
L
63-95
63
95
-32
A11/11
NCAA
Champion Christian Tigers
#614
W
113-73
113
73
+40
H15/11
NCAA
Delaware State
#248
L
63-71
63
71
-8
H17/11
NCAA
Iowa State
#18
L
37-92
37
92
-55
A19/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
L
68-86
68
86
-18
H22/11
NCAA
1H
2H
28-29
41-20
47-27
40-45
34-36
44-33
18-31
40-30
43-28
39-39
20-50
43-45
47-44
66-29
25-32
38-39
14-48
23-44
26-44
42-42
145.3Avg total
71.8Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)71.080.7151.7-9.733%
Season at home (4)81.574.2155.8+7.250%
Season away (2)50.093.5143.5-43.50%
Last 10 (10)71.873.5145.3-1.750%
Last 5 (5)68.883.4152.2-14.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)56.087.0143.0-31.00%
vs Similar (2)55.572.5128.0-17.00%
vs Weaker (24)73.361.9135.2+11.583%
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +4.4+4.41st half: -6.7-6.72nd half2nd half: +6.0+6.02nd half: +5.0+5.0
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +4.4+4.41st half: -6.7-6.72nd half2nd half: +6.0+6.02nd half: +5.0+5.0
TroyGrambling St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marshall
#38
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A19/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A23/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#294
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H25/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H02/03
NCAA
James Madison
#69
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A04/03
NCAA
Fort Lauderdale
#601
W
38-18
38
18
+20
H06/11
NCAA
Ohio
#120
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A09/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#284
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A11/11
NCAA
Reinhardt
#651
W
58-20
58
20
+38
H15/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H21/11
NCAA
70.4Avg total
37.4Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.831.964.7+0.943%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.330.167.3+7.267%-
Last 30 away (15)28.433.762.1-5.320%-
Last 10 (10)37.433.070.4+4.440%-
Last 5 (5)39.629.268.8+10.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.737.773.3-2.033%-
vs Similar (10)26.034.160.1-8.110%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)36.230.366.6+5.962%-
This opponent (Grambling St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Grambling St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama State
#348
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H04/03
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#291
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H08/03
NCAA
Jackson State
#265
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H11/03
NCAA
Texas Southern
#273
L
18-31
18
31
-13
H11/03
NCAA
North Texas-Dallas
#499
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H07/11
NCAA
Colorado
#47
L
20-50
20
50
-30
A11/11
NCAA
Champion Christian Tigers
#614
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H15/11
NCAA
Delaware State
#248
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H17/11
NCAA
Iowa State
#18
L
14-48
14
48
-34
A19/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
L
26-44
26
44
-18
H22/11
NCAA
67.1Avg total
30.2Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.931.163.0+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.131.265.4+2.959%-
Last 30 away (13)29.031.060.0-2.046%-
Last 10 (10)30.236.967.1-6.730%-
Last 5 (5)26.443.670.0-17.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)23.043.866.8-20.80%-
vs Similar (2)25.033.058.0-8.00%-
vs Weaker (24)34.028.962.8+5.167%-
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Troy wins
0
Grambling St. wins
No previous meetings.
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/23HSam Houston St.86-88 OT
15/11/23HReinhardt111-46
11/11/23AOregon State80-81 OT
09/11/23AOhio70-88
06/11/23HFort Lauderdale92-47
04/03/23AJames Madison72-75
02/03/23HArkansas State63-59
25/02/23HCoastal Carolina95-74
23/02/23ALouisiana Monroe82-78 OT
19/02/23AMarshall78-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/23HSam Houston St.68-86
19/11/23AIowa State37-92
17/11/23HDelaware State63-71
15/11/23HChampion Christian Tigers113-73
11/11/23AColorado63-95
07/11/23HNorth Texas-Dallas82-67
11/03/23HTexas Southern58-61
11/03/23HJackson State78-69
08/03/23HBethune-Cookman87-72
04/03/23HAlabama State69-49

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Troy
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL40%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game87.896.375.0
Allowed / game70.060.384.5
Point differential+17.8+36.0-9.5
Avg total157.8156.7159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %40%33%50%
Grambling St.
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL33%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game71.081.550.0
Allowed / game80.774.293.5
Point differential-9.7+7.2-43.5
Avg total151.7155.8143.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison660100%92.080.5+11.5
2 Louisiana Lafayette64267%83.773.0+10.7
3 Appalachian State53260%77.866.8+11.0
4 Georgia State53260%81.879.2+2.6
5 South Alabama74357%75.679.1-3.6
6 Louisiana Monroe42250%67.873.8-6.0
7 Troy52340%87.870.0+17.8
8 Marshall52340%72.473.8-1.4
9 Southern Miss62433%63.360.8+2.5
10 Texas State62433%63.770.7-7.0
11 Old Dominion41325%68.073.0-5.0
12 Coastal Carolina41325%79.285.2-6.0
13 Arkansas State41325%81.290.0-8.8
14 Georgia Southern6060%70.385.0-14.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southwestern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bethune-Cookman43175%89.065.5+23.5
2 Prairie View A&M64267%74.570.7+3.8
3 Arkansas-Pine Bluff73443%87.786.1+1.6
4 Alabama State62433%78.580.3-1.8
5 Grambling St.62433%71.080.7-9.7
6 Alabama A&M Bulldogs41325%78.283.0-4.8
7 Southern Univ.51420%71.890.4-18.6
8 Jackson State61517%65.882.2-16.3
9 Alcorn State71614%69.184.4-15.3
10 Texas Southern5050%50.672.8-22.2
11 Florida A&M4040%57.585.5-28.0
12 Miss. Valley St.5050%49.488.4-39.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Troy364480
Grambling St.343367
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