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Tunisia vs Nigeria Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 Jul 2026
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 81-84
21-23 23-20 19-21 18-20
Position#36
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game70.0
vs
Nigeria 🏆
Position#35
Record1-2
FormWLLLW
Points / game69.3
Allowed / game75.3
EuropeWorld CupRound 4· Pavilhao Multiusos de Luanda
Other2027
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tunisia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nigeria winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TunisiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rwanda
#67
W
76-66
76
66
+10
A03/07
World Cup
Egypt
#27
L
61-67
61
67
-6
A26/08
World Cup
Senegal
#29
L
63-73
63
73
-10
H27/08
World Cup
D.R. Congo
#48
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A28/08
World Cup
Egypt
#27
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H24/02
World Cup
Senegal
#29
W
70-53
70
53
+17
A25/02
World Cup
D.R. Congo
#48
L
68-72 OT
68
72
-4
H26/02
World Cup
Nigeria
#35
W
88-78 OT
88
78
+10
A27/11
World Cup
Rwanda
#84
W
79-66
79
66
+13
H29/11
World Cup
Guinea
#24
L
57-66
57
66
-9
A30/11
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-11
23-18
22-15
15-22
21-13
12-20
10-21
18-13
23-14
17-19
10-21
13-19
26-12
11-6
11-13
9-14
17-17
14-18
14-20
22-16
13-13
17-16
23-13
17-11
13-13
13-11
18-18
19-21
12-15
23-17
18-21
20-20
16-16
24-15
21-11
18-24
9-14
16-13
17-20
15-19
134.3Avg total
68.6Scored
65.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)74.770.0144.7+4.767%
Season at home (1)79.066.0145.0+13.0100%
Season away (2)72.572.0144.5+0.550%
Last 10 (10)68.665.7134.3+2.950%
Last 5 (5)72.467.0139.4+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)63.370.6133.9-7.211%
vs Similar ◀ (2)83.076.5159.5+6.5100%
vs Weaker (19)71.665.3136.9+6.374%
This opponent (Nigeria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NigeriaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uganda
#71
W
91-72
91
72
+19
H03/07
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#21
L
66-78
66
78
-12
A26/08
World Cup
Guinea
#59
W
89-70
89
70
+19
H27/08
World Cup
Angola
#19
L
67-70
67
70
-3
A28/08
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#21
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H24/02
World Cup
Guinea
#59
W
62-59
62
59
+3
A25/02
World Cup
Angola
#19
L
59-65
59
65
-6
H26/02
World Cup
Tunisia
#36
L
78-88 OT
78
88
-10
H27/11
World Cup
Guinea
#24
L
55-69
55
69
-14
A29/11
World Cup
Rwanda
#84
W
75-69 OT
75
69
+6
H30/11
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-13
29-18
24-24
18-17
14-14
22-28
16-18
14-18
24-15
20-20
32-15
13-20
16-18
13-9
16-23
22-20
16-15
14-19
23-14
19-15
13-13
18-22
8-13
23-11
15-18
14-18
9-19
21-10
15-12
17-23
21-18
20-20
16-22
10-13
15-17
14-17
12-21
13-6
20-9
16-25
141.7Avg total
71.4Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)69.375.3144.7-6.033%
Season at home (2)76.578.5155.0-2.050%
Season away (1)55.069.0124.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)71.470.3141.7+1.150%
Last 5 (5)65.870.0135.8-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)70.681.8152.4-11.20%
vs Similar ◀ (5)68.472.8141.2-4.420%
vs Weaker (20)74.068.5142.6+5.565%
This opponent (Tunisia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +0.7+0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +0.7+0.7
TunisiaNigeria
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TunisiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rwanda
#67
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A03/07
World Cup
Egypt
#27
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A26/08
World Cup
Senegal
#29
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H27/08
World Cup
D.R. Congo
#48
W
37-18
37
18
+19
A28/08
World Cup
Egypt
#27
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H24/02
World Cup
Senegal
#29
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A25/02
World Cup
D.R. Congo
#48
W
26-24
26
24
+2
H26/02
World Cup
Nigeria
#35
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A27/11
World Cup
Rwanda
#84
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H29/11
World Cup
Guinea
#24
L
25-27
25
27
-2
A30/11
World Cup
62.7Avg total
33.6Scored
29.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.432.769.1+3.760%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.432.070.4+6.471%-
Last 30 away (16)34.733.267.9+1.450%-
Last 10 (10)33.629.162.7+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)31.228.659.8+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)31.834.966.7-3.133%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)41.033.074.0+8.0100%-
vs Weaker (19)38.131.669.7+6.568%-
This opponent (Nigeria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NigeriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uganda
#71
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H03/07
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#21
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A26/08
World Cup
Guinea
#59
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H27/08
World Cup
Angola
#19
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A28/08
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#21
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H24/02
World Cup
Guinea
#59
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A25/02
World Cup
Angola
#19
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H26/02
World Cup
Tunisia
#36
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H27/11
World Cup
Guinea
#24
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A29/11
World Cup
Rwanda
#84
L
25-27
25
27
-2
H30/11
World Cup
66.8Avg total
33.1Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.636.071.6-0.438%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.937.272.1-2.327%-
Last 30 away (14)36.334.771.0+1.650%-
Last 10 (10)33.133.766.8-0.630%-
Last 5 (5)28.633.662.2-5.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.841.479.2-3.60%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)31.234.866.0-3.620%-
vs Weaker (19)36.134.971.0+1.253%-
This opponent (Tunisia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Tunisia wins
1
Nigeria wins
DateGameScore
27/11/25Nigeria v Tunisia78-88 OT
23/08/15Nigeria v Tunisia59-70
29/07/12Nigeria v Tunisia60-56
Tunisialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/25AGuinea57-66
29/11/25HRwanda79-66
27/11/25ANigeria88-78 OT
26/02/23HD.R. Congo68-72 OT
25/02/23ASenegal70-53
24/02/23HEgypt67-71
28/08/22AD.R. Congo57-45
27/08/22HSenegal63-73
26/08/22AEgypt61-67
03/07/22ARwanda76-66
Nigerialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/25HRwanda75-69 OT
29/11/25AGuinea55-69
27/11/25HTunisia78-88 OT
26/02/23HAngola59-65
25/02/23AGuinea62-59
24/02/23HIvory Coast72-63
28/08/22AAngola67-70
27/08/22HGuinea89-70
26/08/22AIvory Coast66-78
03/07/22HUganda91-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tunisia
World Cup 2027
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game74.779.072.5
Allowed / game70.066.072.0
Point differential+4.7+13.0+0.5
Avg total144.7145.0144.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %33%0%50%
Nigeria
World Cup 2027
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game69.376.555.0
Allowed / game75.378.569.0
Point differential-6.0-2.0-14.0
Avg total144.7155.0124.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %67%100%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jordan440100%88.856.5+32.2
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Ivory Coast330100%95.071.0+24.0
4 Uruguay440100%81.562.0+19.5
5 Spain440100%82.063.8+18.2
6 Brazil440100%88.871.0+17.8
7 Canada440100%99.582.2+17.2
8 Guinea440100%76.561.2+15.2
9 Turkey440100%88.573.8+14.8
10 Australia440100%87.275.5+11.8
11 Poland440100%87.878.8+9.0
12 Mali330100%83.376.3+7.0
13 Croatia87188%93.672.2+21.4
14 Argentina43175%82.563.2+19.2
15 Lebanon43175%87.870.0+17.8
16 Slovenia43175%93.080.0+13.0
17 Greece43175%77.866.0+11.8
18 Italy43175%83.873.5+10.2
19 Germany43175%87.878.8+9.0
20 Iran43175%78.070.0+8.0
21 Japan43175%82.074.0+8.0
22 France43175%81.874.0+7.8
23 Saudi Arabia43175%76.570.5+6.0
24 Finland43175%78.576.5+2.0
25 South Sudan32167%81.364.7+16.7
26 Senegal32167%84.770.7+14.0
27 Angola32167%84.073.3+10.7
28 Dominican Republic32167%88.778.3+10.3
29 Mexico32167%91.084.0+7.0
30 Tunisia32167%74.770.0+4.7
31 Cameroon32167%71.369.7+1.7
32 Cape Verde32167%82.086.7-4.7
33 Colombia32167%79.385.7-6.3
34 Netherlands85362%81.276.1+5.1
35 Ukraine85362%78.175.1+3.0
36 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
37 Romania127558%78.278.4-0.2
38 Switzerland148657%73.269.5+3.7
39 Israel42250%79.270.5+8.8
40 Philippines42250%78.569.8+8.8
41 Bosnia & Herzegovina42250%79.571.8+7.8
42 New Zealand42250%81.074.0+7.0
43 Portugal42250%86.580.2+6.2
44 Qatar42250%84.879.2+5.5
45 Austria126650%84.979.5+5.4
46 Lithuania42250%88.584.5+4.0
47 Hungary84450%80.977.6+3.2
48 Georgia42250%79.578.2+1.2
49 South Korea42250%76.876.8+0.0
50 Estonia42250%85.886.5-0.8
51 China42250%84.885.8-1.0
52 Serbia42250%82.083.5-1.5
53 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
54 Jamaica42250%91.594.5-3.0
55 Iceland42250%83.287.5-4.2
56 Czech Republic42250%84.289.2-5.0
57 Montenegro42250%68.575.5-7.0
58 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
59 Egypt31233%80.073.7+6.3
60 Venezuela31233%78.080.7-2.7
61 Nigeria31233%69.375.3-6.0
62 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
63 D.R. Congo31233%67.383.3-16.0
64 Latvia41325%79.582.5-3.0
65 Puerto Rico41325%84.587.8-3.2
66 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
67 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
68 Chinese Taipei41325%76.883.8-7.0
69 Sweden41325%79.887.0-7.2
70 Denmark82625%72.682.5-9.9
71 Great Britain41325%77.587.5-10.0
72 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
73 Bahamas41325%82.093.0-11.0
74 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
75 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
76 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
77 Panama41325%75.289.8-14.5
78 Syria41325%63.279.0-15.8
79 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
80 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
81 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
82 Belgium4040%72.278.8-6.5
83 Chile4040%68.579.5-11.0
84 Libya3030%66.780.3-13.7
85 Rwanda4040%67.081.2-14.2
86 Madagascar3030%73.095.0-22.0
87 Uganda3030%64.388.3-24.0
88 Cuba4040%65.089.2-24.2
89 Iraq4040%67.091.5-24.5
90 Nicaragua2020%66.592.5-26.0
91 Guam4040%66.093.5-27.5
92 India4040%59.288.5-29.2
93 Cyprus4040%58.090.0-32.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tunisia2123191881
Nigeria2320212084
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