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Samford vs VMI Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Feb 2020
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 84-78
35-34 49-44
Position#321
Record6-19
FormLWLLL
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game85.1
Samford 🏆
USA
vs
Position#318
Record6-17
FormLLWLL
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game71.9
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Meetings · Samford v VMI
18 Jan 2027
SAMF v VMI
upcoming
26 Feb 2026
SAMF80
VMI61
09 Jan 2025
SAMF81
VMI68
13 Jan 2024
SAMF134
VMI96
04 Jan 2023
SAMF87
VMI78
17 Feb 2022
SAMF100
VMI99
30 Dec 2020
SAMF84
VMI71
06 Mar 2020
SAMF78
VMI96
29 Feb 2020
SAMF84
VMI78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samford winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
VMI winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Greensboro
#39
L
63-70
63
70
-7
H25/01
NCAA
UT Chattanooga
#95
L
84-92
84
92
-8
H30/01
NCAA
Wofford
#153
L
56-80
56
80
-24
A02/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#96
L
70-78
70
78
-8
H06/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#39
L
67-95
67
95
-28
A09/02
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
71-86
71
86
-15
H13/02
NCAA
Citadel
#340
W
74-62
74
62
+12
A15/02
NCAA
Mercer
#186
L
66-106
66
106
-40
A20/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#8
L
74-80
74
80
-6
H22/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#96
L
78-109
78
109
-31
A27/02
NCAA
1H
2H
28-35
35-35
35-41
49-51
23-40
33-40
30-34
40-44
30-49
37-46
35-42
36-44
31-37
43-25
32-47
34-59
42-42
32-38
33-53
45-56
156.1Avg total
70.3Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)73.785.1158.8-11.424%
Season at home (11)74.978.2153.1-3.327%
Season away (14)72.790.6163.3-17.921%
Last 10 (10)70.385.8156.1-15.510%
Last 5 (5)72.688.6161.2-16.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)71.085.8156.8-14.917%
vs Similar (2)85.578.0163.5+7.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (VMI) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VMIUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wofford
#153
L
54-66
54
66
-12
A23/01
NCAA
Mercer
#186
L
66-69
66
69
-3
H25/01
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
72-74 OT
72
74
-2
A30/01
NCAA
Wofford
#153
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H06/02
NCAA
Citadel
#340
W
75-64
75
64
+11
A08/02
NCAA
UT Chattanooga
#95
L
67-86
67
86
-19
A13/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#8
L
67-72
67
72
-5
H15/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#96
W
74-71
74
71
+3
A20/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#39
L
68-71
68
71
-3
H22/02
NCAA
UT Chattanooga
#95
L
64-71
64
71
-7
H27/02
NCAA
1H
2H
27-39
27-27
25-28
41-41
29-21
33-41
30-40
43-39
39-35
36-29
26-39
41-47
38-32
29-40
34-30
40-41
38-35
30-36
20-37
44-34
140.3Avg total
68.0Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)71.371.9143.2-0.626%
Season at home (12)76.971.5148.4+5.433%
Season away (11)65.272.3137.5-7.118%
Last 10 (10)68.072.3140.3-4.320%
Last 5 (5)68.074.2142.2-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)67.275.5142.7-8.48%
vs Similar (7)72.474.7147.1-2.329%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)88.469.6158.0+18.880%
This opponent (Samford) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: -10.1-10.11st half: -3.0-3.02nd half2nd half: -5.4-5.42nd half: -1.1-1.1
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: -10.1-10.11st half: -3.0-3.02nd half2nd half: -5.4-5.42nd half: -1.1-1.1
SamfordVMI
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SamfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Greensboro
#39
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H25/01
NCAA
UT Chattanooga
#95
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H30/01
NCAA
Wofford
#153
L
23-40
23
40
-17
A02/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#96
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H06/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#39
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A09/02
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H13/02
NCAA
Citadel
#340
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A15/02
NCAA
Mercer
#186
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A20/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#8
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H22/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#96
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A27/02
NCAA
73.9Avg total
31.9Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)33.540.373.8-6.815%-
Last 30 at home (12)35.137.872.8-2.725%-
Last 30 away (15)32.242.374.5-10.17%-
Last 10 (10)31.942.073.9-10.10%-
Last 5 (5)34.644.278.8-9.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)32.941.674.5-8.79%-
vs Similar (2)39.537.577.0+2.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (VMI) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VMILast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wofford
#153
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A23/01
NCAA
Mercer
#186
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H25/01
NCAA
Furman
#22
W
29-21
29
21
+8
A30/01
NCAA
Wofford
#153
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H06/02
NCAA
Citadel
#340
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A08/02
NCAA
UT Chattanooga
#95
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A13/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#8
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H15/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#96
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A20/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#39
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H22/02
NCAA
UT Chattanooga
#95
L
20-37
20
37
-17
H27/02
NCAA
64.2Avg total
30.6Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)34.534.669.1-0.052%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.834.670.4+1.257%-
Last 30 away (13)33.234.567.7-1.446%-
Last 10 (10)30.633.664.2-3.050%-
Last 5 (5)31.234.665.8-3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)29.634.263.8-4.538%-
vs Similar (7)32.934.967.7-2.029%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)44.635.279.8+9.4100%-
This opponent (Samford) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Samford wins
0
VMI wins
DateGameScore
04/01/20VMI v Samford75-78
Samfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/20AWestern Carolina78-109
22/02/20HEast Tennessee St74-80
20/02/20AMercer66-106
15/02/20ACitadel74-62
13/02/20HFurman71-86
09/02/20ANC Greensboro67-95
06/02/20HWestern Carolina70-78
02/02/20AWofford56-80
30/01/20HUT Chattanooga84-92
25/01/20HNC Greensboro63-70
VMIlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/20HUT Chattanooga64-71
22/02/20HNC Greensboro68-71
20/02/20AWestern Carolina74-71
15/02/20HEast Tennessee St67-72
13/02/20AUT Chattanooga67-86
08/02/20ACitadel75-64
06/02/20HWofford73-79
30/01/20AFurman72-74 OT
25/01/20HMercer66-69
23/01/20AWofford54-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samford
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL24%
HomeLLLLL27%
AwayLLWLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251114
Win %24%27%21%
Points / game73.774.972.7
Allowed / game85.178.290.6
Point differential-11.4-3.3-17.9
Avg total158.8153.1163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%18%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
VMI
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL26%
HomeLLLLL33%
AwayLLWLW18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %26%33%18%
Points / game71.376.965.2
Allowed / game71.971.572.3
Point differential-0.6+5.4-7.1
Avg total143.2148.4137.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 East Tennessee St2724389%76.362.9+13.4
2 Furman2621581%76.366.6+9.8
3 NC Greensboro2519676%74.665.2+9.4
4 Western Carolina2516964%79.774.8+4.8
5 Wofford26141254%71.267.5+3.8
6 Mercer26141254%70.367.9+2.5
7 VMI2361726%71.371.9-0.6
8 Samford2561924%73.785.1-11.4
9 Citadel2451921%75.179.7-4.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Samford354984
VMI344478
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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