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Aleman vs Truenos De Talca Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 20 Jun 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 77-68
15-13 22-21 25-14 15-20
Position#3
Record8-7
FormWLLLW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game71.1
Aleman 🏆
Chile
vs
Position#2
Record9-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game72.1
Allowed / game67.7
ChileLNB 2· Polideportivo Aleman
Other2024-25
Meetings · Aleman v Truenos De Talca
28 Jun 2025
ALEM60
TRUE63
20 Jun 2024
ALEM77
TRUE68
06 May 2023
ALEM72
TRUE76
15 Oct 2022
ALEM45
TRUE88
20 Jul 2022
ALEM56
TRUE77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aleman winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Truenos De Talca winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlemanChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAleman
Date
Competition
Brisas
#11
W
88-87
88
87
+1
87avg 63
A28/04
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
65-77
65
77
-12
49avg 63
A01/05
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
80-66
80
66
+14
no box
H04/05
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
83-95
83
95
-12
78avg 63
A12/05
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
W
76-64
76
64
+12
69avg 63
H18/05
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
W
69-63
69
63
+6
58avg 63
H19/05
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
L
67-69
67
69
-2
48avg 63
A25/05
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
L
91-93
91
93
-2
80avg 63
H01/06
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
L
72-77
72
77
-5
56avg 63
H08/06
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
68-58
68
58
+10
56avg 63
A15/06
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
26-9
19-30
21-23
22-13
14-19
14-26
15-19
–
–
–
–
15-24
15-27
24-23
29-21
23-15
25-16
16-16
12-17
12-21
23-15
17-13
17-14
21-20
15-20
19-11
12-18
27-24
21-22
21-30
22-17
14-16
21-19
9-22
28-20
21-14
19-15
12-24
16-5
150.8Avg total
75.9Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)74.071.1145.1+2.953%
Season at home (8)73.968.1142.0+5.862%
Season away (7)74.174.6148.7-0.443%
Last 10 (10)75.974.9150.8+1.050%
Last 5 (5)73.472.0145.4+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)58.385.3143.6-27.012%
vs Similar ◀ (8)73.074.5147.5-1.538%
vs Weaker (6)73.862.7136.5+11.283%
This opponent (Truenos De Talca) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Truenos De TalcaChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTalca
Date
Competition
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
L
57-61
57
61
-4
36avg 60
A21/04
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
W
70-58
70
58
+12
64avg 60
A28/04
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
W
77-65
77
65
+12
69avg 60
H01/05
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
87-84
87
84
+3
72avg 60
H05/05
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
61-59
61
59
+2
53avg 60
A12/05
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
75-72
75
72
+3
32avg 60
H19/05
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
W
57-43
57
43
+14
47avg 60
A25/05
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
62-78
62
78
-16
51avg 60
H02/06
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
W
72-54
72
54
+18
67avg 60
A08/06
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
W
90-62
90
62
+28
86avg 60
H15/06
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
12-15
13-11
16-12
23-22
24-10
14-14
9-12
13-22
19-14
26-14
19-15
26-15
17-21
21-29
23-19
9-21
21-16
24-12
7-10
17-11
20-15
16-20
22-26
23-16
6-13
12-7
16-7
10-16
15-18
16-24
21-20
12-11
24-14
21-17
15-12
24-15
22-9
26-16
18-22
134.4Avg total
70.8Scored
63.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)72.167.7139.8+4.360%
Season at home (7)77.371.0148.3+6.371%
Season away (8)67.564.9132.4+2.650%
Last 10 (10)70.863.6134.4+7.280%
Last 5 (5)71.261.8133.0+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)65.980.1146.0-14.20%
vs Similar ◀ (4)72.861.8134.5+11.0100%
vs Weaker (17)72.865.5138.4+7.371%
This opponent (Aleman) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -4.9-4.9Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +1.1+1.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -4.9-4.9Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +1.1+1.1
AlemanTruenos De Talca
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlemanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisas
#11
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A28/04
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A01/05
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
30-51
30
51
-21
A12/05
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H18/05
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H19/05
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A25/05
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H01/06
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H08/06
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A15/06
LNB 2
76.7Avg total
39.6Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)33.440.273.6-6.932%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.140.274.3-6.127%-
Last 30 away (13)32.540.372.8-7.838%-
Last 10 (9)39.637.176.7+2.456%-
Last 5 (5)38.837.276.0+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)27.745.573.2-17.77%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)38.534.673.1+3.962%-
vs Weaker (5)42.033.675.6+8.460%-
This opponent (Truenos De Talca) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Truenos De TalcaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A21/04
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A28/04
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H01/05
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H05/05
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A12/05
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H19/05
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A25/05
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H02/06
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A08/06
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
W
46-24
46
24
+22
H15/06
LNB 2
67.0Avg total
35.3Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.033.768.7+1.348%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.732.768.4+3.050%-
Last 30 away (15)34.334.668.9-0.347%-
Last 10 (10)35.331.767.0+3.650%-
Last 5 (5)34.627.662.2+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)34.637.672.1-3.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)36.828.265.0+8.575%-
vs Weaker (16)34.832.967.6+1.950%-
This opponent (Aleman) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alemantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aleman: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.119.7
47.9%
44.9%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.57.5
26.3%
28.7%22.5
🏀 Free throws19.812.8
64.6%
63.6%12.8
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Truenos De Talcatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Truenos De Talca: 70.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.718.4
47.5%
44.9%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.26.6
27.3%
28.7%19.8
🏀 Free throws20.713.6
65.7%
63.6%13.6
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Jun 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aleman
WLLLWWLWLW
Truenos De Talca
WWLWWWWWWL
#3
League position
#2
+2.3
Net rating
+10.0
94.0
Offensive rating
94.9
91.7
Defensive rating
84.9
44.5%
Effective FG%
45.0%
46.2%
Opp. effective FG%
42.5%
19.0%
Turnover %
19.4%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.33
26.3%
3-point %
27.3%
58.1%
Assist %
48.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence94.0 · 94.9Defence91.7 · 84.9Shooting44.5% · 45.0%3-point %26.3% · 27.3%Ball care19.0% · 19.4%Off. rebounds31.1% · 30.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Aleman   ■ Truenos De Talca
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Aleman wins
7
Truenos De Talca wins
Alemanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/06/24AStadio Italiano68-58
08/06/24HBoston C. C.72-77
01/06/24HSergio Ceppi91-93
25/05/24AMunicipal Chillan67-69
19/05/24HQuilpue Basquetbol69-63
18/05/24HArabe Valparaiso76-64
12/05/24AColo Colo83-95
04/05/24HLuis Matte Larrain80-66
01/05/24ATruenos De Talca65-77
28/04/24ABrisas88-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/06/24HSergio Ceppi90-62
08/06/24AMunicipal Chillan72-54
02/06/24HColo Colo62-78
25/05/24AArabe Valparaiso57-43
19/05/24HLuis Matte Larrain75-72
12/05/24ABrisas61-59
05/05/24HArturo Prat San Felipe87-84
01/05/24HAleman77-65
28/04/24ABoston C. C.70-58
21/04/24AQuilpue Basquetbol57-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aleman
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW53%
HomeWWWLL62%
AwayWLLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %53%62%43%
Points / game74.073.974.1
Allowed / game71.168.174.6
Point differential+2.9+5.8-0.4
Avg total145.1142.0148.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Truenos De Talca
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW60%
HomeWWWLW71%
AwayLWWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %60%71%50%
Points / game72.177.367.5
Allowed / game67.771.064.9
Point differential+4.3+6.3+2.6
Avg total139.8148.3132.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%43%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Colo Colo16160100%85.263.6+21.6
2 Sergio Ceppi1711665%74.673.4+1.2
3 Boston C. C.1610662%71.268.1+3.1
4 Truenos De Talca159660%72.167.7+4.3
5 Aleman158753%74.071.1+2.9
6 Stadio Italiano158753%66.564.6+1.9
7 Quilpue Basquetbol157847%67.569.9-2.4
8 Arabe Valparaiso157847%66.870.8-4.0
9 Municipal Chillan1771041%62.467.6-5.2
10 Luis Matte Larrain156940%68.772.8-4.1
11 Brisas1421214%65.772.8-7.1
12 Arturo Prat San Felipe1621412%71.784.6-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aleman1522251577
Truenos De Talca1321142068
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