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LePy W vs Turun NMKY W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 55-64
15-24 16-10 12-13 12-17
Position#11
Record4-6
FormWLWLL
Points / game55.7
Allowed / game64.5
LePy W
Finland
vs
Turun NMKY W 🏆
Finland
Position#4
Record6-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game60.9
Allowed / game63.7
FinlandI Divisioona Women· Leppavaara Sports hall
Women2023-24
Meetings · LePy W v Turun NMKY W
19 Jan 2025
LEPY70
TURU69
17 Dec 2023
LEPY55
TURU64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

LePy W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Turun NMKY W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LePy WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Kataja W
#16
W
61-55
61
55
+6
52avg 43
H08/10
I Divisioona Women
Jyvaskyla BA W
#10
W
57-55
57
55
+2
43avg 43
A15/10
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
L
45-82
45
82
-37
31avg 43
H22/10
I Divisioona Women
Lappeenranta W
#6
L
45-46
45
46
-1
31avg 43
A29/10
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
L
53-69
53
69
-16
38avg 43
A05/11
I Divisioona Women
BC Nokia W
#1
W
66-65
66
65
+1
62avg 43
H12/11
I Divisioona Women
HBA W
#9
L
73-78
73
78
-5
70avg 43
A17/11
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#8
W
65-59 OT
65
59
+6
no box
A25/11
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#13
L
47-74
47
74
-27
28avg 43
H03/12
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#3
L
45-62
45
62
-17
30avg 43
A06/12
I Divisioona Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-11
14-18
17-11
11-15
10-5
9-20
21-10
17-20
9-17
10-23
12-26
14-16
10-18
15-10
12-12
8-6
18-20
14-16
6-22
15-11
19-20
26-19
11-15
10-11
17-23
27-13
14-19
15-23
18-16
8-15
13-9
13-12
13-19
10-21
16-21
8-13
5-21
19-26
14-5
7-10
120.2Avg total
55.7Scored
64.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)55.764.5120.2-8.840%
Season at home (4)54.869.0123.8-14.250%
Season away (6)56.361.5117.8-5.233%
Last 10 (10)55.764.5120.2-8.840%
Last 5 (5)59.267.6126.8-8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)54.867.4122.2-12.640%
vs Similar ◀ (4)55.563.2118.8-7.825%
vs Weaker (1)61.055.0116.0+6.0100%
This opponent (Turun NMKY W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Turun NMKY WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Pantterit W
#14
W
60-57
60
57
+3
55avg 48
H08/10
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#8
L
37-73
37
73
-36
28avg 48
A15/10
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#12
L
74-81
74
81
-7
70avg 48
A22/10
I Divisioona Women
Korihait W
#15
W
82-75 OT
82
75
+7
no box
H29/10
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#13
W
60-52
60
52
+8
38avg 48
A01/11
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#3
W
67-59
67
59
+8
56avg 48
H08/11
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#2
W
60-56
60
56
+4
54avg 48
A17/11
I Divisioona Women
Kataja W
#16
W
74-59
74
59
+15
61avg 48
H26/11
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
L
56-72
56
72
-16
42avg 48
A03/12
I Divisioona Women
BC Nokia W
#1
L
39-53
39
53
-14
27avg 48
H10/12
I Divisioona Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-13
9-14
22-17
12-13
8-22
13-15
8-18
8-18
23-21
20-16
21-24
10-20
20-20
18-14
16-12
10-18
15-14
15-15
16-19
14-4
20-18
13-13
20-10
14-18
17-15
10-10
24-15
9-16
20-15
17-17
26-14
11-13
11-24
8-27
16-13
21-8
11-22
9-4
8-12
11-15
124.6Avg total
60.9Scored
63.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)60.963.7124.6-2.860%
Season at home (5)64.460.6125.0+3.880%
Season away (5)57.466.8124.2-9.440%
Last 10 (10)60.963.7124.6-2.860%
Last 5 (5)59.259.8119.0-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)55.469.9125.3-14.529%
vs Similar ◀ (2)67.066.5133.5+0.550%
vs Weaker (4)71.558.2129.8+13.2100%
This opponent (LePy W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -2.3-2.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -2.3-2.3
LePy WTurun NMKY W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LePy WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kataja W
#16
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H08/10
I Divisioona Women
Jyvaskyla BA W
#10
L
19-25
19
25
-6
A15/10
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
L
19-40
19
40
-21
H22/10
I Divisioona Women
Lappeenranta W
#6
L
25-28
25
28
-3
A29/10
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A05/11
I Divisioona Women
BC Nokia W
#1
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H12/11
I Divisioona Women
HBA W
#9
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A17/11
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#8
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A25/11
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#13
L
23-40
23
40
-17
H03/12
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#3
L
24-47
24
47
-23
A06/12
I Divisioona Women
64.1Avg total
29.0Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (10)29.035.164.1-6.130%-
Last 30 at home (4)30.037.067.0-7.050%-
Last 30 away (6)28.333.862.2-5.517%-
Last 10 (10)29.035.164.1-6.130%-
Last 5 (5)32.438.671.0-6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)29.238.667.8-9.420%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)27.832.260.0-4.525%-
vs Weaker (1)33.029.062.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Turun NMKY W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Turun NMKY WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pantterit W
#14
L
26-27
26
27
-1
H08/10
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#8
L
21-37
21
37
-16
A15/10
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#12
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A22/10
I Divisioona Women
Korihait W
#15
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H29/10
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#13
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A01/11
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#3
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H08/11
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#2
W
27-25
27
25
+2
A17/11
I Divisioona Women
Kataja W
#16
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H26/11
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
L
19-51
19
51
-32
A03/12
I Divisioona Women
BC Nokia W
#1
L
20-26
20
26
-6
H10/12
I Divisioona Women
62.3Avg total
29.4Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)27.734.362.0-6.540%-
Last 30 at home (14)28.434.362.7-5.943%-
Last 30 away (16)27.134.261.4-7.138%-
Last 10 (10)29.432.962.3-3.560%-
Last 5 (5)27.233.060.2-5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)26.135.061.1-8.829%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)36.533.069.5+3.5100%-
vs Weaker (4)33.030.863.8+2.275%-
This opponent (LePy W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
LePy Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

LePy W: 54.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.1 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.5 points a game
51%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.814.6
36.6%
40.2%29.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.95.2
22.8%
24.5%15.7
🏀 Free throws17.29.8
56.8%
63.2%9.8
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Turun NMKY Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Turun NMKY W: 57.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers13.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.5 points a game
51%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.316.8
35.4%
40.2%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.94.4
20.3%
24.5%13.3
🏀 Free throws16.911.0
65.1%
63.2%11.0
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/9 games with a box score before 17 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
LePy W
LLWLWLLLWW
Turun NMKY W
LLWWWWWLLW
#11
League position
#4
-12.9
Net rating
-4.8
69.5
Offensive rating
72.0
82.4
Defensive rating
76.9
35.7%
Effective FG%
33.9%
39.2%
Opp. effective FG%
39.5%
26.8%
Turnover %
28.2%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
39.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.24
22.8%
3-point %
20.3%
61.2%
Assist %
68.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence69.5 · 72.0Defence82.4 · 76.9Shooting35.7% · 33.9%3-point %22.8% · 20.3%Ball care26.8% · 28.2%Off. rebounds28.9% · 39.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ LePy W   ■ Turun NMKY W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
LePy W wins
0
Turun NMKY W wins
No previous meetings.
LePy Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/23APuhuttaret W45-62
03/12/23HHyPo W47-74
25/11/23ATapiolan Honka II W65-59 OT
17/11/23AHBA W73-78
12/11/23HBC Nokia W66-65
05/11/23ALahti Basketball W53-69
29/10/23ALappeenranta W45-46
22/10/23HPyrinto II W45-82
15/10/23AJyvaskyla BA W57-55
08/10/23HKataja W61-55
Turun NMKY Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23HBC Nokia W39-53
03/12/23ALahti Basketball W56-72
26/11/23HKataja W74-59
17/11/23ATorpan Pojat Helsinki II W60-56
08/11/23HPuhuttaret W67-59
01/11/23AHyPo W60-52
29/10/23HKorihait W82-75 OT
22/10/23AEspoo Team II W74-81
15/10/23ATapiolan Honka II W37-73
08/10/23HPantterit W60-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

LePy W
I Divisioona Women 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL40%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game55.754.856.3
Allowed / game64.569.061.5
Point differential-8.8-14.2-5.2
Avg total120.2123.8117.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %10%0%17%
Turun NMKY W
I Divisioona Women 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL60%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%80%40%
Points / game60.964.457.4
Allowed / game63.760.666.8
Point differential-2.8+3.8-9.4
Avg total124.6125.0124.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %10%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Nokia W1110191%73.959.7+14.2
2 Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W119282%73.262.9+10.3
3 Lahti Basketball W118373%66.258.8+7.4
4 Lappeenranta W107370%59.356.7+2.6
5 Turun NMKY W106460%60.963.7-2.8
6 Espoo Team II W95456%67.867.8+0.0
7 HBA W116555%65.765.3+0.5
8 Pyrinto II W115645%66.463.8+2.5
9 Puhuttaret W104640%67.667.0+0.6
10 Korihait W104640%65.369.5-4.2
11 LePy W104640%55.764.5-8.8
12 Tapiolan Honka II W114736%70.065.3+4.7
13 HyPo W114736%62.563.9-1.4
14 Jyvaskyla BA W114736%64.267.8-3.6
15 Pantterit W113827%63.668.8-5.2
16 Kataja W101910%50.169.8-19.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
LePy W1516121255
Turun NMKY W2410131764
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