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South Alabama vs Mercer Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 75-66
42-32 33-34
Position#83
Record1-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game64.7
Allowed / game67.3
vs
Position#264
Record2-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game96.7
Allowed / game64.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

South Alabama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mercer winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

South AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas State
#214
W
72-55
72
55
+17
H16/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
L
73-76
73
76
-3
H17/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
W
83-64
83
64
+19
A23/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
L
78-95
78
95
-17
A24/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
W
73-70
73
70
+3
H29/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H02/03
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
L
71-76
71
76
-5
H07/03
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
L
70-74
70
74
-4
H05/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
W
70-64
70
64
+6
A09/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
L
54-64
54
64
-10
A13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-18
37-37
31-36
42-40
36-28
47-36
36-47
42-48
36-36
37-34
34-36
46-33
34-37
37-39
23-38
47-36
30-24
40-40
26-38
28-26
143.1Avg total
72.4Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)64.767.3132.0-2.733%
Season at home (1)70.074.0144.0-4.00%
Season away (2)62.064.0126.0-2.050%
Last 10 (10)72.470.7143.1+1.750%
Last 5 (5)69.069.4138.4-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)67.280.0147.2-12.812%
vs Similar (16)75.672.2147.8+3.462%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)70.068.5138.5+1.550%
This opponent (Mercer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samford
#12
W
88-84
88
84
+4
H17/02
NCAA
Citadel
#311
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H22/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
W
86-72
86
72
+14
H24/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
L
75-84
75
84
-9
A29/02
NCAA
Furman
#191
W
82-75
82
75
+7
A02/03
NCAA
Citadel
#311
W
84-76
84
76
+8
H08/03
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
57-70
57
70
-13
A09/03
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#673
W
125-54
125
54
+71
H08/11
NCAA
DePaul
#269
L
64-95
64
95
-31
A12/11
NCAA
Trinity Baptist
#528
W
101-43
101
43
+58
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
38-40
50-44
41-38
46-40
38-39
48-33
33-41
42-43
34-29
48-46
37-27
47-49
28-37
29-33
59-29
66-25
22-51
42-44
45-13
56-30
158.0Avg total
84.9Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)96.764.0160.7+32.767%
Season at home (2)113.048.5161.5+64.5100%
Season away (1)64.095.0159.0-31.00%
Last 10 (10)84.973.1158.0+11.870%
Last 5 (5)86.267.6153.8+18.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)70.474.7145.1-4.445%
vs Similar (13)69.373.2142.5-3.838%
vs Weaker (4)100.557.5158.0+43.0100%
This opponent (South Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: -1.7-1.71st half: +3.1+3.12nd half2nd half: +3.4+3.42nd half: +8.7+8.7
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: -1.7-1.71st half: +3.1+3.12nd half2nd half: +3.4+3.42nd half: +8.7+8.7
South AlabamaMercer
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
South AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas State
#214
W
35-18
35
18
+17
H16/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H17/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A23/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A24/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H29/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H02/03
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H07/03
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
L
23-38
23
38
-15
H05/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
W
30-24
30
24
+6
A09/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A13/11
NCAA
65.9Avg total
32.1Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.435.269.7-0.840%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.134.571.6+2.650%-
Last 30 away (14)31.436.167.5-4.629%-
Last 10 (10)32.133.865.9-1.730%-
Last 5 (5)29.434.664.0-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)30.936.667.5-5.812%-
vs Similar (16)35.634.670.2+1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)30.036.066.0-6.025%-
This opponent (Mercer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samford
#12
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H17/02
NCAA
Citadel
#311
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H22/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H24/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A29/02
NCAA
Furman
#191
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A02/03
NCAA
Citadel
#311
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H08/03
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A09/03
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#673
W
59-29
59
29
+30
H08/11
NCAA
DePaul
#269
L
22-51
22
51
-29
A12/11
NCAA
Trinity Baptist
#528
W
45-13
45
13
+32
H14/11
NCAA
71.9Avg total
37.5Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.533.869.3+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.531.769.2+5.861%-
Last 30 away (12)32.636.969.5-4.333%-
Last 10 (10)37.534.471.9+3.150%-
Last 5 (5)38.231.469.6+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)31.536.067.5-4.518%-
vs Similar (13)33.134.567.6-1.554%-
vs Weaker (4)50.227.077.2+23.2100%-
This opponent (South Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
South Alabama wins
0
Mercer wins
DateGameScore
06/12/23Mercer v South Alabama62-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/24AOle Miss54-64
09/11/24ANicholls State70-64
05/11/24HCentral Michigan70-74
07/03/24HGeorgia Southern71-76
02/03/24HLouisiana Monroe80-69
29/02/24HSouthern Miss73-70
24/02/24AArkansas State78-95
23/02/24ASouthern Miss83-64
17/02/24HArkansas State73-76
16/02/24HTexas State72-55
Mercerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/24HTrinity Baptist101-43
12/11/24ADePaul64-95
08/11/24HVirginia-Lynchburg125-54
09/03/24ASamford57-70
08/03/24HCitadel84-76
02/03/24AFurman82-75
29/02/24AChattanooga Mocs75-84
24/02/24HNC Greensboro86-72
22/02/24HCitadel87-78
17/02/24HSamford88-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

South Alabama
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game64.770.062.0
Allowed / game67.374.064.0
Point differential-2.7-4.0-2.0
Avg total132.0144.0126.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mercer
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game96.7113.064.0
Allowed / game64.048.595.0
Point differential+32.7+64.5-31.0
Avg total160.7161.5159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arkansas State43175%74.568.8+5.8
2 Georgia Southern43175%80.875.2+5.5
3 James Madison32167%85.771.0+14.7
4 Marshall32167%82.370.0+12.3
5 Southern Miss32167%88.377.0+11.3
6 Troy32167%70.366.7+3.7
7 Texas State42250%74.263.5+10.8
8 Louisiana Monroe52340%79.070.0+9.0
9 Appalachian State31233%75.772.7+3.0
10 South Alabama31233%64.767.3-2.7
11 Coastal Carolina31233%63.067.0-4.0
12 Louisiana Lafayette31233%64.375.3-11.0
13 Georgia State31233%68.079.7-11.7
14 Old Dominion41325%68.585.8-17.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Furman440100%83.264.0+19.2
2 VMI54180%86.464.4+22.0
3 Samford43175%97.873.5+24.2
4 Citadel43175%74.857.8+17.0
5 Mercer32167%96.764.0+32.7
6 Western Carolina32167%84.364.0+20.3
7 East Tennessee St32167%77.362.3+15.0
8 NC Greensboro32167%80.066.3+13.7
9 Wofford41325%71.073.2-2.2
10 Chattanooga Mocs41325%65.573.0-7.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
South Alabama423375
Mercer323466
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