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Guinea vs Nigeria Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 59-62
13-13 22-18 13-8 11-23
Position#59
Record2-8
FormLLLWL
Points / game64.5
Allowed / game73.8
vs
Nigeria 🏆
Position#30
Record6-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game65.0
EuropeWorld Cup
Other2023
Meetings · Guinea v Nigeria
29 Nov 2025
GUIN69
NIGE55
25 Feb 2023
GUIN59
NIGE62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guinea winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nigeria winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuineaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central African Republic
#70
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H26/11
World Cup
Angola
#19
L
59-75
59
75
-16
A27/11
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#21
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A28/11
World Cup
Central African Republic
#70
L
56-61
56
61
-5
A01/07
World Cup
Angola
#19
L
65-85
65
85
-20
H02/07
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#21
L
56-65
56
65
-9
H03/07
World Cup
Cape Verde
#45
L
48-65
48
65
-17
H26/08
World Cup
Nigeria
#30
L
70-89
70
89
-19
A27/08
World Cup
Uganda
#71
W
76-69
76
69
+7
H28/08
World Cup
Cape Verde
#45
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A24/02
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-14
11-16
28-22
21-19
15-23
19-17
12-18
13-17
21-16
10-23
17-21
21-20
10-13
14-15
10-25
22-8
15-22
14-18
16-27
20-18
19-20
9-19
18-14
10-12
11-21
17-13
6-17
14-14
15-24
20-20
15-32
20-13
20-15
11-18
16-18
29-18
24-13
13-31
24-18
9-16
138.3Avg total
64.5Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)64.573.8138.3-9.320%
Season at home (5)64.271.0135.2-6.840%
Season away (5)64.876.6141.4-11.80%
Last 10 (10)64.573.8138.3-9.320%
Last 5 (5)64.073.2137.2-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)60.683.7144.3-23.113%
vs Similar (3)59.368.0127.3-8.70%
vs Weaker (3)69.367.0136.3+2.367%
This opponent (Nigeria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NigeriaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cape Verde
#45
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A26/11
World Cup
Mali
#49
W
72-70
72
70
+2
H27/11
World Cup
Uganda
#71
W
95-69
95
69
+26
A28/11
World Cup
Cape Verde
#45
L
70-79
70
79
-9
H01/07
World Cup
Mali
#49
W
20-0
20
0
+20
A02/07
World Cup
Uganda
#71
W
91-72
91
72
+19
H03/07
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#21
L
66-78
66
78
-12
A26/08
World Cup
Guinea
#59
W
89-70
89
70
+19
H27/08
World Cup
Angola
#19
L
67-70
67
70
-3
A28/08
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#21
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H24/02
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
15-16
20-17
16-28
16-15
14-24
23-16
19-15
25-18
28-19
14-8
28-24
15-14
11-25
21-17
23-23
–
–
–
–
20-13
29-18
24-24
18-17
14-14
22-28
16-18
14-18
24-15
20-20
32-15
13-20
16-18
13-9
16-23
22-20
16-15
14-19
23-14
19-15
136.3Avg total
71.3Scored
65.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)71.365.0136.3+6.360%
Season at home (5)78.870.8149.6+8.080%
Season away (5)63.859.2123.0+4.640%
Last 10 (10)71.365.0136.3+6.360%
Last 5 (5)77.070.6147.6+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.585.0159.5-10.50%
vs Similar (3)68.370.3138.7-2.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)79.868.2148.0+11.670%
This opponent (Guinea) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -0.9-0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -0.9-0.9
GuineaNigeria
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuineaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central African Republic
#70
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H26/11
World Cup
Angola
#19
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A27/11
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#21
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A28/11
World Cup
Central African Republic
#70
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A01/07
World Cup
Angola
#19
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H02/07
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#21
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H03/07
World Cup
Cape Verde
#45
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H26/08
World Cup
Nigeria
#30
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A27/08
World Cup
Uganda
#71
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H28/08
World Cup
Cape Verde
#45
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A24/02
World Cup
67.5Avg total
30.4Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (21)30.238.268.4-8.014%-
Last 30 at home (9)28.935.063.9-6.111%-
Last 30 away (12)31.240.671.8-9.317%-
Last 10 (10)30.437.167.5-6.70%-
Last 5 (5)31.838.870.6-7.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)30.440.070.4-9.620%-
vs Similar (3)32.337.069.3-4.70%-
vs Weaker (3)27.330.357.7-3.00%-
This opponent (Nigeria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NigeriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cape Verde
#45
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A26/11
World Cup
Mali
#49
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H27/11
World Cup
Uganda
#71
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A28/11
World Cup
Cape Verde
#45
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H01/07
World Cup
Uganda
#71
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H03/07
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#21
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A26/08
World Cup
Guinea
#59
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H27/08
World Cup
Angola
#19
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A28/08
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#21
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H24/02
World Cup
72.2Avg total
36.9Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.935.774.6+3.255%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.937.075.9+1.947%-
Last 30 away (14)38.934.473.2+4.564%-
Last 10 (9)36.935.372.2+1.656%-
Last 5 (5)37.633.871.4+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.843.083.8-2.20%-
vs Similar (3)31.734.366.0-2.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)39.534.674.1+5.068%-
This opponent (Guinea) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Guinea wins
1
Nigeria wins
DateGameScore
27/08/22Nigeria v Guinea89-70
Guinealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/23ACape Verde70-78
28/08/22HUganda76-69
27/08/22ANigeria70-89
26/08/22HCape Verde48-65
03/07/22HIvory Coast56-65
02/07/22HAngola65-85
01/07/22ACentral African Republic56-61
28/11/21AIvory Coast69-80
27/11/21AAngola59-75
26/11/21HCentral African Republic76-71
Nigerialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/23HIvory Coast72-63
28/08/22AAngola67-70
27/08/22HGuinea89-70
26/08/22AIvory Coast66-78
03/07/22HUganda91-72
02/07/22AMali20-0
01/07/22HCape Verde70-79
28/11/21AUganda95-69
27/11/21HMali72-70
26/11/21ACape Verde71-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guinea
World Cup 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL20%
HomeWLLLW40%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %20%40%0%
Points / game64.564.264.8
Allowed / game73.871.076.6
Point differential-9.3-6.8-11.8
Avg total138.3135.2141.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nigeria
World Cup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW60%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%80%40%
Points / game71.378.863.8
Allowed / game65.070.859.2
Point differential+6.3+8.0+4.6
Avg total136.3149.6123.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%40%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Russia330100%87.070.7+16.3
2 Latvia1514193%85.171.2+13.9
3 Canada1110191%99.869.5+30.4
4 Australia1110191%81.454.9+26.5
5 Spain1110191%84.567.3+17.2
6 South Sudan1110191%76.963.3+13.6
7 Ivory Coast109190%75.166.8+8.3
8 France119282%82.161.7+20.4
9 Lebanon119282%89.569.5+20.1
10 China119282%79.465.3+14.1
11 Germany119282%79.470.3+9.1
12 Lithuania119282%78.171.1+7.0
13 Finland119282%81.577.0+4.5
14 Angola108280%74.460.0+14.4
15 Egypt108280%74.159.8+14.3
16 New Zealand97278%91.166.4+24.7
17 Puerto Rico97278%80.176.2+3.9
18 Venezuela118373%79.166.5+12.5
19 Dominican Republic118373%82.471.5+10.8
20 Argentina118373%79.071.5+7.5
21 Greece107370%79.576.4+3.1
22 Italy107370%88.786.0+2.7
23 Belarus128467%80.267.2+13.0
24 Mexico96367%83.878.0+5.8
25 Montenegro1510567%75.771.1+4.6
26 Philippines96367%79.175.2+3.9
27 Jordan117464%77.770.6+7.1
28 Slovenia117464%83.279.2+4.0
29 Serbia117464%79.176.9+2.2
30 Georgia117464%80.779.0+1.7
31 Brazil106460%86.971.6+15.3
32 Senegal106460%72.865.9+6.9
33 Nigeria106460%71.365.0+6.3
34 Cape Verde95456%71.968.9+3.0
35 Uruguay95456%72.273.3-1.1
36 Iceland2011955%80.880.8+0.0
37 Belgium116555%73.668.3+5.4
38 Iran116555%71.167.1+4.0
39 Japan116555%74.773.3+1.5
40 Bosnia & Herzegovina116555%77.381.8-4.5
41 Sweden158753%81.876.0+5.8
42 Tunisia105550%63.462.5+0.9
43 Portugal168850%70.971.6-0.7
44 Switzerland42250%62.263.2-1.0
45 Ukraine115645%80.979.1+1.8
46 Kazakhstan115645%66.070.4-4.4
47 Hungary115645%71.379.7-8.5
48 Mali52340%42.047.2-5.2
49 Saudi Arabia114736%67.976.4-8.5
50 D.R. Congo114736%55.664.6-9.0
51 Poland62433%74.077.0-3.0
52 Kosovo62433%75.885.2-9.3
53 Colombia93633%76.792.3-15.7
54 Slovakia1651131%68.976.7-7.8
55 Turkey103730%77.077.2-0.2
56 Cameroon103730%63.966.6-2.7
57 Israel113827%77.979.0-1.1
58 Czech Republic113827%73.580.0-6.5
59 Estonia113827%72.582.4-9.8
60 Bahamas113827%78.692.3-13.6
61 Guinea102820%64.573.8-9.3
62 Uganda102820%64.275.6-11.4
63 North Macedonia102820%64.375.8-11.5
64 Luxembourg102820%76.388.1-11.8
65 Panama112918%66.779.8-13.1
66 Bahrain112918%62.682.6-20.0
67 Bulgaria61517%74.379.2-4.8
68 Croatia61517%77.083.2-6.2
69 Rwanda61517%56.765.2-8.5
70 Chile61517%66.075.7-9.7
71 Syria61517%69.379.3-10.0
72 Central African Republic61517%61.275.2-14.0
73 Albania61517%65.282.2-17.0
74 Cyprus61517%59.080.2-21.2
75 Great Britain91811%68.281.2-13.0
76 Cuba4040%65.072.8-7.8
77 Netherlands100100%72.582.4-9.9
78 Denmark4040%69.584.5-15.0
79 Romania4040%69.889.5-19.8
80 Chinese Taipei6060%61.090.7-29.7
81 India9090%61.291.6-30.3
82 United States Virgin Islands6060%64.796.2-31.5
83 Indonesia6060%58.590.2-31.7
84 Paraguay6060%55.086.8-31.8
85 Kenya6060%42.574.8-32.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 85 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guinea1322131159
Nigeria131882362
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