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Tubingen vs Crailsheim Merlins Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 62-76
12-14 12-21 15-20 23-21
Position#7
Record10-4
FormWLLWW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game77.9
vs
Position#3
Record8-6
FormLLWWW
Points / game89.9
Allowed / game83.6
GermanyPro ARound 15· Paul Horn Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Tubingen v Crailsheim Merlins
06 Feb 2027
TUB v CME
upcoming
06 Mar 2026
TUB77
CME98
28 Dec 2024
TUB62
CME76
02 Feb 2024
TUB85
CME96
25 Oct 2015
TUB96
CME74
14 Nov 2014
TUB91
CME78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tubingen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crailsheim Merlins winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TubingenGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dresden
#11
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A20/10
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#8
W
83-71
83
71
+12
H26/10
Pro A
Jena
#1
L
65-79
65
79
-14
A02/11
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#12
W
81-78
81
78
+3
H08/11
Pro A
Bayreuth
#13
W
102-98
102
98
+4
A10/11
Pro A
Vechta 2
#18
W
85-69
85
69
+16
H17/11
Pro A
Koblenz
#17
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A01/12
Pro A
Bochum
#9
L
77-85
77
85
-8
H07/12
Pro A
Giessen
#4
W
95-82
95
82
+13
H14/12
Pro A
Kirchheim
#6
W
72-66
72
66
+6
A21/12
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
12-15
20-18
18-16
23-22
18-15
16-11
26-23
17-11
21-19
16-33
11-16
21-21
24-22
19-19
17-16
21-19
27-33
31-20
23-26
16-25
19-11
30-17
20-16
19-16
18-27
18-20
18-17
18-20
22-21
12-27
25-17
23-19
25-15
21-22
26-26
17-17
17-23
20-5
18-21
157.9Avg total
80.4Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)79.977.9157.8+2.171%
Season at home (7)82.979.1162.0+3.771%
Season away (7)77.076.6153.6+0.471%
Last 10 (10)80.477.5157.9+2.970%
Last 5 (5)80.476.4156.8+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)76.789.6166.3-12.922%
vs Similar (7)78.381.7160.0-3.457%
vs Weaker (4)82.277.5159.8+4.875%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Artland
#15
W
80-62
80
62
+18
H26/10
Pro A
Giessen
#4
L
78-80
78
80
-2
H02/11
Pro A
Dusseldorf
#16
W
100-66
100
66
+34
A08/11
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#8
L
77-84
77
84
-7
A10/11
Pro A
Bochum
#9
L
87-94
87
94
-7
H16/11
Pro A
Trier
#2
L
102-114
102
114
-12
H27/11
Pro A
Jena
#1
L
87-89
87
89
-2
A01/12
Pro A
Vechta 2
#18
W
95-69
95
69
+26
H07/12
Pro A
Koblenz
#17
W
99-77
99
77
+22
A16/12
Pro A
Dresden
#11
W
78-77
78
77
+1
H23/12
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
26-13
20-14
18-15
21-23
24-16
14-21
19-20
30-15
22-19
22-17
26-15
24-24
16-22
17-11
20-27
27-19
17-24
17-23
26-28
18-27
25-35
28-25
31-27
15-17
22-23
26-22
24-27
25-18
24-12
26-26
20-13
28-15
20-19
29-21
22-22
19-9
14-21
18-33
27-14
169.5Avg total
88.3Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)89.983.6173.4+6.357%
Season at home (7)86.380.4166.7+5.957%
Season away (7)93.486.7180.1+6.757%
Last 10 (10)88.381.2169.5+7.150%
Last 5 (5)92.285.2177.4+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)83.090.0173.0-7.031%
vs Similar (5)90.693.4184.0-2.820%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)88.379.7168.0+8.564%
This opponent (Tubingen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +2.5+2.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +2.5+2.5
TubingenCrailsheim Merlins
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TubingenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dresden
#11
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A20/10
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#8
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H26/10
Pro A
Jena
#1
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A02/11
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#12
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H08/11
Pro A
Bayreuth
#13
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A10/11
Pro A
Vechta 2
#18
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H17/11
Pro A
Koblenz
#17
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A01/12
Pro A
Bochum
#9
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H07/12
Pro A
Giessen
#4
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H14/12
Pro A
Kirchheim
#6
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A21/12
Pro A
78.8Avg total
39.9Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.343.482.7-4.027%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.742.583.3-1.840%-
Last 30 away (15)37.944.282.1-6.313%-
Last 10 (10)39.938.978.8+1.040%-
Last 5 (5)38.838.877.6+0.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)40.143.483.5-3.339%-
vs Similar (7)38.743.081.7-4.314%-
vs Weaker (4)37.243.881.0-6.50%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Artland
#15
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H26/10
Pro A
Giessen
#4
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H02/11
Pro A
Dusseldorf
#16
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A08/11
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#8
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A10/11
Pro A
Bochum
#9
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H16/11
Pro A
Trier
#2
L
43-62
43
62
-19
H27/11
Pro A
Jena
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A01/12
Pro A
Vechta 2
#18
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H07/12
Pro A
Koblenz
#17
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A16/12
Pro A
Dresden
#11
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H23/12
Pro A
82.4Avg total
43.3Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.943.485.3-1.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.641.484.0+1.262%-
Last 30 away (14)41.145.686.7-4.629%-
Last 10 (10)43.339.182.4+4.270%-
Last 5 (5)42.039.281.2+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)39.344.383.6-5.023%-
vs Similar (5)42.851.294.0-8.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)44.239.183.3+5.173%-
This opponent (Tubingen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tubingentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tubingen: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.919.9
52.5%
-39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.0
30.3%
-24.0
🏀 Free throws20.015.2
76.0%
-15.2
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.020.4
58.3%
-40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.69.6
32.4%
-28.8
🏀 Free throws18.414.3
77.7%
-14.3
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tubingen
WWLLWWWLWW
Crailsheim Merlins
WWWLLLLWLW
#7
League position
#3
-22.3
Net rating
-5.5
98.9
Offensive rating
106.6
121.2
Defensive rating
112.1
49.6%
Effective FG%
53.9%
56.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
19.0%
Turnover %
19.0%
23.1%
Off. rebound %
25.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.3%
3-point %
32.4%
63.4%
Assist %
58.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Tubingen   ■ Crailsheim Merlins
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Tubingen wins
2
Crailsheim Merlins wins
Tubingenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24AKirchheim72-66
14/12/24HGiessen95-82
07/12/24HBochum77-85
01/12/24AKoblenz73-80
17/11/24HVechta 285-69
10/11/24ABayreuth102-98
08/11/24HPS Karlsruhe81-78
02/11/24AJena65-79
26/10/24HPhoenix Hagen83-71
20/10/24ADresden71-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/24HDresden78-77
16/12/24AKoblenz99-77
07/12/24HVechta 295-69
01/12/24AJena87-89
27/11/24HTrier102-114
16/11/24HBochum87-94
10/11/24APhoenix Hagen77-84
08/11/24ADusseldorf100-66
02/11/24HGiessen78-80
26/10/24HArtland80-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tubingen
Pro A 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW71%
HomeWWWLW71%
AwayWLWLW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %71%71%71%
Points / game79.982.977.0
Allowed / game77.979.176.6
Point differential+2.1+3.7+0.4
Avg total157.8162.0153.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Crailsheim Merlins
Pro A 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW57%
HomeLLLWW57%
AwayLWLLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %57%57%57%
Points / game89.986.393.4
Allowed / game83.680.486.7
Point differential+6.3+5.9+6.7
Avg total173.4166.7180.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%43%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jena1513287%87.074.1+12.9
2 Bochum1511473%84.979.2+5.7
3 Trier1410471%90.178.6+11.5
4 Tubingen1410471%79.977.9+2.1
5 Giessen1510567%86.376.9+9.4
6 Phoenix Hagen1510567%84.279.7+4.5
7 Kirchheim1510567%81.378.9+2.5
8 Bremerhaven149564%84.978.1+6.7
9 Munster159660%87.382.3+5.0
10 Crailsheim Merlins148657%89.983.6+6.3
11 Dresden146843%82.484.8-2.4
12 Koblenz145936%73.684.1-10.6
13 PS Karlsruhe1441029%74.579.5-5.0
14 Artland1441029%81.186.8-5.7
15 Bayreuth1441029%85.091.4-6.4
16 Dusseldorf1431121%74.786.0-11.3
17 Nurnberger1531220%72.880.5-7.7
18 Vechta 2151147%77.395.7-18.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tubingen1212152362
Crailsheim Merlins1421202176
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