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Truenos De Talca vs Aleman Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 69-73
15-17 21-21 18-18 15-17
Position#2
Record11-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game65.0
Truenos De Talca
Chile
vs
Aleman 🏆
Chile
Position#6
Record8-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game71.2
ChileLNB 2LNB 2 - Quarter-finals· Cendyr Sur
Other2025-26
Meetings · Truenos De Talca v Aleman
29 Jun 2025
TRUE69
ALEM73
21 Jun 2025
TRUE68
ALEM70
01 May 2024
TRUE77
ALEM65
01 Jul 2023
TRUE85
ALEM56
19 Nov 2022
TRUE88
ALEM57
21 May 2022
TRUE78
ALEM73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Truenos De Talca winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aleman winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Truenos De TalcaChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTalca
Date
Competition
Municipal Chillan
#11
W
77-59
77
59
+18
67avg 65
H19/04
LNB 2
CDSB Constitucion
#16
W
87-84
87
84
+3
64avg 65
A26/04
LNB 2
Liceo Curico
#8
W
93-72
93
72
+21
81avg 65
H04/05
LNB 2
Tinguiririca
#20
W
79-59
79
59
+20
73avg 65
H10/05
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#11
W
76-62
76
62
+14
66avg 65
A24/05
LNB 2
CDSB Constitucion
#16
W
81-68
81
68
+13
86avg 65
H31/05
LNB 2
CDSB Constitucion
#16
W
86-57
86
57
+29
77avg 65
H07/06
LNB 2
CDSB Constitucion
#16
W
72-67
72
67
+5
56avg 65
A14/06
LNB 2
Aleman
#6
L
68-70
68
70
-2
53avg 65
H21/06
LNB 2
Aleman
#6
W
63-60
63
60
+3
50avg 65
A28/06
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-14
12-14
22-10
19-21
18-23
25-14
27-23
17-24
22-16
23-20
27-15
21-21
30-12
17-5
15-23
17-19
19-26
17-13
15-14
25-9
20-13
20-21
20-13
21-21
18-16
25-16
24-8
19-17
17-11
16-12
22-20
17-24
18-12
13-20
14-26
23-12
21-18
13-13
16-10
13-19
144.0Avg total
78.2Scored
65.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)76.865.0141.8+11.892%
Season at home (6)80.764.2144.8+16.583%
Season away (6)73.065.8138.8+7.2100%
Last 10 (10)78.265.8144.0+12.490%
Last 5 (5)74.064.4138.4+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)62.078.0140.0-16.00%
vs Similar (2)65.568.0133.5-2.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)74.963.5138.3+11.485%
This opponent (Aleman) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlemanChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAleman
Date
Competition
CD Huachipato
#15
W
86-71
86
71
+15
77avg 69
A18/04
LNB 2
Regional Temuco
#18
W
93-64
93
64
+29
86avg 69
H26/04
LNB 2
Puerto Montt
#1
L
74-99
74
99
-25
59avg 69
A11/05
LNB 2
Omega
#10
L
67-72
67
72
-5
57avg 69
H17/05
LNB 2
CD Huachipato
#15
W
88-73
88
73
+15
81avg 69
H24/05
LNB 2
Regional Temuco
#18
W
90-79
90
79
+11
88avg 69
A31/05
LNB 2
Omega
#10
W
72-67 OT
72
67
+5
60avg 69
H07/06
LNB 2
Omega
#10
W
108-101 OT
108
101
+7
86avg 69
A14/06
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
70-68
70
68
+2
61avg 69
A21/06
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
60-63
60
63
-3
57avg 69
H28/06
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-21
22-18
13-15
22-17
23-20
25-17
25-13
20-14
18-34
19-19
19-24
18-22
13-15
14-15
15-19
25-23
22-15
27-25
22-16
17-17
23-21
23-19
19-28
25-11
18-10
15-15
16-19
8-13
20-31
24-19
21-14
22-23
12-18
20-13
26-14
12-23
18-21
13-13
10-16
19-13
156.5Avg total
80.8Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)75.271.2146.4+3.967%
Season at home (6)75.772.8148.5+2.850%
Season away (6)74.769.7144.3+5.083%
Last 10 (10)80.875.7156.5+5.170%
Last 5 (5)80.075.6155.6+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)72.284.0156.2-11.817%
vs Similar (7)76.475.7152.1+0.757%
vs Weaker (17)76.466.6143.0+9.782%
This opponent (Truenos De Talca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +1.2+1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +1.2+1.2
Truenos De TalcaAleman
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Truenos De TalcaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Municipal Chillan
#11
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H19/04
LNB 2
CDSB Constitucion
#16
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A26/04
LNB 2
Liceo Curico
#8
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H04/05
LNB 2
Tinguiririca
#20
W
47-17
47
17
+30
H10/05
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#11
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A24/05
LNB 2
CDSB Constitucion
#16
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H31/05
LNB 2
CDSB Constitucion
#16
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H07/06
LNB 2
CDSB Constitucion
#16
W
33-23
33
23
+10
A14/06
LNB 2
Aleman
#6
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H21/06
LNB 2
Aleman
#6
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A28/06
LNB 2
69.7Avg total
38.8Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.331.567.8+4.857%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.930.269.1+8.675%-
Last 30 away (14)33.433.066.4+0.436%-
Last 10 (10)38.830.969.7+7.980%-
Last 5 (5)36.230.466.6+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)25.034.059.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (2)31.533.565.0-2.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)37.131.368.4+5.863%-
This opponent (Aleman) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlemanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CD Huachipato
#15
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A18/04
LNB 2
Regional Temuco
#18
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H26/04
LNB 2
Puerto Montt
#1
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A11/05
LNB 2
Omega
#10
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H17/05
LNB 2
CD Huachipato
#15
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H24/05
LNB 2
Regional Temuco
#18
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A31/05
LNB 2
Omega
#10
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H07/06
LNB 2
Omega
#10
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A14/06
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A21/06
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H28/06
LNB 2
77.7Avg total
39.8Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)40.638.078.6+2.664%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.536.777.2+3.857%-
Last 30 away (14)40.739.380.0+1.471%-
Last 10 (10)39.837.977.7+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)37.236.073.2+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)36.244.380.5-8.233%-
vs Similar (7)40.035.375.3+4.771%-
vs Weaker (15)42.736.779.4+5.973%-
This opponent (Truenos De Talca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Truenos De Talcatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Truenos De Talca: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.5 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.622.6
50.7%
46.4%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.96.9
28.9%
27.9%20.7
🏀 Free throws21.811.9
54.6%
64.0%11.9
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alemantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aleman: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.5 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.919.0
47.6%
46.4%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.99.8
30.7%
27.9%29.4
🏀 Free throws20.512.8
62.4%
64.0%12.8
They take 71.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Jun 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Truenos De Talca
WLWWWWWWWW
Aleman
LWWWWWLLWW
#2
League position
#6
+17.0
Net rating
+6.2
101.8
Offensive rating
97.6
84.8
Defensive rating
91.4
48.1%
Effective FG%
46.9%
43.0%
Opp. effective FG%
43.8%
17.0%
Turnover %
20.3%
34.3%
Off. rebound %
32.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.29
28.9%
3-point %
30.7%
47.5%
Assist %
62.5%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence101.8 · 97.6Defence84.8 · 91.4Shooting48.1% · 46.9%3-point %28.9% · 30.7%Ball care17.0% · 20.3%Off. rebounds34.3% · 32.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)90% · 70%
■ Truenos De Talca   ■ Aleman
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Truenos De Talca wins
2
Aleman wins
DateGameScore
28/06/25Aleman v Truenos De Talca60-63
21/06/25Truenos De Talca v Aleman68-70
20/06/24Aleman v Truenos De Talca77-68
01/05/24Truenos De Talca v Aleman77-65
01/07/23Truenos De Talca v Aleman85-56
07/05/23Aleman v Truenos De Talca72-76
19/11/22Truenos De Talca v Aleman88-57
15/10/22Aleman v Truenos De Talca45-88
21/07/22Aleman v Truenos De Talca56-77
21/05/22Truenos De Talca v Aleman78-73
Truenos De Talcalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/06/25AAleman63-60
21/06/25HAleman68-70
14/06/25ACDSB Constitucion72-67
07/06/25HCDSB Constitucion86-57
31/05/25HCDSB Constitucion81-68
24/05/25AMunicipal Chillan76-62
10/05/25HTinguiririca79-59
04/05/25HLiceo Curico93-72
26/04/25ACDSB Constitucion87-84
19/04/25HMunicipal Chillan77-59
Alemanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/06/25HTruenos De Talca60-63
21/06/25ATruenos De Talca70-68
14/06/25AOmega108-101 OT
07/06/25HOmega72-67 OT
31/05/25ARegional Temuco90-79
24/05/25HCD Huachipato88-73
17/05/25HOmega67-72
11/05/25APuerto Montt74-99
26/04/25HRegional Temuco93-64
18/04/25ACD Huachipato86-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Truenos De Talca
LNB 2 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW92%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %92%83%100%
Points / game76.880.773.0
Allowed / game65.064.265.8
Point differential+11.8+16.5+7.2
Avg total141.8144.8138.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%83%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)0% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aleman
LNB 2 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeWLWWL50%
AwayWLWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %67%50%83%
Points / game75.275.774.7
Allowed / game71.272.869.7
Point differential+3.9+2.8+5.0
Avg total146.4148.5144.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %17%17%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Puerto Montt1211192%92.867.2+25.7
2 Boston C. C.1211192%76.163.3+12.8
3 Truenos De Talca1211192%76.865.0+11.8
4 Arabe Valparaiso129375%73.662.1+11.5
5 Aleman128467%75.271.2+3.9
6 Luis Matte Larrain117464%75.571.2+4.4
7 Illapel127558%70.669.8+0.8
8 Liceo Curico95456%61.859.4+2.3
9 Stadio Italiano137654%72.270.8+1.4
10 Omega105550%65.169.2-4.1
11 Municipal Chillan115645%57.865.7-7.9
12 Quilpue Basquetbol104640%68.468.8-0.4
13 Arturo Prat San Felipe114736%68.979.8-10.9
14 The Sharks103730%72.074.5-2.5
15 CD Huachipato103730%65.372.8-7.5
16 CDSB Constitucion102820%72.177.3-5.2
17 Sergio Ceppi102820%64.273.0-8.8
18 Regional Temuco102820%72.686.8-14.2
19 Brisas112918%61.973.6-11.7
20 Tinguiririca101910%61.873.9-12.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Truenos De Talca1521181569
Aleman1721181773
← all games of the day
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