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Basket Napoli vs Tofas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 105-101 (OT)
29-20 24-22 20-24 20-27 12-8
Position#3
Record3-0
FormWWWWL
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game77.7
vs
Position#6
Record3-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game78.7
EuropeEurocupRound 4· PalaBarbuto
European cup2026
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Basket Napoli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tofas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Basket NapoliLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#9
W
84-74
84
74
+10
H25/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
80-91
80
91
-11
A03/05
Lega A
Udine
#13
W
98-71
98
71
+27
H10/05
Lega A
Maxima Roma
#8
W
94-75
94
75
+19
A27/09
Lega A
JL Bourg
#25
W
84-76
84
76
+8
H30/09
Eurocup
Reggiana
#11
W
99-93
99
93
+6
H03/10
Lega A
Buducnost
#18
W
93-75
93
75
+18
A06/10
Eurocup
Cantu
#16
W
99-80
99
80
+19
A11/10
Lega A
Slask Wroclaw
#29
W
86-82
86
82
+4
A14/10
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
82-98
82
98
-16
H18/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-17
20-20
29-8
25-29
26-24
22-18
15-21
17-28
16-21
26-15
29-22
27-13
21-18
24-24
26-12
23-21
19-17
28-20
18-13
19-26
23-34
27-15
26-28
23-16
25-19
28-14
22-18
18-24
20-19
29-22
17-20
33-19
22-18
18-19
21-24
25-21
25-18
13-23
23-25
21-32
171.4Avg total
89.9Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)87.777.7165.3+10.0100%
Season at home (1)84.076.0160.0+8.0100%
Season away (2)89.578.5168.0+11.0100%
Last 10 (10)89.981.5171.4+8.480%
Last 5 (5)91.885.6177.4+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)79.494.6174.0-15.10%
vs Similar ◀ (17)86.483.4169.8+2.953%
vs Weaker (6)92.580.2172.7+12.3100%
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
76-78
76
78
-2
A25/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#15
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H03/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
W
73-71
73
71
+2
H10/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bordo Bandirma
#14
W
90-89
90
89
+1
H25/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Chemnitz
#5
W
82-69
82
69
+13
H29/09
Eurocup
Denizli Basket
#13
L
87-101
87
101
-14
A03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
JL Bourg
#25
W
89-82
89
82
+7
A06/10
Eurocup
Esenler Erokspor
#4
L
79-87
79
87
-8
H10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buducnost
#18
W
90-85
90
85
+5
H14/10
Eurocup
Korfez Basket
#9
W
71-69
71
69
+2
A17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
20-21
14-17
28-21
23-20
24-26
14-11
26-21
13-21
22-26
24-11
14-13
27-16
21-31
27-21
15-21
22-15
24-15
14-23
22-16
22-30
14-20
25-25
26-26
18-21
31-19
18-24
22-18
17-29
17-19
25-11
20-28
22-25
30-19
19-20
19-21
19-20
7-15
15-19
30-15
163.3Avg total
82.4Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)87.078.7165.7+8.3100%
Season at home (2)86.077.0163.0+9.0100%
Season away (1)89.082.0171.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.480.9163.3+1.570%
Last 5 (5)83.284.8168.0-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)81.288.5169.7-7.49%
vs Similar ◀ (10)82.788.2170.9-5.530%
vs Weaker (9)90.084.8174.8+5.289%
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +2.2+2.2
Basket NapoliTofas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Basket NapoliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#9
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H25/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A03/05
Lega A
Udine
#13
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H10/05
Lega A
Maxima Roma
#8
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A27/09
Lega A
JL Bourg
#25
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H30/09
Eurocup
Reggiana
#11
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H03/10
Lega A
Buducnost
#18
W
53-33
53
33
+20
A06/10
Eurocup
Cantu
#16
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A11/10
Lega A
Slask Wroclaw
#29
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A14/10
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H18/10
Lega A
83.7Avg total
44.2Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.340.783.0+1.667%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.537.979.3+3.667%-
Last 30 away (15)43.143.686.7-0.567%-
Last 10 (10)44.239.583.7+4.780%-
Last 5 (5)46.040.286.2+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.644.984.4-5.343%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)41.639.481.0+2.365%-
vs Weaker (6)47.339.887.2+7.5100%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A25/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#15
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H03/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H10/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bordo Bandirma
#14
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H25/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Chemnitz
#5
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H29/09
Eurocup
Denizli Basket
#13
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
JL Bourg
#25
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A06/10
Eurocup
Esenler Erokspor
#4
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buducnost
#18
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H14/10
Eurocup
Korfez Basket
#9
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
83.4Avg total
40.7Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.143.986.0-1.847%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.945.086.9-3.144%-
Last 30 away (14)42.342.684.9-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)40.742.783.4-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)39.443.482.8-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)41.042.583.5-1.545%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)39.646.085.6-6.420%-
vs Weaker (9)46.143.289.3+2.978%-
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Basket Napolitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Napoli: 89.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.721.1
57.5%
54.0%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.711.0
38.3%
34.0%33.0
🏀 Free throws21.114.7
69.7%
75.6%14.7
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.221.4
59.1%
54.0%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.16.1
26.4%
34.0%18.3
🏀 Free throws23.217.4
75.0%
75.6%17.4
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Basket Napoli
LWWWWWWWLW
Tofas
WWLWLWWWWL
#3
League position
#6
+10.1
Net rating
+0.1
101.8
Offensive rating
91.1
91.7
Defensive rating
90.9
57.5%
Effective FG%
51.5%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
15.5%
Turnover %
17.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.39
38.3%
3-point %
26.4%
60.7%
Assist %
62.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence101.8 · 91.1Defence91.7 · 90.9Shooting57.5% · 51.5%3-point %38.3% · 26.4%Ball care15.5% · 17.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Basket Napoli   ■ Tofas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Basket Napoli wins
0
Tofas wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/26HOlimpia Milano82-98
14/10/26ASlask Wroclaw86-82
11/10/26ACantu99-80
06/10/26ABuducnost93-75
03/10/26HReggiana99-93
30/09/26HJL Bourg84-76
27/09/26AMaxima Roma94-75
10/05/26HUdine98-71
03/05/26AReggiana80-91
25/04/26HTrento84-74
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/26AKorfez Basket71-69
14/10/26HBuducnost90-85
10/10/26HEsenler Erokspor79-87
06/10/26AJL Bourg89-82
03/10/26ADenizli Basket87-101
29/09/26HChemnitz82-69
25/09/26HBordo Bandirma90-89
10/05/26HPetkim Spor73-71
03/05/26HKarsiyaka87-78
25/04/26ABahcesehir Kol.76-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Basket Napoli
Eurocup 2026
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game87.784.089.5
Allowed / game77.776.078.5
Point differential+10.0+8.0+11.0
Avg total165.3160.0168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tofas
Eurocup 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game87.086.089.0
Allowed / game78.777.082.0
Point differential+8.3+9.0+7.0
Avg total165.7163.0171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Aris440100%94.575.2+19.2
2 Hapoel Jerusalem330100%84.773.7+11.0
3 Basket Napoli330100%87.777.7+10.0
4 Tofas330100%87.078.7+8.3
5 Bahcesehir Kol.43175%92.278.0+14.2
6 Chemnitz43175%86.278.2+8.0
7 Tenerife43175%89.882.2+7.5
8 PAOK43175%85.280.8+4.5
9 Lietkabelis43175%80.276.8+3.5
10 Venezia32167%90.378.3+12.0
11 Rigas Zelli32167%87.083.3+3.7
12 London Lions42250%81.276.0+5.2
13 Buducnost42250%90.886.8+4.0
14 Le Mans42250%80.878.0+2.8
15 Manresa42250%93.892.5+1.2
16 Ulm42250%91.891.2+0.5
17 Tortona42250%82.584.0-1.5
18 Siauliai42250%78.581.8-3.2
19 BC Roma42250%83.889.5-5.8
20 Cluj-Napoca42250%79.586.2-6.8
21 Frankfurt42250%81.588.8-7.2
22 Maxima Roma31233%79.081.0-2.0
23 KK Bosna41325%80.882.2-1.5
24 JL Bourg41325%84.286.2-2.0
25 Turk Telekom41325%79.082.0-3.0
26 San Pablo Burgos41325%82.087.0-5.0
27 Neptunas41325%84.890.5-5.8
28 Trento41325%79.086.2-7.2
29 Slask Wroclaw41325%79.590.2-10.8
30 Rostock41325%77.293.0-15.8
31 Cedevita Olimpija4040%72.583.2-10.8
32 Balkan4040%68.285.0-16.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Basket Napoli2924202012105
Tofas202224278101
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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