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Turun NMKY W vs LePy W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 77-57
15-15 27-16 11-13 24-13
Position#5
Record10-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game60.4
vs
Position#7
Record9-6
FormLLWWW
Points / game63.0
Allowed / game60.3
FinlandI Divisioona Women· Nunnavuoren palloiluhalli
Women2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Turun NMKY W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
LePy W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Turun NMKY WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Pyrinto II W
#4
L
40-54
40
54
-14
19avg 64
A09/11
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#10
W
96-62
96
62
+34
92avg 64
H28/11
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#8
L
66-72
66
72
-6
58avg 64
A07/12
I Divisioona Women
PeKa II W
#16
W
88-51
88
51
+37
85avg 64
A11/12
I Divisioona Women
Feeniks Basket W
#11
W
68-38
68
38
+30
65avg 64
H19/12
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#2
L
70-71
70
71
-1
48avg 64
A11/01
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#1
W
72-63
72
63
+9
no box
H16/01
I Divisioona Women
Lappeenranta W
#14
W
78-51
78
51
+27
72avg 64
H25/01
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#15
W
85-64
85
64
+21
78avg 64
A01/02
I Divisioona Women
Salon Vilpas W
#17
W
92-50
92
50
+42
90avg 64
H03/02
I Divisioona Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-13
7-14
13-12
12-15
27-21
31-6
20-16
18-19
22-24
12-20
15-14
17-14
30-9
13-18
24-6
21-18
21-6
12-6
23-19
12-7
18-21
15-15
17-10
20-25
23-18
15-12
15-16
19-17
14-11
30-17
17-11
17-12
24-16
17-14
19-15
25-19
25-9
26-14
24-13
17-14
133.1Avg total
75.5Scored
57.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)73.760.4134.1+13.371%
Season at home (7)78.455.9134.3+22.6100%
Season away (7)69.065.0134.0+4.043%
Last 10 (10)75.557.6133.1+17.970%
Last 5 (5)79.459.8139.2+19.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.475.9153.3+1.657%
vs Similar (4)72.065.2137.2+6.825%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)77.264.1141.3+13.168%
This opponent (LePy W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LePy WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Lappeenranta W
#14
W
66-61
66
61
+5
52avg 54
A16/11
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#4
L
44-73
44
73
-29
25avg 54
H23/11
I Divisioona Women
Jyvaskyla BA W
#13
L
58-80
58
80
-22
43avg 54
H30/11
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#10
W
58-52
58
52
+6
44avg 54
A07/12
I Divisioona Women
PeKa II W
#16
L
47-70
47
70
-23
28avg 54
H18/12
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#6
L
68-73
68
73
-5
61avg 54
A08/01
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#2
L
42-52
42
52
-10
no box
H18/01
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#8
W
73-53
73
53
+20
76avg 54
H25/01
I Divisioona Women
HNMKY W
#9
W
67-53
67
53
+14
62avg 54
A01/02
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#15
W
75-41
75
41
+34
64avg 54
H08/02
I Divisioona Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-11
16-13
22-17
19-20
11-19
13-19
12-19
8-16
26-15
10-23
8-19
14-23
11-18
19-12
15-16
13-6
11-25
13-21
10-8
13-16
19-26
18-15
13-12
18-20
4-16
19-14
14-18
5-4
15-12
23-15
17-12
18-14
16-9
13-13
17-12
21-19
16-9
20-13
20-9
19-10
120.6Avg total
59.8Scored
60.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)63.060.3123.3+2.760%
Season at home (8)61.059.2120.2+1.850%
Season away (7)65.361.4126.7+3.971%
Last 10 (10)59.860.8120.6-1.050%
Last 5 (5)65.054.4119.4+10.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)54.459.9114.3-5.540%
vs Similar (7)62.663.0125.6-0.457%
vs Weaker (13)70.853.2124.0+17.785%
This opponent (Turun NMKY W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.4+6.4Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +0.0+0.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.4+6.4Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +0.0+0.0
Turun NMKY WLePy W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Turun NMKY WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pyrinto II W
#4
L
15-27
15
27
-12
A09/11
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#10
W
58-27
58
27
+31
H28/11
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#8
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A07/12
I Divisioona Women
PeKa II W
#16
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A11/12
I Divisioona Women
Feeniks Basket W
#11
W
33-12
33
12
+21
H19/12
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#2
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A11/01
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#1
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H16/01
I Divisioona Women
Lappeenranta W
#14
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H25/01
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#15
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A01/02
I Divisioona Women
Salon Vilpas W
#17
W
51-23
51
23
+28
H03/02
I Divisioona Women
67.4Avg total
39.0Scored
28.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.031.270.3+7.873%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.128.972.1+14.293%-
Last 30 away (16)35.433.268.7+2.256%-
Last 10 (10)39.028.467.4+10.670%-
Last 5 (5)41.429.470.8+12.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.736.676.3+3.171%-
vs Similar (4)36.030.066.0+6.075%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)39.429.568.9+9.974%-
This opponent (LePy W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LePy WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lappeenranta W
#14
W
25-24
25
24
+1
A16/11
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#4
L
24-38
24
38
-14
H23/11
I Divisioona Women
Jyvaskyla BA W
#13
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H30/11
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#10
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A07/12
I Divisioona Women
PeKa II W
#16
L
24-46
24
46
-22
H18/12
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#6
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A08/01
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#2
L
23-30
23
30
-7
H18/01
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#8
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H25/01
I Divisioona Women
HNMKY W
#9
W
29-22
29
22
+7
A01/02
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#15
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H08/02
I Divisioona Women
62.0Avg total
30.2Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.729.260.9+2.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)30.830.160.9+0.644%-
Last 30 away (14)32.928.161.0+4.757%-
Last 10 (10)30.231.862.0-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)32.628.461.0+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)27.528.355.8-0.840%-
vs Similar (7)30.932.963.7-2.029%-
vs Weaker (13)35.527.963.4+7.569%-
This opponent (Turun NMKY W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Turun NMKY Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Turun NMKY W: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.8 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.315.3
44.6%
41.2%30.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.211.2
30.1%
25.8%33.6
🏀 Free throws18.011.0
61.1%
63.9%11.0
They take 71.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
LePy Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

LePy W: 60.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.8 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.313.5
38.2%
41.2%27.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.98.0
22.3%
25.8%24.0
🏀 Free throws13.89.5
68.8%
63.9%9.5
They take 71.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Turun NMKY W
WWWWLWWLWL
LePy W
WWWLLLWLLW
#5
League position
#7
+19.4
Net rating
-4.2
84.7
Offensive rating
72.4
65.4
Defensive rating
76.6
44.9%
Effective FG%
35.8%
36.7%
Opp. effective FG%
47.6%
22.7%
Turnover %
24.6%
36.9%
Off. rebound %
39.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.19
30.1%
3-point %
22.3%
66.4%
Assist %
81.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence84.7 · 72.4Defence65.4 · 76.6Shooting44.9% · 35.8%3-point %30.1% · 22.3%Ball care22.7% · 24.6%Off. rebounds36.9% · 39.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Turun NMKY W   ■ LePy W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Turun NMKY W wins
1
LePy W wins
DateGameScore
19/01/25LePy W v Turun NMKY W70-69
17/12/23LePy W v Turun NMKY W55-64
Turun NMKY Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/26HSalon Vilpas W92-50
01/02/26AHyPo W85-64
25/01/26HLappeenranta W78-51
16/01/26HEspoo Team II W72-63
11/01/26ATorpan Pojat Helsinki II W70-71
19/12/25HFeeniks Basket W68-38
11/12/25APeKa II W88-51
07/12/25APantterit W66-72
28/11/25HLahti Basketball W96-62
09/11/25APyrinto II W40-54
LePy Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/26HHyPo W75-41
01/02/26AHNMKY W67-53
25/01/26HPantterit W73-53
18/01/26HTorpan Pojat Helsinki II W42-52
08/01/26ATapiolan Honka II W68-73
18/12/25HPeKa II W47-70
07/12/25ALahti Basketball W58-52
30/11/25HJyvaskyla BA W58-80
23/11/25HPyrinto II W44-73
16/11/25ALappeenranta W66-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Turun NMKY W
I Divisioona Women 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW71%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %71%100%43%
Points / game73.778.469.0
Allowed / game60.455.965.0
Point differential+13.3+22.6+4.0
Avg total134.1134.3134.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%71%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
LePy W
I Divisioona Women 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW60%
HomeLLLWW50%
AwayLWWLW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %60%50%71%
Points / game63.061.065.3
Allowed / game60.359.261.4
Point differential+2.7+1.8+3.9
Avg total123.3120.2126.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%38%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Espoo Team II W1413193%87.556.3+31.2
2 Pantterit W1411379%71.358.9+12.4
3 Pyrinto II W1411379%65.454.5+10.9
4 Turun NMKY W1410471%73.760.4+13.3
5 Puhuttaret W1410471%67.157.6+9.5
6 Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W149564%70.063.2+6.8
7 LePy W159660%63.060.3+2.7
8 Tapiolan Honka II W148657%73.666.1+7.4
9 HNMKY W157847%62.962.5+0.4
10 PeKa II W146843%61.163.1-2.0
11 Lahti Basketball W145936%61.366.9-5.6
12 Feeniks Basket W145936%56.463.6-7.2
13 Huima W145936%62.471.6-9.3
14 Jyvaskyla BA W145936%57.967.9-10.0
15 Lappeenranta W1431121%59.271.6-12.4
16 HyPo W1421214%55.178.4-23.4
17 Salon Vilpas W141137%54.479.4-25.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Turun NMKY W1527112477
LePy W1516131357
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