U. De Concepcion vs Deportes Castro Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 15 May 2023

Tip-off: 23:00

Final 97-70

22-16 24-23 25-17 26-14

Position#1

Record26-3

FormLWWWW

Points / game95.7

Allowed / game72.3

U. De Concepcion 🏆

Deportes Castro

Position#9

Record15-13

FormWLWWL

Points / game77.6

Allowed / game74.8

LNBLNB - Quarter-finals

Other2022-23

Meetings · U. De Concepcion v Deportes Castro

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

U. De Concepcion winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Deportes Castro winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

U. De Concepcion Chile

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Deportes Castro

77-86

-9

A08/04

LNB

Leones Quilpue

92-73

+19

H15/04

LNB

Catolica

#11

91-62

+29

H16/04

LNB

Espanol Osorno

92-83

H21/04

LNB

Las Animas

86-81

H23/04

LNB

Puente Alto

73-83

-10

A30/04

LNB

Quilicura

89-83

A01/05

LNB

CD Puerto Varas

#10

107-69

107

+38

H05/05

LNB

Puerto Montt

#12

115-70

115

+45

H06/05

LNB

Deportes Castro

80-66

+14

H15/05

LNB

18-25

25-26

17-22

17-13

29-13

13-24

30-17

20-19

19-19

28-14

15-13

29-16

26-14

26-25

16-24

24-20

30-20

20-17

19-24

17-20

12-14

15-22

20-23

26-24

22-20

24-21

21-22

28-19

26-8

33-20

20-22

41-23

23-26

21-13

30-8

20-12

21-21

16-13

23-20

165.8Avg total

90.2Scored

75.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	95.7	72.3	168.0	+23.4	90%
Season at home (15)	100.5	69.8	170.3	+30.7	100%
Season away (14)	90.5	74.9	165.4	+15.6	79%
Last 10 (10)	90.2	75.6	165.8	+14.6	80%
Last 5 (5)	92.8	74.2	167.0	+18.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	71.0	94.3	165.3	-23.3	0%
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	94.3	72.9	167.2	+21.4	89%

This opponent (Deportes Castro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Deportes Castro Chile

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Quilicura

90-72

+18

A02/04

LNB

U. De Concepcion

86-77

H08/04

LNB

CD Puerto Varas

#10

69-78

-9

A15/04

LNB

Puerto Montt

#12

107-65

107

+42

A16/04

LNB

Valdivia

77-81

-4

A23/04

LNB

Catolica

#11

91-65

+26

H29/04

LNB

Leones Quilpue

64-67

-3

H29/04

LNB

Tinguiririca

#15

92-61

+31

A05/05

LNB

Espanol de Talca

#13

90-64

+26

A06/05

LNB

U. De Concepcion

66-80

-14

A15/05

LNB

16-18

22-20

29-15

23-19

25-18

26-25

22-17

13-17

12-22

25-16

17-23

15-17

26-20

33-16

24-10

24-19

19-24

21-22

21-15

16-20

24-12

21-20

24-20

22-13

17-12

23-18

14-21

10-16

14-9

31-19

18-13

29-20

24-17

16-18

25-10

25-19

12-20

21-21

13-16

20-23

154.2Avg total

83.2Scored

71.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	77.6	74.8	152.5	+2.8	54%
Season at home (14)	77.6	68.9	146.5	+8.6	79%
Season away (14)	77.7	80.7	158.4	-3.0	29%
Last 10 (10)	83.2	71.0	154.2	+12.2	60%
Last 5 (5)	80.6	67.4	148.0	+13.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	70.8	80.6	151.4	-9.8	20%
vs Similar (14)	72.0	76.9	148.9	-4.9	43%
vs Weaker (11)	91.0	67.2	158.2	+23.8	91%

This opponent (U. De Concepcion) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

U. De ConcepcionDeportes Castro

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	18.7	41.5	+4.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.5	18.6	43.1	+5.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.3	18.7	40.0	+2.6	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.5	17.9	42.4	+6.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	17.6	42.2	+7.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.3	18.0	34.3	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	23.5	18.7	42.3	+4.8	70%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	17.4	35.9	+1.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	15.7	35.4	+3.9	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	19.0	36.3	-1.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	17.2	36.1	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	14.0	32.2	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	19.0	18.2	37.2	+0.8	60%	-
vs Similar (14)	16.7	19.3	36.0	-2.6	36%	-
vs Weaker (11)	20.5	14.5	35.1	+6.0	91%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.1	19.1	42.1	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.4	17.1	40.5	+6.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.8	20.8	43.6	+1.9	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	20.3	42.2	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	19.4	40.8	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.0	25.3	45.3	-5.3	33%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	23.4	18.4	41.8	+5.0	63%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	19.0	40.2	+2.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	18.8	41.1	+3.5	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.2	19.1	39.3	+1.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	19.5	43.4	+4.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	19.2	41.6	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	18.6	22.2	40.8	-3.6	40%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.6	18.5	38.1	+1.1	64%	-
vs Weaker (11)	24.5	18.1	42.6	+6.5	82%	-

U. De ConcepcionLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Deportes Castro

43-51

-8

A08/04

LNB

Leones Quilpue

42-37

H15/04

LNB

Catolica

#11

47-33

+14

H16/04

LNB

Espanol Osorno

52-39

+13

H21/04

LNB

Las Animas

50-37

+13

H23/04

LNB

Puente Alto

27-36

-9

A30/04

LNB

Quilicura

44-40

A01/05

LNB

CD Puerto Varas

#10

54-27

+27

H05/05

LNB

Puerto Montt

#12

64-49

+15

H06/05

LNB

Deportes Castro

41-33

H15/05

LNB

84.6Avg total

46.4Scored

38.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.9	37.7	83.6	+8.1	77%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	47.9	35.7	83.6	+12.2	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	44.1	39.5	83.6	+4.6	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.4	38.2	84.6	+8.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.0	37.0	83.0	+9.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	36.3	43.3	79.7	-7.0	33%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	46.9	37.1	84.0	+9.8	81%	-

This opponent (Deportes Castro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Deportes CastroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Quilicura

38-38

A02/04

LNB

U. De Concepcion

51-43

H08/04

LNB

CD Puerto Varas

#10

37-38

-1

A15/04

LNB

Puerto Montt

#12

59-36

+23

A16/04

LNB

Valdivia

40-46

-6

A23/04

LNB

Catolica

#11

45-32

+13

H29/04

LNB

Leones Quilpue

40-30

+10

H29/04

LNB

Tinguiririca

#15

45-28

+17

A05/05

LNB

Espanol de Talca

#13

40-35

A06/05

LNB

U. De Concepcion

33-41

-8

A15/05

LNB

79.5Avg total

42.8Scored

36.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	36.3	76.1	+3.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.9	34.5	76.5	+7.4	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.5	38.1	75.7	-0.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.8	36.7	79.5	+6.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	33.2	73.8	+7.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	37.6	40.4	78.0	-2.8	40%	-
vs Similar (14)	36.3	37.8	74.1	-1.5	36%	-
vs Weaker (11)	45.1	32.6	77.7	+12.5	91%	-

This opponent (U. De Concepcion) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.0	19.3	42.3	+3.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.6	19.4	43.1	+4.2	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.4	19.1	41.6	+3.3	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	19.0	40.1	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	18.0	40.8	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.3	28.7	46.0	-11.3	0%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	23.6	18.2	41.9	+5.4	70%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	17.4	35.9	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	17.5	35.7	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	17.3	36.1	+1.6	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	16.0	36.7	+4.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	16.0	34.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	15.4	22.2	37.6	-6.8	20%	-
vs Similar (14)	17.9	17.0	34.9	+0.9	43%	-
vs Weaker (11)	20.6	15.7	36.4	+4.9	73%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.1	18.1	41.2	+5.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.4	16.4	39.8	+7.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.8	19.6	42.4	+3.2	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	18.4	41.1	+4.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	19.2	43.2	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.3	22.3	39.7	-5.0	33%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	23.7	17.6	41.3	+6.1	70%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.1	39.0	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	16.5	35.1	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	21.8	42.9	-0.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	18.3	38.0	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	18.2	39.4	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	17.8	18.0	35.8	-0.2	40%	-
vs Similar (14)	17.0	20.9	37.9	-3.9	29%	-
vs Weaker (11)	24.5	17.4	41.8	+7.1	91%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.1	37.3	83.4	+8.8	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	47.1	35.8	82.9	+11.3	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	45.2	38.7	83.9	+6.6	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.8	37.4	81.2	+6.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.8	37.2	84.0	+9.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	34.7	51.0	85.7	-16.3	0%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	47.4	35.8	83.2	+11.6	78%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	36.5	74.9	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.8	34.0	70.8	+2.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.9	39.1	79.0	+0.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	34.3	74.7	+6.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	34.2	74.2	+5.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	33.2	40.2	73.4	-7.0	40%	-
vs Similar (14)	34.9	37.9	72.9	-3.0	36%	-
vs Weaker (11)	45.1	33.1	78.2	+12.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

U. De Concepcion wins

Deportes Castro wins

Date	Game	Score
15/05/23	U. De Concepcion v Deportes Castro	80-66
08/04/23	Deportes Castro v U. De Concepcion	86-77
29/01/23	U. De Concepcion v Deportes Castro	87-74
28/05/22	Deportes Castro v U. De Concepcion	67-77
22/05/22	U. De Concepcion v Deportes Castro	97-75
22/05/22	U. De Concepcion v Deportes Castro	104-66
10/04/22	Deportes Castro v U. De Concepcion	87-84
09/01/22	U. De Concepcion v Deportes Castro	112-72
25/01/20	U. De Concepcion v Deportes Castro	98-84
07/12/19	Deportes Castro v U. De Concepcion	79-82

U. De Concepcionlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/05/23	H	Deportes Castro	80-66
06/05/23	H	Puerto Montt	115-70
05/05/23	H	CD Puerto Varas	107-69
01/05/23	A	Quilicura	89-83
30/04/23	A	Puente Alto	73-83
23/04/23	H	Las Animas	86-81
21/04/23	H	Espanol Osorno	92-83
16/04/23	H	Catolica	91-62
15/04/23	H	Leones Quilpue	92-73
08/04/23	A	Deportes Castro	77-86

Deportes Castrolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/05/23	A	U. De Concepcion	66-80
06/05/23	A	Espanol de Talca	90-64
05/05/23	A	Tinguiririca	92-61
29/04/23	H	Leones Quilpue	64-67
29/04/23	H	Catolica	91-65
23/04/23	A	Valdivia	77-81
16/04/23	A	Puerto Montt	107-65
15/04/23	A	CD Puerto Varas	69-78
08/04/23	H	U. De Concepcion	86-77
02/04/23	A	Quilicura	90-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

U. De Concepcion

LNB 2022-23

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	90%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WLLLW	79%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	15	14
Win %	90%	100%	79%
Points / game	95.7	100.5	90.5
Allowed / game	72.3	69.8	74.9
Point differential	+23.4	+30.7	+15.6
Avg total	168.0	170.3	165.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	76%	87%	64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	100% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Deportes Castro

LNB 2022-23

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	54%
Home	WLWWL	79%
Away	WLWWL	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	54%	79%	29%
Points / game	77.6	77.6	77.7
Allowed / game	74.8	68.9	80.7
Point differential	+2.8	+8.6	-3.0
Avg total	152.5	146.5	158.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	32%	36%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	80% (5)	0% (2)
Overtime %	7%	0%	14%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	U. De Concepcion	29	26	3	90%	95.7	72.3	+23.4
2	Leones Quilpue	28	23	5	82%	83.6	65.9	+17.7
3	Ancud	29	20	9	69%	86.0	78.8	+7.2
4	Puente Alto	29	19	10	66%	80.4	76.0	+4.4
5	Valdivia	30	19	11	63%	83.8	78.7	+5.1
6	Las Animas	30	18	12	60%	82.8	78.6	+4.2
7	Deportes Castro	28	15	13	54%	77.6	74.8	+2.8
8	Quilicura	27	14	13	52%	84.0	80.7	+3.3
9	Espanol Osorno	29	15	14	52%	80.3	76.1	+4.1
10	CD Puerto Varas	28	11	17	39%	74.5	75.8	-1.3
11	Catolica	27	9	18	33%	75.0	80.5	-5.6
12	Puerto Montt	28	9	19	32%	75.4	88.5	-13.2
13	Espanol de Talca	27	6	21	22%	66.3	87.5	-21.2
14	Temuco	20	2	18	10%	71.7	91.1	-19.4
15	Tinguiririca	27	2	25	7%	66.1	87.0	-20.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
U. De Concepcion	22	24	25	26	97
Deportes Castro	16	23	17	14	70

← all games of the day

U. De Concepcion vs Deportes Castro Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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