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Troy vs Samford Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 17 Dec 2020
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 79-71
47-40 32-31
Position#261
Record3-3
FormLLLWW
Points / game56.7
Allowed / game65.8
Troy 🏆
USA
vs
Position#298
Record2-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game78.2
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Troy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Samford winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coastal Carolina
#205
L
60-90
60
90
-30
A21/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#150
L
59-68
59
68
-9
A22/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#85
L
63-78
63
78
-15
A01/03
NCAA
UT Arlington
#230
L
64-78
64
78
-14
H04/03
NCAA
Western Carolina
#248
W
66-64
66
64
+2
A27/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#229
L
50-73
50
73
-23
A28/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#104
L
46-80
46
80
-34
A05/12
NCAA
UAB
#25
L
55-77
55
77
-22
A06/12
NCAA
North Alabama
#155
W
62-57
62
57
+5
A11/12
NCAA
Central Baptist
#374
W
61-44
61
44
+17
H13/12
NCAA
1H
2H
26-40
34-50
32-27
27-41
30-46
33-32
24-36
40-42
26-26
40-38
29-42
21-31
22-47
24-33
29-42
26-35
38-25
24-32
35-24
26-20
129.5Avg total
58.6Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)56.765.8122.5-9.250%
Season at home (1)61.044.0105.0+17.0100%
Season away (5)55.870.2126.0-14.440%
Last 10 (10)58.670.9129.5-12.330%
Last 5 (5)54.866.2121.0-11.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)65.272.8138.0-7.538%
vs Similar ◀ (7)67.075.9142.9-8.914%
vs Weaker (1)61.044.0105.0+17.0100%
This opponent (Samford) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Citadel
#340
W
74-62
74
62
+12
A15/02
NCAA
Mercer
#186
L
66-106
66
106
-40
A20/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#8
L
74-80
74
80
-6
H22/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#96
L
78-109
78
109
-31
A27/02
NCAA
VMI
#318
W
84-78
84
78
+6
H29/02
NCAA
VMI
#318
L
78-96
78
96
-18
H06/03
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#256
L
76-78
76
78
-2
H29/11
NCAA
Covenant
#390
W
98-73
98
73
+25
H02/12
NCAA
Belmont
#9
W
96-83
96
83
+13
A05/12
NCAA
Georgia
#156
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A13/12
NCAA
1H
2H
31-37
43-25
32-47
34-59
42-42
32-38
33-53
45-56
35-34
49-44
30-52
48-44
43-32
33-46
54-33
44-40
52-39
44-44
35-31
40-48
164.3Avg total
79.9Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)86.278.2164.5+8.050%
Season at home (2)87.075.5162.5+11.550%
Season away (2)85.581.0166.5+4.550%
Last 10 (10)79.984.4164.3-4.540%
Last 5 (5)84.681.8166.4+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)72.786.8159.6-14.120%
vs Similar ◀ (3)88.082.3170.3+5.733%
vs Weaker (1)98.073.0171.0+25.0100%
This opponent (Troy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.4-6.41st half: -1.3-1.32nd half2nd half: -5.9-5.92nd half: -3.2-3.2
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.4-6.41st half: -1.3-1.32nd half2nd half: -5.9-5.92nd half: -3.2-3.2
TroySamford
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coastal Carolina
#205
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A21/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#150
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A22/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#85
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A01/03
NCAA
UT Arlington
#230
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H04/03
NCAA
Western Carolina
#248
D
26-26
26
26
+0
A27/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#229
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A28/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#104
L
22-47
22
47
-25
A05/12
NCAA
UAB
#25
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A06/12
NCAA
North Alabama
#155
W
38-25
38
25
+13
A11/12
NCAA
Central Baptist
#374
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H13/12
NCAA
64.6Avg total
29.1Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.234.866.9-2.640%-
Last 30 at home (13)32.533.265.7-0.638%-
Last 30 away (17)31.936.067.9-4.141%-
Last 10 (10)29.135.564.6-6.430%-
Last 5 (5)30.636.066.6-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)32.836.669.3-3.838%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)28.332.761.0-4.429%-
vs Weaker (1)35.024.059.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (Samford) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Citadel
#340
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A15/02
NCAA
Mercer
#186
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A20/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#8
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H22/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#96
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A27/02
NCAA
VMI
#318
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H29/02
NCAA
VMI
#318
L
30-52
30
52
-22
H06/03
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#256
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H29/11
NCAA
Covenant
#390
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H02/12
NCAA
Belmont
#9
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A05/12
NCAA
Georgia
#156
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A13/12
NCAA
78.7Avg total
38.7Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.140.875.9-5.727%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.239.175.4-2.936%-
Last 30 away (16)34.142.276.3-8.119%-
Last 10 (10)38.740.078.7-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)42.837.480.2+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)33.242.475.6-9.212%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)44.336.080.3+8.3100%-
vs Weaker (1)54.033.087.0+21.0100%-
This opponent (Troy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Troy wins
1
Samford wins
DateGameScore
23/11/19Samford v Troy72-60
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/20HCentral Baptist61-44
11/12/20ANorth Alabama62-57
06/12/20AUAB55-77
05/12/20ATexas Tech46-80
28/11/20ANC Wilmington50-73
27/11/20AWestern Carolina66-64
04/03/20HUT Arlington64-78
01/03/20ASouth Alabama63-78
22/02/20AAppalachian State59-68
21/02/20ACoastal Carolina60-90
Samfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/20AGeorgia75-79
05/12/20ABelmont96-83
02/12/20HCovenant98-73
29/11/20HAlabama A&M Bulldogs76-78
06/03/20HVMI78-96
29/02/20HVMI84-78
27/02/20AWestern Carolina78-109
22/02/20HEast Tennessee St74-80
20/02/20AMercer66-106
15/02/20ACitadel74-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Troy
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW50%
HomeW100%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games615
Win %50%100%40%
Points / game56.761.055.8
Allowed / game65.844.070.2
Point differential-9.2+17.0-14.4
Avg total122.5105.0126.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Samford
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeLW50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game86.287.085.5
Allowed / game78.275.581.0
Point differential+8.0+11.5+4.5
Avg total164.5162.5166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Louisiana Lafayette65183%76.073.7+2.3
2 Coastal Carolina54180%97.665.6+32.0
3 Georgia State54180%92.282.4+9.8
4 Marshall54180%80.471.0+9.4
5 South Alabama75271%79.971.0+8.9
6 Appalachian State64267%73.759.2+14.5
7 Georgia Southern64267%78.765.7+13.0
8 James Madison32167%76.365.7+10.7
9 Texas State74357%65.462.1+3.3
10 Louisiana Monroe42250%70.069.8+0.2
11 Old Dominion42250%71.876.5-4.8
12 Troy63350%56.765.8-9.2
13 Southern Miss52340%62.063.2-1.2
14 Arkansas State62433%73.569.2+4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Citadel550100%93.060.0+33.0
2 Chattanooga Mocs660100%79.765.0+14.7
3 Mercer76186%84.371.4+12.9
4 Western Carolina86275%85.078.9+6.1
5 Furman75271%85.064.7+20.3
6 VMI75271%83.069.3+13.7
7 Wofford53260%83.059.6+23.4
8 Samford42250%86.278.2+8.0
9 NC Greensboro63350%70.269.2+1.0
10 East Tennessee St52340%59.261.0-1.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Troy473279
Samford403171
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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