PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Turk Telekom vs Tofas Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 12:30
Projected 86-80
Projected total 166.4
Scheduled
Position#2
Record6-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game75.0
Vs
70%
30%
■ TTE 70%■ TOF 30%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
3.9/10
Below normal
4.7/10
Around normal
Position#8
Record4-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game82.0
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 9· Ankara Spor Salonu
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Turk Telekom v Tofas
21 Nov 2026
TTE v TOF
upcoming
31 Jan 2026
TTE95
TOF78
21 Apr 2025
TTE86
TOF72
16 Mar 2024
TTE87
TOF83
03 Dec 2022
TTE89
TOF77
25 Sep 2021
TTE72
TOF74
08 Feb 2020
TTE68
TOF67
05 Dec 2018
TTE85
TOF72
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Turk Telekom host Tofas in the Basketbol Super Ligi. Pythia makes Turk Telekom the favourite at 70% and projects 86-80, about 166 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%. Turk Telekom are 6-2 this season (83.6 scored, 75.0 allowed a game), form WWWWL; Tofas are 4-4 this season (80.5 scored, 82.0 allowed a game), form LWWWW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Turk Telekom win
70.3%fair 1.42
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Tofas win
29.7%fair 3.36
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 20:59 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Turk TelekomTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTelekom
Date
Competition
Venezia
#14
L
65-75
65
75
-10
56avg 80
A14/10
Eurocup
Bordo Bandirma
#12
L
66-79
66
79
-13
55avg 80
A17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Siauliai
#19
L
84-94
84
94
-10
73avg 80
H20/10
Eurocup
Denizli Basket
#15
W
97-76
97
76
+21
96avg 80
H24/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
London Lions
#9
L
61-79
61
79
-18
54avg 80
A28/10
Eurocup
Esenler Erokspor
#11
W
89-71
89
71
+18
87avg 80
A01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Frankfurt
#22
W
98-78
98
78
+20
no box
H04/11
Eurocup
Korfez Basket
#13
W
94-82
94
82
+12
no box
H07/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cluj-Napoca
#29
W
89-81
89
81
+8
no box
A10/11
Eurocup
Petkim Spor
#5
L
84-88
84
88
-4
no box
A14/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
13-19
22-18
14-18
12-22
16-16
20-25
18-16
21-16
24-27
22-24
17-27
29-13
18-27
28-17
22-19
16-20
23-19
12-20
10-20
25-11
17-25
20-19
27-16
24-17
27-28
22-19
25-14
23-19
17-17
24-19
30-27
21-19
31-14
21-30
16-18
16-23
23-21
22-21
23-23
163.0Avg total
82.7Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)83.675.0158.6+8.675%
Season at home (4)88.073.2161.2+14.8100%
Season away (4)79.276.8156.0+2.550%
Last 10 (10)82.780.3163.0+2.450%
Last 5 (5)90.880.0170.8+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)67.078.7145.7-11.70%
vs Similar (7)84.783.9168.6+0.957%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)86.879.2166.0+7.670%
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#10
W
90-85
90
85
+5
78avg 79
H14/10
Eurocup
Korfez Basket
#13
W
71-69
71
69
+2
38avg 79
A17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basket Napoli
#2
L
101-105 OT
101
105
-4
89avg 79
A21/10
Eurocup
Petkim Spor
#5
L
72-74
72
74
-2
67avg 79
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
90-74
90
74
+16
91avg 79
A28/10
Eurocup
Fenerbahce
#3
L
77-88
77
88
-11
70avg 79
A01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Neptunas
#26
W
94-79
94
79
+15
no box
H03/11
Eurocup
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
93-87
93
87
+6
no box
A08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trento
#27
W
96-86
96
86
+10
no box
A10/11
Eurocup
Trabzonspor
#9
W
75-61
75
61
+14
no box
H14/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
30-19
19-20
19-21
19-20
7-15
15-19
30-15
20-29
22-24
24-20
27-20
21-14
19-24
19-14
13-22
22-24
33-14
15-22
20-14
21-25
22-22
16-23
18-18
19-29
24-20
24-10
27-20
21-21
25-17
21-31
26-18
21-24
23-20
23-22
29-20
16-22
20-17
18-12
21-10
166.7Avg total
85.9Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)80.582.0162.5-1.550%
Season at home (4)79.077.8156.8+1.250%
Season away (4)82.086.2168.2-4.250%
Last 10 (10)85.980.8166.7+5.170%
Last 5 (5)87.080.2167.2+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)80.086.9166.9-6.914%
vs Similar (10)82.886.1168.9-3.330%
vs Weaker (13)89.584.9174.4+4.577%
This opponent (Turk Telekom) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%9%12%1%1251%1302%1354%1406%1458%15011%15511%16012%16511%17010%1757%1805%1854%1902%1951%2001%2051%210
1%1252%1356%14511%15512%16510%1755%1852%1951%205
Pythia expects about 166 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 165-169 (12%).
Over/Under 161
Over 161
62.3%
Under 161
37.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 166
Over 166
50.3%
Under 166
49.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 171
Over 171
38.4%
Under 171
61.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Turk Telekom total 80.5
Over 80.5
71.0%
Under 80.5
29.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Turk Telekom total 84.5
Over 84.5
56.8%
Under 84.5
43.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Turk Telekom total 88.5
Over 88.5
41.7%
Under 88.5
58.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tofas total 78
Over 78
57.8%
Under 78
42.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tofas total 82
Over 82
42.0%
Under 82
58.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tofas total 86
Over 86
27.6%
Under 86
72.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

3%5%8%10%0%-271%-241%-212%-183%-154%-125%-97%-68%-36%+010%+310%+69%+98%+127%+156%+184%+213%+242%+271%+301%+331%+36
1%-242%-184%-127%-66%+010%+68%+126%+183%+241%+301%+36
Margin from Turk Telekom's side (positive = Turk Telekom win). Pythia's expected margin is +6.1; Turk Telekom win by 1+ in 63% of simulations.
Spread Turk Telekom -3
TTE -3
62.6%
TOF +3
37.4%
Best 5 market prices
TTE
No market prices yet.
TOF
No market prices yet.
Spread Turk Telekom 0
TTE 0
70.3%
TOF 0
29.7%
Best 5 market prices
TTE
No market prices yet.
TOF
No market prices yet.
Spread Turk Telekom +3
TTE +3
77.7%
TOF -3
22.3%
Best 5 market prices
TTE
No market prices yet.
TOF
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +5.2+5.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +5.2+5.2
Turk TelekomTofas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Turk TelekomLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#14
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A14/10
Eurocup
Bordo Bandirma
#12
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Siauliai
#19
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H20/10
Eurocup
Denizli Basket
#15
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H24/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
London Lions
#9
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A28/10
Eurocup
Esenler Erokspor
#11
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Frankfurt
#22
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H04/11
Eurocup
Korfez Basket
#13
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H07/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cluj-Napoca
#29
W
52-33
52
33
+19
A10/11
Eurocup
Petkim Spor
#5
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A14/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
80.5Avg total
41.2Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.140.183.2+3.050%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.038.883.8+6.269%-
Last 30 away (17)41.641.182.7+0.535%-
Last 10 (10)41.239.380.5+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)44.838.883.6+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.040.775.7-5.70%-
vs Similar (7)42.444.687.0-2.129%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)44.538.583.0+6.065%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#10
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H14/10
Eurocup
Korfez Basket
#13
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basket Napoli
#2
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A21/10
Eurocup
Petkim Spor
#5
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
55-38
55
38
+17
A28/10
Eurocup
Fenerbahce
#3
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Neptunas
#26
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H03/11
Eurocup
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trento
#27
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A10/11
Eurocup
Trabzonspor
#9
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H14/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
85.2Avg total
42.7Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.544.486.9-1.937%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.045.787.7-3.733%-
Last 30 away (15)43.043.086.0+0.040%-
Last 10 (10)42.742.585.2+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)42.443.485.8-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)41.344.185.4-2.929%-
vs Similar (10)40.245.986.1-5.720%-
vs Weaker (13)44.943.388.2+1.654%-
This opponent (Turk Telekom) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Turk Telekomtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Turk Telekom: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.220.4
54.8%
54.8%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.4
29.8%
35.9%22.2
🏀 Free throws21.416.5
77.1%
75.9%16.5
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.222.2
58.1%
54.8%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.66.9
29.2%
35.9%20.7
🏀 Free throws19.715.1
76.6%
75.9%15.1
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Turk Telekom
LWWWWLWLLL
Tofas
WWWWLWLLWW
#2
League position
#8
+3.5
Net rating
-1.4
93.9
Offensive rating
92.8
90.3
Defensive rating
94.2
50.8%
Effective FG%
52.7%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
15.5%
Turnover %
17.6%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.32
29.8%
3-point %
29.2%
63.3%
Assist %
59.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence93.9 · 92.8Defence90.3 · 94.2Shooting50.8% · 52.7%3-point %29.8% · 29.2%Ball care15.5% · 17.6%Free throws0.35 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Turk Telekom   ■ Tofas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Turk Telekom wins
5
Tofas wins
DateGameScore
31/01/26Turk Telekom v Tofas95-78
11/10/25Tofas v Turk Telekom85-73
21/04/25Turk Telekom v Tofas86-72
22/12/24Tofas v Turk Telekom93-82
16/03/24Turk Telekom v Tofas87-83
18/11/23Tofas v Turk Telekom79-62
08/04/23Tofas v Turk Telekom91-94
03/12/22Turk Telekom v Tofas89-77
08/01/22Tofas v Turk Telekom95-93 OT
25/09/21Turk Telekom v Tofas72-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26APetkim Spor84-88
10/11/26ACluj-Napoca89-81
07/11/26HKorfez Basket94-82
04/11/26HFrankfurt98-78
01/11/26AEsenler Erokspor89-71
28/10/26ALondon Lions61-79
24/10/26HDenizli Basket97-76
20/10/26HSiauliai84-94
17/10/26ABordo Bandirma66-79
14/10/26AVenezia65-75
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HTrabzonspor75-61
10/11/26ATrento96-86
08/11/26AAnadolu Efes93-87
03/11/26HNeptunas94-79
01/11/26AFenerbahce77-88
28/10/26ASlask Wroclaw90-74
25/10/26HPetkim Spor72-74
21/10/26ABasket Napoli101-105 OT
17/10/26AKorfez Basket71-69
14/10/26HBuducnost90-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Turk Telekom
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL75%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game83.688.079.2
Allowed / game75.073.276.8
Point differential+8.6+14.8+2.5
Avg total158.6161.2156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game80.579.082.0
Allowed / game82.077.886.2
Point differential-1.5+1.2-4.2
Avg total162.5156.8168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bahcesehir Kol.87188%92.882.9+9.9
2 Turk Telekom86275%83.675.0+8.6
3 Fenerbahce86275%85.679.0+6.6
4 Anadolu Efes85362%84.679.1+5.5
5 Petkim Spor85362%84.283.6+0.6
6 Galatasaray84450%87.679.8+7.9
7 Besiktas84450%83.184.4-1.2
8 Tofas84450%80.582.0-1.5
9 Trabzonspor84450%80.282.2-2.0
10 Karsiyaka84450%80.582.6-2.1
11 Esenler Erokspor84450%79.685.8-6.1
12 Bordo Bandirma83538%82.485.5-3.1
13 Korfez Basket83538%82.085.2-3.2
14 Cayirova82625%83.989.6-5.8
15 Denizli Basket82625%83.188.9-5.8
16 Bursaspor81712%74.482.6-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.