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TSU vs Akhaltsikhe Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 10:00
Projected 87-78
Projected total 165.1
Final 81-84
21-21 27-21 21-20 12-22
Position#7
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game84.0
Vs
77%
23%
■ TSU 77%■ AKHA 23%
Pythia win probability
Position#5
Record1-2
FormLLW
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game79.0
GeorgiaSuperleagueRound 5· Olympic Palace
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
TSU host Akhaltsikhe in the Superleague. Pythia makes TSU the favourite at 77% and projects 87-78, about 165 points in all. Overtime chance: 4%. TSU are 3-1 this season (86.0 scored, 84.0 allowed a game), form LWWWL; Akhaltsikhe are 1-2 this season (72.0 scored, 79.0 allowed a game), form LLW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

TSU winLost
77.3%fair 1.29
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Akhaltsikhe winWon
22.7%fair 4.40
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 31 Oct 09:03 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TSUGeorgiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTSU
Date
Competition
Orbi
#5
W
89-68
89
68
+21
84avg 78
A13/05
Superleague
Orbi
#5
W
96-71
96
71
+25
99avg 78
A15/05
Superleague
Batumi
#1
W
82-76
82
76
+6
74avg 78
H21/05
Superleague
Batumi
#1
L
63-91
63
91
-28
40avg 78
H23/05
Superleague
Batumi
#1
L
76-81
76
81
-5
62avg 78
A26/05
Superleague
Batumi
#1
L
81-90 OT
81
90
-9
69avg 78
A28/05
Superleague
Rustavi
#3
W
88-77
88
77
+11
55avg 78
H03/10
Superleague
Margveti
#9
W
86-79
86
79
+7
72avg 78
A11/10
Superleague
Black Fortress
#11
W
89-82
89
82
+7
80avg 78
A17/10
Superleague
Kutaisi
#10
L
81-98
81
98
-17
71avg 78
A25/10
Superleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-11
21-11
12-24
20-22
26-16
33-18
19-15
18-22
26-14
25-23
12-25
19-14
15-26
18-21
17-16
13-28
14-21
27-21
19-15
16-24
20-16
14-25
23-13
24-27
19-22
22-23
24-15
23-17
10-22
26-28
25-16
25-13
22-22
26-21
13-20
28-19
26-20
18-23
16-29
21-26
164.4Avg total
83.1Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)86.084.0170.0+2.075%
Season at home (1)88.077.0165.0+11.0100%
Season away (3)85.386.3171.7-1.067%
Last 10 (10)83.181.3164.4+1.860%
Last 5 (5)85.085.2170.2-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.084.2162.2-6.233%
vs Similar ◀ (5)87.080.6167.6+6.4100%
vs Weaker (19)86.880.9167.8+5.968%
This opponent (Akhaltsikhe) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AkhaltsikheGeorgiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAkhaltsikhe
Date
Competition
Batumi
#4
L
70-75
70
75
-5
57avg 60
H10/10
Superleague
CIU
#1
L
68-88
68
88
-20
52avg 60
A19/10
Superleague
Iverioni
#8
W
78-74
78
74
+4
71avg 60
H23/10
Superleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
19-17
18-22
11-15
15-16
14-25
12-25
27-22
15-19
19-13
22-18
22-24
151.0Avg total
72.0Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)72.079.0151.0-7.033%
Season at home (2)74.074.5148.5-0.550%
Season away (1)68.088.0156.0-20.00%
Last 10 (3)72.079.0151.0-7.033%
Last 5 (3)72.079.0151.0-7.033%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)68.088.0156.0-20.00%
vs Similar ◀ (2)74.074.5148.5-0.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (TSU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 160.5Actual: Over 160.5
Over 160.5
60.3%
Under 160.5
39.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 165.5Actual: Under 165.5
Over 165.5
48.2%
Under 165.5
51.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 170.5Actual: Under 170.5
Over 170.5
36.4%
Under 170.5
63.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

TSU total 79Actual: TSU over 79
Over 79
78.8%
Under 79
21.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TSU total 83Actual: TSU under 83
Over 83
65.1%
Under 83
34.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TSU total 87Actual: TSU under 87
Over 87
49.0%
Under 87
51.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhaltsikhe total 78.5Actual: Akhaltsikhe over 78.5
Over 78.5
48.5%
Under 78.5
51.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhaltsikhe total 82.5Actual: Akhaltsikhe over 82.5
Over 82.5
33.6%
Under 82.5
66.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhaltsikhe total 86.5Actual: Akhaltsikhe under 86.5
Over 86.5
21.1%
Under 86.5
78.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread TSU -3Actual: Akhaltsikhe +3
TSU -3
70.5%
AKHA +3
29.5%
Best 5 market prices
TSU
No market prices yet.
AKHA
No market prices yet.
Spread TSU 0Actual: Akhaltsikhe 0
TSU 0
77.3%
AKHA 0
22.7%
Best 5 market prices
TSU
No market prices yet.
AKHA
No market prices yet.
Spread TSU +3Push
TSU +3
83.7%
AKHA -3
16.3%
Best 5 market prices
TSU
No market prices yet.
AKHA
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.3-0.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.3-0.3
TSUAkhaltsikhe
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TSULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orbi
#5
W
57-22
57
22
+35
A13/05
Superleague
Orbi
#5
W
59-34
59
34
+25
A15/05
Superleague
Batumi
#1
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H21/05
Superleague
Batumi
#1
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H23/05
Superleague
Batumi
#1
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A26/05
Superleague
Batumi
#1
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A28/05
Superleague
Rustavi
#3
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H03/10
Superleague
Margveti
#9
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A11/10
Superleague
Black Fortress
#11
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A17/10
Superleague
Kutaisi
#10
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A25/10
Superleague
84.8Avg total
44.4Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.840.783.5+2.157%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.141.783.8+0.450%-
Last 30 away (16)43.439.883.2+3.662%-
Last 10 (10)44.440.484.8+4.050%-
Last 5 (5)40.644.485.0-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.742.082.7-1.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)43.643.887.4-0.260%-
vs Weaker (19)43.339.582.7+3.863%-
This opponent (Akhaltsikhe) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AkhaltsikheLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Batumi
#4
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H10/10
Superleague
CIU
#1
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A19/10
Superleague
Iverioni
#8
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H23/10
Superleague
71.7Avg total
34.7Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (3)34.737.071.7-2.367%-
Last 30 at home (2)37.535.072.5+2.5100%-
Last 30 away (1)29.041.070.0-12.00%-
Last 10 (3)34.737.071.7-2.367%-
Last 5 (3)34.737.071.7-2.367%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)29.041.070.0-12.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)37.535.072.5+2.5100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (TSU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
TSUtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

TSU: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.9 points a game
51%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.821.8
53.4%
48.2%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.88.3
28.8%
31.1%24.9
🏀 Free throws20.311.6
57.1%
64.0%11.6
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Akhaltsikhetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Akhaltsikhe: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.3 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.9 points a game
51%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.017.7
49.1%
48.2%35.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.77.7
25.0%
31.1%23.0
🏀 Free throws22.313.7
61.2%
64.0%13.7
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/3 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
TSU
LWWWLLLWWW
Akhaltsikhe
WLL
#7
League position
#5
+2.2
Net rating
-7.4
89.7
Offensive rating
75.7
87.5
Defensive rating
83.1
49.2%
Effective FG%
43.8%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
45.9%
12.2%
Turnover %
18.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.34
28.8%
3-point %
25.0%
66.1%
Assist %
55.3%
60%
Form (last 10/3)
33%

Profile

Offence89.7 · 75.7Defence87.5 · 83.1Shooting49.2% · 43.8%3-point %28.8% · 25.0%Ball care12.2% · 18.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.34Form (last 10/3)60% · 33%
■ TSU   ■ Akhaltsikhe
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
TSU wins
0
Akhaltsikhe wins
No previous meetings.
TSUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26AKutaisi81-98
17/10/26ABlack Fortress89-82
11/10/26AMargveti86-79
03/10/26HRustavi88-77
28/05/26ABatumi81-90 OT
26/05/26ABatumi76-81
23/05/26HBatumi63-91
21/05/26HBatumi82-76
15/05/26AOrbi96-71
13/05/26AOrbi89-68
Akhaltsikhelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/26HIverioni78-74
19/10/26ACIU68-88
10/10/26HBatumi70-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

TSU
Superleague 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %75%100%67%
Points / game86.088.085.3
Allowed / game84.077.086.3
Point differential+2.0+11.0-1.0
Avg total170.0165.0171.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Akhaltsikhe
Superleague 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Losses (last 3)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game72.074.068.0
Allowed / game79.074.588.0
Point differential-7.0-0.5-20.0
Avg total151.0148.5156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CIU440100%93.272.0+21.2
2 TSU43175%86.084.0+2.0
3 Rustavi43175%87.887.5+0.2
4 Orbi32167%85.783.7+2.0
5 Batumi32167%75.375.7-0.3
6 Telavi42250%84.582.5+2.0
7 Iverioni42250%77.078.2-1.2
8 Akhaltsikhe31233%72.079.0-7.0
9 Kutaisi41325%78.583.2-4.8
10 Margveti51420%77.681.0-3.4
11 Black Fortress4040%78.890.0-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
TSU2127211281
Akhaltsikhe2121202284
← all games of the day
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